Chase PinderCF Sacramento River Cats
Age 30 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA
wRC+†77
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .291 / .337
PA170
HR4
K%26
BB%9
ISO126
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.12627
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKJohnson City Cardinals 209181 43612 19557 53 238333315648 77328 269 292 82
201721 ROKJohnson City Cardinals 209169 54913 31397 53 320444438882 118398 1915 399 163
201822 A+2 teams 363323 721425 33913 35 223301325626 102293 259 278 71
201822 A+2 teams 363308 781324 48693 35 253359347707 94312 1913 323 106
201923 A+2 teams 345302 44504 271258 13 146234202436 56227 368 205 15
201923 A+2 teams 345292 57704 37918 13 195303260563 65265 2611 263 59
202125 AA2 teams 8069 13203 8183 00 188300348648 159208 2210 276 70
202125 AA2 teams 8064 14203 13133 00 219375391766 172229 1616 353 128
202226 AA2 teams 303259 601709 37742 65 232332402734 170282 2412 323 105
202226 AA2 teams 303238 6216011 58602 65 261409466876 206297 2019 386 154
202327 AAA2 teams 294252 571507 34844 83 226328369697 143307 2912 304 91
202327 AAA2 teams 294235 621607 51684 83 264403421825 157340 2317 371 142
202428 AAASacramento River Cats 8069 16201 10191 11 232338304642 72306 2412 294 83
202428 AAASacramento River Cats 8064 16301 15171 11 250400344744 94326 2119 350 126
▸ 2026 Season
202630 MLBSF 170151 34714 15442 31 225304364668 139272 269 286 77 -4 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731 MLBSF 27% 157140 30613 14402 31 214295336631 121272 259 286 77 -4 +0 -3 +1 +4 -0.2
202731 MLBSF 27% 4339 8201 4110 10 205279333612 128267 269 273 67 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 4339 8201 4110 10 205279333612 128259 269 273 67 -2 +0 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G 650590 12130015 601660 150 205278332611 127259 269 273 67 -24 +3 -12 +2 +18 -1.2
Career 20011746 36974538 19755032 3022 211303325628 113282 2710 279 72 -63 -3 -3 +7 +57 -0.5
/ 162G 650567 12024212 6417910 107 212303325627 113283 2810 279 72 -21 -1 -1 +2 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201721 ROKJohnson City Cardinals 209169 54913 31397 53 320444438882 118398 1915 399 163 +15 -0 +6 2.1
201822 AASpringfield Cardinals 3430 8000 470 00 267353267620 348 2112 295 84 -1 +0 +1 0.0
201822 A+Palm Beach Cardinals 329278 701324 44623 35 252360356716 104308 1913 326 108 +3 -1 +9 1.1
201923 AASpringfield Cardinals 5650 8000 5190 00 160236160396 258 349 192 5 -6 +0 +2 -0.5
201923 A+Palm Beach Cardinals 289242 49704 32728 13 202316281597 79266 2511 276 70 -10 -1 +8 -0.3
202125 AASpringfield Cardinals 6353 12102 9131 00 226349358708 132263 2114 327 108 +1 +0 +2 0.2
202125 ROKFCL Cardinals 1711 2101 402 00 1824715451.016 364100 024 449 201 +2 +0 +0 0.2
202226 AAAMemphis Redbirds 3529 4201 540 10 138265310575 172120 1114 258 56 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202226 AASpringfield Cardinals 268209 5814010 53562 55 278428488916 211327 2120 403 167 +20 -1 +8 2.7
202327 AAAMemphis Redbirds 279223 591606 48664 83 265404417821 152346 2417 369 141 +13 +0 +8 2.2
202327 AASpringfield Cardinals 1512 3001 320 00 250400500900 250222 1320 399 163 +1 +0 +0 0.2
202428 AAASacramento River Cats 8064 16301 15171 11 250400344744 94326 2119 350 126 +2 -0 +2 0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Chase Pinder (OGILVIE) 30 212/291/337 124272 43 26% 9% 77 +0.0
Brandon Larson
2005 · MLB
29 42 47→50 46→45 52 212/300/344 133268 159 26% 10% 82 +0.5 229/286/389 160293 206 28% 6% 88 +0.9 222/268/38115928022429%5%75+0.0
Chris Owings
2023 · MLB
31 38→48 47→50 50→55 44 198/265/333 135266 1512 31% 8% 64 -0.8 203/276/336 133297 1611 35% 8% 70 -0.3 193/272/319126285161136%9%60-0.6
Justin Leone
2008 · AAA
31 42→41 49→50 53→55 49 213/292/360 147273 1715 28% 9% 82 +0.5 196/273/336 140263 1615 30% 9% 69 -0.4 169/251/300130226151431%10%50-1.0
David Matranga
2006 · AAA
29 44 43→45 48→50 49 213/288/334 121268 1013 24% 8% 74 -0.1 204/270/325 121268 1411 28% 6% 65 -0.7 212/294/33412228413928%8%75+0.0
Charlie Culberson
2019 · MLB
30 48→49 46→45 47→50 42 240/285/369 129301 139 25% 5% 81 +0.4 246/295/401 155315 179 26% 6% 94 +1.3 242/286/378136311131026%5%81+0.1
David Bote
2023 · MLB
30 44→48 47→55 49→45 43 220/287/358 138285 158 28% 7% 81 +0.4 229/296/387 158286 178 25% 7% 92 +1.2 221/293/38716626918624%8%88+0.4
Johnny Monell
2016 · MLB
30 47→44 43→50 48→45 46 233/288/344 111289 119 23% 7% 76 +0.1 228/277/347 119287 136 24% 6% 72 -0.2 219/270/34012028013226%6%65-0.4
Adam Heether
2012 · AAA
30 39→49 46→50 48→45 48 202/288/330 128243 158 24% 8% 75 -0.0 202/274/322 120252 1410 25% 7% 66 -0.6 174/240/27198212131025%6%34-1.2
Jayson Nix
2013 · MLB
30 42→49 47→55 47→55 44 213/276/354 141269 1511 26% 7% 74 -0.1 210/270/305 95275 914 26% 7% 59 -1.1 192/248/2637125461226%6%36-1.2
Dusty Brown
2012 · MLB
30 42 47→45 42→30 44 215/272/352 137271 145 26% 7% 72 -0.2 218/293/379 161275 186 26% 9% 88 +0.9 197/307/36516923418024%13%90+0.3
Tommy Field
2017 · MLB
30 40→50 47→45 48→45 46 207/275/338 131249 156 24% 7% 70 -0.3 201/253/310 109252 117 24% 5% 53 -1.5 180/226/266872277524%4%27-2.5
Donnie Sadler
2006 · MLB
31 45 45 48→55 48 223/293/350 127278 1212 24% 8% 80 +0.4 225/294/339 114291 814 24% 9% 77 +0.1 214/286/31910528341624%9%65-0.2
Nick Tanielu
2023 · AAA
30 39→49 44→50 48→40 44 201/260/320 120251 125 25% 7% 59 -1.1 220/281/372 152288 168 28% 6% 82 +0.5 211/280/40619627521231%6%88+0.3
Zack Short
2023 · MLB
28 37→38 46→50 46→45 51 190/285/315 126261 139 31% 11% 69 -0.4 190/284/317 127263 1410 31% 11% 69 -0.4 173/272/29912623415831%11%58-0.7
Tim Lopes
2023 · MLB
29 40→50 47→45 50→55 42 206/265/339 133269 1415 29% 6% 66 -0.6 229/300/340 111321 1128 30% 9% 80 +0.4 237/316/3319433893930%10%80+0.3
Tyler Saladino
2019 · MLB
30 45→47 43→45 50→55 46 220/285/327 107284 1116 26% 8% 71 -0.3 219/288/382 163284 2014 29% 8% 87 +0.8 199/271/381183248241430%8%76+0.1
Ryan Cordell
2021 · MLB
29 42 45→50 49→50 41 213/268/337 124286 1311 30% 6% 66 -0.6 208/271/377 169328 2214 41% 7% 79 +0.3 153/218/323171234271847%6%41-0.9
Jake Hager
2023 · MLB
30 41→51 45→50 50 45 206/271/330 125266 1311 27% 8% 66 -0.6 201/251/309 108289 98 32% 6% 51 -1.7 174/214/270962636235%4%22-1.0
Landon Powell
2012 · MLB
30 43→41 44→50 47→30 52 216/291/324 108267 125 23% 10% 72 -0.2 212/277/320 108277 135 27% 8% 66 -0.6 215/271/3079227113025%6%60-0.5
Mario Lisson
2014 · AAA
30 44→49 49→55 48→55 43 225/289/378 153282 1714 26% 6% 86 +0.8 234/299/385 151297 1910 27% 7% 92 +1.2 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7