Onix Vega — OGILVIE

Onix VegaC Syracuse Mets

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .281 / .286

PA147

HR1

K%23

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO75

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	71	61	15	2	0	0	6	6	3	2	1	246	343	279	622	33	273	8	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	71	58	16	2	0	0	9	4	3	2	1	276	400	310	710	34	296	6	13	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	316	281	57	13	0	2	20	75	10	5	1	203	280	270	550	68	264	24	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	316	264	61	15	0	3	37	51	10	5	1	231	347	322	669	91	271	16	12	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	320	281	65	11	1	3	28	89	10	4	2	231	323	310	632	78	326	28	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	320	271	70	13	1	5	38	73	10	4	2	258	370	369	739	111	335	23	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	377	326	63	10	2	1	32	82	13	2	1	193	291	245	537	52	250	22	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	377	312	68	11	1	1	46	59	13	2	1	218	342	269	612	51	261	16	12	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	247	220	40	3	0	1	23	56	1	3	0	182	262	209	471	27	236	23	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	3 teams	—	247	205	46	5	0	2	38	44	1	3	0	224	348	278	626	54	273	18	15	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	2 teams	—	160	148	24	6	2	1	9	38	2	0	1	162	220	250	470	88	209	24	6	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	2 teams	—	160	141	32	4	1	4	16	21	2	0	1	227	314	355	669	128	239	13	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	NYM	—	23	21	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	143	217	286	503	143	111	9	4	218	25	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
YTD	27	AAA	NYM	—	23	20	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	150	261	300	561	150	118	9	9	262	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
ROS	27	AAA	NYM	10%	147	133	28	5	1	1	12	34	1	2	1	211	281	286	567	75	276	23	8	267	62	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	NYM	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	276	20	7	260	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	NYM	—	38	35	6	1	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	171	237	286	523	114	172	13	5	235	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
TOT	27	AAA	NYM	—	170	154	31	5	1	2	13	36	2	2	1	201	272	286	558	84	248	21	8	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	NYM	31%	259	233	51	10	1	3	22	60	2	4	1	219	292	309	601	90	277	23	8	271	66	-10	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.2
2028	29	MLB	NYM	40%	299	269	57	11	1	3	25	70	3	4	1	212	286	294	580	82	278	23	8	274	68	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2029	30	MLB	NYM	45%	325	292	63	12	1	4	27	76	3	4	1	216	289	305	594	89	277	23	8	273	67	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.1
2027	28	MLB	NYM	31%	80	72	15	3	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	208	287	292	579	83	277	24	9	265	61	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	29	MLB	NYM	40%	118	106	23	4	1	1	10	28	1	2	0	217	291	302	592	85	278	24	8	267	62	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2029	30	MLB	NYM	45%	145	131	28	5	1	2	12	34	1	2	1	214	285	313	598	99	277	23	8	266	62	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	358	323	69	13	2	4	30	84	3	5	1	214	287	303	590	90	274	23	8	266	62	-16	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	126	24	4	7	54	153	5	9	2	215	286	305	592	90	277	24	8	266	62	-28	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	2521	2244	463	83	9	19	204	586	48	30	10	206	286	277	563	70	268	23	8	256	54	-131	+2	-4	+45	+71	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	119	21	2	5	53	151	12	8	3	206	286	275	561	69	266	23	8	256	54	-34	+0	-1	+12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	71	58	16	2	0	0	9	4	3	2	1	276	400	310	710	34	296	6	13	334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	289	240	56	12	0	3	34	47	10	5	0	233	352	321	673	88	273	16	12	311	96	-1	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2021	22	INTL	RA12	—	27	24	5	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	208	296	333	630	125	250	15	11	287	78	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	23	20	6	1	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	300	391	350	741	50	429	26	4	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	253	215	57	10	1	4	34	52	4	4	2	265	375	377	752	112	333	21	13	346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2022	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	44	36	7	2	0	1	3	15	4	0	0	194	326	333	659	139	286	34	7	302	90	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	62	54	11	1	0	0	6	11	1	0	1	204	295	222	517	19	250	18	10	246	46	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	149	122	31	5	0	0	22	29	3	1	0	254	381	295	676	41	326	19	15	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	69	57	10	3	1	1	7	7	3	1	0	175	299	316	614	140	176	10	10	278	71	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	97	79	16	2	0	0	11	12	6	0	0	203	344	228	572	25	239	12	11	282	74	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	124	105	20	1	0	1	17	21	0	2	0	190	303	229	532	38	226	17	14	254	53	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2024	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	38	31	9	1	0	0	7	7	0	1	0	290	421	323	744	32	375	18	18	353	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	85	69	17	3	0	1	14	16	1	0	0	246	381	333	714	87	302	19	16	332	112	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	26	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	78	70	15	4	1	1	7	14	0	0	1	214	286	343	629	129	250	18	9	280	73	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	26	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	82	71	17	0	0	3	9	7	2	0	0	239	341	366	708	127	230	9	11	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	360	4	5	218	288	308	+6	+4	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	8	9	218	288	308	+11.9	+7.4	0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Onix Vega (OGILVIE)	27	50	34	45	48	201/272/286	84	248	2	2	21%	8%	57	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Diaz 2012 · AAA	27	47	36→30	43→50	50	220/296/288	68	276	3	9	20%	8%	66	-0.6	216/293/278	62	272	4	13	20%	8%	62	-0.9	214/286/271	57	268	2	9	19%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Christian Herrera 2009 · AAA	27	48	38→40	48→45	44	228/280/310	81	288	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	229/277/317	88	299	6	8	24%	5%	64	-0.8	232/282/319	87	309	6	8	26%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2016 · AAA	26	49→54	37→40	46→55	47	232/296/307	75	302	4	10	23%	8%	69	-0.4	218/276/303	85	286	4	12	24%	7%	60	-1.0	210/269/299	89	277	4	12	24%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Elliot Soto 2017 · AAA	27	48→53	35→40	48→50	51	225/297/279	55	294	3	8	23%	9%	63	-0.8	223/280/307	84	288	5	8	23%	7%	63	-0.9	228/287/310	82	306	4	7	25%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Jack Dunn 2023 · AAA	26	48→47	38→40	46→55	47	226/294/303	77	302	5	12	26%	8%	68	-0.5	216/308/302	86	279	8	21	23%	10%	75	-0.0	206/313/288	82	258	9	26	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Oswaldo Navarro 2012 · MLB	27	47→50	38→40	43→45	47	223/286/300	78	282	5	6	22%	7%	64	-0.8	224/281/326	102	282	9	7	23%	6%	69	-0.4	210/268/300	91	267	9	0	24%	6%	55	-0.5
✕KC Serna 2017 · AAA	27	51→54	36→40	43→45	44	242/287/311	68	294	4	9	19%	5%	66	-0.6	217/265/322	105	276	9	7	24%	5%	60	-1.0	188/230/304	116	234	11	1	25%	4%	39	-1.4
✕Josh Labandeira 2006 · AAA	27	51→52	38→40	45	48	237/307/322	85	302	4	12	22%	8%	79	+0.3	238/295/312	74	294	4	9	19%	6%	71	-0.3	236/292/299	63	293	4	6	19%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Brian Ward 2013 · AA	27	45	38→40	49→45	51	216/286/298	82	265	6	9	20%	8%	64	-0.8	223/287/307	84	281	6	7	21%	7%	66	-0.6	229/290/294	65	290	4	3	21%	7%	62	-0.3
✕Roberto Lugo 2007 · AAA	27	51	37→30	45→40	41	243/280/311	68	307	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	237/284/317	80	313	6	8	25%	5%	66	-0.6	247/296/296	49	335	0	3	24%	5%	66	-0.2
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2018 · AAA	27	46→55	38→40	49→45	49	216/276/297	81	263	5	9	19%	7%	58	-1.2	219/276/330	111	267	10	9	21%	6%	68	-0.5	204/258/324	121	239	12	4	20%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Sean Nicol 2014 · AA	27	49	39→40	45	46	234/286/319	86	291	6	7	21%	7%	68	-0.5	225/277/312	87	287	6	12	22%	7%	63	-0.9	205/246/252	47	270	0	18	23%	5%	29	-0.7
✕Tommy Manzella 2010 · AAA	27	50→52	40	48→50	43	240/277/335	95	295	6	9	21%	5%	68	-0.5	206/252/280	74	297	6	8	31%	5%	43	-2.2	180/232/233	53	282	4	6	35%	6%	21	-2.4
✕Carlos Alonso 2015 · AA	27	51→52	38→40	45→40	48	241/307/324	83	292	5	5	19%	7%	79	+0.3	224/289/316	92	283	6	8	22%	7%	69	-0.4	168/232/247	80	227	5	4	27%	7%	24	-0.7
✕Carlos Paulino 2017 · AAA	27	49	37→40	44→40	47	229/277/303	74	279	4	5	19%	6%	60	-1.0	227/281/319	92	294	8	8	24%	6%	66	-0.6	224/279/289	65	295	6	3	25%	6%	57	-0.4
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→49	37→45	47→50	50	222/291/297	75	286	4	14	23%	9%	65	-0.7	215/269/317	102	258	9	15	19%	7%	61	-1.0	193/241/293	100	218	9	17	16%	5%	39	-1.3
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2016 · AAA	26	47	36→40	47→30	47	219/275/288	69	274	4	4	21%	7%	56	-1.3	226/287/335	109	273	10	5	20%	8%	73	-0.1	229/294/357	128	262	13	0	18%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jecksson Flores 2022 · AAA	28	45→53	39→40	48→55	48	213/277/298	85	261	6	10	20%	7%	60	-1.0	223/285/322	99	275	8	7	21%	7%	69	-0.4	218/282/306	88	267	6	3	20%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Alfredo González 2018 · AA	26	45	38→40	44→45	46	216/277/293	77	279	6	7	24%	7%	58	-1.2	206/269/285	79	288	6	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	194/260/253	59	280	4	2	30%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Zach Vincej 2018 · AAA	27	47→52	38→40	43→50	43	226/268/308	81	271	5	7	18%	5%	57	-1.2	221/261/324	103	262	9	6	19%	4%	59	-1.1	217/257/321	104	255	10	4	19%	4%	53	-1.0