Jesus Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jesus HernandezSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	139	118	31	3	0	0	19	20	1	10	4	263	370	288	658	25	313	14	14	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	155	133	33	3	2	1	19	20	0	11	2	248	342	323	665	75	278	13	12	302	91	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	211	168	44	9	1	3	40	37	1	10	2	262	407	381	788	119	315	18	19	361	130	+8	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	275	60	13	2	2	43	74	1	17	4	218	326	302	628	84	287	23	13	290	83	-7	+2	—	—	+7	0.2
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	162	135	29	8	0	2	21	40	5	11	4	215	340	319	658	104	290	25	13	308	95	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	168	146	36	10	4	3	19	42	3	10	0	247	345	432	777	185	327	25	11	346	121	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	139	126	26	2	0	0	11	29	1	10	4	206	275	222	498	16	260	21	8	229	41	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	155	139	26	2	1	1	13	29	0	11	2	187	257	237	494	50	219	19	8	226	39	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	211	182	34	6	1	2	26	54	1	10	2	187	292	264	556	77	241	26	12	255	59	-10	+1	—	—	+5	-0.5
2024	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	285	50	11	2	2	33	102	1	17	4	175	263	249	512	74	256	32	10	233	44	-22	+2	—	—	+7	-1.3
2025	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	162	142	23	6	0	2	15	56	5	11	4	162	265	246	512	85	241	35	9	227	40	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	168	151	28	9	3	2	14	59	3	10	0	185	268	325	592	139	289	35	8	264	65	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.1
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	139	126	26	2	0	0	11	29	1	10	4	206	275	222	498	16	265	21	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	139	118	31	3	0	0	19	20	1	10	4	263	370	288	658	25	313	14	14	311	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	155	139	26	2	1	1	13	29	0	11	2	187	257	237	494	50	223	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	155	133	33	3	2	1	19	20	0	11	2	248	342	323	665	75	278	13	12	302	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	211	182	34	6	1	2	26	54	1	10	2	187	292	264	556	77	250	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	211	168	44	9	1	3	40	37	1	10	2	262	407	381	788	119	315	18	19	361	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	285	50	11	2	2	33	102	1	17	4	175	263	249	512	74	261	32	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	275	60	13	2	2	43	74	1	17	4	218	326	302	628	84	287	23	13	290	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	330	293	51	15	3	4	29	114	8	21	4	174	267	287	553	113	269	35	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	330	281	65	18	4	5	40	82	8	21	4	231	342	377	720	146	309	25	12	328	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	139	126	26	2	0	0	11	29	1	10	4	206	275	222	498	16	260	21	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	155	141	26	2	1	1	13	29	0	11	2	184	257	234	491	50	219	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	211	182	34	6	1	2	26	54	1	10	2	187	292	264	556	77	241	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	286	50	11	2	2	33	102	1	17	4	175	263	248	512	73	256	32	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	330	290	51	15	3	4	29	114	8	21	4	176	267	290	556	114	265	35	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	211	182	34	6	1	2	26	54	1	10	2	187	292	264	556	77	241	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	323	286	50	11	2	2	33	102	1	17	4	175	263	248	512	73	256	32	10	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	330	290	51	15	3	4	29	114	8	21	4	176	267	290	556	114	265	35	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	MIA	—	261	231	57	8	1	4	27	63	0	22	6	247	326	342	668	95	319	24	10	296	86	-4	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	MIA	—	261	220	66	10	1	5	38	47	0	22	6	300	403	423	826	123	359	18	15	370	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	MIA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	22	11	271	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	MIA	—	270	239	58	8	1	4	28	65	0	22	6	243	322	335	657	92	314	24	10	295	86	-5	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	364	322	70	13	2	6	36	96	3	15	4	217	302	326	628	109	281	26	10	280	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	430	382	83	15	2	8	42	110	3	18	5	217	300	330	630	113	283	26	10	288	81	-10	+2	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	466	413	91	17	2	9	46	118	4	20	5	220	305	337	641	116	284	25	10	293	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	488	433	96	18	2	10	48	123	4	21	5	222	305	342	647	120	284	25	10	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	496	439	97	18	2	10	50	125	4	21	5	221	306	339	646	118	284	25	10	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	496	439	96	18	2	10	50	126	4	20	5	219	304	337	641	118	283	25	10	294	85	-9	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	489	432	94	17	2	10	50	125	4	18	5	218	305	336	640	118	283	26	10	292	84	-9	+2	-1	+5	+11	0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	481	425	92	17	2	9	49	124	4	16	4	216	303	329	633	113	282	26	10	290	82	-10	+2	-2	+5	+10	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	468	413	89	16	2	9	48	122	4	14	3	215	303	329	633	114	280	26	10	286	80	-11	+2	-3	+5	+10	0.3
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIA	59%	451	399	84	15	2	8	46	120	3	11	3	211	297	318	615	108	277	27	10	281	76	-13	+1	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	126	112	24	4	1	2	12	33	1	5	1	214	296	321	617	107	274	26	10	268	75	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	199	176	37	7	1	3	20	51	1	8	2	210	294	312	607	102	275	26	10	276	81	-4	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	241	213	46	8	1	5	24	61	2	10	3	216	301	333	635	117	276	25	10	280	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	265	235	50	9	1	5	26	67	2	11	3	213	297	323	620	111	276	25	10	282	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	269	238	51	9	1	5	27	68	2	11	3	214	300	324	623	109	276	25	10	282	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	269	238	50	9	1	5	27	68	2	11	3	210	296	319	615	109	276	25	10	281	85	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	260	230	49	9	1	5	26	67	2	10	2	213	298	326	625	113	275	26	10	279	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	252	222	47	8	1	5	26	65	2	8	2	212	300	324	624	113	274	26	10	277	82	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	264	233	49	9	1	5	27	69	2	8	2	210	298	322	620	112	272	26	10	273	80	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIA	59%	267	236	47	8	1	4	27	71	2	6	2	199	287	292	579	93	269	27	10	269	76	-8	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2412	2133	450	80	10	44	242	620	18	88	23	211	297	320	616	109	275	26	10	277	75	-51	+8	-6	+26	+52	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	122	22	3	12	65	167	5	24	6	212	298	323	621	111	276	26	10	277	75	-14	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5796	5130	1080	200	27	98	578	1519	48	243	60	211	296	317	614	107	277	26	10	279	75	-99	+17	-10	+50	+100	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	121	22	3	11	65	170	5	27	7	210	296	317	612	106	277	26	10	279	75	-14	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,412	47	89	219	301	336	+26	+15	4.9	4.5
/162	664	13	25	+7.1	+4.1	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	35	40	55	45	205/289/296	91	279	4	17	27%	10%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	51	-2.2	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	50	-2.3	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	37	-0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	206/260/294	87	286	6	20	29%	5%	57	-1.8	210/269/338	128	294	14	23	32%	7%	71	-0.8	201/266/326	124	278	13	27	31%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	44→43	39→45	54→55	45	209/272/300	91	255	6	21	20%	6%	63	-1.4	210/285/316	106	253	11	18	21%	8%	72	-0.7	198/277/292	93	235	11	17	20%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	39→38	42→45	50→55	44	192/267/299	107	251	9	15	27%	7%	61	-1.5	187/269/294	107	260	10	20	30%	7%	62	-1.4	144/249/271	127	213	15	25	38%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	42→50	37→45	55	43	202/266/271	69	272	4	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	225/286/321	96	289	7	20	23%	6%	73	-0.6	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Devin Mann 2019 · A	22	44	38→50	46→45	48	208/284/291	83	279	5	9	26%	9%	65	-1.2	218/288/366	148	285	17	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Franklin Rollin 2018 · A	22	46	40→45	54→55	40	224/262/318	94	276	6	18	21%	4%	62	-1.4	201/248/285	84	259	7	15	24%	5%	50	-2.3	185/237/257	72	234	6	17	23%	5%	37	-1.4
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps