Freddy Zamora
SS Nashville Sounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/AAMIL | 362 | .193/.310/.261 | 4 | 9 | 43 | — | .182/.271/.235 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAMIL | 396 | .257/.355/.348 | 4 | 13 | 70 | — | .234/.304/.307 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAAMIL | 149 | .190/.311/.333 | 3 | 2 | 39 | — | .144/.236/.242 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBMIL | 10 | .205/.284/.286 | 0 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBMIL | 41 | .205/.284/.286 | 0 | 1 | 66 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 92 | 79 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 342 | 435 | 494 | 928 | 152 | 441 | 21 | 13 | 414 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 321 | 268 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 45 | 57 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 287 | 399 | 399 | 799 | 112 | 344 | 18 | 14 | 362 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 100 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 286 | 558 | 77 | 261 | 22 | 5 | 256 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 437 | 377 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 255 | 354 | 361 | 715 | 106 | 314 | 20 | 12 | 327 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 220 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 55 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 195 | 298 | 250 | 548 | 55 | 247 | 22 | 11 | 259 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 107 | 86 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 340 | 291 | 630 | 105 | 215 | 19 | 12 | 301 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 339 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 70 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 257 | 355 | 348 | 704 | 91 | 310 | 18 | 13 | 321 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 126 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 311 | 333 | 644 | 143 | 236 | 23 | 13 | 296 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 92 | 82 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 370 | 415 | 784 | 122 | 393 | 28 | 10 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 321 | 283 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 78 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 233 | 318 | 314 | 632 | 81 | 298 | 24 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 100 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 232 | 258 | 490 | 75 | 234 | 28 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 437 | 394 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 118 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 228 | 301 | 320 | 621 | 91 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 229 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 67 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 188 | 262 | 236 | 498 | 48 | 245 | 26 | 7 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 107 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 292 | 233 | 526 | 67 | 205 | 23 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 355 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 83 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 234 | 304 | 307 | 611 | 73 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 144 | 236 | 242 | 479 | 98 | 198 | 28 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 365 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 104 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 244 | 327 | 332 | 658 | 88 | 324 | 25 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 413 | 347 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 57 | 76 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 300 | 407 | 421 | 828 | 121 | 366 | 18 | 14 | 374 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 100 | 93 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 232 | 258 | 490 | 75 | 246 | 28 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 100 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 286 | 558 | 77 | 261 | 22 | 5 | 256 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 437 | 394 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 118 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 228 | 301 | 320 | 621 | 91 | 311 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 437 | 377 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 255 | 354 | 361 | 715 | 106 | 314 | 20 | 12 | 327 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 319 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 92 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 179 | 268 | 232 | 500 | 53 | 237 | 25 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 306 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 75 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 193 | 310 | 261 | 571 | 69 | 238 | 21 | 11 | 271 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 355 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 83 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 234 | 304 | 307 | 611 | 73 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 339 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 70 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 257 | 355 | 348 | 704 | 91 | 310 | 18 | 13 | 321 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 144 | 236 | 242 | 479 | 98 | 191 | 28 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 126 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 311 | 333 | 644 | 143 | 236 | 23 | 13 | 296 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 365 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 104 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 244 | 327 | 332 | 658 | 88 | 319 | 25 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 100 | 94 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 181 | 232 | 255 | 488 | 74 | 234 | 28 | 3 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 437 | 393 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 118 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 229 | 301 | 321 | 622 | 92 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 320 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 92 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 178 | 268 | 231 | 499 | 53 | 233 | 25 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 357 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 83 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 232 | 304 | 305 | 610 | 73 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 144 | 236 | 242 | 479 | 98 | 198 | 28 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 320 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 92 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 178 | 268 | 231 | 499 | 53 | 233 | 25 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 396 | 357 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 83 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 232 | 304 | 305 | 610 | 73 | 287 | 21 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 144 | 236 | 242 | 479 | 98 | 198 | 28 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 10% | 200 | 178 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 208 | 287 | 291 | 578 | 83 | 278 | 26 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 284 | 286 | 571 | 81 | 273 | 30 | 10 | 263 | 66 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 27% | 151 | 135 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 286 | 291 | 577 | 83 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 265 | 66 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 27% | 41 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 284 | 286 | 570 | 82 | 273 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 162 | 244 | 189 | 433 | 27 | 231 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 95 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 174 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 162 | 245 | 189 | 434 | 27 | 230 | 27 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -26 | +3 | -6 | +7 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2113 | 1887 | 402 | 78 | 3 | 22 | 175 | 533 | 33 | 60 | 20 | 213 | 291 | 293 | 584 | 79 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 124 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 164 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 214 | 292 | 295 | 587 | 81 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -26 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANashville Sounds · 149 PAwOBA .291 → .226 (−64)K% 23.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 12.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .291 → .226; ISO .143 → .108; BABIP .236 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANashville Sounds · 396 PAwOBA .315 → .271 (−44)K% 17.7% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.79% | ÷0.983 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .315 → .271; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .310 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANashville Sounds · 255 PAwOBA .256 → .226 (−30)K% 21.6% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.57% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.98% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 21.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.21% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .256 → .226; ISO .055 → .045; BABIP .247 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 107 PAwOBA .297 → .248 (−49)K% 18.7% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.69% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.15% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 5.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 16.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.032 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .297 → .248; ISO .105 → .082; BABIP .215 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 437 PAwOBA .321 → .276 (−44)K% 20.4% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.65% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 23.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.827 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.43% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .321 → .276; ISO .106 → .095; BABIP .314 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 100 PAwOBA .252 → .210 (−42)K% 22.0% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.00% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.012 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .252 → .210; ISO .077 → .066; BABIP .261 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 321 PAwOBA .357 → .283 (−74)K% 17.8% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.76% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.02% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.49% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.177 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.37% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.93% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .357 → .283; ISO .112 → .084; BABIP .344 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 92 PAwOBA .404 → .323 (−81)K% 20.7% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.33% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 27.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 11.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .404 → .323; ISO .152 → .109; BABIP .441 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).