Alika Williams — OGILVIE

Alika WilliamsSS Athletics

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 183 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION349 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8884vR 71

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP298

ISO109

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

906.5%

xAVG

100.209

POWER45

Barrel%

102.2

Avg EV

1084.8

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE35

Chase%

9015.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

6328.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%▲19% over 69 PA (30d) · proj 22%

BB%5%▼4% over 116 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.126▲.151 over 106 AB (60d) · proj .109xISO .074 vs .067 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB2.4%·2.3% over 87 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%barrel% 0.7% vs 3.0% prior

BABIP.278·.282 over 85 BIP (60d) · proj .278xBABIP .222 vs .243 prior

SLASH.233/.281/.359▲proj .227/.282/.336

Platoon Splits2024 · 96 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

137

◀◀L

wOBA

371

184

◀◀L

ISO

292

016

◀◀L

BABIP

333

255

◀◀L

18.8%

25.0%

◀◀L

BB%

9.4%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	63	61	17	3	0	3	2	12	0	1	1	279	302	475	777	197	304	19	3	340	117	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	263	237	63	13	1	1	17	43	3	5	5	266	323	342	665	76	313	16	6	296	87	-4	-1	—	—	+6	0.1
2022	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	21	17	3	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	176	333	235	569	59	300	33	19	280	76	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	24	21	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	238	333	286	619	48	385	33	12	292	83	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	380	323	82	10	2	10	47	68	6	6	3	254	359	390	749	136	289	18	12	338	115	+7	+0	—	—	+8	1.5
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	112	101	20	5	0	0	9	35	1	0	0	198	270	248	518	50	303	31	8	241	49	-7	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	148	128	39	8	0	7	15	22	2	3	1	305	386	531	917	227	320	15	10	395	154	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	156	37	11	1	5	15	34	3	3	1	237	316	417	733	179	271	19	9	325	106	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	96	87	18	4	2	0	3	22	1	1	0	207	242	299	541	92	277	23	3	230	42	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	186	164	51	10	2	0	20	34	0	2	0	311	386	396	782	85	389	18	11	351	124	+5	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	351	94	11	3	9	27	70	7	5	4	268	332	393	726	125	308	18	7	322	104	+2	-1	—	—	+8	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	208	188	38	9	2	0	12	57	2	1	0	202	257	271	529	69	290	27	6	236	46	-13	+0	+1	+6	+5	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	63	61	14	2	0	2	2	16	0	1	1	230	254	361	615	131	268	25	3	266	66	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	263	243	57	12	1	1	11	60	3	5	5	235	276	305	581	70	283	23	4	248	54	-14	-1	—	—	+6	-1.0
2022	23	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	1	167	286	222	508	56	264	38	14	209	28	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	227	292	273	564	45	350	38	8	232	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	380	340	69	7	2	8	30	91	6	6	3	203	279	306	585	103	244	24	8	260	62	-17	+0	—	—	+8	-0.9
2023	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	112	101	20	5	0	0	9	35	1	0	0	198	270	248	518	50	303	31	8	239	48	-7	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	148	133	35	7	0	5	10	27	2	3	1	263	324	429	753	165	282	18	7	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	161	33	9	1	4	10	41	3	3	1	205	264	348	612	143	246	23	6	261	63	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	96	87	18	4	2	0	3	22	1	1	0	207	242	299	541	92	277	23	3	228	40	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2024	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	186	170	46	8	2	0	14	43	0	2	0	271	326	341	667	71	351	23	8	291	83	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	361	82	9	2	7	17	87	7	5	4	227	275	321	597	94	272	22	4	262	63	-17	-1	—	—	+8	-0.9
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	326	305	70	14	1	3	12	76	3	6	6	230	266	311	577	82	290	23	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	326	298	80	16	1	4	19	55	3	6	6	268	319	369	688	101	311	17	6	305	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	425	380	76	9	2	8	35	109	6	7	4	200	278	297	575	97	255	26	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	425	361	90	12	2	10	54	83	6	7	4	249	356	377	733	127	294	20	13	332	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	435	396	88	21	1	8	28	103	6	6	2	222	284	341	625	119	279	24	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	435	385	96	24	1	12	39	91	6	6	2	249	328	410	738	161	296	21	9	327	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	282	257	64	12	4	0	17	65	1	3	0	249	298	327	625	78	332	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	282	251	69	14	4	0	23	56	1	3	0	275	338	363	701	88	352	20	8	310	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	361	82	9	2	7	17	87	7	5	4	227	275	321	597	94	277	22	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	351	94	11	3	9	27	70	7	5	4	268	332	393	726	125	308	18	7	322	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	326	308	70	14	1	3	12	76	3	6	6	227	266	308	574	81	280	23	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	425	381	76	9	2	8	35	109	6	7	4	199	278	297	574	97	251	26	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	435	398	88	21	1	8	28	103	6	6	2	221	284	339	623	118	273	24	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	282	262	64	12	4	0	17	65	1	3	0	244	298	321	619	76	326	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	364	82	9	2	7	17	87	7	5	4	225	275	319	594	93	272	22	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	435	398	88	21	1	8	28	103	6	6	2	221	284	339	623	118	273	24	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	282	262	64	12	4	0	17	65	1	3	0	244	298	321	619	76	326	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	364	82	9	2	7	17	87	7	5	4	225	275	319	594	93	272	22	4	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	OAK	—	349	321	82	23	2	6	18	72	5	1	1	255	305	396	701	140	310	21	5	303	91	-4	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	OAK	—	204	190	48	15	1	4	8	46	2	1	1	253	290	405	695	153	312	23	4	302	91	-2	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.6
YTD	27	AAA RAW	OAK	—	145	127	41	11	1	3	14	20	3	0	0	323	403	496	899	173	362	14	10	396	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	OAK	—	204	190	48	15	1	4	8	46	2	1	1	253	290	405	695	153	312	23	4	302	90	-2	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
ROS	27	MLB MLE	OAK	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	22	11	293	84	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	OAK	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	22	11	287	84	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	OAK	—	213	198	49	15	1	4	9	48	2	1	1	247	287	394	681	146	306	23	4	301	91	-2	-0	-0	+2	+5	0.5
TOT	27	MLB MLE	OAK	—	358	329	83	23	2	6	19	74	5	1	1	252	303	389	692	137	307	21	5	303	91	-4	-0	-0	+4	+8	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	OAK	65%	392	361	85	19	2	7	23	84	5	3	1	235	290	357	648	122	287	21	6	289	82	-8	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	OAK	65%	390	359	85	19	2	7	23	85	5	3	1	237	292	359	651	123	286	22	6	288	81	-9	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	OAK	65%	388	357	82	18	2	6	23	85	5	2	1	230	286	342	627	112	285	22	6	285	79	-10	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	OAK	65%	255	235	56	13	1	4	15	55	3	2	1	238	292	353	646	115	293	22	6	284	82	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	OAK	65%	254	234	55	13	1	4	15	55	3	2	1	235	290	350	640	115	292	22	6	282	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	OAK	65%	252	232	55	13	1	4	15	55	3	2	1	237	292	353	645	116	291	22	6	280	79	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	978	897	205	48	5	12	58	224	11	7	3	229	284	333	617	105	291	23	6	272	70	-31	+0	-3	+14	+21	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	136	32	3	8	39	149	7	5	2	228	283	332	616	104	290	23	6	272	70	-21	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3038	2784	633	121	16	46	179	696	38	35	19	227	283	332	615	105	284	23	6	272	70	-41	+1	-5	+18	+30	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	135	26	3	10	38	149	8	7	4	227	282	331	612	104	283	23	6	272	70	-19	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.3	1,522	23	11	231	281	345	+11	+4	0.8	0.8
