Alek Thomas — OGILVIE

Alek ThomasCF Oklahoma City Comets

Age 26 L/L 5'9" / 175 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 3.599 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION221 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4974vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .280 / .379

PA147

HR4

K%22

BB%5

BABIP276

ISO146

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4711.3%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER45

Barrel%

487.9

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

3169.3

EYE40

Chase%

5131.4%

SPEED55

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 632 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

113

519

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

250

291

▶R

ISO

096

146

▶▶R

BABIP

269

296

▶R

21.2%

24.7%

◀L

BB%

2.7%

5.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.599 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.3M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	272	256	64	10	4	1	15	53	1	12	5	250	294	332	626	82	312	19	6	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	272	246	82	14	6	2	24	37	1	12	5	333	393	463	857	130	386	14	9	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	506	468	114	21	6	10	31	146	6	15	11	244	299	378	677	135	332	29	6	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	506	447	134	23	7	10	52	105	6	15	11	300	380	450	830	150	372	21	10	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	2 teams	—	495	450	113	22	11	13	37	136	7	13	9	251	318	436	753	184	331	27	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	2 teams	—	495	435	136	29	12	18	52	99	7	13	9	313	395	559	953	246	370	20	11	415	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	—	542	500	119	26	2	11	32	97	4	9	5	238	289	364	653	126	271	18	6	285	76	-14	-0	+5	+2	+15	0.8
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	—	542	496	125	28	2	12	36	92	4	9	5	252	308	389	697	137	284	17	7	309	94	-3	-0	+5	+2	+15	1.9
2023	23	MLB	2 teams	—	530	491	118	21	6	11	26	115	5	11	1	240	285	375	660	134	289	22	5	285	77	-14	+2	+1	+2	+15	0.6
2023	23	MLB	2 teams	—	530	486	125	23	7	12	31	106	5	11	1	257	308	407	716	150	303	20	6	314	98	-1	+2	+1	+2	+15	1.9
2024	24	MLB	3 teams	—	188	173	38	9	1	5	12	34	0	5	1	220	270	370	640	150	243	18	6	275	69	-7	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2024	24	MLB	3 teams	—	188	171	43	10	1	6	14	29	0	5	1	251	308	427	735	175	268	15	7	320	103	+1	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.6
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	469	433	106	18	3	9	21	122	5	7	4	245	288	363	650	118	317	26	4	282	74	-14	-0	-2	+2	+13	-0.1
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	469	433	108	19	3	9	21	122	5	7	4	249	292	370	661	120	324	26	4	290	80	-11	-0	-2	+2	+13	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	LAD	—	221	203	44	15	0	6	14	45	2	5	0	217	274	379	653	163	250	20	6	281	73	-7	+1	+2	+1	+6	0.3
YTD	26	AAA	LAD	—	221	199	47	16	0	7	18	40	2	5	0	236	306	422	728	186	263	18	8	321	104	+1	+1	+2	+1	+6	1.1
ROS	26	AAA	LAD	100%	147	137	32	6	1	4	8	33	1	3	0	233	280	379	659	146	277	22	5	289	80	-3	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.1
ROS	26	MLB	LAD	100%	147	137	31	6	1	4	8	33	1	3	0	226	274	372	646	146	274	22	5	279	71	-5	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	LAD	—	368	340	75	21	1	10	22	78	3	8	0	221	274	376	650	156	257	21	6	280	72	-11	+2	+1	+1	+10	0.3
TOT	26	AAA	LAD	—	368	340	76	21	1	10	22	78	3	8	0	223	276	379	656	156	261	21	6	284	76	-10	+2	+1	+1	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	LAD	82%	459	427	99	20	3	11	25	104	4	10	1	232	281	370	651	138	280	23	5	291	81	-10	+2	-2	+2	+13	0.5
