Tyler Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Tyler RodriguezSS Wilson Warbirds

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .331 / .299

PA174

HR2

SB6

K%19

BB%11

BABIP265

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$15M	+$14M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$14M	+$14M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$13M	+$13M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$10M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$72M	+$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	97	77	12	1	0	2	12	20	7	9	4	156	323	247	570	91	179	21	12	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	97	70	14	1	0	2	19	14	7	9	4	200	417	300	717	100	218	14	20	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	112	90	19	3	0	1	10	20	11	9	1	211	360	278	638	67	257	18	9	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	112	83	23	4	0	1	17	14	11	9	1	277	459	361	821	84	319	12	15	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	343	283	59	6	0	1	39	72	17	22	8	208	339	240	580	32	271	21	11	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	343	263	57	7	0	2	59	54	17	22	8	217	392	266	658	49	261	16	17	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	146	119	27	4	0	3	21	28	5	10	7	227	366	336	702	109	270	19	14	321	104	+1	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.6
YTD	20	A	MIL	—	146	107	29	5	0	3	33	20	5	10	7	271	462	402	864	131	306	14	23	400	164	+11	-1	+0	+2	+4	1.6
ROS	20	A	MIL	0%	174	147	32	6	0	2	20	33	5	6	3	218	331	299	631	82	270	19	11	296	85	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
ROS	20	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	272	67	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	MIL	—	146	120	27	4	0	3	21	28	5	10	7	225	366	333	699	108	267	19	14	321	104	+1	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.6
TOT	20	A	MIL	—	320	266	59	10	0	5	41	61	10	16	10	222	347	316	663	94	267	19	13	308	94	-2	-1	+0	+3	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIL	43%	399	339	76	14	1	5	46	76	11	10	5	224	336	316	651	91	274	19	12	305	92	-4	+0	+0	+4	+11	1.2
2028	22	MLB	MIL	61%	477	406	94	17	2	8	55	90	13	12	5	232	342	342	684	111	276	19	12	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+5	+14	1.8
2029	23	MLB	MIL	68%	528	449	106	19	2	10	61	99	13	12	6	236	344	354	698	118	278	19	12	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+6	+15	2.2
2030	24	MLB	MIL	70%	561	478	114	21	2	11	64	105	14	13	6	238	345	360	705	121	279	19	11	321	104	+3	+0	+0	+6	+16	2.5
2031	25	MLB	MIL	70%	579	492	117	21	2	12	67	107	15	13	6	238	347	362	708	124	279	18	12	323	105	+3	+0	+0	+6	+16	2.7
2032	26	MLB	MIL	76%	588	500	119	22	2	12	68	109	15	13	6	238	346	362	708	124	279	19	12	324	106	+4	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.8
2033	27	MLB	MIL	78%	589	500	119	22	2	12	69	110	15	13	6	238	348	362	710	124	279	19	12	324	106	+4	+0	+0	+6	+17	2.8
2034	28	MLB	MIL	80%	585	496	117	21	2	12	69	110	15	12	6	236	347	359	705	123	278	19	12	323	105	+3	+0	-1	+6	+17	2.6
2035	29	MLB	MIL	80%	576	488	115	21	2	11	68	109	15	12	5	236	347	355	701	119	278	19	12	321	104	+3	+0	-1	+6	+16	2.5
2036	30	MLB	MIL	82%	565	479	112	20	2	11	67	108	14	11	5	234	345	353	697	119	277	19	12	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+6	+16	2.2
2037	31	MLB	MIL	82%	551	467	106	19	1	10	65	107	14	10	5	227	339	336	675	109	275	19	12	315	99	-1	+0	-3	+6	+16	1.8
2038	32	MLB	MIL	82%	533	452	101	18	1	9	63	106	13	9	4	223	335	327	663	104	272	20	12	310	95	-3	+0	-4	+6	+15	1.5
2039	33	MLB	MIL	82%	503	427	93	16	1	8	59	103	12	8	4	218	329	316	645	98	268	20	12	303	90	-6	+0	-4	+5	+14	1.0
2040	34	MLB	MIL	77%	457	389	83	14	1	7	54	96	11	7	3	213	326	308	634	95	263	21	12	295	84	-8	+0	-5	+5	+13	0.5
2041	35	MLB	MIL	73%	401	341	71	11	1	6	47	87	10	6	3	208	322	299	621	91	257	22	12	286	77	-10	+0	-6	+4	+11	-0.0
2042	36	MLB	MIL	64%	341	291	58	9	1	4	39	77	8	4	2	199	311	278	589	79	252	23	11	276	70	-12	+0	-6	+4	+10	-0.5
2027	21	MLB	MIL	43%	172	145	33	6	1	2	20	33	5	4	2	228	341	324	665	97	271	19	12	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB	MIL	61%	290	247	57	10	1	5	33	55	8	7	3	231	340	340	680	109	274	19	11	292	81	-6	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.6
2029	23	MLB	MIL	68%	360	307	72	13	1	7	41	67	9	9	4	235	342	352	694	117	275	19	11	297	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2030	24	MLB	MIL	70%	390	332	78	14	1	8	45	73	10	9	4	235	344	355	699	120	276	19	12	301	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2031	25	MLB	MIL	70%	407	347	81	15	1	8	47	75	10	9	4	233	342	352	693	118	277	18	12	302	89	-5	+0	+0	+4	+12	1.1
2032	26	MLB	MIL	76%	444	379	90	16	2	9	51	82	11	10	5	237	345	361	706	124	276	18	11	303	90	-5	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.2
2033	27	MLB	MIL	78%	459	390	93	17	2	9	54	85	12	10	5	238	349	362	710	123	276	19	12	303	90	-5	+0	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2034	28	MLB	MIL	80%	465	395	92	17	1	9	55	87	12	10	5	233	344	349	694	116	276	19	12	302	89	-6	+0	-1	+5	+13	1.2
2035	29	MLB	MIL	80%	463	393	91	16	1	9	55	88	12	9	4	232	343	346	690	115	275	19	12	300	88	-6	+0	-1	+5	+13	1.1
2036	30	MLB	MIL	82%	463	393	90	16	1	9	55	89	12	9	4	229	341	344	685	115	274	19	12	298	86	-7	+0	-2	+5	+13	1.0
2037	31	MLB	MIL	82%	452	384	87	16	1	8	54	88	11	8	4	227	339	336	674	109	272	19	12	294	83	-9	+0	-2	+5	+13	0.7
2038	32	MLB	MIL	82%	437	371	84	15	1	8	52	87	11	8	4	226	339	337	676	111	270	20	12	289	80	-10	+0	-3	+5	+12	0.4
2039	33	MLB	MIL	82%	412	350	77	13	1	7	49	84	10	7	3	220	333	323	655	103	266	20	12	283	75	-12	+0	-3	+4	+12	0.1
2040	34	MLB	MIL	77%	354	301	63	10	1	5	41	74	9	5	2	209	322	299	621	90	261	21	12	275	69	-12	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.2
2041	35	MLB	MIL	73%	293	250	51	8	1	4	34	64	7	4	2	204	316	292	608	88	255	22	12	267	62	-13	+0	-4	+3	+8	-0.5
2042	36	MLB	MIL	64%	218	186	36	5	0	3	25	49	5	3	1	194	306	269	574	75	250	22	11	257	55	-11	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6079	5171	1175	207	17	110	711	1180	154	121	56	227	338	338	676	110	272	19	12	293	82	-123	+2	-24	+65	+172	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	553	126	22	2	12	76	126	16	13	6	228	338	340	678	112	273	19	12	293	82	-13	+0	-3	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	8959	7591	1723	301	25	154	1042	1744	248	211	93	227	339	334	673	107	273	19	12	310	95	-46	+5	-31	+96	+254	28.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	551	125	22	2	11	76	127	18	15	7	227	340	334	674	107	273	20	12	310	95	-3	+0	-2	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	97	70	14	1	2	19	14	7	9	4	200	417	300	717	100	218	14	20	348	125	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	112	83	23	4	1	17	14	11	9	1	277	459	361	821	84	319	12	15	388	155	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	343	263	57	7	2	59	54	17	22	8	217	392	266	658	49	261	16	17	321	104	+2	+1	—	—	+10	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,400	113	130	230	336	341	+62	+39	21.8	17.8
	/162	664	12	13	230	336	341	+6.5	+4.0	2.3	pk7: 14
#4Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	20	35	20	55	60	222/347/316	94	267	5	16	19%	13%	94	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Rather Trujillo 2009 · A	20	45	35→30	52→50	50	209/310/272	63	265	2	18	20%	8%	69	-0.4	218/297/291	73	258	3	11	15%	8%	67	-0.5	217/292/286	69	247	2	9	12%	8%	62	-0.3
✕Luis Perez 2011 · A	20	49	36→30	48→50	54	228/311/303	75	269	3	10	15%	9%	76	+0.0	224/279/332	108	274	8	9	20%	6%	69	-0.4	222/260/358	136	278	10	6	24%	4%	64	-0.2
✕Erlin Cerda 2014 · A	20	44	36→40	47→55	52	201/284/278	77	243	2	11	17%	8%	59	-1.1	210/279/284	74	273	1	14	22%	7%	57	-1.2	200/259/263	64	270	0	16	24%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Erick Brito 2022 · A	20	50→43	34→30	51→55	53	229/316/283	54	302	2	17	23%	10%	73	-0.1	209/273/270	61	271	2	18	22%	7%	50	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Jesus Castillo 2023 · A	20	49→44	33→30	48→55	46	227/289/271	44	293	1	15	22%	7%	57	-1.2	208/314/252	44	297	2	19	27%	12%	66	-0.6	220/292/258	38	327	3	16	31%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Rafael P Valera 2015 · A	20	44	34→30	52→55	52	201/286/257	56	250	1	17	19%	9%	53	-1.5	210/279/277	67	307	2	6	29%	8%	55	-1.4	202/271/267	65	314	1	2	33%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Carlos Rojas 2022 · A	20	43	36→30	49→30	50	202/283/263	61	247	4	8	19%	8%	54	-1.4	212/292/284	72	262	3	4	19%	9%	63	-0.8	213/296/277	65	267	2	1	19%	9%	63	-0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→45	38→50	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	84	+0.6	207/296/329	122	258	9	9	22%	9%	77	+0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	54	-1.4	206/269/298	92	281	7	9	27%	7%	56	-1.3	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Dubal Baez 2013 · A	20	45	34→30	49→60	46	209/296/257	49	286	2	15	25%	8%	59	-1.1	222/291/276	54	303	2	20	25%	7%	59	-1.1	231/299/268	37	314	0	31	24%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Gorge Munoz 2016 · A	20	48	38→40	50→55	48	225/295/308	83	273	5	19	19%	7%	70	-0.3	202/254/283	81	275	6	13	27%	5%	46	-2.0	181/225/253	72	250	6	13	29%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Carlos Arroyo 2021 · A	20	48	36→30	49→50	48	224/281/291	67	257	4	15	14%	6%	59	-1.1	213/270/288	75	250	4	12	16%	6%	53	-1.5	148/211/211	63	248	6	15	40%	4%	8	-1.6
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2