Ian Dawkins
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 24 | AKannapolis In… | 589 | .298/.361/.396 | 4 | 23 | 61 | — | .235/.284/.310 |
| 2021 | 26 | AA/A+CWS | 349 | .248/.302/.368 | 8 | 14 | 44 | — | .202/.239/.289 |
| 2022 | 27 | AACWS | 246 | .236/.301/.364 | 5 | 9 | 49 | — | .203/.252/.312 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 145 | 132 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 280 | 340 | 348 | 689 | 68 | 333 | 16 | 8 | 312 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 127 | 119 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 328 | 365 | 437 | 802 | 109 | 378 | 16 | 3 | 357 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 589 | 533 | 159 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 95 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 361 | 396 | 757 | 98 | 357 | 16 | 6 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 222 | 209 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 57 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 249 | 293 | 373 | 666 | 124 | 320 | 26 | 6 | 298 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 127 | 114 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 360 | 677 | 114 | 281 | 18 | 8 | 305 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 246 | 225 | 53 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 129 | 287 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 145 | 137 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 241 | 278 | 299 | 577 | 58 | 297 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 127 | 121 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 240 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 66 | 301 | 23 | 2 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 589 | 548 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 130 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 235 | 284 | 310 | 594 | 75 | 296 | 22 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 222 | 214 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 69 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 206 | 234 | 294 | 529 | 89 | 288 | 31 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 127 | 118 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 195 | 246 | 280 | 526 | 85 | 238 | 25 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 246 | 231 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 203 | 252 | 312 | 564 | 108 | 262 | 26 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 258 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 240 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 62 | 305 | 22 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 251 | 76 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 303 | 352 | 390 | 742 | 88 | 354 | 16 | 6 | 333 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 589 | 548 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 130 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 235 | 284 | 310 | 594 | 75 | 302 | 22 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 589 | 533 | 159 | 38 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 95 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 361 | 396 | 757 | 98 | 357 | 16 | 6 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 332 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 101 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 202 | 239 | 292 | 531 | 90 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 349 | 323 | 80 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 80 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 248 | 302 | 368 | 670 | 121 | 305 | 23 | 7 | 300 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 246 | 231 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 203 | 252 | 312 | 564 | 108 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 246 | 225 | 53 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 53 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 301 | 364 | 665 | 129 | 287 | 22 | 7 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 258 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 60 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 240 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 62 | 299 | 22 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 589 | 547 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 130 | 15 | 23 | 8 | 236 | 284 | 311 | 595 | 75 | 296 | 22 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 330 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 101 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 203 | 239 | 294 | 532 | 91 | 270 | 29 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 246 | 229 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 205 | 252 | 314 | 566 | 109 | 262 | 26 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1456 | 1369 | 305 | 58 | 3 | 16 | 57 | 356 | 23 | 60 | 17 | 223 | 266 | 305 | 570 | 82 | 289 | 24 | 4 | 248 | 54 | -79 | +5 | +0 | -9 | +32 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 611 | 136 | 26 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 159 | 10 | 27 | 8 | 223 | 264 | 303 | 567 | 80 | 289 | 24 | 4 | 248 | 54 | -35 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AABirmingham Barons · 246 PAwOBA .293 → .241 (−51)K% 21.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.32% | ÷0.993 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 7.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.056 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .293 → .241; ISO .129 → .104; BABIP .287 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABirmingham Barons · 222 PAwOBA .290 → .232 (−58)K% 25.7% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.86% | ÷1.119 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.940 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.928 | ×0.870 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.33% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 115, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .290 → .232; ISO .124 → .094; BABIP .320 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 127 PAwOBA .300 → .234 (−66)K% 18.1% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.11% | ÷0.974 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.87% | ÷1.079 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 5.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 1.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×0.968 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 2.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 102, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .300 → .234; ISO .114 → .090; BABIP .281 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AKannapolis Intimidators · 589 PAwOBA .331 → .258 (−73)K% 16.1% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.982 | ×1.340 | — | — | 22.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.11% | ÷1.031 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.48% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.68% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.23% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.849 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.86% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .258; ISO .098 → .075; BABIP .357 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AKannapolis Intimidators · 145 PAwOBA .299 → .251 (−49)K% 15.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.86% | ÷0.986 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.966 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 24.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.50% | ÷0.986 | ×0.820 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 120, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .299 → .251; ISO .068 → .055; BABIP .333 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers · 127 PAwOBA .350 → .257 (−93)K% 15.7% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 1.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×0.965 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×0.965 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .350 → .257; ISO .109 → .075; BABIP .378 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).