Anthony Seigler

3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 L/S 5'9" / 192 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 1.163 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AANYY	433	.234/.351/.398	12	29	73	—	.202/.291/.332
2025	26	AAAMIL	307	.285/.416/.478	8	23	109	—	.246/.348/.386
2025	26	MLBMIL	73	.194/.296/.210	0	2	50	-0.2
2026	27	AAABOS	194	.267/.385/.410	3	4	88	—	.235/.323/.347
2026	27	MLBBOS	173	.247/.331/.400	3	2	97	0.5
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBBOS	107	.231/.320/.365	2	3	90	0.1
2028PROJ53% MLB	29	MLBBOS	144	.229/.317/.358	2	3	88	0.1
2029PROJ58% MLB	30	MLBBOS	157	.226/.314/.350	3	3	85	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.163First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Ext$2M2031Ext$3M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

xwOBA51

Avg EV30

Barrel%22

Speed12

Bat Spd10

CompsHoy Park (age 28) · Jeff Fiorentino (age 28) · Miles Mastrobuoni (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .320 / .365

PA107

HR2

K%20

BB%10

BABIP277

ISO138

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

370.241

POWER55

Barrel%

224.6

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

1066.9

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

1225.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.163 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	95	79	21	3	0	1	14	12	1	0	0	266	383	342	725	76	299	13	15	335	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	120	97	17	3	0	0	20	28	2	1	0	175	328	206	534	31	246	23	17	266	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	176	151	33	12	1	4	23	46	1	1	2	219	326	391	716	172	284	26	13	322	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	316	238	56	15	0	4	66	64	4	11	7	235	409	349	758	113	292	20	21	348	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	101	76	18	6	0	3	25	18	0	5	0	237	426	434	860	197	273	18	25	391	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	264	205	34	5	0	5	53	48	1	7	5	166	340	263	603	98	185	18	20	289	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	433	364	85	24	0	12	64	77	2	29	3	234	351	398	750	165	264	18	15	338	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	73	62	12	1	0	0	8	16	1	2	0	194	296	210	505	16	255	22	11	240	50	-4	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2025	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	307	249	71	16	4	8	52	59	4	23	4	285	416	478	894	193	342	19	17	397	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	173	150	37	12	1	3	18	28	1	2	0	247	331	400	731	153	281	16	10	321	97	-1	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2026	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	194	161	43	10	2	3	30	31	1	4	3	267	385	410	795	143	310	16	15	357	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	246	212	49	13	1	3	26	44	2	4	0	231	321	344	665	113	274	18	11	297	87	-4	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	95	84	17	2	0	1	9	17	1	0	0	202	287	262	549	60	235	18	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	120	104	16	3	0	0	13	39	2	1	0	154	261	183	443	29	227	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	176	157	28	10	1	3	17	62	1	1	2	178	263	312	575	134	261	35	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	316	264	49	14	0	4	40	82	4	11	7	186	302	284	586	98	230	26	13	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	101	85	14	5	0	2	16	25	0	5	0	165	297	294	591	129	214	25	16	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	264	222	34	5	0	4	36	58	1	7	5	153	274	230	504	77	175	22	14	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	433	382	77	23	0	9	46	92	2	29	3	202	291	332	623	131	235	21	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	73	62	12	1	0	0	8	16	1	2	0	194	296	210	505	16	255	22	11	242	50	-4	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2025	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	307	264	65	14	4	5	37	70	4	23	4	246	348	386	734	140	314	23	12	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	173	150	36	11	1	3	18	28	1	2	0	240	325	387	712	147	281	16	10	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2026	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	194	170	40	9	2	2	21	37	1	4	3	235	323	347	670	112	281	19	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	95	84	17	2	0	1	9	17	1	0	0	202	287	262	549	60	239	18	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	—	95	79	21	3	0	1	14	12	1	0	0	266	383	342	725	76	299	13	15	335	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	120	104	16	3	0	0	13	39	2	1	0	154	261	183	443	29	246	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	120	97	17	3	0	0	20	28	2	1	0	175	328	206	534	31	246	23	17	266	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	176	157	28	10	1	3	17	62	1	1	2	178	263	312	575	134	269	35	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	176	151	33	12	1	4	23	46	1	1	2	219	326	391	716	172	284	26	13	322	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	417	348	62	18	0	6	57	108	4	16	7	178	301	282	582	103	231	26	14	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	417	314	74	21	0	7	91	82	4	16	7	236	413	369	783	134	288	20	22	359	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	264	222	34	5	0	4	36	58	1	7	5	153	274	230	504	77	182	22	14	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	264	205	34	5	0	5	53	48	1	7	5	166	340	263	603	98	185	18	20	289	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	433	382	77	23	0	9	46	92	2	29	3	202	291	332	623	131	240	21	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	433	364	85	24	0	12	64	77	2	29	3	234	351	398	750	165	264	18	15	338	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	326	77	15	4	5	45	86	5	25	4	236	338	353	691	117	303	23	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	380	311	83	17	4	8	60	75	5	25	4	267	394	424	818	158	325	20	16	367	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	367	320	75	19	3	5	39	65	2	6	3	234	321	359	681	125	276	18	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	367	311	80	22	3	6	48	59	2	6	3	257	360	405	765	148	296	16	13	340	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	—	95	85	17	2	0	1	9	17	1	0	0	200	287	259	546	59	235	18	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	120	104	16	3	0	0	13	39	2	1	0	154	261	183	443	29	227	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	176	156	28	10	1	3	17	62	1	1	2	179	263	314	577	135	261	35	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	417	353	62	18	0	6	57	108	4	16	7	176	301	278	578	102	226	26	14	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	264	225	34	5	0	4	36	58	1	7	5	151	274	227	501	76	175	22	14	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	433	382	77	23	0	9	46	92	2	29	3	202	291	332	623	131	235	21	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	327	77	15	4	5	45	86	5	25	4	235	338	352	689	116	303	23	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	367	323	75	19	3	5	39	65	2	6	3	232	321	356	677	124	281	18	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	433	382	77	23	0	9	46	92	2	29	3	202	291	332	623	131	235	21	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	380	327	77	15	4	5	45	86	5	25	4	235	338	352	689	116	303	23	12	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	367	323	75	19	3	5	39	65	2	6	3	232	321	356	677	124	281	18	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	380	334	75	17	3	7	40	76	3	11	4	224	314	354	668	130	267	20	11	302	90	-4	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	107	94	22	5	1	2	11	21	1	3	1	231	320	365	685	133	277	20	10	309	90	-1	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	272	239	53	12	2	5	29	55	2	6	2	222	311	348	659	126	266	20	11	298	88	-4	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	272	240	52	12	2	4	28	56	2	5	2	219	307	340	647	121	264	21	10	293	85	-5	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	144	127	28	7	1	2	15	29	1	3	1	229	317	358	675	129	276	20	10	305	88	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	157	139	32	8	1	3	16	32	1	3	1	226	314	350	664	125	274	20	10	300	85	-3	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	547	478	109	28	3	8	57	105	4	10	2	228	315	349	665	121	273	19	10	300	76	-9	+1	-3	+4	+12	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	130	33	4	10	68	125	5	12	2	229	317	354	671	125	273	19	10	300	76	-10	+1	-4	+4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3034	2631	538	130	14	46	344	686	24	103	30	204	302	317	619	113	255	23	11	281	76	-15	+2	-6	+5	+22	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	116	28	3	10	74	147	5	22	6	206	304	319	623	113	257	23	11	281	76	-10	+1	-4	+3	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 194 PAwOBA .352 → .298 (−54)K% 16.0% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.98%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	19.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.46%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	10.70%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.49%
Singles /BIP	21.54%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.002	×1.003	20.12%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.002	×1.003	6.41%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.002	×1.003	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	2.31%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .352 → .298; ISO .143 → .120; BABIP .310 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 307 PAwOBA .390 → .329 (−61)K% 19.2% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.22%	÷1.010	×1.200	—	—	22.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.94%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	11.90%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.25%
Singles /BIP	22.63%	÷0.983	×0.930	×0.983	×1.018	21.43%
Doubles /BIP	8.42%	÷0.973	×0.830	×0.983	×1.018	7.19%
Triples /BIP	2.11%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.983	×1.018	2.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.21%	÷1.111	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.70%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .390 → .329; ISO .193 → .157; BABIP .342 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASomerset Patriots · 433 PAwOBA .331 → .276 (−55)K% 17.8% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.78%	÷1.018	×1.220	—	—	21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.78%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.998	10.63%
HBP% /PA	0.46%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.39%
Singles /BIP	17.07%	÷1.050	×0.970	×0.966	×0.998	15.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.36%	÷0.902	×0.860	×0.966	×0.998	7.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.934	×0.950	×0.966	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.18%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×0.998	3.17%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .331 → .276; ISO .165 → .138; BABIP .264 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASomerset Patriots · 264 PAwOBA .284 → .241 (−42)K% 18.2% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.18%	÷1.006	×1.220	—	—	22.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.94%	÷0.973	×0.700	—	×1.012	13.79%
HBP% /PA	0.38%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.33%
Singles /BIP	15.29%	÷0.987	×0.970	×0.971	×1.012	14.75%
Doubles /BIP	3.18%	÷0.958	×0.860	×0.971	×1.012	2.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.971	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.18%	÷1.033	×0.780	—	×1.012	2.43%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .284 → .241; ISO .098 → .083; BABIP .185 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 316 PAwOBA .350 → .266 (−84)K% 20.3% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.25%	÷1.015	×1.310	—	—	26.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.89%	÷0.976	×0.600	—	×0.998	12.82%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.97%
Singles /BIP	21.26%	÷1.084	×0.870	×0.957	×0.998	16.29%
Doubles /BIP	8.62%	÷0.895	×0.780	×0.957	×0.998	7.17%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.028	×0.850	×0.957	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.30%	÷1.014	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.99%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .350 → .266; ISO .113 → .105; BABIP .292 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ATampa Tarpons · 101 PAwOBA .383 → .282 (−100)K% 17.8% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.82%	÷0.975	×1.360	—	—	24.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.75%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×0.990	16.02%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.52%	÷1.085	×0.920	×0.950	×0.990	12.38%
Doubles /BIP	10.34%	÷0.989	×0.830	×0.950	×0.990	8.17%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.937	×0.910	×0.950	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.17%	÷1.026	×0.800	—	×0.990	3.99%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 117, 2B 98, 3B 87, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .383 → .282; ISO .197 → .158; BABIP .273 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 176 PAwOBA .315 → .251 (−64)K% 26.1% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.14%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	35.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.07%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	9.39%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.810	—	×1.012	0.47%
Singles /BIP	15.24%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.044	×1.012	14.65%
Doubles /BIP	11.43%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.044	×1.012	10.02%
Triples /BIP	0.95%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.044	×1.012	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	3.81%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.012	3.20%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .315 → .251; ISO .172 → .136; BABIP .284 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ACharleston RiverDogs · 120 PAwOBA .261 → .205 (−56)K% 23.3% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.33%	÷0.972	×1.340	—	—	32.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.017	×0.660	—	×1.030	11.14%
HBP% /PA	1.67%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	1.32%
Singles /BIP	20.29%	÷1.026	×0.920	×1.004	×1.030	18.81%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷0.955	×0.820	×1.004	×1.030	3.86%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×1.004	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.916	×0.820	—	×1.030	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .261 → .205; ISO .031 → .026; BABIP .246 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.0	655	10	13	224	310	345	+2	-3	1.2	1.2
/162	664	10	14	+2.4	-2.6	1.2	pk7: 1
#5Phil Linz'62-'68 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,518 PA	2.3	1,518	11	13	238*	301*	338*	+10	-0	0.7	0.7
/162	664	5	6	+4.3	-0.2	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Andy Fox'96-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,194 PA	3.3	2,194	30	74	229*	309*	327*	+9	-21	-1.0	0.0
/162	664	9	22	+2.7	-6.4	-0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Seigler (OGILVIE)	28	55	55	60	60	222/311/351	129	267	4	7	20%	11%	90	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2024 · MLB	28	46→52	43→45	55	50	222/304/331	109	298	11	18	28%	10%	82	+0.0	226/308/337	111	306	10	17	27%	10%	85	+0.2	219/309/321	102	296	9	18	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	51→54	44→50	51→50	50	251/310/376	125	299	11	15	20%	8%	94	+0.9	223/289/346	123	269	12	10	21%	8%	80	-0.2	212/283/335	123	253	12	8	20%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2024 · MLB	28	52→57	42→45	58→60	50	248/314/359	111	314	9	24	23%	9%	92	+0.7	223/291/310	87	278	6	23	20%	9%	72	-0.7	212/280/283	71	262	4	22	19%	9%	61	-0.8
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	48	228/293/349	121	274	11	17	21%	7%	82	+0.0	227/309/347	120	288	12	12	24%	10%	88	+0.4	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	52→53	45→50	53→55	54	253/329/379	126	310	12	18	22%	10%	102	+1.5	234/304/344	110	294	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.2	220/289/316	97	278	9	15	23%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	56	221/312/333	112	273	8	17	21%	11%	86	+0.3	237/317/382	145	291	14	18	22%	10%	99	+1.2	239/315/386	147	295	14	19	23%	9%	98	+0.8
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	47→54	47→50	54→55	49	232/303/372	140	269	13	16	19%	7%	91	+0.7	247/327/397	150	279	16	19	17%	9%	106	+1.8	250/340/391	141	280	15	18	16%	10%	109	+1.8
✕Nick Franklin 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	46→50	53→50	49	232/296/361	129	274	13	16	20%	8%	86	+0.3	206/278/323	117	267	11	11	26%	8%	71	-0.8	172/249/273	101	228	8	8	27%	8%	49	-1.3
●Zach McKinstry 2024 · MLB	29	48→53	46→55	52→55	49	238/305/376	138	290	13	14	22%	8%	93	+0.8	235/306/375	140	287	11	18	21%	8%	93	+0.8	229/305/367	138	276	10	18	20%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Chris Singleton 2001 · MLB	28	50→59	45→50	54→55	48	244/291/372	128	270	13	21	15%	6%	86	+0.3	259/298/388	129	296	10	18	16%	5%	93	+0.8	260/299/384	124	299	8	18	16%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB	28	47→51	48→55	53→45	49	237/308/384	147	294	16	8	24%	9%	96	+1.0	222/316/342	120	295	12	8	27%	11%	90	+0.6	204/319/302	97	278	10	5	27%	13%	83	+0.0
✕Matt Long 2014 · AAA	27	47→53	46→50	54→55	46	232/290/370	138	289	13	19	24%	7%	85	+0.2	206/261/313	107	275	9	17	27%	7%	61	-1.5	189/245/283	93	254	8	18	28%	7%	47	-2.0
●Jason Kipnis 2015 · MLB	28	52→62	45→55	56→55	54	255/328/380	126	302	11	24	19%	10%	102	+1.5	268/334/426	158	318	14	14	19%	8%	115	+2.4	266/333/438	171	314	15	11	19%	8%	118	+2.5
✕Cliff Pennington 2012 · MLB	28	52→54	42→45	53→55	51	251/311/363	112	295	9	21	18%	8%	91	+0.7	235/298/332	97	283	8	15	19%	8%	79	-0.2	220/296/300	80	278	7	9	22%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Taylor Walls 2024 · MLB	28	40→50	45	56→60	55	199/294/327	128	256	13	23	26%	12%	78	-0.3	205/289/308	103	269	8	27	25%	10%	72	-0.7	202/284/284	82	268	4	30	24%	10%	65	-0.7
✕Jake Alu 2024 · MLB	27	51→54	44→45	53→50	45	247/298/365	118	300	11	17	21%	6%	87	+0.4	227/282/328	101	273	9	16	19%	7%	73	-0.6	204/257/281	77	240	5	17	17%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	46→50	54→55	53	240/315/380	141	284	11	13	19%	9%	97	+1.1	216/277/334	118	258	13	22	21%	8%	73	-0.6	200/262/305	105	238	13	28	22%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Tug Hulett 2010 · MLB	27	48→55	46→50	51→50	49	235/302/370	135	295	13	12	24%	9%	91	+0.6	219/287/333	114	274	9	9	22%	8%	76	-0.4	215/282/314	99	268	7	7	21%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Conner Crumbliss 2014 · AAA	27	44→48	44→45	51→50	58	217/317/334	117	259	11	15	20%	12%	88	+0.5	217/294/335	118	253	11	12	18%	9%	80	-0.2	208/283/320	112	236	10	11	16%	8%	70	-0.8
✕Jason Pridie 2012 · MLB	28	46→55	44→50	55	43	229/276/347	117	286	11	18	24%	6%	75	-0.5	230/276/355	125	294	13	14	25%	6%	76	-0.4	228/274/362	134	283	15	19	25%	6%	75	-0.4

Anthony Seigler

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps