Jack Winkler — OGILVIE

Jack Winkler2B Las Vegas Aviators

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION434 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP250

ISO99

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4112.0%

xAVG

100.171

POWER40

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

2086.8

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

Chase%

5930.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

5527.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	68	61	9	3	0	0	5	14	2	2	2	148	235	197	432	49	191	21	7	209	28	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	22	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	31	28	8	2	1	0	2	6	0	2	0	286	333	429	762	143	348	19	6	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	206	55	9	1	4	22	37	6	4	2	267	355	379	733	112	309	16	9	335	113	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2023	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	200	172	40	9	1	4	21	39	5	3	2	233	333	366	700	134	275	20	10	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	300	265	67	16	1	3	29	65	3	19	3	253	333	355	688	102	322	22	10	311	97	-1	+3	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	536	470	105	31	1	8	48	117	13	28	5	223	313	345	657	121	278	22	9	298	88	-8	+4	—	—	+12	0.8
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	16	16	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	250	250	375	625	125	333	25	0	274	71	-1	+0	-2	+1	+0	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	281	249	56	9	0	6	26	79	2	25	0	225	303	333	637	108	298	28	9	287	81	-6	+5	—	—	+6	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	16	16	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	250	250	375	625	125	333	25	0	274	71	-1	+0	-2	+1	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	68	63	7	2	0	0	3	19	2	2	2	111	176	143	319	32	170	28	4	161	-5	-8	-0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	31	29	6	1	1	0	1	9	0	2	0	207	233	310	544	103	272	29	3	237	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	213	49	8	1	3	15	49	6	4	2	230	299	319	618	89	281	21	6	274	72	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2023	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	200	179	36	8	1	3	14	48	5	3	2	201	278	307	585	106	250	24	7	261	63	-9	-0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	300	274	55	13	1	2	20	94	3	19	3	201	263	277	540	77	285	31	7	237	47	-19	+3	—	—	+6	-1.0
2024	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	536	485	84	22	1	6	33	147	13	28	5	173	245	260	505	87	229	27	6	228	40	-38	+4	—	—	+12	-2.3
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	16	16	4	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	250	250	375	625	125	333	25	0	284	79	-0	+0	-2	+1	+0	-0.0
2025	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	281	258	46	7	0	5	17	97	2	25	0	178	235	264	498	85	250	35	6	221	36	-21	+5	—	—	+6	-1.1
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	99	91	14	4	1	0	5	27	2	4	2	154	214	220	434	66	215	27	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	99	89	17	5	1	0	7	20	2	4	2	191	265	270	535	79	243	20	7	246	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	213	49	8	1	3	15	49	6	4	2	230	299	319	618	89	286	21	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	206	55	9	1	4	22	37	6	4	2	267	355	379	733	112	309	16	9	335	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	453	90	21	1	5	34	142	8	22	5	199	267	283	549	84	274	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	500	437	107	25	2	7	50	104	8	22	5	245	333	359	693	114	303	21	10	313	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	536	485	84	22	1	6	33	147	13	28	5	173	245	260	505	87	232	27	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	536	470	105	31	1	8	48	117	13	28	5	223	313	345	657	121	278	22	9	298	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	297	274	50	9	0	5	17	101	2	26	0	182	235	270	506	88	262	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	297	265	60	11	0	6	26	83	2	26	0	226	300	336	636	109	300	28	9	287	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	99	92	14	4	1	0	5	27	2	4	2	152	214	217	432	65	202	27	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	234	211	49	8	1	3	15	49	6	4	2	232	299	322	621	90	281	21	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	454	90	21	1	5	34	142	8	22	5	198	267	282	549	84	271	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	536	485	84	22	1	6	33	147	13	28	5	173	245	260	505	87	229	27	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	297	276	50	9	0	5	17	101	2	26	0	181	235	268	504	87	254	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	500	454	90	21	1	5	34	142	8	22	5	198	267	282	549	84	271	28	7	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	536	485	84	22	1	6	33	147	13	28	5	173	245	260	505	87	229	27	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	297	276	50	9	0	5	17	101	2	26	0	181	235	268	504	87	254	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	OAK	—	434	397	67	13	0	10	26	139	10	9	4	169	238	277	515	108	229	32	6	232	43	-29	+0	+0	+2	+9	-1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA RAW	OAK	—	434	386	83	17	0	14	37	108	10	9	4	215	300	368	668	153	260	25	9	302	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	OAK	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		245	33	11	242	50	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	OAK	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						250	0	0	230	50	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	OAK	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	230	43	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	OAK	—	443	405	68	13	0	10	27	142	10	9	4	168	238	274	512	106	228	32	6	232	43	-30	+0	-0	+2	+10	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	OAK	31%	370	336	63	13	0	8	24	112	7	10	2	188	256	298	554	110	251	30	6	250	56	-20	+1	-2	+1	+8	-1.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	OAK	31%	115	105	19	4	0	2	7	35	2	3	1	181	246	276	522	95	256	30	6	239	56	-6	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	132	122	23	6	0	2	7	39	2	4	1	189	244	287	531	98	256	30	5	243	48	-7	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	114	30	0	10	34	192	10	20	5	190	245	290	534	100	257	30	5	243	48	-33	+2	-11	+7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2045	1860	351	77	4	27	129	581	38	94	16	189	256	278	534	89	256	28	6	239	48	-21	+1	-4	+2	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	111	24	1	9	41	185	12	30	5	188	255	277	532	90	254	28	6	239	48	-34	+2	-6	+4	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Winkler (OGILVIE)	27	40	40	60	45	179/245/281	102	245	5	7	31%	6%	50	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	42→43	42→45	57→60	41	205/259/318	112	271	9	26	27%	6%	62	-1.4	203/256/309	106	262	10	24	26%	6%	59	-1.7	189/239/282	93	239	10	28	25%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	43	42→45	58→60	40	207/267/318	111	295	8	25	32%	6%	65	-1.2	213/274/327	114	323	11	22	35%	6%	70	-0.8	198/261/302	104	308	10	29	37%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	45	54→55	37	199/248/318	119	278	13	18	33%	5%	59	-1.7	188/245/293	105	275	11	22	34%	6%	52	-2.2	171/232/261	89	254	9	26	35%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	39→40	52→55	37	200/243/282	81	284	7	19	31%	5%	47	-2.5	222/272/312	90	320	7	21	31%	6%	65	-1.2	246/295/325	79	357	4	31	30%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	204/240/298	94	278	9	22	30%	4%	49	-2.4	217/264/348	131	289	15	24	29%	5%	72	-0.7	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Tony Thomas 2013 · AAA	27	40→46	45→50	57→55	39	201/250/325	124	271	12	19	30%	5%	60	-1.6	202/247/330	128	288	11	14	32%	5%	60	-1.6	198/241/328	130	285	10	12	33%	4%	55	-1.5
✕Orlando Calixte 2019 · MLB	27	44→49	45	54→55	40	223/261/340	117	284	13	18	26%	5%	68	-1.0	224/268/325	101	298	10	18	27%	6%	66	-1.1	210/255/272	62	285	5	25	27%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA	27	45→47	41→45	61→55	41	220/260/323	102	275	8	24	23%	4%	63	-1.4	215/263/316	101	279	9	25	25%	5%	63	-1.4	204/257/296	92	271	9	28	27%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA	27	40→42	46→50	53→55	38	206/252/334	127	276	14	20	30%	5%	63	-1.3	209/251/345	136	285	14	20	31%	5%	65	-1.2	202/243/334	132	275	14	23	31%	4%	57	-1.2
✕Mason McCoy 2022 · AAA	27	43→50	40→45	53→55	39	206/252/305	98	293	7	13	31%	6%	56	-1.9	196/256/317	121	289	12	21	34%	7%	61	-1.5	203/264/296	93	291	8	29	31%	7%	56	-1.5
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	44→43	43→45	55	37	214/265/327	112	304	11	22	32%	5%	66	-1.1	223/272/313	90	327	9	18	32%	6%	65	-1.2	228/272/285	57	341	6	18	33%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Matt Lipka 2019 · AAA	27	42→52	41→45	55→60	43	206/262/306	100	264	8	21	24%	6%	60	-1.6	223/273/328	105	301	8	25	27%	5%	69	-0.9	225/277/325	100	321	8	40	31%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	198/251/294	96	258	11	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	207/272/315	108	259	12	13	24%	7%	67	-1.1	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB	26	41→48	44→50	55→65	35	205/243/327	122	295	10	20	33%	4%	58	-1.7	222/269/360	138	293	13	31	28%	5%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	42→40	51→55	42	201/278/307	106	312	9	19	36%	8%	68	-1.0	200/279/294	94	289	9	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	184/270/260	77	263	8	25	30%	9%	53	-1.2
✕Eric Stamets 2019 · AAA	27	39→49	43→45	52→50	40	198/253/309	111	264	10	11	29%	5%	58	-1.7	192/250/294	102	269	9	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	159/225/248	89	228	8	16	33%	6%	31	-1.5
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	42→40	59→60	45	213/291/309	96	302	11	32	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/278/304	94	297	9	27	30%	7%	66	-1.1	178/249/248	70	249	8	46	30%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Jared Oliva 2023 · MLB	27	44→48	42→45	57→65	39	214/262/325	111	293	8	24	29%	5%	64	-1.3	224/286/351	127	289	12	38	25%	6%	80	-0.2	223/290/349	126	282	12	55	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	38→41	43→45	52→50	38	192/252/297	105	289	11	13	36%	7%	55	-1.9	180/237/288	108	304	11	9	42%	6%	47	-2.5	158/211/261	103	279	10	8	45%	5%	28	-2.3