Bryce ArnoldSS
Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 25
R/R
5'10" / 175 lbs
A
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.7 · 2029
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .284 / .309
PA302
HR7
SB5
K%35
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
50→50
SPD
50→50
EYE
56↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-3M | +$1.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 148 | 128 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .156 | .270 | .227 | .497 | .070 | .221 | 28 | 11 | .243 | 44 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 327 | 279 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 127 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .165 | .281 | .262 | .543 | .097 | .275 | 39 | 11 | .244 | 45 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 318 | 272 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 116 | 15 | 10 | 0 | .169 | .278 | .290 | .568 | .121 | .253 | 36 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -15 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 302 | 263 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 107 | 9 | 5 | 1 | .190 | .288 | .319 | .607 | .129 | .282 | 35 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | TOR | 334 | 291 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 114 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .196 | .293 | .326 | .620 | .131 | .285 | 34 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | TOR | 366 | 319 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 122 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .197 | .295 | .329 | .624 | .132 | .286 | 33 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | TOR | 386 | 337 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 128 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .202 | .298 | .338 | .636 | .136 | .286 | 33 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | TOR | 390 | 341 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 129 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .199 | .295 | .334 | .629 | .135 | .285 | 33 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | TOR | 391 | 341 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 131 | 10 | 6 | 0 | .196 | .294 | .323 | .616 | .126 | .283 | 34 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | TOR | 381 | 332 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 129 | 10 | 5 | 0 | .193 | .291 | .319 | .610 | .127 | .282 | 34 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 75% | TOR | 365 | 319 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 125 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .191 | .287 | .313 | .601 | .122 | .280 | 34 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 92% | TOR | 337 | 295 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 118 | 8 | 4 | 0 | .186 | .281 | .302 | .583 | .115 | .278 | 35 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 294 | 258 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 105 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .182 | .277 | .295 | .572 | .112 | .276 | 36 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4339 | 3775 | 712 | 150 | 12 | 96 | 408 | 1492 | 119 | 76 | 5 | .189 | .288 | .311 | .599 | .122 | .278 | 34 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -156 | +13 | -20 | +46 | +123 | 0.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 566 | 106 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 224 | 18 | 11 | 1 | .187 | .287 | .307 | .595 | .120 | .277 | 34 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -23 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 35 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .152 | .200 | .182 | .382 | .030 | .227 | 31 | 6 | .180 | -4 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 113 | 88 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .216 | .389 | .352 | .742 | .136 | .254 | 17 | 19 | .348 | 125 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 43 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .297 | .366 | .324 | .690 | .027 | .500 | 37 | 5 | .307 | 93 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 284 | 231 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 77 | 7 | 7 | 2 | .195 | .343 | .329 | .672 | .134 | .262 | 27 | 16 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 98 | 80 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .323 | .325 | .648 | .138 | .250 | 29 | 12 | .297 | 86 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 220 | 180 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 51 | 11 | 10 | 0 | .256 | .382 | .461 | .844 | .206 | .301 | 23 | 12 | .374 | 144 | +11 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 2.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Bryce Arnold (OGILVIE) | 25 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 45 | .187/.284/.309 | .123 | .282 | 7 | 5 | 35% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA |
24 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .196/.261/.330 | .133 | .269 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.278/.366 | .163 | .280 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA |
26 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 50 | 40 | .208/.269/.350 | .142 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 33% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .222/.287/.357 | .135 | .316 | 14 | 10 | 32% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .221/.286/.344 | .123 | .313 | 13 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA |
26 | 40→39 | 47→50 | 46→45 | 46 | .199/.287/.342 | .143 | .292 | 15 | 7 | 35% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .191/.286/.326 | .135 | .262 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .179/.279/.311 | .132 | .240 | 16 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Riley Adams 2021 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 42 | .211/.292/.334 | .123 | .324 | 12 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.302/.369 | .154 | .315 | 16 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .209/.298/.376 | .166 | .299 | 17 | 0 | 33% | 8% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 46→50 | 50 | 41 | .201/.262/.333 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .212/.276/.351 | .139 | .302 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA |
24 | 39→40 | 47→50 | 52→50 | 41 | .199/.264/.336 | .137 | .287 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.257/.331 | .135 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2021 · AA |
25 | 43→39 | 46→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .214/.277/.344 | .130 | .307 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .184/.259/.291 | .107 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 36% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .156/.239/.252 | .096 | .249 | 6 | 12 | 37% | 8% | 32 | -1.6 |
|
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A |
25 | 41→37 | 47→50 | 46→50 | 37 | .207/.268/.345 | .139 | .293 | 15 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .221/.296/.379 | .158 | .309 | 19 | 8 | 33% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .215/.315/.403 | .187 | .284 | 26 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 106 | +0.8 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2021 · AAA |
25 | 41→40 | 51→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .206/.289/.371 | .164 | .300 | 18 | 10 | 35% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .198/.263/.349 | .151 | .279 | 18 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.260/.311 | .131 | .248 | 15 | 14 | 32% | 9% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ryan Dorow 2022 · AAA |
26 | 41→42 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 41 | .206/.273/.337 | .131 | .294 | 14 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.273/.328 | .117 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.264/.293 | .095 | .274 | 7 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Wade Wass 2017 · AA |
25 | 43 | 46→50 | 45 | 41 | .208/.286/.337 | .130 | .320 | 13 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .208/.285/.357 | .149 | .328 | 18 | 11 | 40% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .204/.289/.400 | .196 | .300 | 29 | 18 | 40% | 7% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Brendon Davis 2022 · AAA |
25 | 41→44 | 51→50 | 48→50 | 39 | .211/.271/.368 | .157 | .292 | 19 | 9 | 34% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .199/.273/.350 | .151 | .263 | 18 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .174/.259/.299 | .125 | .232 | 14 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→31 | 45→55 | 50→40 | 45 | .177/.269/.302 | .125 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 41% | 11% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.271/.372 | .178 | .288 | 24 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .180/.262/.367 | .188 | .250 | 27 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA |
24 | 43 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 48 | .214/.309/.343 | .130 | .291 | 14 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .210/.307/.314 | .104 | .303 | 9 | 14 | 31% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .210/.307/.291 | .081 | .310 | 5 | 16 | 30% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A |
25 | 41→43 | 48→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .208/.274/.354 | .146 | .273 | 15 | 15 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .211/.290/.356 | .145 | .288 | 17 | 21 | 31% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .206/.292/.349 | .143 | .282 | 18 | 27 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 48→45 | 50→55 | 39 | .196/.260/.330 | .134 | .279 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.292/.346 | .130 | .312 | 13 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Christian Koss 2023 · AA |
25 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 50 | 35 | .223/.264/.361 | .138 | .300 | 16 | 11 | 31% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.272/.348 | .122 | .298 | 12 | 15 | 27% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .231/.280/.347 | .116 | .296 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.1 |