Canaan Smith-Njigba
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | AAAPIT | 218 | .277/.387/.408 | 1 | 8 | 92 | — | .247/.327/.366 | |
| 2023 | 24 | AAAPIT | 445 | .280/.368/.473 | 15 | 21 | 90 | — | .243/.305/.381 | |
| 2023 | 24 | MLBPIT | 37 | .125/.222/.219 | 0 | 1 | 23 | -0.9 | ||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AACWS | 309 | .210/.331/.315 | 3 | 10 | 53 | — | .183/.269/.268 | |
| 2025 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | — | 237 | 187 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 289 | 434 | 422 | 857 | 134 | 350 | 19 | 19 | 389 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 528 | 449 | 138 | 32 | 3 | 11 | 74 | 108 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 307 | 408 | 465 | 873 | 158 | 381 | 20 | 14 | 389 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 174 | 95 | 269 | 167 | 39 | 9 | 139 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 266 | 219 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 66 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 274 | 400 | 406 | 806 | 132 | 365 | 25 | 17 | 367 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 73 | 57 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 298 | 452 | 456 | 908 | 158 | 421 | 25 | 21 | 411 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 218 | 184 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 52 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 277 | 387 | 408 | 795 | 130 | 382 | 24 | 15 | 359 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 37 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 219 | 441 | 94 | 235 | 43 | 11 | 203 | 23 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 445 | 389 | 109 | 28 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 118 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 280 | 368 | 473 | 841 | 193 | 364 | 27 | 12 | 371 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 247 | 202 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 68 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 218 | 348 | 327 | 675 | 109 | 313 | 28 | 17 | 311 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 62 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 262 | 273 | 535 | 91 | 225 | 24 | 8 | 245 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 37 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 219 | 441 | 94 | 235 | 43 | 11 | 203 | 23 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 237 | 204 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 311 | 299 | 610 | 93 | 272 | 27 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 528 | 475 | 116 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 149 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 244 | 316 | 371 | 687 | 126 | 329 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 23 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 130 | 91 | 221 | 161 | 48 | 4 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 266 | 233 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 81 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 249 | 340 | 361 | 700 | 112 | 359 | 30 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 218 | 194 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 64 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 247 | 327 | 366 | 693 | 119 | 362 | 29 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 37 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 219 | 441 | 94 | 235 | 43 | 11 | 202 | 23 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 445 | 407 | 99 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 146 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 243 | 305 | 381 | 686 | 138 | 352 | 33 | 8 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 247 | 216 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 82 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 190 | 283 | 273 | 556 | 83 | 296 | 33 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 62 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 213 | 246 | 459 | 88 | 199 | 31 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 237 | 204 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 311 | 299 | 610 | 93 | 273 | 27 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees East | — | 237 | 187 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 289 | 434 | 422 | 857 | 134 | 350 | 19 | 19 | 389 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 528 | 475 | 116 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 149 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 244 | 316 | 371 | 687 | 126 | 332 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 528 | 449 | 138 | 32 | 3 | 11 | 74 | 108 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 307 | 408 | 465 | 873 | 158 | 381 | 20 | 14 | 389 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 362 | 318 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 116 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 236 | 327 | 336 | 663 | 101 | 350 | 32 | 11 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 362 | 297 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 62 | 93 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 266 | 396 | 394 | 790 | 128 | 364 | 26 | 17 | 362 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 218 | 194 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 64 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 247 | 327 | 366 | 693 | 119 | 364 | 29 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 218 | 184 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 52 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 277 | 387 | 408 | 795 | 130 | 382 | 24 | 15 | 359 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 439 | 103 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 235 | 299 | 369 | 668 | 134 | 344 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 421 | 113 | 29 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 134 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 268 | 357 | 454 | 811 | 185 | 356 | 28 | 12 | 359 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 272 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 101 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 188 | 275 | 272 | 547 | 85 | 285 | 33 | 10 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 309 | 257 | 54 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 46 | 83 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 210 | 331 | 315 | 646 | 105 | 293 | 27 | 15 | 298 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees East | — | 237 | 204 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 311 | 299 | 610 | 93 | 272 | 27 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 528 | 473 | 116 | 26 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 149 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 316 | 372 | 688 | 127 | 329 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 362 | 316 | 75 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 116 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 237 | 327 | 339 | 665 | 101 | 343 | 32 | 11 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 218 | 193 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 64 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 249 | 327 | 368 | 695 | 119 | 362 | 29 | 11 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 439 | 103 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 235 | 299 | 369 | 668 | 134 | 343 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 273 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 101 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 187 | 275 | 271 | 546 | 84 | 277 | 33 | 10 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 309 | 273 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 101 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 187 | 275 | 271 | 546 | 84 | 277 | 33 | 10 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 37 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 219 | 441 | 94 | 235 | 43 | 11 | 203 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 562 | 71 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 70 | 281 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 126 | 223 | 222 | 446 | 96 | 237 | 43 | 11 | 203 | 82 | -59 | +4 | -19 | -91 | +14 | -15.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2136 | 1902 | 435 | 99 | 9 | 33 | 212 | 655 | 8 | 79 | 16 | 229 | 309 | 342 | 651 | 114 | 328 | 31 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 132 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 65 | 199 | 2 | 24 | 5 | 228 | 309 | 342 | 650 | 114 | 326 | 31 | 10 | 289 | 82 | -59 | +4 | -19 | -91 | +14 | -15.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAACharlotte Knights · 247 PAwOBA .306 → .259 (−47)K% 27.5% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.53% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.60% | ÷1.025 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 11.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.90% | ÷1.033 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 20.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.96% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.049 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×1.033 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 99, 3B 110, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .306 → .259; ISO .109 → .096; BABIP .313 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABirmingham Barons · 62 PAwOBA .243 → .196 (−47)K% 24.2% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷1.081 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.50% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.13% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .243 → .196; ISO .091 → .077; BABIP .225 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 445 PAwOBA .362 → .301 (−61)K% 26.5% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.52% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.46% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.99% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 9.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.54% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .362 → .301; ISO .193 → .143; BABIP .364 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 218 PAwOBA .350 → .304 (−46)K% 23.9% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.85% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.14% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.087 | ×0.930 | ×1.042 | ×1.050 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.050 | 10.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.942 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | ×1.050 | 2.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .350 → .304; ISO .130 → .125; BABIP .382 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAltoona Curve · 266 PAwOBA .358 → .316 (−42)K% 24.8% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.81% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.54% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 11.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.10% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 27.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.948 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.37% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .358 → .316; ISO .132 → .121; BABIP .365 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 23 PAwOBA .137 → .104 (−33)K% 39.1% → 48.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.13% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 48.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 16.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .137 → .104; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ACharleston RiverDogs · 528 PAwOBA .379 → .303 (−76)K% 20.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.45% | ÷1.017 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.955 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 7.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.916 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .379 → .303; ISO .158 → .134; BABIP .381 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Yankees East · 237 PAwOBA .383 → .279 (−104)K% 18.6% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 12.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.959 | ×1.022 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.959 | ×1.022 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.959 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .383 → .279; ISO .134 → .102; BABIP .350 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .