Jesus Castillo — OGILVIE

Jesus CastilloSS Altoona Curve

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 144 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION168 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .278 / .243

PA152

HR1

K%28

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO44

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	170	154	27	1	1	0	10	47	5	15	5	175	249	195	443	19	250	28	6	198	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	170	147	36	2	1	0	17	30	5	15	5	245	343	272	615	27	305	18	10	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	276	250	71	5	0	0	20	42	4	11	9	284	347	304	651	20	341	15	7	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	2 teams	—	276	241	61	5	1	0	29	42	4	11	9	253	343	282	625	29	307	15	11	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	506	408	81	10	1	1	77	125	13	39	9	199	343	235	579	37	278	25	15	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	506	383	80	9	2	1	102	95	13	39	9	209	392	251	642	42	270	19	20	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	110	91	10	1	0	0	16	39	2	10	2	110	257	121	378	11	192	35	15	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	110	85	12	2	0	0	22	26	2	10	2	141	330	165	495	24	203	24	20	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	397	359	82	8	0	1	25	121	9	13	12	228	295	259	554	31	338	30	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	397	348	84	10	0	2	36	89	9	13	12	241	328	287	616	46	315	22	9	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	PIT	—	168	154	42	2	1	2	12	47	1	5	1	273	329	338	667	65	381	28	7	293	83	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
YTD	23	AA	PIT	—	168	149	46	3	1	2	17	37	1	5	1	309	383	383	766	74	400	22	10	348	124	+5	+1	+0	+2	+5	1.2
ROS	23	AA	PIT	2%	152	136	27	3	0	1	13	42	2	4	2	199	278	243	521	44	281	28	9	248	48	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	PIT	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						279	33	0	237	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	PIT	—	171	157	42	2	1	2	12	48	1	5	1	268	324	331	655	64	374	28	7	292	82	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
TOT	23	AA	PIT	—	320	290	69	5	1	3	25	89	3	9	3	238	305	293	598	55	332	28	8	272	66	-12	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PIT	31%	460	411	84	9	1	4	40	124	6	12	5	204	284	260	545	56	282	27	9	257	54	-24	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.5
2028	25	MLB	PIT	45%	488	435	92	11	1	6	43	130	7	13	5	211	293	283	576	71	284	27	9	267	63	-20	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	PIT	51%	504	447	96	11	1	8	45	133	7	13	6	215	297	298	594	83	284	26	9	274	68	-18	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.1
2030	27	MLB	PIT	53%	509	451	97	12	1	8	46	134	7	13	6	215	298	299	597	84	284	26	9	275	69	-18	+0	+0	+5	+14	0.2
2031	28	MLB	PIT	53%	508	450	97	12	1	8	46	134	7	13	5	216	298	300	598	84	284	26	9	274	68	-18	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.1
2027	24	MLB	PIT	31%	143	127	26	3	0	1	13	39	2	4	2	205	289	252	541	47	281	27	9	245	46	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	PIT	45%	218	194	42	5	1	3	19	58	3	6	2	216	296	299	595	82	282	27	9	256	54	-11	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	PIT	51%	257	229	49	6	1	4	23	68	3	7	3	214	294	301	595	87	283	26	9	263	59	-12	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	PIT	53%	267	237	51	6	1	4	24	70	4	7	3	215	298	300	598	84	283	26	9	264	60	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	PIT	53%	271	240	51	6	1	4	25	72	4	7	3	212	297	296	593	83	283	27	9	263	60	-12	+0	-0	+3	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1159	1030	219	26	4	16	104	308	16	31	13	213	295	292	587	80	286	27	9	260	57	-56	+1	-0	+12	+33	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	123	15	2	9	58	173	9	17	7	213	295	292	587	80	286	27	9	260	57	-32	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	4080	3592	764	83	7	37	381	1071	69	156	66	213	300	271	571	58	290	26	9	265	61	-180	+5	-1	+44	+116	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	121	13	1	6	61	171	11	25	11	212	300	269	569	58	288	26	9	265	61	-29	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	170	147	36	2	1	0	17	30	5	15	5	245	343	272	615	27	305	18	10	292	81	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	150	128	45	4	0	0	17	18	3	9	6	352	439	383	822	31	409	12	11	375	145	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	19	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	126	113	16	1	1	0	12	24	1	2	3	142	230	168	398	27	180	19	10	196	8	-13	-1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2023	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	506	383	80	9	2	1	102	95	13	39	9	209	392	251	642	42	270	19	20	314	99	-1	+4	—	—	+14	1.8
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	110	85	12	2	0	0	22	26	2	10	2	141	330	165	495	24	203	24	20	259	56	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	397	348	84	10	0	2	36	89	9	13	12	241	328	287	616	46	315	22	9	287	78	-10	-2	—	—	+11	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,161	16	30	214	292	293	+12	+6	0.0	0.1
	/162	664	9	17	214	292	293	+7.1	+3.4	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Castillo (OGILVIE)	23	40	20	50	40	238/305/293	55	332	3	9	28%	8%	66	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Derrik Gibson 2013 · AA	23	42→52	34→40	51→55	43	198/255/246	48	275	1	16	27%	6%	36	-2.7	225/286/296	71	304	3	13	25%	7%	63	-0.9	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	41	35→40	50→55	39	192/249/248	56	277	2	10	30%	6%	34	-2.8	199/246/273	74	279	5	13	29%	5%	40	-2.4	187/224/252	66	252	7	20	28%	3%	21	-1.4
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	223/272/296	73	306	3	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	239/281/303	65	323	1	7	25%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	44	-2.1	203/279/287	84	272	6	8	26%	8%	58	-1.2	196/277/278	82	262	7	8	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2014 · A	23	42	36→30	50→60	41	200/254/264	64	288	3	17	30%	6%	40	-2.4	208/261/286	78	284	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	198/248/261	62	248	4	8	21%	4%	37	-0.4
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	41	36→30	52→55	44	193/280/256	63	253	4	19	24%	6%	52	-1.6	212/285/291	79	294	6	12	28%	6%	63	-0.9	214/282/293	79	299	8	5	29%	4%	59	-0.2
✕Richard Nunez 2018 · A	23	42	36→30	49→55	48	197/274/261	64	266	3	12	26%	9%	50	-1.8	200/270/286	86	282	5	7	28%	8%	54	-1.4	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	56	-0.2
✕Jose Toussen 2013 · A	23	42	34→30	48→50	40	199/236/252	53	256	1	12	22%	4%	29	-3.2	202/252/263	61	270	2	11	24%	6%	39	-2.5	200/255/246	46	266	1	11	24%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	40	-2.4	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	46	-2.0	217/272/277	60	282	3	17	23%	6%	51	-1.7	231/276/282	51	286	2	23	19%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	45	-2.1	224/284/276	52	298	2	10	23%	6%	56	-1.3	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→40	44	185/239/240	55	245	2	6	24%	6%	28	-3.2	206/264/294	88	265	5	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	206/274/302	95	250	6	3	19%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Frainyer Chavez 2022 · A	23	43→47	35→40	46→50	47	199/275/254	55	281	3	11	28%	9%	48	-1.9	207/271/278	71	290	5	13	28%	8%	52	-1.6	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	42→52	36→30	55→45	42	200/265/269	69	274	3	14	27%	6%	47	-1.9	218/259/272	54	282	3	10	22%	4%	43	-2.2	230/268/284	54	294	2	9	22%	4%	48	-1.2