/162	664	10	5	+4.7	+1.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alika Williams (OGILVIE)	27	55	45	45	35	237/291/360	122	291	6	3	21%	6%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Noll 2021 · MLB	27	48→50	42→50	47→45	39	236/273/337	101	295	10	7	24%	4%	71	-0.8	231/272/358	127	277	12	6	21%	4%	76	-0.4	225/266/352	127	268	12	5	21%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2022 · MLB	27	47→57	42→45	46→50	42	229/281/332	103	300	10	7	26%	6%	73	-0.6	225/281/338	113	291	11	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	213/270/311	98	275	10	12	25%	7%	63	-0.6
✕C.J. Hinojosa 2022 · AAA	28	53→57	44→45	43→45	42	257/290/380	122	307	11	6	20%	4%	87	+0.4	223/267/335	112	271	11	8	21%	5%	69	-0.9	205/252/303	98	248	10	6	21%	5%	54	-1.4
✕Austin Romine 2016 · MLB	27	46→53	42→45	43→45	42	226/265/326	101	269	9	3	20%	5%	65	-1.2	228/273/343	115	276	11	4	21%	5%	73	-0.6	252/290/393	141	316	18	2	26%	5%	90	+0.2
✕Angel Chavez 2008 · MLB	27	49→53	44→45	49→50	40	243/275/359	116	293	11	10	21%	4%	77	-0.3	241/274/334	93	279	8	7	16%	4%	70	-0.8	242/294/319	77	283	8	6	17%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Braden Bishop 2021 · MLB	27	44→54	43→50	46→50	43	218/277/332	114	284	11	8	27%	6%	72	-0.7	236/291/367	131	300	13	15	25%	6%	85	+0.2	239/293/371	132	301	13	18	24%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2012 · AAA	27	48→54	43→45	45→50	46	237/294/341	104	299	11	8	24%	7%	80	-0.1	236/294/346	110	304	10	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	232/297/347	115	299	10	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Curley 2016 · AAA	28	48→56	45→50	46→45	40	237/274/361	124	286	12	7	22%	4%	78	-0.3	223/275/328	105	306	9	6	29%	5%	70	-0.8	214/273/295	82	310	7	1	31%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	43→45	48→45	44	223/271/330	107	274	10	10	23%	6%	69	-0.9	221/254/311	90	275	8	11	22%	4%	57	-1.8	220/243/290	71	270	5	9	21%	3%	46	-1.6
✕Tommy Field 2014 · MLB	27	46→51	44→45	49→45	46	227/289/347	120	284	11	7	24%	7%	80	-0.1	218/284/341	123	273	12	7	24%	7%	77	-0.3	203/273/324	121	251	12	5	24%	7%	67	-0.7
✕Phillip Evans 2019 · MLB	26	46→55	45	43→40	44	229/279/351	122	273	13	6	22%	6%	77	-0.3	229/301/358	129	270	14	4	20%	8%	88	+0.4	227/301/316	90	271	9	2	19%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Bobby Wilson 2010 · AAA	27	49→52	42→45	45→40	45	239/283/346	106	282	10	4	19%	5%	77	-0.3	221/275/337	116	258	11	4	19%	7%	72	-0.7	198/261/305	107	223	11	0	17%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	50→57	44→45	45→40	45	248/300/362	113	286	12	4	18%	5%	88	+0.4	215/270/328	113	278	12	4	26%	5%	69	-0.9	191/248/297	107	258	11	2	30%	5%	51	-1.3
✕Chuckie Robinson 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	45	45	42	220/270/336	117	277	13	7	26%	6%	71	-0.8	227/275/331	104	298	11	6	27%	5%	71	-0.8	225/274/315	90	300	10	4	27%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Alay Lago 2018 · AAA	27	52→56	40	45	39	251/283/342	91	310	7	8	22%	4%	76	-0.4	232/262/315	83	277	6	8	18%	4%	61	-1.5	226/243/292	66	258	3	7	14%	2%	45	-1.4
✕José Godoy 2022 · MLB	27	50	42→45	47→30	42	243/287/346	103	302	10	4	23%	5%	79	-0.2	216/267/315	99	280	11	6	26%	6%	64	-1.3	192/247/279	87	249	12	3	27%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Konrad Schmidt 2012 · AAA	27	50→58	44→45	42→40	40	245/284/367	121	300	10	5	22%	4%	82	+0.0	218/262/318	100	292	9	5	27%	4%	63	-1.4	217/267/310	93	281	8	3	25%	4%	62	-0.9
✕Billy Fleming 2019 · AAA	26	47	44→45	46→40	43	232/276/351	119	276	11	5	20%	5%	76	-0.4	228/283/341	113	315	11	6	29%	7%	76	-0.4	216/279/309	93	326	10	0	35%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Owen Miller 2023 · MLB	26	49→54	43→45	50	45	238/295/356	118	296	10	4	23%	7%	84	+0.2	243/295/354	111	300	10	13	21%	6%	84	+0.1	238/289/342	104	294	9	16	21%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Jonathan Mota 2014 · AAA	27	47	45	46→45	42	233/277/355	122	287	12	5	23%	5%	77	-0.3	217/251/304	87	275	8	6	23%	4%	55	-2.0	207/234/274	68	262	6	4	23%	3%	39	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps