Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.3B Gwinnett Stripers

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AAA Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 6766vR 62

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%22

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO48

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

748.5%

xAVG

130.221

POWER30

Barrel%

101.2

Avg EV

1084.8

Bat Spd

1667.7

EYE55

Chase%

6428.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

3626.8

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 231 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

176

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

207

282

▶▶R

ISO

043

099

▶▶R

BABIP

206

308

▶▶R

25.4%

22.7%

▶R

BB%

9.1%

4.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	71	51	15	2	1	0	19	9	1	4	1	294	493	373	866	78	357	13	27	409	163	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	51	43	12	1	1	1	7	6	1	4	0	279	392	419	811	140	306	12	14	368	135	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	20	A+	Rome Braves	—	501	419	119	24	0	7	66	87	13	16	5	284	398	391	789	107	341	17	13	361	130	+18	+1	—	—	+11	3.1
2024	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	32	30	3	0	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	100	156	100	256		150	31	0	131	-25	-5	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.3
2024	21	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	289	246	73	9	1	10	37	45	5	10	2	297	399	463	863	167	328	16	13	386	147	+16	+1	—	—	+6	2.4
2024	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	202	170	45	6	1	0	29	38	3	16	1	265	381	312	693	47	341	19	14	327	108	+2	+3	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	208	188	44	12	0	2	12	49	5	0	0	234	298	330	627	96	304	24	6	283	77	-6	+0	+2	+1	+5	0.2
2025	22	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	79	63	16	3	0	1	11	15	5	0	1	254	405	349	754	95	319	19	14	356	127	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	92	74	24	7	1	1	16	13	2	5	1	324	457	486	943	162	383	14	17	423	172	+8	+1	—	—	+2	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	240	218	47	12	0	2	12	59	7	0	0	216	278	298	577	83	285	25	5	262	64	-10	+0	+1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	71	58	16	2	1	0	12	12	1	4	1	276	408	345	753	69	344	17	17	340	116	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	51	46	11	1	1	1	4	8	1	4	0	239	314	370	683	130	245	16	8	269	68	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	20	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	501	444	109	20	0	6	41	118	13	16	5	245	327	331	658	86	313	24	8	291	83	-10	+1	—	—	+11	0.2
2024	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	32	30	3	0	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	100	156	100	256		150	31	0	129	-26	-5	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.3
2024	21	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	289	258	68	8	1	7	25	56	5	10	2	264	340	384	724	120	308	19	9	320	103	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.9
2024	21	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	202	179	44	6	1	0	20	45	3	16	1	246	332	291	622	45	327	22	10	282	77	-6	+3	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	208	188	44	12	0	2	12	49	5	0	0	234	298	330	627	96	304	24	6	279	75	-6	+0	+2	+1	+5	0.2
2025	22	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	79	67	14	2	0	1	7	18	5	0	1	209	329	284	613	75	275	23	9	278	74	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	104	27	3	2	1	16	20	2	8	1	260	369	356	725	96	313	16	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	122	94	27	3	2	1	26	15	2	8	1	287	451	394	844	106	333	12	21	392	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	501	444	109	20	0	6	41	118	13	16	5	245	327	331	658	86	319	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Rome Braves	—	501	419	119	24	0	7	66	87	13	16	5	284	398	391	789	107	341	17	13	361	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	523	468	115	14	2	7	44	111	10	26	3	246	324	329	653	83	308	21	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	523	446	121	15	2	10	66	93	10	26	3	271	377	381	759	110	323	18	13	348	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	379	339	77	19	0	4	25	89	12	5	2	227	303	319	622	91	296	23	7	279	75	-11	+0	+2	+1	+8	0.1
