Jonathan Guzmán

Jonathan GuzmánSS Dominican Republic

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 156 lbs INTL HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 186 proj PA

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .233 / .264

PA186

HR3

K%28

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	16	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	277	248	60	8	0	0	13	36	7	13	13	242	299	274	573	32	280	13	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	16	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	277	240	72	11	0	0	21	25	7	13	13	300	373	346	719	46	332	9	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	165	157	29	3	1	1	7	34	0	5	1	185	220	236	455	51	230	21	4	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	165	153	38	4	2	1	11	24	0	5	1	248	299	320	619	72	289	15	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	514	485	96	13	2	4	22	134	1	31	11	198	234	258	492	60	264	26	4	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	514	475	119	18	2	3	32	97	1	31	11	251	299	316	615	65	308	19	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	32	29	4	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	138	194	207	400	69	174	22	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	32	29	4	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	138	194	207	400	69	174	22	6	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	444	412	63	5	5	5	22	155	1	22	5	153	198	226	423	73	227	35	5	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	444	403	76	9	6	6	31	112	1	22	5	189	248	285	534	97	243	25	7	238	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	2 teams	—	498	467	65	11	5	3	17	159	4	10	5	139	176	203	380	64	203	32	3	163	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	2 teams	—	498	457	85	13	4	3	27	122	4	10	5	186	238	252	489	66	246	24	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	154	138	26	0	0	2	13	57	2	5	2	188	268	232	500	43	300	37	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	154	133	32	4	0	2	18	35	2	5	2	241	340	316	656	75	309	23	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	239	221	34	6	0	1	14	81	0	5	1	154	204	195	399	41	237	34	6	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	239	218	50	12	1	1	17	62	0	5	1	229	285	307	592	78	316	26	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	96	90	24	2	0	2	4	19	0	2	0	267	298	356	653	89	319	20	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	96	90	24	2	0	2	4	19	0	2	0	267	298	356	653	89	319	20	4	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	MIA	—	186	171	30	6	1	3	12	52	1	3	1	175	234	275	509	99	226	28	6	228	33	-14	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIA	26%	267	244	44	8	1	5	19	73	2	5	1	180	245	283	528	102	233	27	7	238	40	-18	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
2027	27	MLB	MIA	26%	69	63	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	175	246	254	500	79	229	28	7	229	34	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	69	63	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	175	246	254	500	79	233	28	7	229	34	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	103	19	0	9	47	179	9	9	0	174	245	251	496	78	232	28	7	229	34	-49	+2	+0	+7	+18	-2.2
Career	—			—	2872	2662	475	64	15	26	145	807	18	101	40	178	226	243	469	65	244	28	5	195	8	-300	+4	+0	+31	+81	-18.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	107	14	3	6	33	183	4	23	9	178	225	241	466	63	243	28	5	195	8	-68	+1	+0	+7	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	16	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	277	240	72	11	0	0	21	25	7	13	13	300	373	346	719	46	332	9	8	322	104	+1	-3	—	—	+8	0.7
2017	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	165	153	38	4	2	1	11	24	0	5	1	248	299	320	619	72	289	15	7	280	72	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.0
2019	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	—	514	475	119	18	2	3	32	97	1	31	11	251	299	316	615	65	308	19	6	277	70	-17	+2	—	—	+15	-0.1
2020	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	32	29	4	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	138	194	207	400	69	174	22	6	180	-4	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	417	379	70	9	5	6	29	108	1	17	5	185	244	282	527	98	239	26	7	236	39	-29	+1	—	—	+12	-1.6
2021	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	27	24	6	0	1	0	2	4	0	5	0	250	308	333	641	83	300	15	7	279	72	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	440	404	68	10	4	3	24	110	3	9	5	168	220	235	456	67	223	25	5	206	16	-42	-0	—	—	+12	-3.0
2022	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	58	53	17	3	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	321	368	377	746	57	415	21	5	334	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	32	29	9	0	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	310	375	414	789	103	421	28	9	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	88	73	16	0	0	1	13	23	2	4	1	219	352	260	613	41	306	26	15	298	86	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	34	31	7	4	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	226	273	355	628	129	241	9	6	272	66	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	169	151	27	5	0	1	14	48	0	1	1	179	248	232	480	53	255	28	8	221	27	-14	-0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2024	24	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	70	67	23	7	1	0	3	14	0	4	0	343	371	478	849	134	434	20	4	375	145	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	25	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	96	90	24	2	0	2	4	19	0	2	0	267	298	356	653	89	319	20	4	288	78	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	255	4	5	176	235	271	+3	+3	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	11	12	176	235	271	+7.1	+7.8	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Guzmán (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	171/233/264	92	226	3	3	28%	7%	33	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕José Briceño 2018 · AA	25	35	43→45	47→45	39	180/213/279	99	219	11	7	24%	4%	27	-3.3	207/248/349	142	253	19	9	27%	5%	61	-1.0	197/236/347	150	235	22	4	27%	4%	54	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Joe Hudson 2017 · AA	26	39	40→45	46→40	44	191/260/284	93	262	8	3	29%	8%	50	-1.8	188/245/285	97	263	8	3	30%	7%	43	-2.2	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	39	40	50	38	192/244/277	85	285	8	15	34%	6%	40	-2.4	202/255/293	91	305	9	12	34%	6%	49	-1.8	138/193/172	34	236	3	8	41%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Ryan Budde 2006 · AAA	26	39	46→45	51→40	38	201/237/329	128	250	14	10	26%	4%	50	-1.7	204/258/324	120	265	12	7	27%	5%	59	-1.1	190/248/297	107	251	10	5	28%	5%	44	-0.7
✕Brantley Bell 2021 · AA	26	43→42	40	48→55	44	209/262/299	90	259	8	13	22%	6%	53	-1.5	197/246/279	82	286	5	14	31%	5%	41	-2.3	172/218/240	68	263	3	18	34%	5%	17	-1.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	44→45	48→40	35	193/235/302	109	272	13	3	34%	4%	43	-2.2	192/238/323	131	269	16	5	34%	5%	50	-1.7	174/222/323	149	230	19	3	33%	4%	41	-1.1
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	193/245/318	125	242	13	7	26%	5%	52	-1.6	210/257/336	126	284	14	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	192/227/334	142	252	20	17	33%	4%	45	-0.4