Grae Kessinger — OGILVIE

Grae Kessinger3B Indianapolis Indians

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 204 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .263 / .283

PA107

HR2

K%27

BB%9

BABIP230

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2024

CONTACT39

Whiff%

3113.1%

xwOBA

190.273

POWER39

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

1085.9

Bat Spd

3269.4

EYE46

Chase%

6029.8%

SPEED50

Sprint

2626.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	201	180	34	4	0	2	16	43	3	8	2	189	266	244	511	56	234	21	8	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	201	170	38	6	0	2	26	32	3	8	2	224	337	294	631	71	261	16	13	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	408	377	61	9	0	8	23	140	7	12	7	162	224	249	473	88	230	34	6	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	2 teams	—	408	362	80	11	1	11	38	91	7	12	7	221	307	348	655	127	264	22	9	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	500	449	74	11	2	13	41	163	5	23	10	165	242	285	528	120	221	33	8	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	500	421	89	13	2	16	69	113	5	23	10	211	329	366	695	154	247	23	14	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	275	236	57	12	0	7	28	70	4	2	2	242	332	381	713	140	303	25	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	275	224	60	12	0	7	40	57	4	2	2	268	388	415	803	147	319	21	15	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	319	294	56	11	1	6	23	94	1	7	2	190	252	296	547	105	256	29	7	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	319	284	69	13	1	6	33	75	1	7	2	243	324	359	683	116	309	24	10	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	47	37	7	2	0	0	10	15	0	1	1	189	362	243	605	54	318	32	21	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	47	34	8	3	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	235	447	324	770	88	364	26	28	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	PIT	—	161	140	16	7	0	2	14	43	3	2	0	114	210	207	417	93	141	27	9	195	7	-17	+0	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
YTD	28	AAA	PIT	—	161	133	19	9	0	2	21	35	3	2	0	143	274	256	530	113	170	22	13	247	47	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
ROS	28	AAA	PIT	10%	107	95	17	4	0	2	10	29	1	2	0	178	263	283	547	105	232	27	9	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
ROS	28	MLB	PIT	10%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		231	27	9	246	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	PIT	—	172	150	17	7	0	2	15	46	3	2	0	113	208	200	408	87	142	27	9	198	10	-18	+0	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
TOT	28	AAA	PIT	—	268	235	33	11	0	4	24	72	4	4	0	140	232	238	470	98	176	27	9	218	25	-23	+1	+0	+1	+8	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PIT	27%	286	254	48	12	1	5	27	77	3	4	1	189	275	303	578	114	239	27	9	259	56	-14	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.6
2027	29	MLB	PIT	27%	78	70	12	3	0	1	7	21	1	1	0	171	256	257	514	86	238	27	9	251	51	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	159	141	21	5	0	2	16	43	2	1	1	149	245	227	472	78	198	27	10	238	40	-11	-0	+2	+4	+5	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	85	20	0	8	65	176	8	4	4	148	243	224	467	76	196	27	10	238	40	-44	-1	+10	+18	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2143	1922	354	65	4	43	178	631	24	59	25	184	262	289	551	105	246	29	8	246	47	-129	+2	+2	+10	+61	-5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	107	20	1	13	54	191	7	18	8	184	261	288	549	105	245	29	8	246	47	-39	+0	+1	+3	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	201	170	38	6	0	2	26	32	3	8	2	224	337	294	631	71	261	16	13	295	84	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2021	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	331	297	62	9	0	9	27	81	6	12	5	209	288	330	618	121	255	24	8	282	74	-10	+0	—	—	+9	0.0
2021	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	77	65	18	2	1	2	11	10	1	0	2	277	390	431	820	154	302	13	14	370	142	+4	-1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	500	421	89	13	2	16	69	113	5	23	10	211	329	366	695	154	247	23	14	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+14	1.5
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	45	40	8	2	0	1	5	12	0	0	1	200	289	325	614	125	259	27	11	281	74	-1	-0	+3	+3	+1	0.5
2023	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	230	184	52	10	0	6	35	45	4	2	1	283	408	435	843	152	331	20	15	371	142	+11	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	25	21	0	0	0	0	3	7	1	0	0		160		160			28	12	113	-55	-4	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.3
2024	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	294	263	69	13	1	6	30	68	0	7	2	262	338	388	726	125	332	23	10	327	108	+3	+1	—	—	+8	1.2
2025	27	AAA	Reno Aces	—	47	34	8	3	0	0	13	12	0	1	1	235	447	324	770	88	364	26	28	371	142	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	70	61	8	2	0	1	8	19	1	0	1	131	243	213	456	82	171	27	11	221	28	-6	-0	+3	+4	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grae Kessinger (OGILVIE)	28	39	39	50	46	140/232/238	98	176	4	4	27%	9%	25	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	43→40	51→50	51	198/284/313	115	267	10	12	28%	10%	68	-0.5	202/287/326	124	291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	124/238/209	86	192	10	0	38%	12%	22	-0.8
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→49	43→45	43→50	46	225/285/331	105	277	11	8	23%	7%	72	-0.2	236/295/361	125	290	14	12	23%	7%	84	+0.6	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Koyie Hill 2007 · MLB	28	41→43	42→45	48→40	46	203/266/307	104	262	10	8	26%	8%	57	-1.2	222/277/347	125	278	12	5	23%	7%	72	-0.2	225/284/349	124	285	11	2	24%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Bubba Starling 2021 · MLB	28	45→46	44→45	49→50	39	223/267/336	113	301	13	11	30%	6%	65	-0.7	226/275/389	163	295	20	10	29%	6%	82	+0.5	196/234/425	228	224	31	5	30%	5%	72	-0.0
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Justin Sellers 2014 · MLB	28	41→51	43→45	50	43	205/260/318	112	254	10	6	23%	6%	58	-1.2	211/256/292	81	249	6	6	17%	5%	49	-1.8	204/250/262	59	235	4	4	14%	5%	37	-1.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→50	47→30	43	202/267/321	119	264	10	6	27%	7%	63	-0.9	218/278/353	135	306	15	6	32%	7%	75	-0.0	206/269/340	134	293	18	0	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Anderson Machado 2009 · AAA	28	41→43	41→40	50→45	49	200/274/299	98	264	8	10	26%	9%	59	-1.1	200/274/287	87	279	5	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	197/275/275	78	287	1	9	29%	9%	51	-0.7
✕Ryan Klosterman 2010 · AAA	28	43→45	42→45	50→55	44	213/272/316	104	275	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	207/272/329	122	274	12	13	28%	7%	66	-0.6	160/272/270	110	236	10	19	33%	13%	50	-0.3
✕Beamer Weems 2015 · AAA	28	43→47	43→45	47→40	40	215/264/325	110	285	11	9	28%	6%	61	-1.0	207/257/304	97	252	8	7	20%	6%	52	-1.6	180/230/251	71	218	3	0	18%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Alfredo Marte 2017 · MLB	28	45→47	43→50	51→45	41	220/271/329	109	296	10	10	29%	6%	65	-0.7	221/279/349	128	282	15	13	26%	6%	74	-0.1	200/268/321	121	245	17	14	25%	6%	61	-0.3
✕Andy González 2011 · MLB	29	45→53	42→40	47→50	47	220/289/318	97	283	11	9	25%	8%	70	-0.3	221/292/329	108	272	11	6	22%	9%	75	-0.0	213/291/319	106	259	10	3	21%	9%	70	-0.2
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	43→44	44→50	50→45	43	216/267/332	116	267	12	8	24%	6%	64	-0.8	207/254/344	137	259	16	9	26%	5%	62	-0.9	194/237/339	145	237	18	7	27%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Justin Leone 2006 · MLB	29	43→41	46→50	48→55	46	212/287/341	129	296	13	8	31%	9%	76	+0.0	211/288/355	144	273	17	13	28%	9%	80	+0.4	202/286/351	149	254	18	16	27%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	251	16	11	26%	10%	76	+0.0	225/295/376	151	290	18	7	28%	8%	89	+0.9	224/283/379	156	290	20	4	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Antonio Perez 2009 · MLB	29	41	44→45	45→55	44	204/280/325	120	279	11	9	30%	8%	69	-0.4	209/267/319	110	254	10	12	21%	7%	61	-1.0	166/222/245	79	201	4	10	19%	6%	22	-0.9
✕Craig Stansberry 2010 · MLB	28	46→47	42→50	45→50	49	222/285/331	109	269	9	10	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/286/343	115	289	11	12	24%	7%	76	+0.0	227/289/342	114	290	11	12	25%	7%	74	-0.0