David Kandilas
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 29 | INTLCanberra Cava… | 16 | .286/.375/.357 | 0 | 1 | 114 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTLSydney Blue S… | 77 | .300/.364/.386 | 0 | 0 | 116 | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTLSydney Blue S… | 93 | .160/.261/.210 | 0 | 0 | 39 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 87 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 205 | 279 | 269 | 548 | 64 | 242 | 15 | 9 | 251 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 115 | 107 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 262 | 295 | 383 | 678 | 121 | 317 | 21 | 4 | 293 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 109 | 84 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 274 | 402 | 321 | 723 | 48 | 307 | 9 | 15 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | Casper Ghosts | — | 283 | 248 | 81 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 327 | 399 | 548 | 948 | 222 | 377 | 16 | 9 | 406 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 75 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 425 | 375 | 800 | 125 | 255 | 8 | 21 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 326 | 278 | 74 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 54 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 266 | 361 | 403 | 764 | 137 | 315 | 17 | 12 | 340 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 94 | 85 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 282 | 351 | 376 | 728 | 94 | 324 | 16 | 9 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 415 | 359 | 95 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 83 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 265 | 353 | 354 | 707 | 89 | 329 | 20 | 11 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 77 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 237 | 417 | 654 | 222 | 192 | 21 | 4 | 281 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 294 | 254 | 69 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 51 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 272 | 362 | 398 | 760 | 126 | 333 | 17 | 10 | 339 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 197 | 182 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 297 | 330 | 423 | 753 | 126 | 340 | 18 | 5 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 292 | 150 | 442 | 167 | 8 | 17 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 167 | 148 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 331 | 405 | 737 | 142 | 280 | 13 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 173 | 158 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 380 | 434 | 696 | 1.130 | 316 | 387 | 13 | 8 | 487 | 216 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 129 | 111 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 352 | 351 | 703 | 99 | 306 | 19 | 13 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 121 | 114 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 307 | 347 | 500 | 847 | 193 | 330 | 12 | 5 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 364 | 19 | 12 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 77 | 70 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 364 | 386 | 749 | 86 | 350 | 13 | 9 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 93 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 261 | 210 | 471 | 49 | 200 | 18 | 11 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 87 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 160 | 209 | 198 | 407 | 37 | 205 | 22 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 115 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 193 | 214 | 257 | 471 | 64 | 262 | 30 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 283 | 258 | 61 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 63 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 236 | 291 | 384 | 675 | 147 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 326 | 294 | 62 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 77 | 4 | 19 | 3 | 211 | 277 | 310 | 587 | 99 | 265 | 24 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 415 | 373 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 112 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 214 | 282 | 284 | 566 | 70 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 77 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 197 | 392 | 589 | 216 | 171 | 26 | 1 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 294 | 262 | 54 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 206 | 283 | 294 | 577 | 88 | 269 | 24 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 87 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 160 | 209 | 198 | 407 | 37 | 206 | 22 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | Casper Ghosts | — | 87 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 205 | 279 | 269 | 548 | 64 | 242 | 15 | 9 | 251 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 206 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 204 | 234 | 296 | 530 | 92 | 283 | 30 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 224 | 191 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 267 | 346 | 356 | 702 | 89 | 312 | 15 | 9 | 307 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 326 | 78 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 80 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 239 | 293 | 396 | 689 | 156 | 296 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 358 | 304 | 95 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 42 | 50 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 312 | 405 | 516 | 921 | 204 | 352 | 14 | 12 | 397 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 380 | 79 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 99 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 208 | 275 | 303 | 577 | 95 | 269 | 24 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 420 | 363 | 98 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 69 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 270 | 359 | 397 | 756 | 127 | 317 | 16 | 11 | 338 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 415 | 373 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 112 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 214 | 282 | 284 | 566 | 70 | 290 | 27 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 415 | 359 | 95 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 83 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 265 | 353 | 354 | 707 | 89 | 329 | 20 | 11 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 514 | 102 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 137 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 198 | 260 | 307 | 568 | 109 | 253 | 24 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 568 | 508 | 137 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 102 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 270 | 334 | 409 | 743 | 140 | 318 | 18 | 7 | 326 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 292 | 150 | 442 | 167 | 8 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 292 | 150 | 442 | 167 | 8 | 17 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 167 | 148 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 331 | 405 | 737 | 142 | 280 | 13 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 167 | 148 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 331 | 405 | 737 | 142 | 280 | 13 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 173 | 158 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 380 | 434 | 696 | 1.130 | 316 | 387 | 13 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 173 | 158 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 380 | 434 | 696 | 1.130 | 316 | 387 | 13 | 8 | 487 | 216 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 129 | 111 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 352 | 351 | 703 | 99 | 306 | 19 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 129 | 111 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 352 | 351 | 703 | 99 | 306 | 19 | 13 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 121 | 114 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 307 | 347 | 500 | 847 | 193 | 330 | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 121 | 114 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 307 | 347 | 500 | 847 | 193 | 330 | 12 | 5 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 364 | 19 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 357 | 732 | 71 | 364 | 19 | 12 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 77 | 70 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 364 | 386 | 749 | 86 | 350 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 77 | 70 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 364 | 386 | 749 | 86 | 350 | 13 | 9 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL MLE | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 93 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 261 | 210 | 471 | 49 | 200 | 18 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL RAW | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 93 | 81 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 261 | 210 | 471 | 49 | 200 | 18 | 11 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Casper Ghosts | — | 87 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 159 | 209 | 195 | 404 | 37 | 205 | 22 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 224 | 214 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 196 | 234 | 285 | 519 | 89 | 262 | 30 | 3 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 358 | 330 | 78 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 80 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 236 | 293 | 391 | 684 | 155 | 284 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 420 | 382 | 79 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 99 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 207 | 275 | 301 | 576 | 94 | 265 | 24 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 415 | 377 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 112 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 212 | 282 | 281 | 563 | 69 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 520 | 102 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 137 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 196 | 260 | 304 | 564 | 108 | 249 | 24 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2872 | 2596 | 597 | 117 | 27 | 45 | 199 | 628 | 30 | 117 | 35 | 230 | 292 | 348 | 640 | 118 | 284 | 22 | 7 | 181 | 9 | -312 | +9 | +0 | +10 | +62 | -23.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 134 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 142 | 7 | 26 | 8 | 228 | 291 | 344 | 634 | 116 | 281 | 22 | 7 | 181 | 9 | -71 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -5.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 A+Modesto Nuts · 294 PAwOBA .333 → .255 (−78)K% 17.3% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.35% | ÷0.977 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.17% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 19.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.37% | ÷1.047 | ×0.820 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.96% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.44% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .333 → .255; ISO .126 → .087; BABIP .333 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATulsa Drillers · 77 PAwOBA .268 → .234 (−34)K% 20.8% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.78% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.60% | ÷1.038 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 11.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 2.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.901 | ×0.940 | ×0.976 | ×1.012 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .268 → .234; ISO .222 → .198; BABIP .192 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Modesto Nuts · 415 PAwOBA .315 → .253 (−62)K% 20.0% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.81% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×0.968 | ×0.998 | 23.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.080 | ×0.820 | ×0.968 | ×0.998 | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.968 | ×0.998 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.831 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .315 → .253; ISO .089 → .074; BABIP .329 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAsheville Tourists · 326 PAwOBA .333 → .255 (−78)K% 16.6% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.56% | ÷0.942 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.35% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | — | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.54% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | — | 18.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷1.079 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | — | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.061 | ×0.940 | ×0.951 | — | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.191 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 94, 2B 116, 3B 112, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .333 → .255; ISO .137 → .099; BABIP .315 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKCasper Ghosts · 283 PAwOBA .397 → .284 (−113)K% 15.5% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.983 | ×0.985 | 3.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 2.17% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .397 → .284; ISO .222 → .155; BABIP .377 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKCasper Ghosts · 115 PAwOBA .288 → .214 (−74)K% 20.9% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 2.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.043 | ×0.995 | 21.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.043 | ×0.995 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.043 | ×0.995 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .288 → .214; ISO .121 → .085; BABIP .317 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKCasper Ghosts · 87 PAwOBA .248 → .190 (−58)K% 14.9% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 17.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .248 → .190; ISO .064 → .048; BABIP .242 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .