Gilberto CelestinoCF Round Rock Express
Age 27 R/L 6'0" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .306 / .336
PA145
HR2
SB6
K%26
BB%8
BABIP312
ISO99
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +2.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.50.40.32628
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022
CONTACT55
Whiff%
669.3%
xwOBA
160.269
POWER40
Barrel%
113.1
Avg EV
2687.3
EYE55
Chase%
7826.2%
SPEED50
Sprint
6027.9
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-3$0.8M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201617 ROKGCL Astros 230204 40932 20562 153 196274299573 103253 249 250 50
201617 ROKGCL Astros 230191 491242 33392 153 257372393764 136305 1714 342 120
201718 ROKGreeneville Astros 261243 48713 14841 102 198244272516 74285 325 230 34
201718 ROKGreeneville Astros 261235 631024 22591 102 268333379712 111339 238 318 102
201819 ROKElizabethton Twins 117111 24311 4231 82 216250288538 72261 203 227 32
201819 ROKElizabethton Twins 117109 29411 6161 82 266310349659 83301 145 295 84
201920 A2 teams 536493 1102428 371244 148 223283329611 105281 237 268 63
201920 A2 teams 536480 13328310 50854 148 277350410761 133318 169 341 119
202122 AAA4 teams 389356 751907 281045 41 211278323601 112278 277 267 62
202122 AAA4 teams 389342 832109 42865 41 243334383717 140300 2211 326 107
202223 MLB2 teams 372334 791312 34832 42 237311299610 63309 229 280 73 -12 +0 +1 +1 +11 0.1
202223 MLB2 teams 372329 801412 39792 42 243327310637 67315 2110 294 83 -7 +0 +1 +1 +11 0.6
202324 AAA2 teams 263228 48724 29534 53 211310311622 101256 2011 283 75
202324 AAA2 teams 263209 511124 48434 53 244395373768 129288 1618 353 128
202425 AAA2 teams 302278 701302 22732 92 252311320631 68335 247 284 76
202425 AAA2 teams 302268 721503 32622 92 269351358709 90340 2111 325 107
202526 AAA2 teams 635578 1431528 521732 354 247312322634 74338 278 282 74
202526 AAA2 teams 635546 15622210 831292 354 286381388770 103357 2013 350 126
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 AAATEX 205185 43812 17541 134 232300319619 86315 268 280 72 -6 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.1
YTD27 AAATEX 205178 491013 24421 134 275365393758 118343 2012 341 119 +4 +1 +0 +1 +6 1.2
ROS27 AAATEX 10% 145131 31512 12371 61 237306336641 99310 268 288 79 -3 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.2
ROS27 MLBTEX 10% 1413 2000 140 10 154214154368 312 297 285 76 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL27 AAATEX 219198 45812 18581 144 227295308603 81309 268 280 73 -7 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.1
TOT27 AAATEX 350316 741324 29912 195 234303326629 92314 268 283 75 -10 +2 -0 +1 +10 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBTEX 38% 392353 831415 331003 133 235306323629 88311 268 288 79 -9 +1 -1 +1 +11 0.4
202829 MLBTEX 49% 390352 821415 331002 123 233302321623 88310 268 286 77 -10 +1 -2 +1 +11 0.2
