Matt FraizerCF
Indianapolis Indians
Age 28
L/R
6'1" / 220 lbs
AAA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .269 / .320
PA230
HR4
SB8
K%28
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60→60
PWR
45→45
SPD
60→60
EYE
42↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-9M | $-13M | -$5M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 499 | 456 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 142 | 4 | 15 | 8 | .250 | .310 | .434 | .745 | .184 | .323 | 28 | 7 | .317 | 100 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 480 | 450 | 79 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 151 | 5 | 18 | 1 | .176 | .225 | .253 | .479 | .078 | .254 | 31 | 5 | .214 | 22 | -42 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 486 | 452 | 96 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 133 | 5 | 21 | 3 | .212 | .266 | .292 | .558 | .080 | .288 | 27 | 6 | .247 | 47 | -29 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 369 | 340 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 123 | 4 | 16 | 5 | .203 | .260 | .306 | .565 | .103 | .292 | 33 | 6 | .252 | 51 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 220 | 204 | 57 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 0 | 14 | 2 | .279 | .319 | .412 | .731 | .132 | .360 | 25 | 5 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 230 | 212 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 65 | 2 | 8 | 2 | .222 | .276 | .330 | .607 | .108 | .294 | 28 | 6 | .267 | 62 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | PIT | 266 | 245 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 2 | 9 | 2 | .220 | .277 | .331 | .607 | .110 | .293 | 28 | 6 | .270 | 65 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | PIT | 303 | 278 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 2 | 9 | 2 | .219 | .277 | .324 | .600 | .104 | .292 | 28 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | PIT | 301 | 276 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 2 | 8 | 1 | .217 | .275 | .322 | .598 | .105 | .292 | 28 | 7 | .271 | 65 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | PIT | 290 | 267 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 83 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .213 | .271 | .318 | .589 | .105 | .291 | 29 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | PIT | 265 | 244 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 78 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .213 | .270 | .311 | .581 | .098 | .290 | 29 | 6 | .263 | 59 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | PIT | 225 | 206 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 68 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .209 | .269 | .301 | .570 | .092 | .289 | 30 | 7 | .257 | 55 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +6 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3934 | 3630 | 789 | 150 | 21 | 68 | 244 | 1142 | 32 | 132 | 27 | .217 | .273 | .326 | .599 | .109 | .296 | 29 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -172 | +16 | -19 | +14 | +111 | -5.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 600 | 130 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 189 | 5 | 22 | 4 | .217 | .271 | .323 | .595 | .107 | .295 | 29 | 6 | .265 | 61 | -29 | +3 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 149 | 132 | 38 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .288 | .361 | .492 | .853 | .205 | .361 | 23 | 9 | .370 | 141 | +7 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 350 | 303 | 95 | 14 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 74 | 2 | 14 | 6 | .314 | .401 | .578 | .979 | .264 | .357 | 21 | 12 | .424 | 183 | +33 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 4.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 480 | 439 | 96 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 114 | 5 | 18 | 1 | .219 | .284 | .333 | .616 | .114 | .282 | 24 | 7 | .279 | 72 | -15 | +3 | — | — | +14 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 486 | 437 | 110 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 104 | 5 | 21 | 3 | .252 | .326 | .357 | .683 | .105 | .314 | 21 | 9 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +3 | — | — | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 151 | 138 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 1 | 6 | 2 | .261 | .325 | .406 | .730 | .145 | .330 | 23 | 8 | .327 | 108 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Altoona Curve | 218 | 192 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 59 | 3 | 10 | 3 | .240 | .321 | .365 | .686 | .125 | .315 | 27 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 220 | 197 | 60 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 0 | 14 | 2 | .305 | .366 | .452 | .818 | .147 | .373 | 20 | 9 | .357 | 132 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 1.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt Fraizer (OGILVIE) | 28 | 60 | 45 | 60 | 40 | .216/.269/.320 | .103 | .294 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 62 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB |
28 | 44→52 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 42 | .213/.265/.313 | .100 | .286 | 8 | 18 | 28% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .215/.267/.323 | .108 | .307 | 8 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .224/.280/.339 | .115 | .329 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 59→60 | 41 | .223/.280/.338 | .115 | .304 | 9 | 28 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.270/.321 | .111 | .305 | 10 | 21 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .154/.224/.233 | .079 | .248 | 9 | 18 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB |
27 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 59→60 | 44 | .226/.276/.311 | .085 | .283 | 7 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .221/.272/.316 | .095 | .296 | 8 | 24 | 27% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .205/.256/.273 | .068 | .295 | 5 | 26 | 30% | 6% | 41 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kean Wong 2023 · MLB |
28 | 48→58 | 37→45 | 57→55 | 43 | .228/.277/.300 | .072 | .309 | 5 | 28 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .232/.292/.328 | .096 | .308 | 9 | 21 | 26% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .243/.320/.345 | .102 | .304 | 13 | 15 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brian Bogusevic 2012 · MLB |
28 | 50→55 | 42→45 | 56→55 | 46 | .237/.297/.343 | .106 | .310 | 8 | 22 | 25% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .237/.310/.360 | .123 | .303 | 11 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .259/.317/.387 | .128 | .326 | 13 | 19 | 23% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB |
29 | 46→56 | 41→40 | 58→60 | 44 | .224/.277/.328 | .104 | .277 | 8 | 30 | 22% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .230/.280/.324 | .094 | .289 | 7 | 22 | 22% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .235/.285/.308 | .073 | .299 | 3 | 25 | 21% | 5% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Matt Long 2015 · AAA |
28 | 44→54 | 44→50 | 55 | 45 | .216/.273/.334 | .118 | .283 | 11 | 20 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .202/.255/.306 | .104 | .269 | 9 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .183/.234/.276 | .093 | .239 | 7 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -2.4 |
|
✕Matt Angle 2014 · MLB |
28 | 48→58 | 39→40 | 57→60 | 44 | .227/.289/.313 | .086 | .305 | 7 | 23 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.268/.280 | .074 | .296 | 5 | 18 | 30% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .183/.248/.221 | .038 | .271 | 1 | 18 | 30% | 7% | 25 | -1.3 |
|
✕Brian Miller 2023 · AAA |
27 | 51→57 | 40 | 61→60 | 43 | .244/.287/.344 | .100 | .309 | 6 | 30 | 23% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.281/.325 | .097 | .295 | 7 | 25 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .207/.270/.276 | .068 | .275 | 3 | 29 | 24% | 7% | 49 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ben Copeland 2012 · AAA |
28 | 49→53 | 43→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .238/.288/.353 | .115 | .294 | 9 | 19 | 22% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .213/.258/.327 | .114 | .272 | 10 | 19 | 25% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .165/.199/.252 | .088 | .210 | 7 | 28 | 25% | 4% | 11 | -1.5 |
|
✕Freddie Bynum Jr. 2009 · MLB |
29 | 47→52 | 42→40 | 57→55 | 41 | .225/.275/.340 | .114 | .304 | 8 | 21 | 28% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.261/.310 | .091 | .294 | 7 | 15 | 27% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.246/.289 | .076 | .283 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 4% | 39 | -1.0 |
|
✕Adam Stern 2008 · MLB |
28 | 48→56 | 41→40 | 56→55 | 41 | .234/.270/.336 | .102 | .293 | 7 | 24 | 23% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .242/.284/.334 | .092 | .297 | 6 | 22 | 20% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .259/.306/.347 | .089 | .308 | 5 | 21 | 17% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jason Pridie 2012 · MLB |
28 | 46→53 | 43→50 | 54→55 | 43 | .227/.271/.336 | .110 | .279 | 10 | 19 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .232/.279/.355 | .123 | .298 | 13 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .238/.286/.378 | .140 | .295 | 16 | 19 | 25% | 6% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ben Ruta 2021 · AA |
27 | 48→54 | 42→45 | 54→55 | 44 | .234/.281/.345 | .111 | .292 | 9 | 23 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .185/.247/.287 | .102 | .252 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .132/.200/.217 | .084 | .177 | 9 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 6 | -2.5 |
|
✕Tyler Wade 2022 · MLB |
27 | 49→55 | 41→45 | 57→60 | 47 | .234/.304/.335 | .101 | .308 | 8 | 30 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .224/.293/.312 | .088 | .293 | 7 | 38 | 24% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .228/.300/.289 | .061 | .309 | 4 | 40 | 25% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Luis Bolivar 2009 · AAA |
28 | 49→54 | 43→45 | 56→55 | 40 | .239/.283/.353 | .114 | .305 | 9 | 19 | 24% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 | .213/.254/.317 | .104 | .278 | 9 | 24 | 26% | 4% | 54 | -1.4 | .195/.232/.283 | .088 | .256 | 7 | 28 | 26% | 3% | 32 | -1.9 |
|
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB |
28 | 46→49 | 45→50 | 52→55 | 42 | .230/.277/.357 | .127 | .295 | 13 | 16 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .213/.270/.311 | .098 | .290 | 8 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .184/.248/.232 | .048 | .260 | 2 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 27 | -1.2 |
|
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→49 | 41→45 | 55 | 45 | .219/.285/.311 | .092 | .306 | 9 | 23 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.270/.305 | .104 | .274 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .182/.250/.282 | .099 | .246 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 7% | 42 | -1.9 |
|
✕Juan Perez 2019 · AAA |
27 | 41→51 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 39 | .207/.256/.315 | .107 | .282 | 11 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .241/.285/.398 | .157 | .298 | 19 | 24 | 25% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .260/.302/.431 | .170 | .309 | 21 | 29 | 23% | 5% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Tyrell Godwin 2007 · AAA |
28 | 51→60 | 41→45 | 53→50 | 45 | .245/.292/.351 | .106 | .292 | 8 | 19 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.279/.338 | .110 | .280 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.276/.325 | .103 | .274 | 9 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 62 | -0.7 |