Alek Thomas — OGILVIE

Alek ThomasCF Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 175 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 3.599 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.6 · 2027

wRC+†vL 4274vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .284 / .371

PA462

HR11

SB14

K%23

BB%5

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

39↗40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.599 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$0.4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	272	256	64	10	4	1	15	53	1	12	5	.250	.294	.332	.626	.082	.312	19	6	.280	72	-8	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2019	19	A	2 teams	506	466	115	20	6	9	33	137	6	15	11	.247	.305	.373	.678	.127	.330	27	7	.294	83	-10	-1	+0	+2	+14	0.5
2021	21	AA	2 teams	495	450	114	23	11	13	37	135	7	13	9	.253	.320	.440	.760	.187	.333	27	7	.323	105	+3	-1	+0	+2	+14	1.8
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	542	500	121	25	2	12	32	97	4	9	5	.242	.293	.372	.665	.130	.275	18	6	.290	80	-12	-0	+5	+2	+15	1.0
2023	23	MLB	2 teams	530	491	119	21	6	11	26	113	5	11	1	.242	.287	.377	.664	.134	.290	21	5	.287	78	-13	+2	+1	+2	+15	0.7
2024	24	MLB	3 teams	188	173	37	8	1	5	12	33	0	5	1	.214	.265	.358	.623	.145	.234	18	6	.276	70	-6	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	469	433	107	19	2	9	21	122	5	7	4	.247	.290	.363	.652	.115	.320	26	4	.284	76	-13	-0	-2	+2	+13	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	72	67	13	8	0	1	3	15	1	4	0	.194	.239	.358	.598	.164	.235	21	4	.258	56	-4	+1	+2	+0	+2	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	ARI	390	363	83	19	2	9	20	90	4	10	2	.229	.276	.366	.643	.138	.280	23	5	.286	77	-10	+1	-0	+1	+11	0.3
TOT	26	MLB	ARI	462	430	96	27	2	10	23	105	5	14	2	.223	.271	.365	.636	.142	.271	23	5	.282	74	-14	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	ARI	460	428	100	23	3	11	24	92	5	12	2	.234	.282	.379	.661	.145	.267	20	5	.286	77	-12	+2	-0	+2	+13	0.4
2028	28	MLB	ARI	455	424	96	22	2	10	24	92	4	11	1	.226	.274	.358	.633	.132	.267	20	5	.285	76	-12	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.3
2029	29	MLB	ARI	444	414	93	21	2	10	23	91	4	10	1	.225	.272	.357	.630	.133	.266	20	5	.283	75	-13	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.1
2030	30	MLB	ARI	434	404	90	21	2	9	23	90	4	9	1	.223	.271	.351	.623	.129	.265	21	5	.280	72	-14	+1	-2	+2	+12	-0.1
2031	31	MLB	ARI	419	390	87	20	2	9	22	89	4	7	0	.223	.272	.354	.625	.131	.263	21	5	.276	70	-14	+1	-3	+1	+12	-0.3
2032	32	MLB	ARI	400	372	82	19	2	8	21	87	4	5	0	.220	.270	.347	.616	.126	.262	22	5	.271	66	-15	+1	-4	+1	+11	-0.6
2033	33	MLB	ARI	370	345	74	17	2	7	19	83	3	3	0	.214	.262	.336	.598	.122	.260	22	5	.266	62	-16	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.8
2034	34	MLB	ARI	325	302	64	14	2	6	17	76	3	2	0	.212	.261	.331	.592	.119	.258	23	5	.259	56	-16	+0	-5	+1	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6699	6211	1446	302	51	139	369	1480	63	141	43	.233	.283	.365	.648	.132	.282	22	6	.285	76	-182	+11	-19	+24	+190	2.4
/ 162G	—			650	603	140	29	5	13	36	144	6	14	4	.232	.283	.362	.644	.129	.282	22	6	.285	76	-18	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	272	246	82	14	6	2	24	37	1	12	5	.333	.393	.463	.857	.130	.386	14	9	.381	150	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.4
2019	19	A+	Visalia Rawhide	104	94	24	2	0	2	9	33	1	4	5	.255	.327	.340	.667	.085	.373	32	9	.306	92	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2019	19	A	Kane County Cougars	402	353	110	21	7	8	43	72	5	11	6	.312	.394	.479	.873	.167	.372	18	11	.387	154	+25	-0	—	—	+11	3.7
2021	21	AAA	Reno Aces	166	149	55	11	4	8	15	34	2	5	4	.369	.434	.658	1.091	.289	.439	20	9	.471	218	+22	-1	—	—	+5	2.7
2021	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	329	286	81	18	8	10	37	65	5	8	5	.283	.375	.507	.882	.224	.335	20	11	.386	154	+20	-0	—	—	+9	2.9
2022	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	411	381	88	17	1	8	22	74	3	4	3	.231	.278	.344	.622	.113	.263	18	5	.277	70	-14	-0	+5	+2	+12	0.4
2022	22	AAA	Reno Aces	131	115	37	11	1	4	14	18	1	5	2	.322	.400	.539	.939	.217	.351	14	11	.409	171	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	402	374	86	17	5	9	19	86	4	9	1	.230	.275	.374	.649	.144	.273	21	5	.285	76	-11	+1	+1	+2	+11	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Reno Aces	128	112	39	6	2	3	12	20	1	2	0	.348	.416	.518	.934	.170	.396	16	9	.403	167	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	103	95	18	5	1	3	7	17	0	4	1	.189	.245	.358	.603	.168	.200	17	7	.265	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2024	24	AAA	Reno Aces	69	63	18	4	0	2	5	11	0	1	0	.286	.338	.444	.783	.159	.314	16	7	.343	120	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	24	ROK	ACL D-backs	16	13	7	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	.538	.600	.846	1.446	.308	.500	6	12	.580	302	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	469	433	108	19	3	9	21	122	5	7	4	.249	.292	.370	.661	.120	.324	26	4	.290	80	-11	-0	-2	+2	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1385	1283	300	58	10	29	69	299	12	24	9	.234	.279	.362	.642	.129	.280	22	5	.283	75	-40	+1	+3	+6	+39	1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alek Thomas (OGILVIE)	26	50	45	55	40	.229/.275/.366	.138	.267	11	12	20%	5%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Isbel 2023 · MLB	26	45→51	47→50	53→55	44	.225/.286/.364	.139	.284	14	19	26%	6%	81	+0.4	.228/.281/.358	.130	.277	12	14	21%	6%	77	+0.1	.230/.281/.348	.118	.274	10	11	19%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Scott Cousins 2011 · MLB	26	47→49	47→50	55	41	.234/.277/.380	.145	.296	14	17	26%	5%	80	+0.4	.223/.273/.343	.120	.294	11	16	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.211/.264/.304	.093	.286	8	20	28%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Matt Long 2013 · AAA	26	47→54	45→50	54→55	47	.233/.292/.366	.133	.278	12	19	20%	7%	83	+0.6	.217/.273/.337	.120	.284	11	19	26%	7%	68	-0.5	.203/.260/.310	.107	.270	10	18	27%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Adam Stern 2006 · MLB	26	49→56	48→40	49→55	45	.247/.297/.393	.146	.279	15	15	18%	6%	93	+1.3	.231/.266/.335	.104	.289	8	23	22%	4%	63	-0.8	.259/.306/.347	.089	.308	5	21	17%	6%	79	+0.2
●TJ Friedl 2022 · MLB	26	46→53	45→50	51→55	47	.226/.295/.355	.129	.265	13	15	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.240/.312/.394	.154	.274	16	19	18%	8%	100	+1.7	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Ronald Calloway 2004 · MLB	27	47→57	48→45	51→50	45	.237/.287/.377	.140	.281	15	13	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.234/.284/.353	.119	.287	12	13	22%	6%	77	+0.1	.251/.301/.356	.105	.312	8	13	21%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Josh Wilson 2007 · AAA	26	45→50	46→45	52→50	45	.225/.279/.355	.130	.263	13	16	20%	6%	76	+0.0	.229/.282/.338	.109	.272	9	14	19%	5%	72	-0.2	.223/.279/.321	.098	.268	7	11	19%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Logan Schafer 2013 · MLB	26	50→57	42→45	51→50	45	.240/.290/.355	.114	.277	8	15	17%	5%	79	+0.3	.219/.275/.328	.109	.263	7	12	19%	6%	66	-0.6	.211/.272/.297	.086	.259	5	7	19%	7%	52	-0.9
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA	26	45→47	46→45	53→50	44	.227/.283/.352	.125	.283	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.220/.284/.338	.118	.280	12	12	25%	8%	73	-0.1	.188/.271/.281	.093	.237	10	12	24%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	47→51	45	55	39	.236/.265/.358	.122	.289	13	19	23%	4%	69	-0.4	.229/.279/.340	.111	.278	11	17	21%	6%	71	-0.3	.225/.281/.329	.104	.271	10	18	20%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Adam Haseley 2022 · MLB	26	47→57	43→45	49→50	45	.232/.290/.342	.110	.286	12	11	23%	7%	76	+0.1	.219/.272/.325	.106	.267	10	16	21%	6%	64	-0.8	.218/.270/.322	.104	.264	9	18	21%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Dustin Fowler 2021 · MLB	26	44→52	47→55	52→55	38	.224/.264/.357	.133	.289	15	14	28%	5%	69	-0.4	.229/.280/.387	.158	.337	20	10	36%	6%	85	+0.7	.225/.278/.398	.173	.345	24	7	40%	5%	83	+0.2
✕Ryan Boldt 2021 · AA	26	47→51	47→50	56→55	42	.235/.291/.379	.143	.303	14	16	27%	6%	86	+0.8	.222/.275/.355	.133	.322	14	15	34%	6%	74	-0.1	.212/.264/.340	.128	.306	14	17	34%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Jason Pridie 2010 · AAA	26	48→53	44→50	57→55	38	.239/.267/.364	.125	.295	11	21	23%	3%	72	-0.2	.231/.271/.342	.111	.293	10	19	24%	5%	68	-0.5	.238/.286/.378	.140	.295	16	19	25%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Angel Chavez 2007 · MLB	26	48→53	46→45	52→50	40	.238/.267/.365	.127	.285	13	12	22%	4%	72	-0.2	.245/.277/.357	.112	.288	11	8	18%	4%	74	-0.1	.243/.295/.326	.084	.282	10	6	17%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Nick Gordon 2022 · MLB	26	49→56	45→50	56→55	41	.241/.286/.366	.125	.302	12	24	24%	5%	81	+0.4	.240/.285/.376	.136	.298	13	13	23%	5%	83	+0.6	.235/.276/.371	.135	.290	13	8	23%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Danny Mendick 2020 · MLB	26	44→48	46→45	47→50	47	.220/.283/.347	.127	.262	14	15	22%	7%	76	+0.0	.232/.291/.353	.121	.287	13	10	23%	7%	80	+0.4	.231/.290/.367	.136	.277	16	15	22%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Max Schrock 2022 · MLB	27	48→58	45→40	50	45	.237/.286/.362	.125	.285	12	10	22%	6%	80	+0.4	.236/.284/.362	.126	.279	14	7	20%	5%	79	+0.3	.227/.281/.330	.103	.265	10	4	18%	6%	66	-0.1
✕Matt Downs 2010 · MLB	26	48→50	48→50	48→50	44	.241/.284/.386	.145	.265	16	13	16%	5%	85	+0.7	.228/.287/.372	.144	.262	16	8	19%	6%	84	+0.6	.216/.284/.364	.148	.248	18	5	21%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Mauricio Dubón 2020 · MLB	26	49→59	46→45	47→55	42	.243/.276/.368	.125	.276	14	18	18%	4%	77	+0.1	.245/.292/.374	.129	.280	15	11	18%	6%	85	+0.7	.262/.299/.376	.114	.288	10	6	13%	4%	87	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)