Alika Williams — OGILVIE

Alika Williams2B Las Vegas Aviators

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 183 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION368 act + 245 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 162119vR 9

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .300 / .359

PA245

HR4

K%22

BB%6

BABIP301

ISO115

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

699.0%

xwOBA

100.241

POWER45

Barrel%

102.5

Avg EV

1085.2

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE35

Chase%

9021.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024 · 96 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

142

-1

◀◀L

wOBA

371

184

◀◀L

ISO

292

016

◀◀L

BABIP

333

255

◀◀L

18.8%

25.0%

◀◀L

BB%

9.4%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$11M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$12M		$23M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	326	305	73	15	1	3	12	78	3	6	6	239	275	325	600	85	306	24	4	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	326	298	80	16	1	4	19	55	3	6	6	268	319	369	688	101	311	17	6	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	425	382	75	8	2	8	33	109	6	7	4	196	271	291	561	94	249	26	8	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	425	361	90	12	2	10	54	83	6	7	4	249	356	377	733	127	294	20	13	332	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	435	397	89	21	1	9	27	105	6	6	2	224	284	350	634	126	281	24	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	435	385	96	24	1	12	39	91	6	6	2	249	328	410	738	161	296	21	9	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	282	256	61	11	3	0	18	68	1	3	0	238	291	305	596	66	323	24	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	282	251	69	14	4	0	23	56	1	3	0	275	338	363	701	88	352	20	8	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	363	83	9	2	9	15	90	7	5	4	229	273	339	612	110	276	23	4	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	351	94	11	3	9	27	70	7	5	4	268	332	393	726	125	308	18	7	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	368	338	91	24	2	6	21	75	6	0	1	269	323	405	729	136	328	20	6	315	99	-0	-0	+0	+4	+10	1.4
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	368	331	101	28	2	7	28	65	6	0	1	305	370	465	835	160	360	18	8	369	140	+17	-0	+0	+4	+10	3.1
ROS	27	AAA	OAK	100%	245	225	55	12	1	4	14	53	4	2	1	244	300	359	659	115	303	22	6	302	90	-3	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	OAK	100%	245	225	55	12	1	4	14	53	4	2	1	244	300	360	660	116	300	22	6	289	80	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.4
FULL	27	AAA	OAK	—	613	563	146	36	3	10	35	128	10	2	2	259	314	387	701	128	318	21	6	305	91	-6	-0	-0	+7	+17	1.7
TOT	27	AAA	OAK	—	613	563	146	36	3	10	35	128	10	2	2	259	314	387	701	128	318	21	6	310	95	-3	-0	-0	+7	+17	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	OAK	65%	638	586	142	30	3	11	38	138	9	4	2	242	299	360	659	118	299	22	6	298	86	-10	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.3
2028	29	MLB	OAK	65%	625	574	139	29	3	11	37	136	9	3	2	242	298	361	659	118	298	22	6	296	85	-11	-0	-2	+7	+18	1.1
2029	30	MLB	OAK	65%	612	562	136	29	3	10	37	135	8	3	1	242	298	358	656	116	297	22	6	293	83	-12	+0	-3	+7	+17	0.9
2030	31	MLB	OAK	65%	600	551	132	28	3	10	36	134	8	3	1	240	296	356	652	116	295	22	6	289	80	-14	+0	-4	+6	+17	0.6
2031	32	MLB	OAK	65%	588	540	127	26	3	9	35	134	8	2	1	235	292	344	636	109	291	23	6	283	75	-17	+0	-5	+6	+17	0.2
2027	28	MLB	OAK	65%	415	381	92	19	2	7	25	90	6	2	1	241	299	357	655	115	296	22	6	285	76	-11	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.4
2028	29	MLB	OAK	65%	406	373	90	19	2	7	24	88	6	2	1	241	298	359	657	118	295	22	6	283	75	-11	+0	-2	+4	+12	0.3
2029	30	MLB	OAK	65%	398	366	88	18	2	7	24	88	5	2	1	240	296	358	654	117	294	22	6	281	73	-12	+0	-2	+4	+11	0.1
2030	31	MLB	OAK	65%	390	359	85	18	2	6	23	87	5	2	1	237	292	348	640	111	292	22	6	277	70	-13	+0	-2	+4	+11	-0.0
2031	32	MLB	OAK	65%	382	351	82	17	2	6	23	87	5	1	1	234	290	345	635	111	289	23	6	271	66	-15	-0	-3	+4	+11	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2444	2243	530	112	13	37	145	550	33	12	6	236	292	347	640	111	296	23	6	277	70	-83	+0	-10	+30	+69	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	141	30	3	10	39	146	9	3	2	236	293	347	640	111	295	22	6	277	70	-22	-0	-3	+8	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	5167	4741	1112	218	25	84	302	1180	69	44	24	235	290	344	634	110	293	23	6	283	74	-149	-1	-15	+53	+146	3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	140	27	3	11	38	148	9	6	3	235	291	346	636	111	293	23	6	283	74	-19	+0	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	63	61	17	3	0	3	2	12	0	1	1	279	302	475	777	197	304	19	3	340	119	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	263	237	63	13	1	1	17	43	3	5	5	266	323	342	665	76	313	16	6	296	85	-5	-1	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	21	17	3	1	0	0	4	7	0	0	1	176	333	235	569	59	300	33	19	280	73	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	24	21	5	1	0	0	3	8	0	1	0	238	333	286	619	48	385	33	12	292	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	380	323	82	10	2	10	47	68	6	6	3	254	359	390	749	136	289	18	12	338	117	+7	+0	—	—	+11	1.8
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	112	101	20	5	0	0	9	35	1	0	0	198	270	248	518	50	303	31	8	241	43	-7	+0	+1	+5	+3	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	148	128	39	8	0	7	15	22	2	3	1	305	386	531	917	227	320	15	10	395	161	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	156	37	11	1	5	15	34	3	3	1	237	316	417	733	179	271	19	9	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	96	87	18	4	2	0	3	22	1	1	0	207	242	299	541	92	277	23	3	230	34	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	186	164	51	10	2	0	20	34	0	2	0	311	386	396	782	85	389	18	11	351	127	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	391	351	94	11	3	9	27	70	7	5	4	268	332	393	726	125	308	18	7	322	105	+2	-1	—	—	+11	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	208	188	38	9	2	0	12	57	2	1	0	202	257	271	529	69	290	27	6	236	39	-14	+0	+1	+6	+6	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,567	41	14	237	289	351	+13	+5	1.6	1.7
	/162	664	11	4	237	289	351	+3.4	+1.3	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alika Williams (OGILVIE)	27	55	45	45	35	259/314/387	128	318	10	2	21%	6%	95	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Adams 2014 · MLB	27	45→55	44→45	45	40	221/273/340	119	300	11	7	29%	6%	69	-0.4	234/285/349	115	311	10	8	27%	5%	76	+0.1	255/300/345	90	347	4	0	26%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Tommy Field 2014 · MLB	27	46→53	44→45	49→45	45	224/287/343	119	287	11	7	26%	7%	76	+0.1	217/283/346	129	271	13	7	24%	7%	76	+0.0	204/275/334	129	249	14	5	23%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	49→52	45→50	46→50	43	243/289/369	125	298	12	7	22%	6%	82	+0.5	234/284/344	110	297	10	6	24%	6%	74	-0.1	225/277/323	98	284	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Austin Romine 2016 · MLB	27	47→53	44→45	43→45	42	232/268/347	115	275	11	3	20%	4%	69	-0.4	230/273/349	119	277	12	4	21%	5%	71	-0.3	252/290/392	140	316	18	2	26%	5%	88	+0.3
●Braden Bishop 2021 · MLB	27	44→54	44→50	46→50	42	219/276/338	118	286	12	8	27%	6%	69	-0.4	240/294/388	148	301	15	15	25%	6%	91	+1.1	244/299/399	155	303	16	18	24%	6%	91	+0.6
✕Jake Noll 2021 · MLB	27	48→50	42→50	47→45	39	237/273/340	102	301	11	7	25%	4%	68	-0.5	236/275/374	138	281	14	6	21%	4%	79	+0.3	230/271/370	140	270	14	5	21%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Jeff Baisley 2011 · MLB	28	45→51	46→50	45→40	40	226/278/358	131	290	13	5	26%	5%	76	+0.0	239/284/376	137	283	16	5	21%	5%	83	+0.6	240/284/370	130	272	15	3	18%	4%	80	+0.3
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2022 · MLB	27	47→57	42→45	46→50	42	228/279/334	106	300	10	7	27%	6%	69	-0.4	230/284/349	119	295	12	9	25%	7%	76	+0.0	225/279/335	110	286	12	12	25%	7%	68	-0.2
●Joshua Rodriguez 2012 · AAA	27	48→56	44→50	45→50	46	237/295/352	115	300	13	8	25%	7%	82	+0.5	241/299/362	121	311	11	7	25%	7%	85	+0.7	240/301/357	117	314	10	6	25%	7%	82	+0.4
✕José Godoy 2022 · MLB	27	51	43→45	47→30	41	250/293/361	111	310	11	4	23%	5%	82	+0.5	217/267/325	108	279	12	6	26%	6%	63	-0.9	188/244/287	99	241	14	3	28%	6%	41	-0.7
✕Konrad Schmidt 2012 · AAA	27	49→59	43→45	42→40	39	241/279/359	118	302	10	5	24%	4%	76	+0.1	213/256/309	96	291	9	5	29%	4%	53	-1.5	210/258/296	85	277	8	3	26%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Grant Green 2014 · MLB	26	53→61	44→45	44→45	41	258/296/378	120	321	11	7	23%	4%	88	+0.9	261/291/377	116	327	9	6	22%	4%	85	+0.7	269/293/379	110	334	7	4	21%	3%	83	+0.4
✕Brian Barden 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	42→45	42→45	43	232/284/336	104	287	10	5	22%	6%	72	-0.2	236/287/340	104	295	10	5	22%	6%	75	-0.0	266/315/383	117	334	11	3	23%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Alberto Carreon 2016 · AAA	28	47→55	43→45	47→50	42	228/281/338	110	283	10	8	23%	5%	72	-0.2	234/277/329	95	291	7	10	21%	5%	67	-0.5	241/286/320	79	297	5	9	20%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Garrett Weber 2016 · AAA	27	52→54	42→45	44→40	41	250/297/356	106	324	9	4	25%	5%	82	+0.5	229/282/317	88	309	7	5	27%	6%	66	-0.6	208/266/251	43	290	3	0	27%	6%	39	-1.3
✕Angel Chavez 2008 · MLB	27	49→53	45	49→50	40	245/277/368	123	293	12	10	22%	4%	77	+0.1	240/273/337	97	277	9	7	16%	4%	67	-0.5	233/286/314	82	273	9	6	18%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Ronny Cedeno 2010 · MLB	27	47→57	46→45	48→50	46	235/285/361	125	273	14	10	20%	6%	79	+0.3	243/289/360	117	299	9	9	21%	6%	80	+0.4	248/295/360	112	308	7	7	21%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Kevin Plawecki 2018 · MLB	27	49→56	43→45	45→30	48	238/300/350	112	278	11	3	19%	7%	83	+0.6	235/310/371	136	280	13	4	20%	8%	93	+1.3	229/311/360	131	271	13	0	20%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Damek Tomscha 2019 · AAA	27	51→57	45	45→40	45	251/304/367	116	291	13	4	19%	5%	89	+1.0	214/269/330	116	279	13	4	27%	5%	65	-0.7	187/245/298	111	255	12	2	31%	5%	44	-1.3
✕Ryan Wheeler 2014 · MLB	26	49→54	45	47→40	40	242/281/366	123	309	12	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	228/263/326	98	294	10	4	25%	4%	60	-1.0	223/255/296	73	285	8	0	24%	4%	46	-0.9