Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.SS Gwinnett Stripers

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AAA BB -5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 0.4 · 2029

wRC+†vL -337vR 47

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .283 / .291

PA178

HR2

K%23

BB%7

xwOBA.270

Barrel%1.4%

MLB%55%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

30→30

SPD

45→45

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2029

Barrel%

101.4

xwOBA

170.270

Avg EV

1084.9

Whiff%

750.084

Chase%

670.285

Speed

3626.8

Bat Spd

1667.7

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.1M
2029	Arb-4	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.2M	+$0.1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	A	2 teams	122	104	27	3	2	1	16	20	2	8	1	.260	.369	.356	.725	.096	.313	16	13	.309	95	-1	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.4
2023	20	A+	Rome Braves	501	448	105	19	0	6	37	116	13	16	5	.234	.311	.317	.628	.083	.301	23	7	.281	73	-15	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.2
2024	21	AAA	3 teams	523	468	114	14	1	9	44	114	10	26	3	.244	.322	.335	.657	.092	.303	22	8	.294	84	-10	+4	-1	+2	+15	1.0
2025	22	MLB	3 teams	379	339	77	19	0	4	25	89	12	5	2	.227	.303	.319	.622	.091	.296	23	7	.282	74	-11	+0	+2	+1	+11	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	73	66	11	2	0	0	6	18	0	2	0	.167	.236	.197	.433	.030	.224	25	8	.198	10	-7	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.5
ROS	23	MLB	ATL	105	94	19	4	0	1	8	25	2	2	0	.202	.279	.277	.555	.074	.255	24	8	.258	56	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
TOT	23	MLB	ATL	178	160	30	6	0	1	14	43	2	4	0	.188	.261	.244	.505	.056	.246	24	8	.234	37	-13	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 73%	ATL	483	429	89	17	1	7	41	94	10	8	2	.207	.292	.301	.592	.093	.248	19	8	.272	66	-18	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.0
2028	25	MLB 89%	ATL	494	437	91	17	1	8	43	95	11	8	2	.208	.295	.307	.602	.098	.248	19	9	.278	71	-16	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.2
2029	26	MLB	ATL	499	441	93	18	1	8	44	96	11	8	2	.211	.298	.311	.609	.100	.249	19	9	.281	73	-15	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.4
2030	27	MLB	ATL	494	436	91	17	1	8	44	96	11	8	1	.209	.297	.307	.605	.099	.249	19	9	.281	73	-15	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.4
2031	28	MLB	ATL	486	428	90	17	1	8	44	95	11	7	1	.210	.300	.311	.611	.100	.248	20	9	.280	72	-15	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.3
2032	29	MLB	ATL	474	418	87	16	1	8	43	94	10	6	1	.208	.297	.309	.606	.100	.247	20	9	.278	71	-16	+1	+1	+2	+13	0.1
2033	30	MLB	ATL	462	407	84	16	1	7	42	93	10	5	0	.206	.296	.302	.599	.096	.246	20	9	.274	68	-17	+1	-0	+2	+13	-0.1
2034	31	MLB	ATL	447	393	79	15	0	7	41	92	10	3	0	.201	.293	.293	.585	.092	.244	21	9	.271	65	-17	+1	-1	+2	+13	-0.3
2035	32	MLB	ATL	428	377	75	14	0	6	39	90	9	1	0	.199	.289	.284	.573	.085	.243	21	9	.266	62	-19	+0	-2	+2	+12	-0.6
2036	33	MLB	ATL	398	351	68	13	0	5	36	87	8	0	0	.194	.284	.274	.557	.080	.241	22	9	.260	57	-19	+0	-2	+1	+11	-0.9
2037	34	MLB	ATL	353	311	59	11	0	4	32	80	7	0	0	.190	.280	.264	.544	.074	.238	23	9	.254	52	-19	+0	-3	+1	+10	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6648	5881	1248	230	10	97	579	1376	147	111	20	.212	.299	.304	.603	.092	.259	21	9	.276	70	-229	+14	+5	+24	+188	0.3
/ 162G	—			650	575	121	22	1	9	57	135	14	11	2	.210	.297	.299	.596	.089	.258	21	9	.276	70	-22	+1	+0	+2	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	71	51	15	2	1	0	19	9	1	4	1	.294	.493	.373	.866	.078	.357	13	27	.409	171	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	19	ROK	FCL Braves	51	43	12	1	1	1	7	6	1	4	0	.279	.392	.419	.811	.140	.306	12	14	.368	139	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	20	A+	Rome Braves	501	419	119	24	0	7	66	87	13	16	5	.284	.398	.391	.789	.107	.341	17	13	.361	134	+19	+1	—	—	+14	3.5
2024	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	32	30	3	0	0	0	0	10	2	0	0	.100	.156	.100	.256	.000	.150	31	0	.131	-42	-5	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.3
2024	21	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	289	246	73	9	1	10	37	45	5	10	2	.297	.399	.463	.863	.167	.328	16	13	.386	153	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2024	21	AA	Mississippi Braves	202	170	45	6	1	0	29	38	3	16	1	.265	.381	.312	.693	.047	.341	19	14	.327	109	+2	+3	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	208	188	44	12	0	2	12	49	5	0	0	.234	.298	.330	.627	.096	.304	24	6	.283	74	-6	+0	+2	+1	+6	0.3
2025	22	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	79	63	16	3	0	1	11	15	5	0	1	.254	.405	.349	.754	.095	.319	19	14	.356	131	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	92	74	24	7	1	1	16	13	2	5	1	.324	.457	.486	.943	.162	.383	14	17	.423	182	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			240	218	47	12	0	2	12	59	7	0	0	.216	.278	.298	.577	.083	.285	25	5	.262	59	-11	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nacho Alvarez Jr. (OGILVIE)	23	45	30	45	55	.204/.283/.291	.088	.260	2	3	23%	7%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Angelo Amendolare 2016 · AAA	23	47	37→30	45→50	51	.221/.294/.298	.076	.266	4	7	18%	8%	67	-0.5	.230/.303/.298	.068	.302	3	9	23%	8%	71	-0.3	.244/.324/.286	.042	.329	0	10	23%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Noe Becerra 2010 · AAA	23	44	39→30	43→40	48	.212/.275/.292	.079	.267	7	7	22%	8%	57	-1.2	.232/.282/.316	.084	.273	7	7	17%	6%	66	-0.6	.278/.325/.338	.060	.315	3	0	12%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Alejandro Rivero 2012 · AAA	23	46	39→30	47→55	45	.223/.269/.303	.080	.264	7	10	18%	5%	56	-1.3	.228/.273/.276	.048	.271	3	14	16%	4%	51	-1.7	.223/.279/.259	.036	.257	1	19	13%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Luis Porchas 2013 · AAA	23	47	40→30	43→50	42	.228/.281/.316	.088	.281	7	10	21%	5%	66	-0.6	.234/.277/.316	.082	.300	8	10	24%	4%	64	-0.8	.235/.276/.289	.053	.308	4	9	24%	4%	52	-0.4
✕Ramon Soto 2010 · AAA	22	47	39→30	47→45	43	.227/.276/.306	.079	.283	8	10	22%	6%	61	-1.0	.240/.283/.304	.064	.290	4	8	18%	5%	63	-0.9	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Miguel Torrero 2007 · AAA	23	46→50	39→30	46→40	45	.221/.265/.306	.085	.255	7	10	17%	5%	56	-1.3	.268/.316/.328	.060	.299	3	6	11%	6%	82	+0.5	.288/.340/.336	.048	.318	0	2	9%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Jordan Groshans 2023 · MLB	23	49→50	40	48→30	49	.235/.299/.326	.090	.294	8	4	22%	8%	76	+0.0	.221/.283/.299	.078	.277	6	3	21%	8%	62	-0.9	.213/.275/.281	.068	.264	6	0	20%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Jasson Atondo 2019 · AAA	23	45→55	40→30	45→50	45	.217/.260/.308	.091	.255	7	11	18%	5%	54	-1.4	.276/.309/.352	.076	.309	6	12	12%	5%	85	+0.7	.310/.339/.367	.057	.342	3	11	10%	4%	96	+1.2
✕Francisco Williams 2015 · AAA	23	47	41→30	47→45	44	.225/.286/.322	.097	.292	8	9	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.224/.283/.298	.074	.305	5	9	27%	6%	62	-0.9	.219/.261/.256	.038	.293	4	6	26%	4%	37	-0.6
✕Onix Vega 2023 · AAA	24	45	39→30	48→45	45	.215/.286/.299	.083	.286	6	7	26%	7%	64	-0.8	.203/.277/.273	.070	.266	5	6	24%	8%	53	-1.5	.186/.269/.228	.042	.240	3	5	22%	9%	38	-0.9
✕Oswaldo Navarro 2008 · AAA	23	46→49	38→40	41→45	45	.221/.274/.295	.074	.273	5	7	21%	6%	57	-1.2	.221/.278/.289	.068	.292	4	6	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.215/.283/.293	.078	.272	6	3	22%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Brandon Villarreal 2017 · AAA	22	46	41→40	48→45	43	.223/.272/.319	.096	.269	8	11	20%	5%	63	-0.9	.233/.281/.330	.097	.291	10	8	22%	5%	69	-0.4	.251/.300/.319	.068	.305	8	5	20%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2022 · MLB	23	45→52	43→45	46→50	45	.223/.282/.337	.114	.281	11	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.228/.299/.321	.093	.295	8	9	23%	9%	76	+0.0	.239/.310/.323	.084	.313	8	14	24%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2012 · AAA	24	43→49	39→40	47→50	42	.209/.258/.295	.086	.270	7	9	25%	6%	50	-1.7	.206/.265/.302	.096	.264	9	7	24%	6%	56	-1.3	.220/.281/.312	.092	.279	7	3	23%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Jimmy Rohan 2007 · AAA	23	50	37→40	40→45	47	.238/.284/.312	.074	.275	4	6	15%	6%	65	-0.7	.225/.275/.299	.074	.278	4	6	19%	6%	59	-1.1	.218/.268/.267	.049	.276	0	0	20%	6%	44	-0.7
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	45→55	41→40	47→50	45	.219/.273/.313	.094	.272	9	13	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.238/.295/.327	.089	.285	8	16	18%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.303/.319	.076	.291	6	16	17%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Sergio Burruel 2014 · AAA	23	44	36→30	49→30	45	.208/.270/.272	.063	.280	3	7	25%	7%	50	-1.8	.236/.283/.307	.071	.308	6	5	24%	5%	63	-0.8	.244/.307/.320	.075	.298	8	1	19%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Gilberto Galaviz 2015 · AAA	23	47	42→40	46→30	40	.233/.266/.338	.105	.276	10	6	20%	4%	65	-0.7	.248/.285/.331	.083	.286	7	5	15%	4%	70	-0.3	.257/.294/.304	.047	.287	3	1	11%	3%	64	-0.3
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2023 · AAA	24	46	41→40	50→45	43	.225/.267/.313	.088	.271	9	8	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.225/.286/.328	.103	.252	11	7	15%	7%	71	-0.3	.209/.280/.323	.113	.223	13	6	13%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Jonathan Esqueda 2009 · AAA	24	45	40→30	42→45	44	.221/.275/.309	.088	.278	9	7	23%	6%	61	-1.0	.222/.272/.326	.104	.283	10	11	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.233/.275/.316	.083	.298	5	11	23%	4%	60	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)