Jeron WilliamsSS Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .268 / .310
PA154
HR2
SB7
K%25
BB%5
BABIP272
ISO99
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -10.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +2.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +6.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.40.40.30.2+$10M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7262 12000 8182 90 194306194499 273 2511 243 44
202322 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7257 12000 13132 90 211375211586 273 1818 297 86
202423 AA2 teams 285264 571256 15693 265 216266367633 152266 245 275 69
202423 AA2 teams 285258 651558 21523 265 252316442757 190284 187 331 111
202524 AA3 teams 302277 641312 16705 221 231285307592 76297 235 265 61
202524 AA3 teams 302270 621412 23555 221 230302311613 81276 188 279 72
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AAHOU 8173 15311 5263 92 205284315599 110304 326 255 53 -4 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
YTD25 AAHOU 8171 18411 7203 92 254346380726 127340 259 331 111 +1 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.5
ROS25 AAHOU 2% 154142 30612 8383 71 211268310578 99284 255 271 66 -6 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.1
ROS25 MLBHOU 2% 33 0000 010 00 286 330 262 58 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AAHOU 8476 15311 5273 92 197274303576 105292 326 255 54 -4 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
TOT25 AAHOU 235215 45923 13646 163 209274312585 102282 276 266 62 -10 +2 +0 +3 +7 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBHOU 31% 293270 601225 17724 102 222278337615 115284 256 278 71 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
202827 MLBHOU 42% 336307 691426 21835 112 225285342627 117285 256 281 73 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.4
202928 MLBHOU 48% 363332 731526 23905 102 220281331612 111285 256 282 74 -11 +1 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203029 MLBHOU 49% 371339 761627 24925 102 224285345630 121285 256 282 74 -11 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.3
203130 MLBHOU 50% 376344 761626 24945 92 221282331613 110284 256 279 72 -12 +1 -2 +4 +11 0.2
202726 MLBHOU 31% 9185 20412 5231 31 235286376662 141287 255 269 64 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202827 MLBHOU 42% 141129 30613 9352 41 233293364657 132288 256 273 67 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202928 MLBHOU 48% 174158 36813 11433 51 228291348639 120288 256 275 68 -6 +1 -0 +2 +5 0.1
203029 MLBHOU 49% 183166 37813 12453 51 223287337625 114287 257 274 68 -7 +1 -1 +2 +5 0.0
203130 MLBHOU 50% 189172 38813 12473 41 221283331615 110287 256 272 66 -7 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 781713 16134514 4919412 215 226287346633 121289 256 273 67 -29 +2 -2 +8 +22 0.2
/ 162G 650593 13428412 4116110 174 226287347634 121288 256 273 67 -24 +2 -2 +7 +18 0.1
Career 25522337 5171041740 15662637 11417 221281332612 110283 256 276 70 -87 +16 -4 +27 +72 2.5
/ 162G 650595 13126410 401599 294 220279328607 108281 246 276 70 -22 +4 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 AFayetteville Woodpeckers 7257 12000 13132 90 211375211586 273 1818 297 86 -1 +2 +2 0.3
202423 AACorpus Christi Hooks 154142 29633 10272 143 204266352618 148232 186 277 70 -5 +2 +4 0.1
202423 A+Asheville Tourists 131116 36925 11251 122 310375552927 241348 198 395 160 +9 +2 +4 1.5
202524 AACorpus Christi Hooks 218196 491012 15464 171 250316342658 92311 217 296 85 -4 +3 +6 0.6
202524 ROKFCL Astros 2926 6100 210 20 231286269555 38231 37 248 48 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
202524 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 5548 7300 681 30 146255208463 62175 1511 225 31 -4 +1 +2 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27831422225282342+8+60.90.9
/1626641219+7.1+5.10.7pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jeron Williams (OGILVIE) 25 45 35 60 30 209/274/312 102282 316 27% 6% 62 +0.1
Michael Russell
2018 · AA
25 46→51 42→45 53→55 43 222/276/334 112279 819 23% 6% 69 -0.4 219/263/317 98288 714 25% 5% 58 -1.2 215/251/2968028451325%4%43-1.2
Kristopher Negrón
2011 · AAA
25 48→51 42→45 56→55 44 232/294/336 104296 922 24% 6% 77 +0.1 201/251/301 100272 918 29% 5% 50 -1.8 219/281/336117319131433%6%68-0.4
Cade Gotta
2017 · AA
25 45→51 41→45 56→55 42 220/264/324 103281 821 24% 5% 60 -1.0 235/287/337 102301 729 23% 7% 73 -0.1 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Corey Toups
2018 · AAA
25 43→49 44→45 55→50 40 212/269/332 120297 1016 31% 6% 66 -0.6 204/265/310 106321 1015 37% 7% 58 -1.2 173/241/2548129591941%7%30-1.4
Jecksson Flores
2019 · AA
25 49→53 40 52→55 41 235/273/328 93288 718 21% 4% 65 -0.7 217/270/304 87268 715 21% 6% 58 -1.2 205/268/2827725361020%6%49-1.1
Hunter Jones
2017 · AA
25 45→55 39→45 55 41 216/271/302 87294 622 28% 6% 58 -1.2 217/273/315 98285 814 25% 6% 62 -0.9 209/267/3079727381225%6%55-0.8
Johnni Turbo
2013 · AA
24 48 39→40 56→55 38 228/263/311 83304 618 26% 4% 56 -1.3 234/267/321 87288 617 20% 3% 60 -1.0 240/277/3046429831820%4%56-0.4
Travis Jones
2021 · AA
25 46→49 41→40 52→55 39 216/291/308 92315 921 32% 6% 69 -0.4 210/297/321 111310 1112 33% 9% 75 -0.0 179/287/27797265111033%11%56-0.5
Brodie Greene
2012 · AA
24 48→49 41→40 54→50 44 232/276/327 95279 820 20% 5% 66 -0.6 221/267/296 75262 512 17% 5% 54 -1.4 214/262/268542483714%6%42-1.4
Jack Dunn
2022 · A
25 50→47 39→40 54→55 47 236/300/319 83304 615 23% 8% 74 -0.1 220/304/299 79290 618 24% 10% 72 -0.2 210/305/2877727272123%11%68-0.4
Luke Williams
2021 · AA
24 41→46 42→45 52→60 43 202/263/305 103271 920 28% 7% 56 -1.3 228/286/325 97313 828 28% 7% 70 -0.3 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Daniel Hinojosa
2010 · AAA
26 46 38→40 56→55 38 216/263/303 86301 417 28% 5% 54 -1.4 238/278/328 90312 620 24% 5% 66 -0.6 249/289/3207131452322%5%66-0.2
Orlando Calixte
2017 · AAA
25 45→51 42→45 51→55 39 222/257/326 103285 918 25% 4% 57 -1.2 225/261/345 120289 1318 26% 5% 65 -0.7 233/273/3249130692026%5%61-0.4
Ivan Ochoa
2008 · AAA
25 50→53 38→40 54→55 43 237/288/315 78296 420 21% 5% 68 -0.5 230/291/323 93291 720 22% 6% 72 -0.2 215/275/2937827141821%6%55-0.8
Richie Martin Jr.
2019 · AA
24 47→52 41→45 53→60 43 225/279/327 102290 717 24% 6% 68 -0.5 218/273/323 105287 917 26% 6% 64 -0.8 212/273/3119828262926%6%58-0.6
Oscar Castaneda
2008 · AAA
25 50 42→40 55 42 243/299/350 107304 1020 23% 5% 82 +0.5 222/283/303 81279 611 21% 6% 63 -0.8 202/270/243412570420%7%39-0.5
Jacob Buchberger
2023 · AA
25 46 41→45 54→50 45 224/281/321 97293 813 26% 7% 67 -0.5 209/271/315 106292 1113 30% 7% 62 -0.9 195/259/298102276121332%7%49-1.3
Levi Michael
2016 · AA
25 49→59 40→45 57→55 47 230/297/327 97299 621 24% 8% 75 -0.0 222/285/319 97314 712 30% 6% 69 -0.4 226/293/341115319101130%5%75+0.0
Jemel Spearman
2006 · AA
25 50→53 42→45 53→50 41 240/282/354 114296 814 22% 4% 76 +0.0 236/290/337 101292 614 20% 6% 75 -0.0 234/289/3339928761620%6%71-0.2
Abiatal Avelino
2021 · AAA
26 48→54 45 55 39 237/266/358 120291 1218 23% 4% 69 -0.4 229/280/341 112278 1117 21% 6% 72 -0.2 227/282/331104272101820%6%66-0.3