Jesus Hernandez — OGILVIE

Jesus HernandezSS Beloit Sky Carp

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs A+ HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.1 · 2030

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .274 / .298

PA320

HR4

SB8

K%32

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

54↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$10M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$4M	+$2M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$1M
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.1M
Totals		$9M		$39M	+$30M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	139	126	26	2	0	0	11	29	1	10	4	.206	.275	.222	.498	.016	.265	21	8	.229	33	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2022	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	155	139	26	2	1	1	13	30	0	11	2	.187	.257	.237	.494	.050	.225	19	8	.231	35	-11	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	211	181	32	5	0	2	27	54	1	10	2	.177	.287	.238	.525	.061	.236	26	13	.253	52	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2024	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	323	285	49	11	2	2	33	100	1	17	4	.172	.260	.246	.506	.074	.253	31	10	.231	35	-24	+2	+0	+3	+9	-1.0
2025	21	A	2 teams	330	293	51	15	3	4	29	113	8	21	4	.174	.267	.287	.553	.113	.267	34	9	.248	48	-19	+3	+0	+4	+9	-0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	23	22	5	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	.227	.261	.273	.534	.045	.333	30	4	.222	28	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	297	264	51	12	2	4	27	94	4	8	2	.193	.278	.299	.577	.106	.278	32	9	.264	60	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
TOT	22	MLB	MIA	320	286	56	13	2	4	28	101	4	8	2	.196	.277	.297	.574	.101	.286	32	9	.261	58	-15	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	MIA	364	323	65	15	2	7	34	110	4	10	2	.201	.285	.325	.610	.124	.280	30	9	.277	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2028	24	MLB 26%	MIA	430	381	80	18	3	9	41	126	5	11	2	.210	.295	.344	.639	.134	.282	29	10	.285	77	-11	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2029	25	MLB 44%	MIA	466	412	87	19	3	10	45	134	6	12	2	.211	.298	.345	.643	.133	.283	29	10	.290	80	-10	+2	+0	+5	+13	1.0
2030	26	MLB 59%	MIA	488	431	91	20	3	11	48	140	6	12	2	.211	.299	.348	.647	.137	.284	29	10	.293	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.1
2031	27	MLB 76%	MIA	496	437	92	20	3	11	50	142	6	12	2	.211	.300	.346	.646	.135	.284	29	10	.293	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.1
2032	28	MLB 84%	MIA	496	437	92	20	3	11	50	143	6	11	2	.211	.300	.346	.646	.135	.283	29	10	.292	82	-10	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.0
2033	29	MLB	MIA	489	430	90	20	3	10	50	143	6	10	1	.209	.300	.340	.640	.130	.283	29	10	.290	80	-11	+2	-1	+5	+14	0.8
2034	30	MLB	MIA	481	423	87	19	3	10	49	142	6	9	1	.206	.297	.336	.633	.130	.281	30	10	.287	78	-12	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.6
2035	31	MLB	MIA	468	413	83	18	3	9	47	140	5	7	0	.201	.290	.324	.615	.123	.279	30	10	.283	75	-13	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.4
2036	32	MLB	MIA	451	397	79	17	2	9	46	137	5	6	0	.199	.290	.320	.610	.121	.278	30	10	.278	71	-15	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.1
2037	33	MLB	MIA	422	372	72	16	2	7	42	131	5	5	0	.194	.284	.304	.588	.110	.276	31	10	.273	67	-16	+1	-4	+5	+12	-0.3
2038	34	MLB	MIA	376	331	63	14	2	6	38	120	4	5	0	.190	.282	.299	.581	.109	.274	32	10	.267	62	-16	+1	-5	+4	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6882	6075	1216	263	40	123	680	2028	79	187	32	.200	.289	.317	.606	.117	.276	29	10	.276	70	-237	+25	-20	+74	+195	3.8
/ 162G	—			650	574	116	25	4	12	64	192	7	18	3	.202	.289	.322	.612	.120	.279	30	10	.276	70	-22	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	139	118	31	3	0	0	19	20	1	10	4	.263	.370	.288	.658	.025	.313	14	14	.311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	155	133	33	3	2	1	19	20	0	11	2	.248	.342	.323	.665	.075	.278	13	12	.302	90	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	211	168	44	9	1	3	40	37	1	10	2	.262	.407	.381	.788	.119	.315	18	19	.361	134	+8	+1	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	323	275	60	13	2	2	43	74	1	17	4	.218	.326	.302	.628	.084	.287	23	13	.290	80	-7	+2	—	—	+9	0.4
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	162	135	29	8	0	2	21	40	5	11	4	.215	.340	.319	.658	.104	.290	25	13	.308	94	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	168	146	36	10	4	3	19	42	3	10	0	.247	.345	.432	.777	.185	.327	25	11	.346	123	+4	+2	—	—	+5	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	35	40	55	45	.191/.274/.298	.106	.278	4	9	32%	9%	60	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→45	51→55	43	.194/.269/.295	.102	.283	8	13	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.206/.272/.316	.110	.289	8	12	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.179/.267/.290	.111	.261	11	19	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→47	39→40	53→60	49	.186/.290/.271	.084	.288	7	16	34%	11%	60	-1.0	.204/.296/.285	.081	.295	5	22	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.215/.301/.289	.073	.310	4	35	29%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	41	39→45	53→50	39	.193/.262/.274	.080	.300	7	13	36%	7%	48	-1.9	.208/.307/.328	.120	.294	12	12	31%	10%	82	+0.5	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	44	39→40	53→60	40	.210/.265/.300	.090	.306	6	14	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.187/.266/.264	.077	.308	6	22	38%	8%	47	-1.9	.145/.239/.202	.057	.243	5	33	39%	9%	19	-1.1
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	40	42→45	50→55	41	.172/.280/.276	.105	.337	10	18	46%	10%	58	-1.2	.187/.287/.297	.110	.339	11	16	43%	10%	66	-0.6	.170/.275/.273	.103	.306	12	18	43%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	39→45	53→50	46	.186/.268/.273	.087	.271	6	14	31%	9%	50	-1.7	.188/.261/.284	.096	.328	7	13	41%	8%	50	-1.7	.138/.200/.215	.077	.281	6	16	50%	7%	4	-1.7
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	35	.183/.259/.287	.104	.311	11	11	42%	6%	51	-1.7	.198/.263/.310	.112	.287	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	.185/.242/.280	.095	.261	13	5	33%	5%	38	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→43	39→45	52→50	47	.213/.289/.298	.085	.295	6	13	28%	9%	66	-0.6	.202/.272/.312	.110	.268	11	10	27%	8%	62	-0.9	.192/.264/.305	.113	.252	12	10	28%	8%	54	-1.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Justin Trapp 2013 · A	22	44→45	41→45	54→55	40	.212/.269/.314	.103	.292	9	17	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.215/.269/.310	.095	.294	9	15	28%	6%	59	-1.1	.211/.263/.291	.080	.287	8	16	28%	5%	49	-1.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→50	52→55	40	.209/.263/.298	.090	.280	6	19	27%	5%	54	-1.4	.207/.266/.340	.133	.290	15	23	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.196/.261/.326	.130	.273	15	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	43	41→45	50	43	.204/.273/.304	.100	.299	8	11	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.191/.262/.285	.094	.292	6	14	34%	8%	50	-1.7	.147/.226/.244	.097	.221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	.222/.297/.343	.121	.288	11	15	26%	8%	81	+0.4	.226/.283/.335	.109	.306	10	9	28%	5%	72	-0.2	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	.207/.272/.315	.108	.262	11	18	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.208/.274/.359	.151	.269	18	18	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	43	43→50	48→50	43	.207/.283/.317	.110	.309	11	13	34%	8%	68	-0.5	.202/.282/.359	.157	.299	19	17	37%	8%	79	+0.3	.185/.268/.344	.160	.263	20	18	36%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	42→30	38→45	56→50	41	.197/.266/.279	.082	.311	5	16	36%	8%	50	-1.7	.214/.271/.343	.129	.318	13	13	35%	6%	69	-0.4	.203/.261/.318	.115	.298	12	16	35%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→42	45	56→60	41	.216/.289/.348	.132	.304	12	18	31%	7%	79	+0.3	.200/.277/.317	.117	.285	12	34	32%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.273/.320	.120	.271	12	40	29%	8%	62	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)