Matt Long

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1987-04-30

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	26	AAA/AA2 orgs	561	.293/.374/.471	14	20	83	—	.236/.296/.370
2014	27	AAA/AA2 orgs	481	.245/.336/.370	9	24	51	—	.197/.258/.286
2015	28	AAAColorado Spri…	501	.260/.328/.404	7	11	44	—	.191/.242/.291

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	17	16	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	250	294	500	794	250	250	18	6	345	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK	AZL Angels	—	219	184	52	7	9	1	26	23	2	3	3	283	377	435	812	152	313	11	12	351	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	553	466	142	30	12	4	59	67	5	23	9	305	389	446	835	142	342	12	11	358	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	82	71	20	5	1	2	8	10	1	8	0	282	362	465	827	183	295	12	10	358	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	558	481	145	29	11	16	56	86	10	26	12	301	386	507	893	206	335	15	10	386	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	393	347	98	19	8	9	34	63	2	15	6	282	350	461	811	179	316	16	9	349	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	116	97	27	7	1	3	15	27	1	8	3	278	381	464	844	186	343	23	13	367	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	428	369	106	21	6	11	51	83	0	17	3	287	374	466	840	179	342	19	12	366	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	133	119	37	8	2	3	12	29	0	3	3	311	374	487	861	176	386	22	9	375	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	281	241	63	11	1	5	37	65	0	18	1	261	360	378	737	116	339	23	13	333	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	200	175	39	8	2	4	20	52	0	6	2	223	303	360	663	137	285	26	10	292	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	501	446	116	29	7	7	43	97	2	11	5	260	328	404	731	143	312	19	9	321	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	17	16	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	250	294	500	794	250	221	24	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	219	194	42	5	7	1	16	33	2	3	3	216	283	330	613	113	241	15	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	553	488	127	25	10	3	37	96	5	23	9	260	319	371	690	111	294	17	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	82	74	18	4	1	2	5	12	1	8	0	243	300	405	705	162	257	15	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	558	497	120	22	7	15	40	120	10	26	12	241	311	404	715	163	275	22	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	393	354	81	15	6	7	27	81	2	15	6	229	287	364	652	136	259	21	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	116	104	25	6	1	3	8	33	1	8	3	240	301	404	705	163	284	28	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	428	384	89	17	4	9	36	111	0	17	3	232	298	367	665	135	290	26	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	133	124	31	6	2	2	7	36	0	3	3	250	290	379	669	129	332	27	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	281	254	50	8	1	3	24	85	0	18	1	197	266	272	538	75	279	30	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	200	183	36	7	2	3	12	57	0	6	2	197	246	306	552	109	244	28	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	501	460	88	18	5	6	29	128	2	11	5	191	242	291	534	100	237	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	236	211	46	6	7	2	16	37	2	3	3	218	279	341	621	123	251	16	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	236	200	56	8	9	2	27	26	2	3	3	280	371	440	811	160	309	11	11	351	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	553	488	127	25	10	3	37	96	5	23	9	260	319	371	690	111	312	17	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	553	466	142	30	12	4	59	67	5	23	9	305	389	446	835	142	342	12	11	358	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	640	571	138	26	8	17	45	132	11	34	12	242	309	405	714	163	281	21	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	640	552	165	34	12	18	64	96	11	34	12	299	383	502	885	203	330	15	10	382	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	509	457	104	20	6	10	36	114	3	23	9	228	288	363	652	136	274	22	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	509	444	125	26	9	12	49	90	3	23	9	282	357	462	819	180	321	18	10	353	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	561	508	120	23	6	11	43	147	0	20	6	236	296	370	666	134	308	26	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	561	488	143	29	8	14	63	112	0	20	6	293	374	471	845	178	352	20	11	368	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	437	86	15	2	7	36	143	0	24	3	197	258	288	546	92	271	30	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	481	416	102	19	3	9	57	117	0	24	3	245	336	370	706	125	316	24	12	316	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	501	460	88	18	5	6	29	128	2	11	5	191	242	291	534	100	246	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA RAW	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	501	446	116	29	7	7	43	97	2	11	5	260	328	404	731	143	312	19	9	321	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	236	216	46	6	7	2	16	37	2	3	3	213	279	333	613	120	240	16	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	553	506	127	25	10	3	37	96	5	23	9	251	319	358	677	107	294	17	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	640	579	138	26	8	17	45	132	11	34	12	238	309	399	708	161	273	21	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	509	465	104	20	6	10	36	114	3	23	9	224	288	357	645	133	265	22	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	561	513	120	23	6	11	43	147	0	20	6	234	296	366	662	133	300	26	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	481	442	86	15	2	7	36	143	0	24	3	195	258	285	543	90	264	30	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	501	465	88	18	5	6	29	128	2	11	5	189	242	288	531	99	237	26	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3481	3132	709	133	44	56	242	797	23	138	47	226	287	351	637	124	281	23	7	277	73	-110	+9	+0	+12	+75	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	132	25	8	10	45	149	4	26	9	226	285	347	632	121	281	23	7	277	73	-21	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 501 PAwOBA .316 → .233 (−83)K% 19.4% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.36%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	25.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.38%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×0.992	5.82%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	0.39%
Singles /BIP	20.92%	÷1.044	×0.900	×0.958	×0.992	17.14%
Doubles /BIP	8.31%	÷1.214	×0.810	×0.958	×0.992	5.27%
Triples /BIP	2.01%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.958	×0.992	1.34%
Home runs /BIP	2.01%	÷0.886	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.75%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .316 → .233; ISO .143 → .101; BABIP .312 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 281 PAwOBA .322 → .245 (−78)K% 23.1% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.13%	÷0.986	×1.290	—	—	30.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.46%	÷1.043	×0.710	—	×1.003	8.50%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.14%	÷1.013	×0.900	×0.950	×1.003	22.13%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.005	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	4.80%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷0.958	×0.810	×0.950	×1.003	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	2.84%	÷1.139	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.95%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .322 → .245; ISO .116 → .083; BABIP .339 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAArkansas Travelers · 200 PAwOBA .286 → .242 (−45)K% 26.0% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.00%	÷1.106	×1.220	—	—	28.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.00%	÷1.012	×0.700	—	×0.978	6.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.978	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.33%	÷0.961	×0.920	×0.950	×0.978	18.07%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷0.972	×0.840	×0.950	×0.978	5.22%
Triples /BIP	1.63%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.950	×0.978	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	3.25%	÷0.986	×0.800	—	×0.978	2.58%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 121, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .286 → .242; ISO .137 → .115; BABIP .285 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASalt Lake Bees · 428 PAwOBA .358 → .287 (−72)K% 19.4% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.39%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	25.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.68%	÷1.016	×0.710	—	×1.018	8.31%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.78%	÷0.997	×0.900	×0.962	×1.018	21.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.34%	÷0.977	×0.810	×0.962	×1.018	5.96%
Triples /BIP	2.10%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.962	×1.018	1.45%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷0.973	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.14%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .358 → .287; ISO .179 → .139; BABIP .342 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAArkansas Travelers · 133 PAwOBA .365 → .302 (−64)K% 21.8% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.80%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	26.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.27%	÷1.063	×0.700	—	×0.988	5.38%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.67%	÷0.981	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	23.47%
Doubles /BIP	8.89%	÷0.982	×0.840	×0.950	×0.988	7.13%
Triples /BIP	2.22%	÷0.943	×0.940	×0.950	×0.988	2.08%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷0.951	×0.800	—	×0.988	2.77%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .302; ISO .176 → .148; BABIP .386 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASalt Lake Bees · 393 PAwOBA .346 → .279 (−68)K% 16.0% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.03%	÷1.005	×1.290	—	—	20.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.65%	÷0.914	×0.710	—	×1.033	6.94%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.52%
Singles /BIP	21.83%	÷1.029	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	18.73%
Doubles /BIP	6.69%	÷1.022	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	5.21%
Triples /BIP	2.82%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.95%
Home runs /BIP	3.17%	÷1.053	×0.780	—	×1.033	2.43%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 101, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .346 → .279; ISO .179 → .133; BABIP .316 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAArkansas Travelers · 116 PAwOBA .361 → .304 (−57)K% 23.3% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.28%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	28.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.21%	÷1.076	×0.700	—	×0.998	7.28%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.75%
Singles /BIP	22.86%	÷1.012	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	19.69%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.046	×0.840	×0.950	×0.998	7.62%
Triples /BIP	1.43%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.950	×0.998	1.11%
Home runs /BIP	4.29%	÷0.819	×0.800	—	×0.998	4.18%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .361 → .304; ISO .186 → .170; BABIP .343 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 558 PAwOBA .377 → .308 (−69)K% 15.4% → 21.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.41%	÷0.962	×1.340	—	—	21.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.32%	÷0.924	×0.710	—	×0.988	7.07%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.40%
Singles /BIP	22.53%	÷0.991	×0.910	×0.952	×0.988	19.46%
Doubles /BIP	7.34%	÷1.007	×0.820	×0.952	×0.988	5.63%
Triples /BIP	2.78%	÷1.129	×0.760	×0.952	×0.988	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	4.05%	÷0.932	×0.920	—	×0.988	3.95%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .377 → .308; ISO .206 → .171; BABIP .335 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).