Dalton Guthrie

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1995-12-23

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	28	AAABOS	156	.254/.321/.303	1	11	35	—	.204/.250/.245
2025	29	INTLLeones de Pon…	160	.295/.388/.381	1	6	125	—
2026	30	INTLAlgodoneros d…	33	.111/.250/.111	0	0	16	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AAA

Max EV77

Speed69

Whiff%65

K%64

Z-Con%47

BB%33

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	28	22	4	1	0	1	5	1	0	1	1	182	333	364	697	182	150	4	18	309	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	347	307	74	16	0	5	21	56	6	3	6	241	302	342	644	101	273	16	6	282	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Clearwater Threshers	—	325	301	73	16	4	4	13	51	5	6	2	243	285	362	647	120	278	16	4	284	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	139	130	38	13	0	2	5	31	2	2	1	292	328	438	767	146	371	22	4	335	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	184	165	40	4	2	4	15	41	3	3	2	242	317	364	681	121	300	22	8	307	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	21	7	0	0	1	6	7	1	1	0	333	500	476	976	143	462	25	21	444	183	+3	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.2
2022	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	374	338	102	27	1	10	24	73	9	21	6	302	364	476	840	175	359	20	6	370	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	11	244	52	-2	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2023	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	343	299	82	15	3	4	33	73	9	7	4	274	364	385	748	110	350	21	10	339	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	142	36	4	0	1	13	32	1	11	3	254	321	303	623	49	321	21	8	289	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	160	139	41	9	0	1	16	26	5	6	3	295	388	381	769	86	357	16	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	33	27	3	0	0	0	2	5	3	0	0	111	250	111	361		136	15	6	191	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	56	45	11	1	0	1	9	14	2	1	0	244	393	333	726	89	333	25	16	344	119	+1	+0	+1	-3	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	28	24	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	1	1	167	259	333	593	167	114	4	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	347	315	67	13	0	4	13	77	6	3	6	213	257	292	550	79	247	22	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	325	305	56	11	3	3	9	75	5	6	2	184	219	269	488	85	227	23	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	139	132	35	12	0	1	3	38	2	2	1	265	292	379	671	114	355	27	2	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	184	170	35	3	2	2	10	51	3	3	2	206	262	282	545	76	278	28	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	21	7	0	0	1	6	7	1	1	0	333	500	476	976	143	462	25	21	438	183	+3	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	374	346	90	22	1	7	16	91	9	21	6	260	310	390	700	130	328	24	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	167	286	208	494	42	235	25	11	244	52	-2	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	343	309	74	13	3	3	23	87	9	7	4	239	311	330	641	91	319	25	7	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	147	30	3	0	1	8	38	1	11	3	204	250	245	495	41	267	24	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	28	24	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	1	1	167	259	333	593	167	136	4	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	—	28	22	4	1	0	1	5	1	0	1	1	182	333	364	697	182	150	4	18	309	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	347	315	67	13	0	4	13	77	6	3	6	213	257	292	550	79	261	22	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	347	307	74	16	0	5	21	56	6	3	6	241	302	342	644	101	273	16	6	282	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	325	305	56	11	3	3	9	75	5	6	2	184	219	269	488	85	231	23	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	325	301	73	16	4	4	13	51	5	6	2	243	285	362	647	120	278	16	4	284	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	302	71	15	2	4	13	88	5	5	3	235	278	338	616	103	319	27	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	323	295	78	17	2	6	20	72	5	5	3	264	322	397	718	132	332	22	6	319	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	402	367	97	22	1	8	22	98	10	22	6	264	323	395	718	131	340	24	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	402	359	109	27	1	11	30	80	10	22	6	304	373	476	850	173	364	20	7	375	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	333	78	14	3	3	26	94	10	7	4	234	309	321	630	87	316	25	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	371	323	86	16	3	4	36	80	10	7	4	266	358	372	729	105	342	22	10	332	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	147	30	3	0	1	8	38	1	11	3	204	250	245	495	41	269	24	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	142	36	4	0	1	13	32	1	11	3	254	321	303	623	49	321	21	8	289	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL MLE	Leones de Ponce	—	160	139	41	9	0	1	16	26	5	6	3	295	388	381	769	86	357	16	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	Leones de Ponce	—	160	139	41	9	0	1	16	26	5	6	3	295	388	381	769	86	357	16	10	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL MLE	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	33	27	3	0	0	0	2	5	3	0	0	111	250	111	361		136	15	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL RAW	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	33	27	3	0	0	0	2	5	3	0	0	111	250	111	361		136	15	6	191	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	28	25	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	1	1	160	259	320	579	160	114	4	11	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	347	325	67	13	0	4	13	77	6	3	6	206	257	283	541	77	247	22	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	325	308	56	11	3	3	9	75	5	6	2	182	219	266	486	84	227	23	3	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	323	302	71	15	2	4	13	88	5	5	3	235	278	338	616	103	311	27	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	402	367	97	22	1	8	22	98	10	22	6	264	323	395	718	131	337	24	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	332	78	14	3	3	26	94	10	7	4	235	309	322	631	87	313	25	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	146	30	3	0	1	8	38	1	11	3	205	250	247	497	41	267	24	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	156	146	30	3	0	1	8	38	1	11	3	205	250	247	497	41	267	24	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	45	11	1	0	1	9	14	2	1	0	244	393	333	726	89	333	25	16	344	46	+1	+0	+1	-3	+1	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	522	128	12	0	12	104	162	23	12	0	245	392	337	729	92	333	25	16	344	46	+15	+2	+6	-35	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2145	1959	447	88	9	25	112	502	45	61	28	228	285	321	606	92	292	23	5	237	46	+1	+0	+1	-3	+1	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	136	27	3	8	34	152	14	18	8	229	287	325	612	96	293	23	5	237	46	+15	+2	+6	-35	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 156 PAwOBA .282 → .220 (−62)K% 20.5% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.51%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	24.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.049	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.38%
HBP% /PA	0.64%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.59%
Singles /BIP	28.18%	÷1.036	×0.930	×0.950	×0.982	23.60%
Doubles /BIP	3.64%	÷0.951	×0.830	×0.950	×0.982	2.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.143	×0.970	×0.950	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.91%	÷0.996	×0.700	—	×0.982	0.63%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .282 → .220; ISO .049 → .037; BABIP .321 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 343 PAwOBA .332 → .282 (−50)K% 21.3% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.28%	÷1.005	×1.200	—	—	25.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.62%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.992	6.61%
HBP% /PA	2.62%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.45%
Singles /BIP	26.55%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.975	×0.992	24.66%
Doubles /BIP	6.64%	÷0.933	×0.830	×0.975	×0.992	5.71%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷0.999	×0.970	×0.975	×0.992	1.25%
Home runs /BIP	1.77%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.25%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 100, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .332 → .282; ISO .110 → .090; BABIP .350 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 374 PAwOBA .361 → .301 (−60)K% 19.5% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.52%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	24.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.42%	÷1.067	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.16%
HBP% /PA	2.41%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.27%
Singles /BIP	24.15%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.031	×1.003	23.07%
Doubles /BIP	10.19%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.031	×1.003	8.59%
Triples /BIP	0.38%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.031	×1.003	0.42%
Home runs /BIP	3.77%	÷1.039	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .361 → .301; ISO .175 → .131; BABIP .359 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 184 PAwOBA .297 → .243 (−54)K% 22.3% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.28%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	27.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.61%	÷0.989	×0.690	—	×0.988	5.25%
HBP% /PA	1.63%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	1.37%
Singles /BIP	24.19%	÷0.989	×0.940	×1.020	×0.988	23.17%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷0.993	×0.870	×1.020	×0.988	2.85%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.020	×0.988	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.344	×0.780	—	×0.988	1.85%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .297 → .243; ISO .121 → .081; BABIP .300 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 139 PAwOBA .326 → .291 (−35)K% 22.3% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.30%	÷0.992	×1.200	—	—	26.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.60%	÷1.061	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.38%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.38%
Singles /BIP	23.23%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	22.72%
Doubles /BIP	13.13%	÷0.952	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	12.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.02%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.50%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .326 → .291; ISO .146 → .124; BABIP .371 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Clearwater Threshers · 325 PAwOBA .277 → .216 (−61)K% 15.7% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.69%	÷0.960	×1.420	—	—	23.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.69%	÷0.964	×0.750	—	×0.988	2.84%
HBP% /PA	1.54%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	1.41%
Singles /BIP	19.60%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	16.70%
Doubles /BIP	6.40%	÷1.242	×0.960	×0.950	×0.988	4.64%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷0.973	×0.810	×0.950	×0.988	1.25%
Home runs /BIP	1.60%	÷0.949	×0.880	—	×0.988	1.47%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 148, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .277 → .216; ISO .120 → .090; BABIP .278 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ALakewood BlueClaws · 347 PAwOBA .279 → .239 (−40)K% 16.1% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.14%	÷0.976	×1.340	—	—	22.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.76%	÷0.987	×0.660	—	×0.990	3.81%
HBP% /PA	1.73%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	1.32%
Singles /BIP	21.12%	÷0.960	×0.920	×0.988	×0.990	19.79%
Doubles /BIP	6.37%	÷0.992	×0.820	×0.988	×0.990	5.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.086	×0.940	×0.988	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.99%	÷0.966	×0.820	—	×0.990	1.67%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 92, 2B 98, 3B 117, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .279 → .239; ISO .101 → .084; BABIP .273 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKGCL Phillies · 28 PAwOBA .302 → .227 (−75)K% 3.6% → 5.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	3.57%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	5.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.86%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	10.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.975	7.61%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	3.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	3.62%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .302 → .227; ISO .182 → .152; BABIP .150 → .114. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .