Bennett Hostetler
C Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AAMIA | 247 | .236/.276/.339 | 2 | 5 | 32 | — | .199/.232/.288 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAAMIA | 120 | .179/.333/.221 | 0 | 9 | 32 | — | .140/.265/.170 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAAMIA | 79 | .274/.321/.685 | 8 | 1 | 91 | — | .203/.244/.473 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBMIA | 10 | .190/.258/.315 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBMIA | 41 | .190/.257/.312 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 265 | 359 | 500 | 859 | 235 | 350 | 31 | 5 | 381 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 104 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 337 | 373 | 481 | 853 | 144 | 457 | 29 | 4 | 376 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 421 | 371 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 318 | 358 | 677 | 127 | 280 | 21 | 7 | 307 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 279 | 233 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 69 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 249 | 371 | 481 | 851 | 232 | 293 | 25 | 13 | 377 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 35 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 206 | 161 | 367 | 32 | 174 | 23 | 3 | 176 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 83 | 79 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 301 | 392 | 694 | 127 | 408 | 35 | 5 | 308 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 164 | 154 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 221 | 264 | 312 | 575 | 91 | 333 | 34 | 4 | 259 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 179 | 333 | 221 | 554 | 42 | 288 | 32 | 12 | 271 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 73 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 321 | 685 | 1.005 | 411 | 267 | 27 | 4 | 421 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 343 | 625 | 143 | 293 | 41 | 3 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 111 | 105 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 300 | 362 | 662 | 95 | 407 | 39 | 3 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 421 | 381 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 268 | 304 | 572 | 108 | 246 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 279 | 247 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 85 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 198 | 288 | 364 | 652 | 166 | 256 | 30 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 35 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 206 | 161 | 367 | 32 | 147 | 29 | 3 | 136 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 83 | 80 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 253 | 338 | 591 | 113 | 368 | 42 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 164 | 156 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 65 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 186 | 221 | 263 | 484 | 77 | 295 | 40 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 100 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 140 | 265 | 170 | 435 | 30 | 240 | 40 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 244 | 473 | 717 | 270 | 212 | 32 | 3 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 150 | 140 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 295 | 371 | 667 | 121 | 392 | 39 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 150 | 138 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 319 | 369 | 486 | 855 | 167 | 433 | 29 | 4 | 377 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 421 | 381 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 268 | 304 | 572 | 108 | 255 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 421 | 371 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 232 | 318 | 358 | 677 | 127 | 280 | 21 | 7 | 307 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 314 | 278 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 95 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 187 | 276 | 338 | 614 | 151 | 243 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 314 | 264 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 77 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 235 | 353 | 443 | 796 | 208 | 277 | 25 | 12 | 355 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 237 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 99 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 220 | 266 | 485 | 76 | 319 | 40 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 247 | 233 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 84 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 276 | 339 | 615 | 103 | 358 | 34 | 4 | 275 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 100 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 140 | 265 | 170 | 435 | 30 | 255 | 40 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 39 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 179 | 333 | 221 | 554 | 42 | 288 | 32 | 12 | 271 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 244 | 473 | 717 | 270 | 222 | 32 | 3 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 73 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 321 | 685 | 1.005 | 411 | 267 | 27 | 4 | 421 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 150 | 140 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 58 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 295 | 371 | 667 | 121 | 377 | 39 | 3 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 421 | 381 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 268 | 304 | 572 | 108 | 246 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 314 | 277 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 95 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 276 | 339 | 615 | 152 | 244 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 236 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 99 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 191 | 220 | 267 | 486 | 76 | 320 | 40 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 102 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 137 | 265 | 167 | 432 | 29 | 240 | 40 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 244 | 467 | 710 | 267 | 212 | 32 | 3 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 247 | 236 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 99 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 191 | 220 | 267 | 486 | 76 | 320 | 40 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 120 | 102 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 137 | 265 | 167 | 432 | 29 | 240 | 40 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 79 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 244 | 467 | 710 | 267 | 212 | 32 | 3 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 10% | 200 | 182 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 197 | 264 | 331 | 595 | 133 | 263 | 30 | 6 | 268 | 67 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 125 | 254 | 30 | 10 | 259 | 67 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 27% | 151 | 138 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 264 | 327 | 590 | 130 | 262 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 27% | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 257 | 312 | 569 | 122 | 253 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 268 | 297 | 566 | 108 | 250 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 111 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 190 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 189 | 269 | 298 | 567 | 109 | 249 | 29 | 7 | 257 | 58 | -26 | +3 | -9 | +12 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1587 | 1444 | 283 | 60 | 5 | 35 | 83 | 516 | 47 | 32 | 4 | 196 | 262 | 317 | 580 | 121 | 274 | 33 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 211 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 196 | 262 | 316 | 579 | 120 | 275 | 32 | 5 | 254 | 58 | -26 | +2 | -5 | +12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 79 PAwOBA .414 → .302 (−112)K% 26.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 2.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.952 | ×0.982 | 11.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×0.982 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×0.982 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 10.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .414 → .302; ISO .411 → .282; BABIP .267 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 120 PAwOBA .272 → .215 (−57)K% 32.5% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.50% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 5.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.21% | ÷1.051 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 19.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 5.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .272 → .215; ISO .042 → .033; BABIP .288 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 164 PAwOBA .254 → .204 (−49)K% 33.5% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.54% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.27% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 9.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .254 → .204; ISO .091 → .071; BABIP .333 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 83 PAwOBA .300 → .239 (−61)K% 34.9% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.94% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.82% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 8.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .300 → .239; ISO .127 → .098; BABIP .408 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 279 PAwOBA .367 → .287 (−80)K% 24.7% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.73% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.26% | ÷1.056 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 8.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.87% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 17.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.54% | ÷1.091 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.19% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .367 → .287; ISO .232 → .180; BABIP .293 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 35 PAwOBA .172 → .136 (−36)K% 22.9% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.86% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 1.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.71% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 4.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 11.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.113 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.817 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 99, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .172 → .136; ISO .032 → .022; BABIP .174 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 421 PAwOBA .300 → .248 (−53)K% 21.4% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.38% | ÷1.011 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.13% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.80% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.64% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.950 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.068 | ×0.850 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.20% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.83% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 114, K 102, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .300 → .248; ISO .127 → .107; BABIP .280 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AJupiter Hammerheads · 111 PAwOBA .369 → .287 (−82)K% 28.8% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.83% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.60% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 2.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.11% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×0.980 | 34.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.226 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.980 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 145, 3B 99, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .369 → .287; ISO .144 → .103; BABIP .457 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).