2028	28	MLB	LAD	82%	454	421	98	20	3	11	26	103	4	9	1	233	284	373	657	140	280	23	6	290	80	-10	+1	-3	+2	+13	0.3
2027	27	MLB	LAD	82%	376	349	80	16	2	9	21	85	3	8	1	229	279	364	643	135	276	23	6	280	73	-12	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.0
2028	28	MLB	LAD	82%	372	345	79	16	2	9	21	84	3	7	1	229	279	365	644	136	276	23	6	280	72	-12	+1	-2	+1	+11	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2280	2114	490	96	15	51	119	501	19	42	11	232	279	364	643	132	278	22	5	282	74	-68	+4	-1	+9	+65	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	140	27	4	15	34	143	5	12	3	232	279	365	644	133	278	22	5	282	74	-19	+1	-0	+3	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4062	3756	901	173	40	86	233	943	37	94	38	240	291	376	667	136	296	23	6	291	81	-89	+4	-2	+15	+115	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	144	28	6	14	37	151	6	15	6	240	290	376	666	136	295	23	6	291	81	-14	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	272	246	82	14	6	2	24	37	1	12	5	333	393	463	857	130	386	14	9	381	150	+15	+0	—	—	+8	2.4
2019	19	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	104	94	24	2	0	2	9	33	1	4	5	255	327	340	667	85	373	32	9	306	92	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.1
2019	19	A	Kane County Cougars	—	402	353	110	21	7	8	43	72	5	11	6	312	394	479	873	167	372	18	11	387	154	+25	-0	—	—	+11	3.7
2021	21	AAA	Reno Aces	—	166	149	55	11	4	8	15	34	2	5	4	369	434	658	1.091	289	439	20	9	471	218	+22	-1	—	—	+5	2.7
2021	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	329	286	81	18	8	10	37	65	5	8	5	283	375	507	882	224	335	20	11	386	154	+20	-0	—	—	+9	2.9
2022	22	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	411	381	88	17	1	8	22	74	3	4	3	231	278	344	622	113	263	18	5	277	70	-14	-0	+5	+2	+12	0.4
2022	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	131	115	37	11	1	4	14	18	1	5	2	322	400	539	939	217	351	14	11	409	171	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	402	374	86	17	5	9	19	86	4	9	1	230	275	374	649	144	273	21	5	285	76	-11	+1	+1	+2	+11	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	128	112	39	6	2	3	12	20	1	2	0	348	416	518	934	170	396	16	9	403	167	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	103	95	18	5	1	3	7	17	0	4	1	189	245	358	603	168	200	17	7	265	61	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.2
2024	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	69	63	18	4	0	2	5	11	0	1	0	286	338	444	783	159	314	16	7	343	120	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	24	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	16	13	7	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	538	600	846	1.446	308	500	6	12	580	302	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	469	433	108	19	3	9	21	122	5	7	4	249	292	370	661	120	324	26	4	290	80	-11	-0	-2	+2	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1385	1283	300	58	10	29	69	299	12	24	9	234	279	362	642	129	280	22	5	283	75	-40	+1	+3	+6	+39	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,544	56	50	232	275	366	+9	+4	1.9	2.0
	/162	664	15	13	232	275	366	+2.4	+0.9	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alek Thomas (OGILVIE)	26	50	45	55	40	223/276/379	156	261	10	8	21%	6%	76	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Isbel 2023 · MLB	26	45→53	47→50	53→55	44	225/286/367	142	286	14	19	26%	6%	82	+0.5	237/289/375	138	287	12	14	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Scott Cousins 2011 · MLB	26	48→51	48→50	55	43	239/284/389	150	296	14	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	229/280/353	124	301	12	16	27%	6%	75	-0.0	220/272/320	101	299	8	20	28%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ronald Calloway 2004 · MLB	27	47→56	48→45	51→50	45	237/285/376	139	280	15	14	22%	6%	84	+0.6	235/285/352	117	289	12	13	22%	6%	76	+0.1	251/300/355	104	311	8	13	21%	6%	81	+0.3
