Lolo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Lolo SanchezCF Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 186 lbs AA HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .281 / .311

PA136

HR2

K%21

BB%8

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-5M		$-14M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	190	162	32	3	1	0	15	26	6	4	8	.198	.290	.228	.518	.031	.234	14	8	.230	34	-14	-2	+0	+1	+5	-1.1
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	234	213	47	8	1	3	12	27	4	14	7	.221	.275	.310	.585	.089	.238	12	5	.260	57	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	441	396	79	15	1	3	23	95	5	30	13	.199	.252	.265	.518	.066	.251	22	5	.225	30	-35	+1	+0	+2	+12	-2.0
2019	20	A	2 teams	458	400	83	11	9	4	24	81	19	33	15	.207	.284	.310	.594	.103	.248	18	5	.255	53	-24	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.9
2021	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	437	383	84	16	0	12	36	95	11	30	9	.219	.305	.355	.660	.136	.256	22	8	.288	79	-11	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2022	23	AA	2 teams	269	236	46	6	0	4	24	57	4	7	3	.195	.280	.271	.551	.076	.237	21	9	.248	48	-16	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
2023	24	AA	Altoona Curve	332	292	59	9	0	4	27	61	4	6	4	.202	.279	.274	.553	.072	.240	18	8	.245	46	-20	-0	+0	+1	+9	-1.0
2024	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	133	120	21	1	2	0	10	28	2	1	3	.175	.250	.217	.467	.042	.228	21	8	.211	20	-12	-1	+0	+0	+4	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SEA	136	123	27	5	1	2	11	29	1	2	1	.220	.289	.325	.614	.106	.258	21	8	.272	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 9%	SEA	207	186	39	7	1	3	17	44	2	3	1	.210	.283	.306	.589	.097	.261	21	8	.276	69	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2028	29	MLB 19%	SEA	262	236	51	9	1	5	21	57	3	3	1	.216	.288	.326	.615	.110	.262	22	8	.277	70	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
2029	30	MLB 29%	SEA	300	270	57	10	1	5	24	66	3	3	1	.211	.283	.311	.594	.100	.262	22	8	.277	70	-10	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	31	MLB 40%	SEA	303	272	57	10	1	5	25	68	3	2	1	.210	.283	.309	.592	.099	.262	22	8	.274	68	-11	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
2031	32	MLB 49%	SEA	295	266	56	10	1	5	24	68	3	1	1	.211	.283	.312	.595	.102	.260	23	8	.269	64	-12	-0	-4	+1	+8	-0.6
2032	33	MLB 57%	SEA	272	245	50	9	1	4	22	65	3	0	0	.204	.278	.298	.576	.094	.259	24	8	.264	60	-12	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.8
2033	34	MLB 68%	SEA	234	211	42	7	1	3	19	57	2	0	0	.199	.272	.284	.556	.085	.257	24	8	.258	56	-12	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4503	4011	830	136	22	62	334	924	75	139	68	.207	.280	.298	.578	.091	.251	21	7	.259	56	-221	+1	-20	+16	+128	-9.9
/ 162G	—			650	579	120	20	3	9	48	133	11	20	10	.207	.281	.299	.579	.092	.252	20	7	.259	56	-32	+0	-3	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	190	153	36	4	1	0	24	18	6	4	8	.235	.361	.275	.635	.039	.265	9	13	.295	84	-4	-2	—	—	+5	-0.1
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	234	204	58	11	2	4	21	19	4	14	7	.284	.362	.417	.779	.132	.295	8	9	.343	121	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	441	378	92	18	1	4	41	72	5	30	13	.243	.325	.328	.654	.085	.287	16	9	.290	80	-10	+1	—	—	+12	0.3
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	195	163	32	3	3	1	18	31	7	13	5	.196	.303	.270	.573	.074	.233	16	9	.262	59	-9	+1	—	—	+6	-0.3
2019	20	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	263	226	68	10	6	4	17	28	12	20	10	.301	.380	.451	.832	.150	.327	11	6	.361	135	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2021	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	437	364	96	18	0	17	55	72	11	30	9	.264	.377	.453	.830	.190	.282	16	13	.366	139	+19	+2	—	—	+12	3.5
2022	23	AA	Altoona Curve	254	212	49	6	0	5	34	40	3	7	2	.231	.345	.330	.676	.099	.260	16	13	.309	94	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2022	23	ROK	FCL Pirates	15	13	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	1	.077	.200	.077	.277	.000	.100	20	7	.156	-22	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Altoona Curve	332	278	63	11	0	5	41	48	4	6	4	.227	.334	.320	.655	.094	.256	14	12	.297	85	-5	-0	—	—	+9	0.4
2024	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	133	116	24	1	3	0	13	23	2	1	3	.207	.295	.267	.563	.060	.258	17	10	.261	58	-6	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lolo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	.211/.281/.311	.100	.258	2	2	21%	8%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	42	43→50	49→40	48	.208/.284/.316	.108	.260	11	7	24%	8%	69	-0.4	.206/.292/.328	.122	.270	13	5	27%	9%	76	+0.0	.190/.289/.313	.123	.250	14	1	28%	10%	69	-0.1
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2012 · AA	27	43→44	43→45	45	44	.211/.272/.325	.114	.259	11	7	23%	6%	66	-0.6	.212/.287/.313	.101	.256	8	11	20%	7%	69	-0.4	.196/.305/.245	.049	.231	0	23	13%	9%	59	-0.2
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA	27	42→46	43→45	49→50	43	.206/.269/.317	.110	.278	10	8	28%	7%	61	-1.0	.201/.276/.293	.092	.275	7	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.191/.273/.268	.077	.259	6	10	26%	9%	48	-1.1
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	43→44	44→50	49→45	43	.215/.266/.332	.117	.265	12	8	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.207/.254/.340	.133	.259	16	9	26%	5%	61	-1.0	.192/.236/.332	.141	.234	17	7	27%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	41	44→45	44→40	43	.205/.269/.321	.117	.279	11	5	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.216/.284/.361	.145	.260	15	5	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.203/.270/.374	.171	.212	20	2	16%	7%	72	-0.1
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→46	43→45	50	41	.201/.260/.314	.113	.263	11	13	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.209/.280/.368	.159	.282	19	16	32%	6%	80	+0.4	.176/.260/.359	.182	.229	23	20	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→42	43→45	49→50	40	.196/.249/.299	.103	.256	12	13	28%	6%	49	-1.8	.207/.271/.322	.115	.258	13	13	24%	7%	64	-0.8	.204/.274/.324	.120	.246	14	14	23%	8%	62	-0.4
✕John Ryan Murphy 2018 · MLB	27	42→47	40→50	46→40	45	.207/.256/.295	.088	.253	9	3	22%	6%	50	-1.8	.203/.250/.348	.145	.261	19	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.188/.234/.375	.188	.232	28	0	33%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB	27	44→46	40	45→50	48	.214/.271/.310	.095	.255	8	9	19%	7%	60	-1.0	.198/.255/.269	.071	.249	5	11	21%	6%	43	-2.2	.191/.240/.281	.091	.237	6	6	22%	5%	37	-1.7
✕Luke Maile 2018 · MLB	27	39→49	40→45	44→40	41	.194/.238/.281	.087	.238	8	4	22%	5%	38	-2.6	.211/.273/.314	.103	.281	9	7	27%	7%	62	-0.9	.228/.311/.350	.122	.312	11	4	28%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2015 · AAA	27	40→38	45→50	43→45	47	.202/.267/.328	.126	.228	13	6	19%	6%	64	-0.8	.208/.265/.351	.143	.240	17	5	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.184/.263/.355	.171	.225	21	0	29%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	41	44→45	43→40	44	.207/.270/.318	.111	.255	12	5	24%	6%	63	-0.9	.215/.284/.339	.124	.270	15	6	25%	7%	75	-0.0	.207/.269/.313	.106	.237	12	3	18%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→42	41→45	52→50	43	.193/.246/.292	.100	.253	9	12	27%	7%	45	-2.1	.198/.248/.305	.107	.279	12	12	32%	6%	50	-1.8	.178/.219/.275	.097	.243	15	13	33%	5%	27	-1.0
✕Cody Clark 2009 · AA	27	43	42→45	47→40	41	.214/.262/.317	.103	.260	10	6	22%	4%	59	-1.1	.222/.270/.348	.126	.258	14	5	20%	5%	70	-0.3	.219/.268/.341	.122	.251	12	1	18%	5%	64	-0.3
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	42→40	49→45	41	.202/.247/.297	.095	.252	10	9	24%	5%	46	-2.0	.182/.234/.285	.103	.229	13	8	26%	6%	39	-2.5	.141/.193/.225	.084	.174	12	2	27%	5%	4	-1.9
✕Seth Bynum 2008 · AA	27	44	40→55	47→50	42	.212/.267/.305	.093	.283	8	9	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.219/.263/.362	.143	.298	17	7	31%	5%	71	-0.3	.212/.256/.369	.157	.286	20	8	33%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB	27	41→45	47→50	49→50	38	.209/.253/.343	.135	.265	14	11	27%	4%	62	-0.9	.190/.246/.310	.120	.287	13	11	37%	5%	50	-1.7	.164/.225/.278	.114	.280	14	10	44%	5%	31	-1.9
✕Smaily Borges 2011 · A	27	42	43→45	43→50	40	.209/.253/.320	.112	.264	10	9	25%	4%	55	-1.4	.206/.250/.310	.104	.276	10	7	28%	4%	51	-1.7	.185/.221/.277	.093	.240	10	2	27%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	43→50	47→30	40	.197/.265/.308	.111	.291	11	5	34%	7%	58	-1.2	.199/.260/.292	.093	.305	9	6	35%	7%	51	-1.7	.163/.224/.224	.061	.249	8	0	36%	7%	16	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)