Dalton GuthrieLF Leones de Ponce
Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs INTL Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 0.6 · 2026
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .303 / .367
PA206
HR5
SB6
K%25
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M+0.6$2M+$2M
2027Arb-3$1M+0.2$0.8M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $1M $3M +$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKGCL Phillies 2824 4101 310 11 .167.259.333.593 .167.136 411 .232 36 -2 -0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
201822 ALakewood BlueClaws 347316 661305 12756 36 .209.251.297.549 .089.251 223 .233 37 -25 -2 +0 +1 +10 -1.6
201923 A+Clearwater Threshers 325305 581134 9765 62 .190.226.285.511 .095.238 233 .217 24 -28 +0 +0 +1 +9 -1.7
202125 AA2 teams 323302 691514 13915 53 .228.272.325.596 .096.314 284 .265 61 -14 -0 +0 +1 +9 -0.4
202226 AAA2 teams 402367 982219 229710 226 .267.326.406.732 .139.340 245 .318 102 +1 +2 -1 -4 +11 0.9
202327 AAA2 teams 371333 791433 269410 74 .237.312.324.636 .087.321 257 .285 77 -10 -0 +1 +1 +11 0.3
202428 AAAWorcester Red Sox 156147 30301 8381 113 .204.250.245.495 .041.269 245 .225 30 -12 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.6
202529 INTLLeones de Ponce 160139 41901 16265 63 .295.388.381.769 .086.357 1610 +0 +1
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBBOS 206185 44715 15514 62 .238.309.368.676 .130.298 257 .303 90 -2 +0 +1 +1 +6 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202731 MLB 7%BOS 191172 41715 14483 41 .238.307.378.685 .140.297 257 .301 89 -2 +0 -2 +1 +5 0.2
202832 MLB 18%BOS 172155 36614 12443 31 .232.300.361.661 .129.295 267 .298 87 -3 +0 -3 +1 +5 0.0
202933 MLB 27%BOS 142129 30513 10372 21 .233.298.357.654 .124.294 267 .294 83 -3 +0 -4 +1 +4 -0.2
203034 MLB 39%BOS 10292 20302 7272 10 .217.287.315.602 .098.292 267 .288 79 -2 +0 -4 +0 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 29252666 6161161247 16770556 7733 .231.290.336.627 .105.295 246 .258 56 -147 +2 -11 +5 +83 -7.0
/ 162G 650592 13726310 3715712 177 .231.290.336.626 .105.296 246 .258 56 -33 +1 -3 +1 +18 -1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKGCL Phillies 2822 4101 510 11 .182.333.364.697 .182.150 418 .309 95 -0 -0 +1 0.0
201822 ALakewood BlueClaws 347307 741605 21566 36 .241.302.342.644 .101.273 166 .282 74 -10 -2 +10 -0.2
201923 A+Clearwater Threshers 325301 731644 13515 62 .243.285.362.647 .120.278 164 .284 76 -9 +0 +9 0.1
202125 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 139130 381302 5312 21 .292.328.438.767 .146.371 224 .335 115 +2 +0 +4 0.6
202125 AAReading Fightin Phils 184165 40424 15413 32 .242.317.364.681 .121.300 228 .307 93 -1 -0 +5 0.4
202226 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 2821 7001 671 10 .333.500.476.976 .143.462 2521 .444 198 +3 +0 -1 -4 +1 -0.1
202226 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs 374338 10227110 24739 216 .302.364.476.840 .175.359 206 .370 141 +17 +2 +11 3.0
202327 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies 2824 4100 371 00 .167.286.208.494 .042.235 2511 .244 45 -2 +0 +1 +1 +1 0.2
202327 AAAGwinnett Stripers 343299 821534 33739 74 .274.364.385.748 .110.350 2110 .339 118 +7 -0 +10 1.7
202428 AAAWorcester Red Sox 156142 36401 13321 113 .254.321.303.623 .049.321 218 .289 79 -4 +1 +4 0.2
202529 INTLLeones de Ponce 160139 41901 16265 63 .295.388.381.769 .086.357 1610 .353 129 +5 +0 +5 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 5645 11101 9142 10 .244.393.333.726 .089.333 2516 .344 121 +1 +0 +1 -3 +2 0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dalton Guthrie (OGILVIE) 30 .236/.303/.367 .131.298 56 25% 7% 90 +0.4
Phillip Ervin
2021 · MLB
29 49→52 48→50 49→55 48 .240/.314/.388 .149.300 1414 24% 8% 99 +1.7 .207/.283/.336 .129.279 1515 29% 9% 73 -0.1 .163/.242/.272.109.220152132%9%36-1.2
Michael A. Taylor
2022 · MLB
31 46→51 48→55 48→60 42 .230/.285/.365 .135.303 1615 29% 6% 81 +0.4 .233/.291/.374 .141.304 1813 28% 7% 86 +0.8 .222/.282/.366.144.292191530%7%78+0.2
Scott Heineman
2022 · MLB
29 45→55 49→45 50 43 .227/.290/.378 .151.289 1715 27% 7% 86 +0.8 .206/.266/.329 .123.315 1216 36% 6% 63 -0.8 .143/.203/.226.083.26272345%6%8-0.9
Reid Gorecki
2010 · MLB
29 50→51 45→50 52→55 44 .247/.298/.375 .129.303 1219 23% 6% 89 +0.9 .228/.284/.343 .115.293 919 24% 7% 74 -0.1 .213/.275/.312.099.28062225%7%58-0.9
Moisés Sierra
2019 · MLB
30 50→56 44→50 48→50 44 .243/.298/.360 .117.303 1113 23% 6% 85 +0.7 .255/.326/.401 .146.305 1614 21% 8% 108 +2.3 .278/.359/.442.164.322201519%9%130+3.2
Cole Gillespie
2014 · MLB
30 46→56 44→50 52→50 49 .228/.298/.348 .121.282 1114 23% 8% 82 +0.5 .246/.305/.361 .115.296 1012 19% 8% 88 +0.9 .253/.310/.356.103.30171217%7%87+0.4
Pablo Reyes
2023 · MLB
29 46→52 46→50 48→55 48 .230/.288/.359 .129.266 1315 19% 7% 80 +0.4 .241/.302/.365 .124.283 1319 19% 8% 88 +0.9 .244/.311/.364.120.287142119%8%88+0.4
Mario Lisson
2014 · AAA
30 44→49 50→55 49→55 43 .226/.289/.381 .155.286 1815 27% 6% 87 +0.8 .235/.300/.382 .147.299 1810 27% 7% 92 +1.2 .233/.305/.376.142.30418828%8%91+0.8
Eli White
2023 · MLB
29 43→50 47→50 53→60 46 .217/.291/.346 .129.296 1522 31% 9% 79 +0.3 .232/.302/.374 .142.316 1728 30% 8% 91 +1.1 .234/.299/.378.144.310183129%7%87+0.4
Nick Gorneault
2009 · AAA
30 43→48 49→55 46→50 43 .221/.279/.368 .147.284 1712 28% 7% 79 +0.3 .205/.258/.338 .133.274 1510 30% 6% 63 -0.9 .190/.240/.315.125.25513930%6%45-1.4
Jerad Head
2013 · MLB
30 44→45 51→55 49→50 40 .230/.282/.392 .161.279 198 25% 5% 87 +0.8 .229/.279/.369 .140.279 167 24% 5% 79 +0.3 .226/.273/.359.133.27215223%4%69-0.3
Jorge Bonifacio
2023 · MLB
30 40→50 49→55 48→45 43 .207/.275/.354 .147.277 179 31% 7% 74 -0.1 .218/.284/.387 .169.273 228 28% 8% 87 +0.8 .213/.283/.401.188.24726526%8%89+0.8
Matt Szczur
2018 · MLB
29 48→56 46→45 47→55 52 .238/.315/.371 .133.282 1312 20% 9% 95 +1.4 .232/.307/.370 .138.284 137 22% 9% 91 +1.1 .205/.261/.347.142.25316426%7%65-0.2
David Bote
2023 · MLB
30 42→48 48→55 49→45 44 .217/.287/.362 .145.277 167 27% 7% 82 +0.5 .229/.296/.386 .157.289 178 26% 7% 92 +1.2 .225/.296/.391.167.27718625%8%90+0.5
Tyler Saladino
2019 · MLB
30 46 43→45 50→55 46 .226/.288/.333 .106.286 1116 24% 7% 73 -0.1 .218/.288/.375 .157.282 1914 29% 8% 85 +0.7 .199/.273/.380.181.248241430%8%77+0.1
Tyler Greene
2014 · MLB
30 46→51 48→50 56→55 41 .229/.286/.372 .143.313 1522 31% 6% 83 +0.6 .228/.273/.343 .115.336 1111 34% 5% 69 -0.4 .232/.275/.336.104.3539735%4%66-0.6
Chris Heisey
2015 · MLB
30 47→52 48→55 52→55 42 .235/.282/.381 .146.278 1512 22% 5% 83 +0.6 .210/.286/.388 .178.252 237 26% 9% 88 +0.9 .187/.283/.382.195.21229328%10%81+0.2
Junior Lake
2019 · MLB
29 44→54 44→50 52→55 46 .219/.283/.339 .120.287 1114 27% 8% 72 -0.2 .254/.323/.423 .169.294 2021 20% 8% 112 +2.6 .261/.335/.437.177.295222519%9%118+2.5
Tim Locastro
2022 · MLB
30 47→52 45 56→60 46 .231/.321/.355 .124.275 1125 20% 6% 95 +1.4 .213/.294/.340 .127.263 1224 23% 5% 80 +0.4 .211/.301/.325.114.266113623%5%76+0.0
Chad Huffman
2016 · AAA
31 47→50 49→50 49→45 47 .237/.305/.382 .145.296 168 25% 8% 94 +1.3 .232/.310/.392 .160.283 179 23% 8% 99 +1.7 .224/.306/.383.159.27517524%8%92+0.8