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA	26	46→48	46→45	53→50	45	230/287/357	126	285	14	11	24%	7%	79	+0.3	221/286/341	120	282	13	12	25%	8%	75	-0.0	185/269/280	96	234	11	12	25%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Logan Schafer 2013 · MLB	26	50→56	42→45	52→50	45	241/290/359	118	277	8	15	16%	5%	80	+0.4	217/274/328	111	261	7	12	19%	7%	66	-0.6	212/273/298	85	260	5	7	19%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Matt Long 2013 · AAA	26	46→53	47→50	54→55	47	230/290/370	140	276	13	19	22%	7%	84	+0.6	215/271/335	120	283	11	18	27%	7%	66	-0.6	203/258/311	108	270	10	18	28%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Ryan Boldt 2021 · AA	26	48	47→50	55	43	239/294/379	140	304	14	15	26%	6%	88	+0.9	224/275/350	126	323	13	15	33%	6%	72	-0.2	215/267/337	122	310	13	17	33%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Dustin Fowler 2021 · MLB	26	43→53	46→50	51→55	38	219/262/348	129	287	14	13	29%	5%	66	-0.6	233/284/397	164	344	21	11	37%	6%	89	+1.0	231/284/417	185	355	27	7	40%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Elliot Johnson 2010 · MLB	26	43→53	46→45	52→60	39	219/263/350	132	285	14	15	28%	5%	68	-0.5	234/282/356	122	304	12	24	26%	6%	76	+0.1	234/287/347	113	305	11	30	26%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Angel Chavez 2007 · MLB	26	47→53	46→45	52→50	39	236/266/364	127	283	13	12	22%	4%	72	-0.2	245/277/354	109	287	10	8	18%	4%	73	-0.1	233/286/314	82	273	9	6	18%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Reese McGuire 2021 · MLB	26	43→52	45	49→45	44	217/268/339	122	258	14	7	22%	6%	66	-0.6	237/285/339	102	297	8	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	248/295/336	88	317	4	3	22%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	42→40	53→60	44	219/279/326	107	284	9	19	25%	7%	68	-0.5	226/296/320	94	297	8	37	25%	8%	73	-0.1	228/297/305	77	304	6	50	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	48→54	45	55	39	237/266/358	120	291	12	18	23%	4%	69	-0.4	229/280/341	112	278	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.2	227/282/331	104	272	10	18	20%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Kaleb Cowart 2018 · MLB	26	47→52	45	52→50	43	230/283/355	125	299	11	18	27%	7%	77	+0.1	214/262/335	121	276	11	12	25%	6%	63	-0.9	196/241/312	116	253	9	9	26%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2009 · MLB	26	48→53	44→50	48→50	47	237/294/347	111	288	12	11	22%	7%	79	+0.3	243/302/369	126	294	12	13	20%	8%	89	+0.9	244/308/380	136	288	13	13	19%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Felix Escalona 2005 · MLB	26	47	43→50	53→45	43	227/288/343	117	287	10	15	24%	6%	76	+0.1	230/292/353	123	272	13	6	20%	5%	81	+0.4	222/282/337	115	263	12	4	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Tug Hulett 2009 · MLB	26	48→55	44→45	52→50	49	233/301/356	122	296	11	14	24%	8%	85	+0.7	216/287/339	123	271	11	10	23%	9%	75	-0.0	207/281/323	115	258	9	9	22%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Adam Stern 2006 · MLB	26	49→56	48→40	49→55	45	248/298/395	147	279	15	16	18%	5%	94	+1.3	230/265/331	101	289	8	23	22%	4%	62	-0.9	259/307/347	88	309	5	21	17%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Buss 2014 · MLB	27	48→58	45→50	55	42	236/278/363	128	282	12	18	21%	5%	76	+0.1	241/290/335	94	297	7	14	20%	6%	74	-0.1	242/288/355	113	294	8	13	20%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Adam Haseley 2022 · MLB	26	46→56	43→45	49→50	45	226/282/331	105	277	11	11	23%	6%	70	-0.3	218/268/315	97	269	9	16	22%	5%	60	-1.0	215/266/308	93	266	8	18	21%	5%	54	-1.0