202728 MLBTEX 38% 147133 32512 12371 51 241308338647 98312 258 285 76 -4 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.1
202829 MLBTEX 49% 190171 42713 16491 62 246314351665 105312 268 283 75 -5 +0 -1 +1 +5 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 760687 1582739 641814 164 230299317617 87299 248 277 71 -25 +2 -2 +4 +22 -0.0
/ 162G 650588 1362338 551553 143 231301321622 90300 248 277 71 -22 +2 -2 +3 +18 0.0
Career 40323661 8331431549 318101029 13534 228294315609 87299 258 273 67 -149 +13 -3 +14 +114 -1.1
/ 162G 650590 1342328 511635 225 227294314608 86299 258 273 67 -24 +2 -1 +2 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201617 ROKGCL Astros 230191 491242 33392 153 257372393764 136305 1714 342 120 +5 +2 +7 1.4
201718 ROKGreeneville Astros 261235 631024 22591 102 268333379712 111339 238 318 102 +0 +1 +7 0.9
201819 ROKElizabethton Twins 117109 29411 6161 82 266310349659 83301 145 295 84 -2 +1 +3 0.2
201920 A+Fort Myers Miracle 3330 9400 240 00 300344433777 133333 126 335 115 +1 +0 +1 0.2
201920 ACedar Rapids Kernels 503450 12424310 48814 148 276351409759 133317 1610 341 119 +11 -0 +14 2.5
202122 MLBMinnesota Twins 6259 8302 3140 00 136177288466 153140 235 207 16 -6 +0 -2 +1 +2 -0.4
202122 AAASt. Paul Saints 211183 531305 24434 40 290384443827 153356 2011 372 143 +10 +1 +6 1.7
202122 AAWichita Wind Surge 9684 21502 11241 01 250344381725 131328 2511 330 111 +1 -0 +3 0.4
202122 INTLToros del Este 2016 1000 450 00 6225062312 91 2520 185 0 -2 +0 +1 -0.2
202223 MLBMinnesota Twins 347311 741212 32772 41 238313302615 64310 229 283 75 -10 +0 +1 +1 +10 0.3
202223 INTLToros del Este 2518 6200 720 01 333520444964 111375 828 443 197 +3 -0 +1 0.3
202324 AAASt. Paul Saints 233185 451124 42374 42 243394389783 146283 1618 357 132 +8 +0 +7 1.5
202324 INTLAguilas Cibaenas 3024 6000 660 11 250400250650 333 2020 321 103 +0 -0 +1 0.1
202425 AAAIowa Cubs 284255 701303 27572 91 275349361709 86344 2010 324 106 +2 +1 +8 1.2
202425 INTLAguilas Cibaenas 1813 2200 550 01 154389308697 154250 2828 336 116 +0 -0 +1 0.0
202526 AAASyracuse Mets 426372 1011219 51932 132 272362382743 110341 2212 339 117 +8 +2 +12 2.3
202526 INTLToros del Este 209174 551011 32360 222 316422402825 86388 1715 372 143 +10 +4 +6 2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 409370 821514 35912 41 222292300592 78284 229 272 66 -16 +0 -1 +3 +12 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Alexi Casillalast yr '13
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA
71,8831280248302332+8+32.72.7
/162664428+2.8+0.91.0pk7: 3
#2Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
3781916230297315+3-10.20.2
/162664813+2.4-0.80.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gilberto Celestino (OGILVIE) 27 55 40 50 55 234/303/326 92314 419 26% 8% 75 +0.3
Jose Duarte
2012 · AAA
27 50→56 39→40 49→55 50 235/300/329 94296 616 22% 8% 77 +0.1 228/297/324 96285 811 21% 9% 75 -0.0 217/292/293762598819%10%63-0.3
Bryson Brigman
2022 · AAA
27 52→59 41→40 48→50 48 249/307/352 103305 710 20% 7% 85 +0.7 231/282/328 97295 811 23% 6% 69 -0.4 229/286/3027328561221%6%61-0.5
Mark Kiger
2007 · AAA
27 51→56 41→45 48→50 48 242/307/342 100318 810 25% 8% 83 +0.6 235/316/334 99325 810 27% 10% 86 +0.8 227/320/317903207928%11%82+0.3
Marty Costes
2023 · AAA
27 52→59 44→45 48→50 48 248/329/366 118317 1115 24% 8% 100 +1.7 230/301/337 107288 913 22% 7% 80 +0.4 222/293/3129027681121%7%67-0.2
Jonathan Davis
2019 · MLB
27 47→52 43→45 54→55 46 228/302/343 115291 1020 24% 8% 82 +0.5 216/304/336 120286 1119 27% 8% 82 +0.5 224/306/341117313112229%9%81+0.2
Danny Worth
2013 · MLB
27 46→52 44→45 51→50 46 224/291/341 118296 1016 27% 8% 77 +0.1 204/264/293 89306 613 32% 7% 53 -1.5 221/288/315953247932%8%66-0.4
Abiatal Avelino
2022 · AAA
27 48→54 41→45 54→55 45 232/281/336 104280 817 20% 6% 71 -0.3 228/279/351 123277 1316 22% 6% 74 -0.1 212/259/338126251161823%4%59-0.4
John Valente
2022 · AA
27 52 40 52→50 47 249/298/349 100288 714 16% 6% 81 +0.4 245/298/345 100281 717 15% 6% 80 +0.4 264/315/3417729342611%6%82+0.2
Hunter Jones
2019 · AAA
27 48→56 41→45 53→55 43 231/286/334 103294 814 24% 6% 72 -0.2 211/267/309 98293 912 29% 6% 59 -1.1 132/190/1905819971037%5%-6-1.6
Christian Lopes
2021 · AAA
28 46→50 44→45 47→50 49 225/299/344 120279 1113 23% 8% 82 +0.5 212/291/340 128302 1311 32% 8% 78 +0.2 192/281/31512327913933%9%65-0.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2021 · MLB
26 52→56 41→40 49→55 48 249/308/347 98292 713 17% 7% 85 +0.7 258/308/344 86296 719 15% 6% 84 +0.6 264/305/3538930871816%4%83+0.3
Ed Lucas
2009 · AAA
27 50→56 41→50 49→50 45 242/291/338 96302 814 22% 6% 75 -0.0 241/303/366 125305 1313 24% 7% 89 +0.9 234/298/365131296141025%7%84+0.5
Alberto Carreon
2015 · AAA
27 51→55 43→45 47→50 41 246/299/361 115309 1011 24% 5% 85 +0.7 230/277/330 100289 89 22% 5% 67 -0.5 241/286/320792975920%4%66-0.4
Cutter Dykstra
2015 · AA
26 49→53 40 49→55 46 231/297/321 90313 714 27% 8% 74 -0.1 223/287/305 82320 79 30% 8% 65 -0.7 211/279/274642997830%8%52-1.2
Tim Fedroff
2014 · AAA
27 53→62 39→40 49→50 49 249/310/335 86310 615 21% 8% 82 +0.5 220/288/302 82300 611 26% 8% 65 -0.7 198/277/260622823628%9%48-1.3
Yonathan Daza
2021 · MLB
27 52→56 42→40 46→50 44 251/289/355 104294 912 18% 5% 79 +0.3 244/294/321 77295 46 18% 6% 72 -0.2 245/296/311652963417%6%68-0.3
Brett Dowdy
2009 · AAA
27 48→50 42→40 50 45 234/285/340 106282 1013 21% 6% 74 -0.1 221/262/311 90269 811 20% 5% 56 -1.3 194/228/251572324918%3%23-2.1
Rashad Eldridge
2009 · AAA
27 54→58 41→45 50→55 46 255/313/357 102326 715 23% 7% 89 +1.0 245/306/322 77310 417 21% 8% 78 +0.2 242/306/3056330521720%8%71-0.3
Eloy Gutierrez
2011 · AAA
26 53→60 41→45 50 45 251/307/351 100332 715 26% 7% 85 +0.7 216/265/299 83326 713 34% 6% 54 -1.4 235/271/3198435971135%4%60-0.4
Kevin Russo
2010 · AAA
26 55→59 39→40 49→50 46 263/308/353 90316 615 18% 6% 86 +0.8 238/288/310 72305 414 22% 6% 66 -0.6 232/284/2926030221422%5%57-1.0