2025	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	379	325	84	22	1	4	39	77	12	5	2	258	359	369	728	111	327	20	10	332	75	-11	+0	+2	+1	+8	0.1
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	103	27	3	2	1	16	20	2	8	1	262	369	359	728	97	303	16	13	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	501	442	109	20	0	6	41	118	13	16	5	247	327	333	660	86	313	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	523	464	115	14	2	7	44	111	10	26	3	248	324	332	656	84	306	21	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	379	339	77	19	0	4	25	89	12	5	2	227	303	319	622	91	296	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	501	442	109	20	0	6	41	118	13	16	5	247	327	333	660	86	313	24	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	523	464	115	14	2	7	44	111	10	26	3	248	324	332	656	84	306	21	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	379	339	77	19	0	4	25	89	12	5	2	227	303	319	622	91	296	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	ATL	—	169	151	30	6	0	1	14	36	2	4	1	199	275	258	534	60	250	21	8	247	53	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA RAW	ATL	—	169	144	34	7	0	2	21	30	2	4	1	236	341	326	668	90	281	18	12	307	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	ATL	10%	23	21	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	190	261	238	499	48	260	22	9	266	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	ATL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						260	0	0	251	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	ATL	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	251	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	ATL	—	192	172	34	7	0	1	16	41	2	4	1	198	274	256	529	58	250	21	8	249	55	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ATL	35%	483	433	91	18	1	7	38	107	9	8	2	210	287	305	592	95	261	22	8	273	71	-17	+1	+1	+2	+10	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	494	442	94	18	1	8	39	108	10	8	2	213	291	312	603	100	261	22	8	277	74	-16	+1	+1	+2	+11	-0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	499	446	95	18	1	9	40	109	10	8	2	213	292	318	611	105	261	22	8	279	75	-15	+1	+1	+2	+11	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	494	441	94	18	1	9	40	109	10	8	2	213	293	320	613	107	261	22	8	279	75	-15	+1	+1	+2	+11	0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	486	434	93	18	1	9	40	108	9	7	2	214	294	323	617	108	260	22	8	279	75	-15	+1	+1	+2	+11	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	474	423	89	17	1	8	39	106	9	7	2	210	291	312	603	102	260	22	8	277	74	-15	+1	-0	+2	+10	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	462	412	86	16	1	8	38	104	9	6	2	209	290	311	600	102	259	23	8	274	72	-16	+0	-1	+2	+10	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	ATL	35%	168	150	32	6	0	3	13	37	3	3	1	213	289	313	602	100	261	22	8	259	71	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	229	205	43	8	0	4	18	50	4	4	1	210	286	307	594	98	261	22	8	263	74	-7	+0	+1	+1	+5	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	258	230	49	9	0	5	21	57	5	4	1	213	293	317	610	104	261	22	8	265	75	-8	+0	+1	+1	+6	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	262	234	50	10	0	5	21	58	5	4	1	214	292	321	613	107	261	22	8	265	75	-8	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	260	232	49	9	0	5	21	58	5	4	1	211	291	315	605	103	260	22	8	264	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	250	222	46	9	0	4	21	56	5	3	1	207	290	302	592	95	260	22	8	263	74	-8	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	261	232	48	9	0	4	22	59	5	3	1	207	290	297	587	91	259	23	8	260	72	-9	+0	-0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1930	1725	364	72	0	32	149	434	39	25	7	211	289	308	597	97	262	22	8	263	76	-63	+2	+4	+9	+42	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	24	0	11	50	146	13	8	2	212	289	310	599	98	262	22	8	263	76	-21	+1	+1	+3	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4940	4407	974	180	11	76	402	1094	103	107	25	221	301	319	620	98	276	22	8	281	76	-118	+5	+7	+15	+79	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	128	24	1	10	53	144	14	14	3	221	301	317	619	97	276	22	8	281	76	-21	+1	+1	+3	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,931	31	25	215	290	317	+19	+4	1.6	1.6
/162	664	11	9	+6.5	+1.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nacho Alvarez Jr. (OGILVIE)	23	45	30	45	55	205/283/290	85	260	4	6	22%	8%	66	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angelo Amendolare 2016 · AAA	23	47	37→30	44→50	51	222/296/295	74	266	4	7	18%	8%	71	-0.8	229/301/299	70	308	3	9	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/319/285	44	333	0	10	25%	8%	73	-0.2
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	45→55	40	47→50	46	221/276/312	92	272	8	13	22%	7%	67	-1.1	238/296/328	90	284	8	16	18%	7%	78	-0.3	247/310/317	71	304	5	13	19%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Porchas 2013 · AAA	23	49	40→30	44→50	44	234/292/323	88	291	8	11	22%	6%	76	-0.4	233/279/310	77	301	7	10	24%	5%	68	-1.0	234/275/284	50	308	3	9	24%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Onix Vega 2023 · AAA	24	46	39→30	47→45	46	218/292/300	82	293	6	7	26%	8%	71	-0.8	204/278/273	69	266	5	6	23%	8%	59	-1.6	187/270/229	43	240	2	5	21%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Gilberto Galaviz 2015 · AAA	23	47	41→40	47→30	41	231/267/331	100	276	9	6	20%	4%	68	-1.0	249/288/328	79	286	6	5	15%	4%	74	-0.5	257/294/301	45	287	3	1	11%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Brandon Villarreal 2017 · AAA	22	46	40→30	47→45	45	224/278/318	94	270	8	10	20%	6%	69	-0.9	233/283/328	95	296	9	8	23%	6%	73	-0.6	251/299/314	64	307	6	5	20%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Jasson Atondo 2019 · AAA	23	46→56	40→30	45→50	46	220/270/315	95	264	7	11	20%	6%	65	-1.2	271/306/347	76	305	6	12	13%	5%	85	+0.2	302/331/357	55	335	3	11	10%	4%	92	+0.6
✕Alejandro Rivero 2012 · AAA	23	47	38→30	46→55	46	224/272/299	76	265	6	9	18%	6%	62	-1.4	229/276/275	46	273	3	14	16%	4%	57	-1.8	231/278/249	19	272	1	15	14%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Francisco Williams 2015 · AAA	23	48	40→30	47→45	45	228/292/322	94	296	7	9	24%	7%	76	-0.4	222/284/292	70	304	5	9	27%	6%	65	-1.2	215/257/250	35	291	4	6	26%	4%	42	-0.7
✕Tucupita Marcano 2023 · MLB	23	47	41→45	45→50	49	226/288/326	100	277	8	11	21%	8%	74	-0.5	237/289/362	125	285	10	13	20%	6%	83	+0.1	251/293/389	138	292	9	17	17%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Kevin Flores 2008 · AAA	23	45→50	41→40	47→45	42	220/264/321	101	277	9	10	24%	5%	64	-1.3	225/273/305	80	285	5	8	22%	6%	63	-1.3	267/309/348	81	315	7	1	17%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Ramon Soto 2010 · AAA	22	48	39→30	46→45	44	232/282/308	77	288	7	9	22%	6%	68	-1.0	241/286/303	62	291	4	8	18%	5%	68	-1.0	271/316/324	52	332	1	7	18%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2023 · AAA	24	47	40	50→45	43	229/273/313	84	277	8	9	20%	5%	65	-1.2	225/288/329	104	252	11	7	15%	7%	76	-0.4	211/277/309	98	233	11	5	15%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Diego Madero 2015 · AAA	23	50→51	40	49→50	44	243/284/339	96	282	8	14	17%	5%	76	-0.4	247/283/333	86	285	6	15	15%	4%	74	-0.6	250/293/343	93	284	9	17	15%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Jonathan Esqueda 2008 · AAA	23	50	38→30	47→45	44	236/290/306	70	296	6	9	22%	6%	70	-0.8	218/272/311	93	280	8	9	24%	6%	65	-1.2	202/253/288	87	259	7	7	24%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Miguel Torrero 2007 · AAA	23	46→52	39→30	46→40	47	222/271/308	86	257	7	10	17%	6%	63	-1.3	270/320/330	60	301	2	6	10%	6%	86	+0.3	288/340/336	48	318	0	2	9%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Humberto Castro 2014 · AAA	23	47	38→30	50→45	43	225/272/299	74	264	6	8	17%	4%	62	-1.4	235/288/313	78	290	5	8	20%	5%	72	-0.7	263/320/320	57	310	3	5	15%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	41→45	43→45	44	212/271/307	95	272	9	7	25%	7%	64	-1.3	223/279/323	100	286	9	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	238/286/342	104	298	8	5	22%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	48→52	40→45	48→55	49	230/299/324	94	295	8	8	24%	8%	78	-0.3	235/307/325	90	305	7	12	23%	9%	82	-0.0	237/309/314	77	312	6	14	24%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Castaneda 2008 · AAA	23	46→48	41→45	50→40	47	221/283/321	100	267	8	11	20%	7%	72	-0.7	241/297/314	73	304	5	6	21%	6%	75	-0.5	246/293/338	92	324	8	2	25%	5%	76	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps