Xavier Fernández
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 27 | AAA/AACWS | 311 | .268/.323/.362 | 4 | 2 | 57 | — | .231/.268/.295 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA/AACWS | 396 | .301/.381/.517 | 15 | 0 | 95 | — | .244/.304/.408 |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLGigantes de C… | 82 | .190/.210/.241 | 0 | 0 | 22 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 89 | 79 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 316 | 379 | 354 | 734 | 38 | 362 | 12 | 9 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 89 | 79 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 239 | 215 | 454 | 63 | 179 | 13 | 9 | 214 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 182 | 159 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 327 | 406 | 491 | 896 | 164 | 358 | 13 | 8 | 395 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 363 | 328 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 323 | 387 | 710 | 128 | 280 | 14 | 8 | 316 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 19 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 421 | 412 | 833 | 59 | 353 | 0 | 5 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 131 | 119 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 328 | 385 | 504 | 889 | 176 | 360 | 13 | 8 | 389 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 144 | 135 | 34 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 294 | 393 | 686 | 141 | 278 | 13 | 5 | 303 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 35 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 152 | 129 | 281 | 32 | 111 | 11 | 6 | 128 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 146 | 132 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 329 | 432 | 760 | 159 | 284 | 13 | 7 | 332 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 58 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 293 | 314 | 607 | 118 | 222 | 22 | 10 | 281 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 17 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 375 | 375 | 688 | 1.062 | 312 | 312 | 0 | 0 | 433 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 46 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 364 | 561 | 925 | 244 | 306 | 11 | 4 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 221 | 195 | 55 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 282 | 358 | 446 | 804 | 164 | 317 | 20 | 10 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 429 | 741 | 214 | 222 | 25 | 6 | 333 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 106 | 96 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 302 | 362 | 385 | 747 | 83 | 311 | 6 | 8 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 180 | 168 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 238 | 289 | 345 | 634 | 107 | 268 | 13 | 7 | 286 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 131 | 119 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 369 | 387 | 756 | 76 | 357 | 15 | 8 | 341 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 141 | 124 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 331 | 403 | 548 | 951 | 218 | 367 | 16 | 11 | 411 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 255 | 222 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 284 | 369 | 500 | 869 | 216 | 301 | 15 | 10 | 379 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 82 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 210 | 241 | 450 | 51 | 208 | 10 | 1 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 89 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 256 | 299 | 280 | 579 | 24 | 314 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 89 | 82 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 182 | 171 | 353 | 49 | 147 | 19 | 6 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 182 | 165 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 376 | 692 | 121 | 289 | 18 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 363 | 341 | 75 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 67 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 259 | 305 | 564 | 85 | 252 | 18 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 131 | 123 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 276 | 315 | 407 | 722 | 130 | 318 | 16 | 5 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 144 | 138 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 245 | 341 | 585 | 123 | 249 | 19 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 146 | 135 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 273 | 356 | 628 | 126 | 245 | 17 | 5 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 58 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 241 | 283 | 524 | 113 | 190 | 28 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 750 | 250 | 230 | 0 | 0 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 221 | 203 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 280 | 340 | 620 | 113 | 266 | 24 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 429 | 741 | 214 | 192 | 38 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 180 | 172 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 239 | 279 | 518 | 76 | 242 | 17 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 131 | 123 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 308 | 317 | 625 | 49 | 320 | 19 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 141 | 129 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 331 | 426 | 757 | 147 | 328 | 20 | 7 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 255 | 231 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 290 | 398 | 688 | 173 | 247 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 89 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 256 | 299 | 280 | 579 | 24 | 313 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 89 | 79 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 316 | 379 | 354 | 734 | 38 | 362 | 12 | 9 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 89 | 82 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 182 | 171 | 353 | 49 | 154 | 19 | 6 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | Burlington Royals | — | 89 | 79 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 239 | 215 | 454 | 63 | 179 | 13 | 9 | 214 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 182 | 165 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 376 | 692 | 121 | 298 | 18 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 182 | 159 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 327 | 406 | 491 | 896 | 164 | 358 | 13 | 8 | 395 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 358 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 262 | 304 | 566 | 84 | 256 | 18 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 345 | 91 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 328 | 388 | 716 | 125 | 285 | 13 | 8 | 320 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 293 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 246 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 130 | 284 | 17 | 4 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 310 | 285 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 267 | 317 | 411 | 728 | 144 | 293 | 13 | 6 | 320 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 221 | 204 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 258 | 328 | 586 | 118 | 234 | 19 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 221 | 199 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 323 | 422 | 745 | 161 | 273 | 14 | 7 | 326 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 46 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 364 | 561 | 925 | 244 | 306 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 46 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 364 | 561 | 925 | 244 | 306 | 11 | 4 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 343 | 316 | 70 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 274 | 339 | 613 | 117 | 268 | 25 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 343 | 305 | 87 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 30 | 54 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 285 | 357 | 426 | 783 | 141 | 311 | 16 | 9 | 348 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 295 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 268 | 295 | 563 | 64 | 275 | 17 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 311 | 287 | 77 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 323 | 362 | 685 | 94 | 304 | 14 | 7 | 309 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 360 | 88 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 304 | 408 | 713 | 164 | 280 | 20 | 7 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 346 | 104 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 301 | 381 | 517 | 898 | 217 | 325 | 16 | 10 | 391 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 82 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 210 | 241 | 450 | 51 | 208 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 82 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 210 | 241 | 450 | 51 | 208 | 10 | 1 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 89 | 84 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 250 | 299 | 274 | 573 | 24 | 314 | 18 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 89 | 83 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 182 | 169 | 350 | 48 | 147 | 19 | 6 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 182 | 165 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 376 | 692 | 121 | 289 | 18 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 359 | 79 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 262 | 304 | 566 | 84 | 252 | 18 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 294 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 245 | 278 | 374 | 652 | 129 | 282 | 17 | 4 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 221 | 206 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 258 | 325 | 583 | 117 | 229 | 19 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 343 | 317 | 70 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 86 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 117 | 261 | 25 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 293 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 268 | 297 | 565 | 65 | 275 | 17 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 362 | 88 | 26 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 406 | 710 | 163 | 276 | 20 | 7 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2451 | 2275 | 521 | 102 | 5 | 45 | 122 | 464 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 229 | 276 | 338 | 613 | 109 | 266 | 19 | 5 | 256 | 59 | -119 | -2 | +0 | +44 | +53 | -2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 138 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 123 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 229 | 274 | 337 | 611 | 108 | 266 | 19 | 5 | 256 | 59 | -32 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABirmingham Barons · 255 PAwOBA .373 → .295 (−78)K% 15.3% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.29% | ÷0.938 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.13% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 15.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | ×0.964 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.46% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.18% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 93, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .373 → .295; ISO .216 → .176; BABIP .301 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 141 PAwOBA .406 → .331 (−75)K% 16.3% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.31% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.88% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 9.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .406 → .331; ISO .218 → .158; BABIP .367 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 180 PAwOBA .278 → .229 (−49)K% 13.3% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.06% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 17.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.421 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .278 → .229; ISO .107 → .076; BABIP .268 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABirmingham Barons · 131 PAwOBA .335 → .283 (−51)K% 15.3% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.27% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.40% | ÷0.993 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 29.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 2.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.880 | ×0.998 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.056 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .335 → .283; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .357 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABirmingham Barons · 221 PAwOBA .350 → .274 (−76)K% 19.9% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷1.119 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.15% | ÷1.075 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.928 | ×0.870 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 3.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.22% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 115, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .350 → .274; ISO .164 → .123; BABIP .317 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 16 PAwOBA .324 → .246 (−78)K% 25.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.079 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 4.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 8.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 102, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .246; ISO .214 → .163; BABIP .222 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 146 PAwOBA .325 → .269 (−55)K% 13.0% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.01% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.31% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .325 → .269; ISO .159 → .128; BABIP .284 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 58 PAwOBA .274 → .221 (−53)K% 22.4% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 18.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.901 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.73% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 117, 2B 97, 3B 118, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .221; ISO .118 → .101; BABIP .222 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .