Mason McCoy
SS El Paso Chihuahuas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | AAASD | 432 | .260/.331/.382 | 5 | 25 | 47 | — | .201/.254/.286 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLBSD | 57 | .204/.278/.245 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 0.5 | |
| 2025 | 30 | AAASD | 386 | .272/.359/.450 | 11 | 17 | 66 | — | .216/.277/.346 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLBSD | 26 | .136/.269/.182 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 596 | .286/.367/.406 | 10 | 43 | 69 | — | .232/.291/.321 |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 32 | MLBSD | 70 | .216/.275/.309 | 1 | 4 | 68 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ48% MLB | 33 | MLBSD | 114 | .211/.270/.299 | 2 | 4 | 63 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 536 | 482 | 128 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 95 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 266 | 333 | 369 | 702 | 104 | 321 | 18 | 8 | 315 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 471 | 429 | 114 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 84 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 266 | 327 | 343 | 670 | 77 | 326 | 18 | 8 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 125 | 116 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 379 | 419 | 509 | 928 | 129 | 424 | 13 | 6 | 409 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 75 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 219 | 333 | 281 | 615 | 62 | 304 | 24 | 15 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 455 | 408 | 90 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 133 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 221 | 290 | 368 | 658 | 147 | 300 | 29 | 9 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 503 | 442 | 113 | 23 | 5 | 21 | 50 | 130 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 256 | 335 | 473 | 808 | 217 | 311 | 26 | 10 | 351 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 487 | 417 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 146 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 221 | 324 | 372 | 696 | 151 | 303 | 30 | 12 | 313 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 57 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 278 | 245 | 523 | 41 | 333 | 33 | 9 | 233 | 47 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 432 | 385 | 100 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 105 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 260 | 331 | 382 | 713 | 122 | 343 | 24 | 9 | 317 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 269 | 182 | 451 | 45 | 200 | 27 | 12 | 228 | 43 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 386 | 331 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 99 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 272 | 359 | 450 | 809 | 178 | 350 | 26 | 11 | 351 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 570 | 495 | 141 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 57 | 125 | 5 | 40 | 6 | 285 | 364 | 406 | 771 | 121 | 359 | 22 | 10 | 340 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 26 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 318 | 423 | 409 | 832 | 91 | 389 | 15 | 12 | 382 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 83 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 183 | 275 | 225 | 500 | 42 | 289 | 31 | 10 | 232 | 43 | -6 | +1 | +2 | +10 | +2 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 536 | 500 | 116 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 130 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 232 | 278 | 322 | 600 | 90 | 299 | 24 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 471 | 440 | 100 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 109 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 227 | 274 | 293 | 567 | 66 | 290 | 23 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 125 | 120 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 308 | 331 | 417 | 747 | 108 | 363 | 18 | 3 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 455 | 421 | 80 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 162 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 190 | 239 | 299 | 538 | 109 | 282 | 36 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 503 | 460 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 153 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 217 | 273 | 374 | 647 | 157 | 283 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 487 | 436 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 180 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 170 | 247 | 278 | 525 | 108 | 253 | 37 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 57 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 278 | 245 | 523 | 41 | 333 | 33 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 432 | 398 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 131 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 201 | 254 | 286 | 540 | 85 | 283 | 30 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 269 | 182 | 451 | 45 | 200 | 27 | 12 | 232 | 43 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 386 | 347 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 122 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 216 | 277 | 346 | 622 | 130 | 286 | 32 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 570 | 514 | 119 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 150 | 5 | 40 | 6 | 232 | 291 | 321 | 612 | 89 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 536 | 500 | 116 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 130 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 232 | 278 | 322 | 600 | 90 | 304 | 24 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 536 | 482 | 128 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 95 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 266 | 333 | 369 | 702 | 104 | 321 | 18 | 8 | 315 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 671 | 631 | 152 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 148 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 241 | 282 | 306 | 588 | 65 | 309 | 22 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 671 | 609 | 172 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 118 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 282 | 345 | 368 | 713 | 85 | 344 | 18 | 8 | 321 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 455 | 421 | 80 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 162 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 190 | 239 | 299 | 538 | 109 | 288 | 36 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 455 | 408 | 90 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 133 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 221 | 290 | 368 | 658 | 147 | 300 | 29 | 9 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 503 | 460 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 153 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 217 | 273 | 374 | 647 | 157 | 291 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 503 | 442 | 113 | 23 | 5 | 21 | 50 | 130 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 256 | 335 | 473 | 808 | 217 | 311 | 26 | 10 | 351 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 487 | 436 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 180 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 170 | 247 | 278 | 525 | 108 | 258 | 37 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 487 | 417 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 146 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 221 | 324 | 372 | 696 | 151 | 303 | 30 | 12 | 313 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 489 | 447 | 91 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 150 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 204 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 81 | 297 | 31 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 489 | 434 | 110 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 124 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 253 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 113 | 342 | 25 | 9 | 307 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 369 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 129 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 211 | 276 | 336 | 612 | 125 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 412 | 353 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 106 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 263 | 353 | 433 | 787 | 170 | 340 | 26 | 11 | 344 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 538 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 157 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 230 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 87 | 309 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 596 | 517 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 129 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 286 | 367 | 406 | 773 | 120 | 360 | 22 | 10 | 342 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 536 | 499 | 116 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 130 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 232 | 278 | 323 | 601 | 90 | 299 | 24 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 671 | 630 | 152 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 148 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 241 | 282 | 306 | 588 | 65 | 305 | 22 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 455 | 425 | 80 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 162 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 188 | 239 | 296 | 535 | 108 | 282 | 36 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 503 | 463 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 153 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 216 | 273 | 371 | 644 | 156 | 283 | 30 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 487 | 439 | 74 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 180 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 169 | 247 | 276 | 523 | 107 | 253 | 37 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 489 | 453 | 91 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 150 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 201 | 258 | 280 | 539 | 79 | 289 | 31 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 376 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 129 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 207 | 276 | 330 | 606 | 122 | 281 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 546 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 157 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 227 | 290 | 313 | 603 | 86 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 489 | 453 | 91 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 150 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 201 | 258 | 280 | 539 | 79 | 289 | 31 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 412 | 376 | 78 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 129 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 207 | 276 | 330 | 606 | 122 | 281 | 31 | 7 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 596 | 546 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 157 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 227 | 290 | 313 | 603 | 86 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB MLE | SD | 45% | 380 | 348 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 105 | 3 | 20 | 4 | 219 | 279 | 314 | 593 | 95 | 295 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -15 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB CTX | SD | 45% | 70 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 275 | 309 | 584 | 93 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 265 | 68 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 33 | MLB MLE | SD | 48% | 238 | 218 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 66 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 214 | 273 | 304 | 576 | 89 | 289 | 28 | 7 | 261 | 63 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB CTX | SD | 48% | 114 | 104 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 270 | 299 | 568 | 88 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 258 | 63 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 197 | 175 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 58 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 206 | 280 | 291 | 571 | 86 | 293 | 29 | 8 | 247 | 60 | -11 | +1 | -0 | +11 | +4 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 119 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 53 | 191 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 206 | 281 | 293 | 574 | 87 | 293 | 29 | 8 | 247 | 60 | -35 | +3 | -0 | +36 | +14 | 1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4542 | 4162 | 893 | 162 | 38 | 58 | 287 | 1318 | 29 | 192 | 40 | 215 | 270 | 314 | 584 | 99 | 296 | 29 | 6 | 256 | 60 | -22 | +2 | -2 | +14 | +10 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 127 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 189 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 213 | 268 | 309 | 577 | 96 | 295 | 29 | 6 | 256 | 60 | -30 | +3 | -3 | +19 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 570 PAwOBA .335 → .266 (−69)K% 21.9% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .266; ISO .121 → .091; BABIP .359 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 386 PAwOBA .346 → .266 (−80)K% 25.6% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.65% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.88% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.71% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×0.972 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.48% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.972 | 7.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×0.972 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .346 → .266; ISO .178 → .130; BABIP .350 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 432 PAwOBA .311 → .237 (−73)K% 24.3% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.31% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.57% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×0.982 | 20.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.29% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.982 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×0.982 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.14% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .311 → .237; ISO .122 → .088; BABIP .343 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 487 PAwOBA .307 → .236 (−71)K% 30.0% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.98% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.91% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.66% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 18.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.43% | ÷0.916 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .307 → .236; ISO .151 → .112; BABIP .303 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAATacoma Rainiers · 503 PAwOBA .344 → .279 (−64)K% 25.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.84% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.839 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.902 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.003 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.144 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.13% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 68, 3B 80, K 104, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .344 → .279; ISO .217 → .164; BABIP .311 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAANorfolk Tides · 455 PAwOBA .285 → .235 (−50)K% 29.2% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.23% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.64% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .285 → .235; ISO .147 → .113; BABIP .300 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABowie Baysox · 471 PAwOBA .296 → .245 (−51)K% 17.8% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.940 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.031 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 24.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.116 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.46% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 123, K 88, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .296 → .245; ISO .077 → .061; BABIP .326 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Frederick Keys · 125 PAwOBA .401 → .321 (−80)K% 12.8% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.001 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷1.111 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 28.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.135 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 100, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .401 → .321; ISO .129 → .101; BABIP .424 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .