L.J. Mazzilli
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 475 | .239/.323/.348 | 5 | 8 | 60 | — | .218/.276/.308 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 426 | .254/.342/.362 | 5 | 9 | 64 | — | .223/.287/.298 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 265 | .246/.321/.403 | 7 | 2 | 63 | — | .210/.267/.337 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 274 | 250 | 78 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 312 | 365 | 456 | 821 | 144 | 344 | 12 | 6 | 362 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 284 | 250 | 73 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 48 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 292 | 368 | 428 | 796 | 136 | 332 | 17 | 10 | 352 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 60 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 306 | 433 | 469 | 903 | 163 | 389 | 20 | 15 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 374 | 334 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 338 | 329 | 667 | 69 | 312 | 15 | 10 | 307 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 455 | 715 | 227 | 235 | 17 | 4 | 311 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 34 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 242 | 207 | 449 | 69 | 160 | 15 | 12 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 55 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 288 | 396 | 684 | 167 | 233 | 13 | 7 | 288 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 420 | 366 | 88 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 66 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 240 | 328 | 342 | 669 | 101 | 281 | 16 | 11 | 302 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 55 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 217 | 315 | 348 | 663 | 130 | 281 | 24 | 13 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 371 | 324 | 84 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 53 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 259 | 346 | 364 | 710 | 105 | 296 | 14 | 11 | 321 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 265 | 236 | 58 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 321 | 403 | 723 | 157 | 274 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 274 | 255 | 71 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 278 | 321 | 404 | 725 | 125 | 324 | 18 | 4 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 284 | 261 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 63 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 241 | 293 | 352 | 645 | 111 | 288 | 22 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 374 | 345 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 70 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 282 | 278 | 560 | 55 | 278 | 19 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 23 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 261 | 455 | 715 | 227 | 202 | 26 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 55 | 49 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 250 | 347 | 597 | 143 | 198 | 16 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 420 | 383 | 84 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 76 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 219 | 280 | 303 | 582 | 84 | 259 | 18 | 8 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 55 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 163 | 241 | 265 | 506 | 102 | 244 | 33 | 9 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 371 | 337 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 294 | 303 | 597 | 71 | 272 | 17 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 265 | 243 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 267 | 337 | 605 | 128 | 240 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 618 | 571 | 149 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 123 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 261 | 309 | 382 | 691 | 121 | 313 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 618 | 549 | 166 | 32 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 93 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 302 | 373 | 444 | 818 | 142 | 342 | 15 | 9 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 431 | 398 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 277 | 284 | 561 | 63 | 275 | 19 | 6 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 431 | 385 | 96 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 65 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 249 | 326 | 327 | 654 | 78 | 296 | 15 | 10 | 299 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 432 | 94 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 85 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 218 | 276 | 308 | 584 | 90 | 258 | 18 | 7 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 475 | 414 | 99 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 73 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 323 | 348 | 671 | 109 | 275 | 15 | 11 | 301 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 386 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 80 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 225 | 290 | 303 | 593 | 78 | 275 | 19 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 426 | 370 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 66 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 254 | 342 | 362 | 704 | 108 | 295 | 15 | 11 | 318 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 265 | 243 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 267 | 337 | 605 | 128 | 243 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 265 | 236 | 58 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 321 | 403 | 723 | 157 | 274 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 618 | 573 | 149 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 123 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 309 | 380 | 690 | 120 | 306 | 20 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 431 | 397 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 83 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 277 | 285 | 562 | 63 | 274 | 19 | 6 | 250 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 437 | 94 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 85 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 276 | 304 | 581 | 89 | 252 | 18 | 7 | 258 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 388 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 80 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 224 | 290 | 302 | 591 | 77 | 268 | 19 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 265 | 244 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 54 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 267 | 336 | 603 | 127 | 240 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2215 | 2030 | 469 | 96 | 13 | 24 | 142 | 425 | 18 | 40 | 15 | 231 | 287 | 327 | 614 | 96 | 278 | 19 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -84 | +2 | +0 | +8 | +48 | -2.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 138 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 125 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 232 | 288 | 327 | 615 | 96 | 279 | 19 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 265 PAwOBA .315 → .262 (−53)K% 17.0% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.30% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.32% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 16.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.66% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .315 → .262; ISO .157 → .128; BABIP .274 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 371 PAwOBA .315 → .269 (−46)K% 14.3% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.51% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.77% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.056 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×0.978 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.365 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.82% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .315 → .269; ISO .105 → .077; BABIP .296 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 55 PAwOBA .288 → .225 (−64)K% 23.6% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.64% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 16.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.209 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .288 → .225; ISO .130 → .094; BABIP .281 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABinghamton Mets · 420 PAwOBA .295 → .259 (−37)K% 15.7% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷1.062 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.95% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.67% | ÷1.034 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 20.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷1.070 | ×0.860 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 3.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | ×0.988 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.085 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 107, 2B 114, 3B 91, K 112, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .295 → .259; ISO .101 → .088; BABIP .281 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAALas Vegas 51s · 55 PAwOBA .296 → .247 (−49)K% 12.7% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 11.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷1.128 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 9.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.810 | ×1.032 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 126, 3B 96, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .296 → .247; ISO .167 → .129; BABIP .233 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABinghamton Mets · 374 PAwOBA .300 → .252 (−48)K% 15.0% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.97% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷1.030 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 21.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .300 → .252; ISO .069 → .058; BABIP .312 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+St. Lucie Mets · 23 PAwOBA .302 → .225 (−77)K% 17.4% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.992 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.023 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 3.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 9.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.055 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.978 | 9.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.269 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 3.77% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 110, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .225; ISO .227 → .160; BABIP .235 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 284 PAwOBA .348 → .282 (−66)K% 16.9% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.90% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.21% | ÷1.053 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.23% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 3.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.908 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×0.980 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.47% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 2.82% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 82, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .348 → .282; ISO .136 → .114; BABIP .332 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .