Jack Winkler — OGILVIE

Jack Winkler2B Las Vegas Aviators

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION484 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†26

AVG/OBP/SLG.157 / .220 / .237

PA216

HR3

SB6

K%36

BB%5

BABIP235

ISO81

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4112.0%

xwOBA

100.201

POWER40

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

2086.8

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

Chase%

5930.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

5527.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	99	91	14	4	1	0	5	27	2	4	2	154	214	220	434	66	215	27	5	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	99	89	17	5	1	0	7	20	2	4	2	191	265	270	535	79	243	20	7	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	213	50	8	1	4	15	49	6	4	2	235	303	338	641	103	287	21	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	206	55	9	1	4	22	37	6	4	2	267	355	379	733	112	309	16	9	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	500	454	88	21	1	5	33	152	8	22	5	194	261	278	538	84	276	30	7	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	2 teams	—	500	437	107	25	2	7	50	104	8	22	5	245	333	359	693	114	303	21	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	536	485	78	19	1	8	33	162	13	28	5	161	234	254	487	93	219	30	6	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	536	470	105	31	1	8	48	117	13	28	5	223	313	345	657	121	278	22	9	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	297	274	49	9	0	6	17	103	2	26	0	179	232	277	509	99	254	35	6	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	297	265	60	11	0	6	26	83	2	26	0	226	300	336	636	109	300	28	9	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	484	448	63	15	0	7	23	186	13	10	4	141	205	221	426	80	220	38	5	194	7	-51	+0	+0	+2	+14	-3.6
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	484	436	80	20	0	10	35	144	13	10	4	183	264	298	563	115	248	30	7	260	57	-24	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
ROS	27	AAA	OAK	10%	216	198	31	7	0	3	11	77	5	6	1	157	220	237	457	81	239	36	5	219	26	-18	+1	-1	+1	+6	-1.1
ROS	27	MLB	OAK	10%	22	21	3	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	143	182	190	372	48	237	36	5	200	12	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
FULL	27	AAA	OAK	—	506	469	66	16	0	7	24	194	13	11	4	141	204	220	423	79	220	38	5	194	7	-53	+1	-0	+2	+14	-3.7
TOT	27	AAA	OAK	—	700	646	94	22	0	10	34	263	18	16	5	146	209	226	435	80	225	38	5	202	13	-69	+1	-1	+2	+20	-4.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	OAK	31%	370	338	57	13	0	6	21	127	8	10	2	169	234	260	495	92	245	34	6	229	33	-28	+1	-2	+1	+10	-1.7
2027	28	MLB	OAK	31%	115	105	18	4	0	2	7	39	2	3	1	171	237	267	504	95	243	34	6	211	20	-10	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	153	142	25	7	0	2	8	51	2	5	1	176	230	268	498	92	256	33	5	216	24	-13	+1	-2	+2	+4	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	106	30	0	8	34	217	8	21	4	176	229	265	494	90	257	33	5	216	24	-56	+3	-10	+7	+18	-3.9
Career	—			—	2252	2053	367	81	4	32	135	697	44	100	17	179	245	269	513	90	250	31	6	231	35	-166	+13	-4	+8	+64	-8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	105	23	1	9	39	201	13	29	5	177	244	265	509	88	247	31	6	231	35	-48	+4	-1	+2	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	61	9	3	0	0	5	14	2	2	2	148	235	197	432	49	191	21	7	209	18	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	31	28	8	2	1	0	2	6	0	2	0	286	333	429	762	143	348	19	6	326	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	206	55	9	1	4	22	37	6	4	2	267	355	379	733	112	309	16	9	335	114	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2023	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	200	172	40	9	1	4	21	39	5	3	2	233	333	366	700	134	275	20	10	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+6	0.6
2023	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	300	265	67	16	1	3	29	65	3	19	3	253	333	355	688	102	322	22	10	311	96	-1	+3	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	536	470	105	31	1	8	48	117	13	28	5	223	313	345	657	121	278	22	9	298	87	-8	+4	—	—	+15	1.1
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	16	16	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	250	250	375	625	125	333	25	0	274	68	-1	+0	-2	+1	+0	-0.0
2025	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	281	249	56	9	0	6	26	79	2	25	0	225	303	333	637	108	298	28	9	287	78	-7	+5	—	—	+8	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	16	16	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	250	250	375	625	125	333	25	0	274	68	-1	+0	-2	+1	+0	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Winkler (OGILVIE)	27	40	40	60	45	146/209/226	80	225	10	16	38%	5%	13	-3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	41	43→45	57→60	41	205/260/322	117	272	10	26	28%	6%	59	-1.1	201/253/309	108	258	11	24	26%	5%	53	-1.5	184/233/277	93	233	10	28	25%	5%	32	-1.3
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	40→48	40→45	51→55	37	199/243/284	85	287	8	19	33%	5%	41	-2.3	225/274/319	94	326	7	21	31%	6%	63	-0.8	257/308/347	90	371	5	31	30%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→43	42→45	53→55	36	205/241/304	99	278	9	22	30%	4%	45	-2.1	218/264/354	136	288	16	24	29%	5%	69	-0.4	209/257/355	146	277	18	25	31%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	42	43→45	55	35	207/257/319	112	308	11	22	35%	5%	56	-1.3	218/268/310	92	334	9	18	35%	6%	59	-1.1	222/269/281	59	347	7	18	36%	5%	46	-1.2
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA	27	40	46→50	53→55	38	205/250/330	125	281	14	20	32%	5%	57	-1.2	207/249/345	138	287	15	20	32%	5%	60	-1.0	199/240/333	135	275	14	23	33%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Tony Thomas 2013 · AAA	27	39→46	45→50	57→55	38	199/247/325	126	272	13	19	31%	5%	54	-1.4	203/246/336	133	296	12	14	34%	5%	56	-1.3	199/241/336	137	295	11	12	35%	4%	51	-1.3
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Granden Goetzman 2019 · AAA	26	43→46	42→45	57→55	37	212/245/327	114	283	8	18	28%	4%	53	-1.5	202/251/341	139	286	16	7	34%	6%	60	-1.0	170/224/312	142	233	19	1	36%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	41→42	39→40	52→55	39	201/246/287	86	279	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	210/260/322	112	330	10	16	37%	6%	59	-1.1	164/214/251	87	293	7	25	44%	5%	19	-0.7
✕Kristopher Negrón 2013 · AAA	27	39→49	43→45	56→55	38	197/247/304	107	262	10	20	28%	4%	49	-1.8	204/255/304	100	281	9	16	29%	5%	52	-1.6	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA	27	46→47	41→45	61→55	40	222/259/323	102	280	8	24	24%	4%	58	-1.2	217/263/318	101	281	9	25	25%	5%	59	-1.1	206/258/299	93	271	9	28	27%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Mason McCoy 2022 · AAA	27	42→50	41→50	53→55	38	205/249/306	101	295	8	13	32%	6%	50	-1.8	198/256/324	126	293	12	21	35%	7%	58	-1.2	196/258/289	93	284	9	27	32%	7%	46	-1.4
✕Logan Landon 2019 · AA	26	40→45	44→45	53→50	37	201/248/314	113	286	13	19	34%	5%	52	-1.6	193/242/297	104	287	11	11	35%	5%	44	-2.1	166/218/262	96	245	12	5	37%	6%	23	-1.5
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2