Jesus HernandezSS Beloit Sky Carp
Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .291 / .325
PA177
HR3
SB7
K%29
BB%9
BABIP288
ISO115
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +3.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.00.81.70.00.40.81.01.21.21.10.90.70.4+$53M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$7M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Arb-1$2M+0.9$2M+$1M
2034Arb-2$2M+0.7$2M+$0.5M
2035Arb-3$2M+0.4$0.8M+$0.0M
Totals $9M $24M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Marlins — 139127 27200 10291 104 213275228504 16273 217 232 36 — — — — — —
202117 ROKDSL Marlins — 139118 31300 19201 104 263370288658 25313 1414 311 96 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Marlins — 155139 26211 13300 112 187257237494 50225 198 232 36 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Marlins — 155133 33321 19200 112 248342323665 75278 1312 302 90 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Marlins — 211181 33512 27541 102 182292254546 72244 2613 254 53 — — — — — —
202319 ROKFCL Marlins — 211168 44913 40371 102 262407381788 119315 1819 361 134 — — — — — —
202420 AJupiter Hammerheads — 323285 491122 33991 174 172260246506 74251 3110 230 34 — — — — — —
202420 AJupiter Hammerheads — 323275 601322 43741 174 218326302628 84287 2313 290 80 — — — — — —
202521 A2 teams — 330293 501534 291158 214 171264283547 113264 359 248 48 — — — — — —
202521 A2 teams — 330281 651845 40828 214 231342377720 146309 2512 328 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+MIA — 143127 35514 13390 100 276343425768 150360 279 326 108 +1 +2 +0 +2 +4 0.9
YTD22 A+MIA — 143122 41615 18290 100 336421525946 189400 2013 409 171 +12 +2 +0 +2 +4 2.0
ROS22 A+MIA 0% 177157 33713 16512 71 210291325616 115279 299 271 66 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
ROS22 MLBMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 274 00 261 58 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+MIA — 144128 35514 13390 100 273340422762 148356 279 326 107 +1 +2 +0 +2 +4 0.9
TOT22 A+MIA — 320284 681227 29902 171 239314370684 130321 289 296 85 -6 +3 +0 +3 +9 1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBMIA 35% 364324 671426 341033 132 207288318606 111280 289 278 71 -12 +2 +0 +4 +10 0.4
202824 MLBMIA 46% 430383 811638 401184 152 211293332624 120282 279 286 77 -11 +2 +0 +5 +12 0.8
202925 MLBMIA 52% 466414 9018310 441265 162 217300348648 130283 279 290 80 -10 +2 +0 +5 +13 1.0
203026 MLBMIA 54% 488434 9519311 461315 172 219301353654 134283 279 292 82 -10 +3 +0 +5 +14 1.2
203127 MLBMIA 54% 496441 9619311 471345 172 218300349649 132283 279 292 82 -10 +3 +0 +5 +14 1.2
203228 MLBMIA 54% 496440 9519311 481345 162 216300348648 132283 2710 291 81 -11 +2 -1 +5 +14 1.1
203329 MLBMIA 53% 489434 9319310 471345 152 214298341639 127282 2710 290 80 -11 +2 -1 +5 +14 0.9
203430 MLBMIA 52% 481426 9118310 471335 132 214299340640 127281 2810 287 78 -12 +2 -2 +5 +14 0.7
203531 MLBMIA 56% 468416 871739 451304 112 209292329622 120279 2810 283 75 -13 +1 -3 +5 +13 0.4
203632 MLBMIA 59% 451400 811628 441274 91 203288312600 110276 2810 278 71 -15 +1 -4 +5 +13 0.1
203733 MLBMIA 61% 422374 741427 411214 71 198284302586 104272 2910 272 66 -16 +1 -4 +5 +12 -0.3
202723 MLBMIA 35% 126112 23512 12351 41 205288321609 116276 2810 267 63 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.0
202824 MLBMIA 46% 199176 37714 19552 71 210294330624 119277 2810 275 69 -7 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.2
202925 MLBMIA 52% 241214 45915 23652 81 210293332625 121278 2710 279 72 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.3
203026 MLBMIA 54% 265235 511026 25713 91 217300353654 136278 279 281 73 -8 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203127 MLBMIA 54% 269238 511026 26733 91 214300349648 134278 2710 281 73 -8 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203228 MLBMIA 54% 269238 511026 26733 91 214300349648 134278 2710 280 73 -8 +1 -0 +3 +8 0.3
203329 MLBMIA 53% 260231 481015 25712 81 208291325615 117277 2710 279 71 -8 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.2
203430 MLBMIA 52% 252224 46915 24692 71 205288321609 116276 2710 276 70 -9 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.1
203531 MLBMIA 56% 264234 481015 26742 61 205290321611 115274 2810 273 67 -10 +1 -2 +3 +7 -0.0
203632 MLBMIA 59% 267237 47915 26752 51 198283308591 110271 2810 268 63 -11 +1 -2 +3 +8 -0.2
203733 MLBMIA 61% 257228 45914 25742 41 197282298581 101267 2910 262 58 -12 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 26702368 492981453 25773524 7611 208292328620 120276 2810 275 69 -95 +11 -8 +29 +76 1.2
/ 162G— — 650576 12024313 631796 193 208293328621 120276 2810 275 69 -23 +3 -2 +7 +18 0.3
Career— — 63865668 116823138113 611176962 22537 206290320610 114276 2810 277 70 -215 +30 -15 +68 +181 5.1
/ 162G— — 650577 12024412 621806 234 208291326617 118278 2810 277 70 -22 +3 -1 +7 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Marlins — 139118 31300 19201 104 263370288658 25313 1414 311 96 -1 +0 — — +4 0.4
202218 ROKFCL Marlins — 155133 33321 19200 112 248342323665 75278 1312 302 90 -2 +1 — — +4 0.4
202319 ROKFCL Marlins — 211168 44913 40371 102 262407381788 119315 1819 361 134 +8 +1 — — +6 1.6
202420 AJupiter Hammerheads — 323275 601322 43741 174 218326302628 84287 2313 290 80 -7 +2 — — +9 0.4
202521 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 162135 29802 21405 114 215340319658 104290 2513 308 94 -1 +1 — — +5 0.4
202521 AJupiter Hammerheads — 168146 361043 19423 100 247345432777 185327 2511 346 123 +4 +2 — — +5 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,6705378213293337+29+184.13.9
/1626641319+7.1+4.51.0pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jesus Hernandez (OGILVIE) 22 35 40 55 45 239/314/370 130321 717 28% 9% 85 +1.0 ————————— —————————
✕Franklin Tineo
2017 · A 		22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
✕Luke Williams
2019 · A 		22 41→46 37→45 50→60 41 199/250/266 67260 515 25% 5% 40 -2.4 204/263/297 93276 719 27% 7% 53 -1.5 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
✕Christian Cairo
2023 · A 		22 39→46 38→40 53→60 49 182/289/262 80287 616 35% 11% 58 -1.2 202/293/281 79297 523 30% 10% 63 -0.8 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
✕Kenedy Corona
2022 · A 		22 43→40 39→45 52→55 39 205/259/290 85285 620 29% 5% 50 -1.8 206/268/333 127294 1323 33% 7% 66 -0.6 198/265/322124280132732%7%58-0.9
✕Melvin Santana
2014 · A 		22 42 37→45 51→50 45 200/253/283 83254 311 22% 6% 45 -2.1 203/251/281 78279 311 27% 6% 43 -2.2 195/231/2646926201924%4%29-0.6
✕Max George
2018 · A 		22 37→36 41→45 50→55 44 184/260/281 97244 815 27% 7% 50 -1.8 178/258/271 93255 820 32% 7% 46 -2.0 135/238/252117208132539%8%32-1.5
✕Jeter Downs
2019 · A 		21 41→40 42→50 52→55 42 203/265/309 106263 1018 26% 6% 58 -1.2 207/272/357 150272 1718 30% 7% 74 -0.1 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
✕Corey Joyce
2022 · AA 		23 40 39→45 54→50 39 192/262/274 82303 814 37% 7% 48 -1.9 206/305/332 126296 1313 32% 10% 82 +0.5 214/316/327113306111430%10%82+0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Nelson Medina
2022 · A 		21 39 38→45 53→50 47 187/270/270 84274 515 31% 9% 51 -1.7 185/255/279 94336 713 43% 8% 46 -2.0 134/194/2097529151652%6%-1-1.8
✕Adrian Abreu
2012 · A 		21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
✕Dylan Neuse
2023 · A 		24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
✕Steven Baron
2013 · A 		22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Lolo Sanchez
2021 · A 		22 43 39→45 54→55 45 207/270/301 93254 621 20% 6% 57 -1.2 209/281/312 103254 1118 21% 8% 66 -0.6 196/272/28790235101721%8%53-0.9
✕Livan Soto
2022 · AA 		22 36→46 40 50 41 181/235/274 93246 811 29% 6% 36 -2.7 225/291/315 90302 79 26% 8% 70 -0.3 236/307/320843107824%9%76+0.0
✕Gorge Munoz
2017 · A 		21 43 38→40 50→55 42 205/260/282 78258 517 22% 5% 48 -1.9 205/257/290 85298 710 32% 5% 49 -1.8 185/231/261772879937%3%28-0.8
✕Samad Taylor
2021 · A 		23 36→46 40→50 52→65 43 176/254/274 98271 722 35% 8% 45 -2.1 230/301/375 145329 1734 33% 8% 90 +1.0 239/314/383144329164630%9%96+0.9
✕Juan Mora
2021 · A 		21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
✕Chris Roller
2019 · A 		22 40 41→50 51→55 42 193/268/296 103286 914 34% 8% 56 -1.3 205/269/314 109292 812 30% 6% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
●Levi Michael
2014 · A 		23 39→49 37→45 55 49 187/266/263 76252 413 26% 9% 46 -2.0 219/285/303 84294 416 25% 7% 64 -0.8 226/293/341115319101130%5%75+0.0