Juan Brito
2B Louisville Bats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAACLE | 652 | .256/.366/.443 | 21 | 13 | 82 | — | .220/.303/.356 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 163 | .223/.325/.396 | 4 | 4 | 61 | — | .194/.287/.314 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 488 | .241/.346/.395 | 12 | 8 | 70 | — | .199/.280/.309 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCIN | 115 | .245/.298/.387 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 0.2 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBCIN | 70 | .217/.294/.347 | 2 | 1 | 79 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ51% MLB | 26 | MLBCIN | 161 | .219/.296/.354 | 4 | 3 | 82 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ53% MLB | 27 | MLBCIN | 170 | .220/.296/.354 | 4 | 3 | 82 | 0.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 116 | 38 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 328 | 418 | 491 | 909 | 164 | 340 | 11 | 11 | 387 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 109 | 88 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 295 | 410 | 432 | 841 | 136 | 354 | 19 | 14 | 368 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 402 | 115 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 78 | 71 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 286 | 412 | 470 | 882 | 184 | 319 | 14 | 16 | 387 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 450 | 286 | 736 | 71 | 300 | 20 | 30 | 364 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 374 | 315 | 87 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 48 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 276 | 379 | 444 | 823 | 168 | 310 | 17 | 13 | 363 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 161 | 132 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 265 | 386 | 424 | 810 | 159 | 282 | 13 | 15 | 360 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 500 | 833 | 333 | 125 | 25 | 19 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 551 | 141 | 40 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 105 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 256 | 366 | 443 | 809 | 187 | 280 | 16 | 13 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 99 | 82 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 256 | 365 | 463 | 828 | 207 | 300 | 21 | 13 | 357 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 346 | 333 | 679 | 143 | 250 | 31 | 12 | 321 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 38 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 211 | 278 | 488 | 111 | 231 | 26 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 115 | 106 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 298 | 387 | 685 | 142 | 295 | 23 | 6 | 304 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 470 | 399 | 94 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 64 | 84 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 236 | 344 | 383 | 728 | 148 | 269 | 18 | 14 | 327 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 18 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 412 | 688 | 1.099 | 312 | 455 | 28 | 6 | 448 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 115 | 106 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 298 | 387 | 685 | 142 | 295 | 23 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 121 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 291 | 314 | 605 | 99 | 213 | 13 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 109 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 213 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 85 | 263 | 28 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 426 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 100 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 244 | 340 | 399 | 739 | 155 | 283 | 20 | 11 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 250 | 600 | 62 | 288 | 25 | 20 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 374 | 328 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 256 | 335 | 405 | 741 | 149 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 161 | 138 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 329 | 355 | 684 | 123 | 251 | 16 | 11 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 578 | 127 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 134 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 303 | 356 | 659 | 137 | 256 | 21 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 99 | 86 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 221 | 302 | 372 | 674 | 151 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 26 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 91 | 231 | 91 | 322 | 191 | 42 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 115 | 106 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 298 | 387 | 685 | 142 | 295 | 23 | 6 | 299 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 470 | 418 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 101 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 199 | 280 | 309 | 588 | 110 | 237 | 21 | 10 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 121 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 291 | 314 | 605 | 99 | 226 | 13 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 116 | 38 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 328 | 418 | 491 | 909 | 164 | 340 | 11 | 11 | 387 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 109 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 213 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 85 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 109 | 88 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 295 | 410 | 432 | 841 | 136 | 354 | 19 | 14 | 368 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 426 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 100 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 244 | 340 | 399 | 739 | 155 | 292 | 20 | 11 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 402 | 115 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 78 | 71 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 286 | 412 | 470 | 882 | 184 | 319 | 14 | 16 | 387 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 571 | 495 | 123 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 112 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 248 | 336 | 392 | 728 | 143 | 289 | 20 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 571 | 473 | 127 | 32 | 1 | 15 | 81 | 92 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 268 | 382 | 436 | 818 | 167 | 298 | 16 | 14 | 361 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 578 | 127 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 134 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 303 | 356 | 659 | 137 | 259 | 21 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 551 | 141 | 40 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 105 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 256 | 366 | 443 | 809 | 187 | 280 | 16 | 13 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 163 | 144 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 188 | 269 | 306 | 574 | 118 | 255 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 163 | 139 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 223 | 325 | 396 | 721 | 173 | 276 | 24 | 11 | 319 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 603 | 539 | 112 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 130 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 208 | 284 | 323 | 606 | 115 | 250 | 22 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 603 | 521 | 126 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 72 | 115 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 242 | 337 | 393 | 731 | 152 | 280 | 19 | 12 | 327 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 140 | 126 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 206 | 291 | 302 | 593 | 95 | 213 | 13 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 109 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 206 | 295 | 289 | 584 | 82 | 263 | 28 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 432 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 100 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 241 | 340 | 394 | 734 | 153 | 283 | 20 | 11 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 571 | 501 | 123 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 112 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 246 | 336 | 387 | 723 | 142 | 281 | 20 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 578 | 127 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 134 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 303 | 356 | 659 | 137 | 256 | 21 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 163 | 146 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 185 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 116 | 248 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 603 | 541 | 112 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 130 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 207 | 284 | 322 | 605 | 115 | 248 | 22 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 652 | 578 | 127 | 34 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 134 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 303 | 356 | 659 | 137 | 256 | 21 | 9 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 163 | 146 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 185 | 269 | 301 | 570 | 116 | 248 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 603 | 541 | 112 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 130 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 207 | 284 | 322 | 605 | 115 | 248 | 22 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CIN | 45% | 380 | 340 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 215 | 292 | 340 | 632 | 125 | 260 | 22 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CIN | 45% | 70 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 294 | 347 | 640 | 129 | 260 | 21 | 9 | 288 | 79 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CIN | 51% | 315 | 282 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 69 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 294 | 347 | 641 | 129 | 261 | 22 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CIN | 53% | 323 | 289 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 295 | 348 | 642 | 129 | 262 | 22 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CIN | 53% | 324 | 290 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 72 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 128 | 263 | 22 | 9 | 289 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CIN | 53% | 314 | 281 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 293 | 344 | 636 | 127 | 263 | 23 | 9 | 287 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CIN | 52% | 305 | 273 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 291 | 340 | 630 | 124 | 263 | 23 | 9 | 284 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CIN | 51% | 161 | 145 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 296 | 354 | 650 | 134 | 262 | 22 | 9 | 292 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CIN | 53% | 170 | 152 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 296 | 354 | 651 | 135 | 263 | 22 | 9 | 293 | 82 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CIN | 53% | 173 | 155 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 296 | 353 | 649 | 133 | 264 | 23 | 9 | 292 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CIN | 53% | 165 | 148 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 295 | 350 | 645 | 131 | 264 | 22 | 9 | 290 | 80 | -4 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CIN | 52% | 159 | 143 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 292 | 346 | 639 | 129 | 264 | 23 | 9 | 288 | 79 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 943 | 849 | 191 | 41 | 5 | 23 | 80 | 210 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 225 | 296 | 366 | 663 | 141 | 270 | 22 | 8 | 292 | 83 | -20 | +1 | -7 | +5 | +20 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 131 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 145 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 224 | 295 | 364 | 659 | 140 | 269 | 22 | 8 | 292 | 83 | -14 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +14 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4471 | 3951 | 878 | 199 | 18 | 93 | 416 | 960 | 43 | 89 | 42 | 222 | 303 | 352 | 655 | 130 | 267 | 21 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -41 | +2 | -13 | +8 | +40 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 129 | 29 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 140 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 225 | 304 | 359 | 663 | 134 | 270 | 22 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALouisville Bats · 470 PAwOBA .321 → .265 (−57)K% 17.9% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 17.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .321 → .265; ISO .148 → .117; BABIP .269 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 99 PAwOBA .351 → .290 (−61)K% 21.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.03% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 16.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 1.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .351 → .290; ISO .207 → .160; BABIP .300 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Guardians · 26 PAwOBA .314 → .195 (−118)K% 30.8% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.041 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.018 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.69% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 5.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 18.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.388 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 4.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .314 → .195; ISO .143 → .070; BABIP .250 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 652 PAwOBA .352 → .290 (−62)K% 16.1% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.10% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.34% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.94% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×1.050 | 17.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×1.050 | 7.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.964 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .352 → .290; ISO .187 → .142; BABIP .280 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 374 PAwOBA .358 → .322 (−36)K% 16.8% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.84% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 9.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.83% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 21.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.55% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .358 → .322; ISO .168 → .155; BABIP .310 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 161 PAwOBA .358 → .306 (−52)K% 13.0% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.028 | ×1.270 | — | — | 16.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.91% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 11.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.82% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .358 → .306; ISO .159 → .136; BABIP .282 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAColumbus Clippers · 20 PAwOBA .357 → .306 (−52)K% 20.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 21.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 8.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .357 → .306; ISO .071 → .066; BABIP .300 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 497 PAwOBA .383 → .319 (−63)K% 14.3% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.69% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.85% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 19.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.76% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 7.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×1.015 | 1.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.32% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .383 → .319; ISO .184 → .161; BABIP .319 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .