Hayden Cantrelle

Hayden Cantrelle2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION221 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .280 / .249

PA147

HR1

SB9

K%35

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	384	310	38	7	3	4	59	138	10	29	9	123	282	203	486	81	198	36	15	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	384	287	49	12	3	7	82	102	10	29	9	171	372	307	679	136	231	27	21	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	4 teams	—	320	267	46	12	4	4	42	129	5	19	6	172	296	292	588	120	302	40	13	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	4 teams	—	320	244	58	15	5	6	65	90	5	19	6	238	408	414	822	176	340	28	20	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	294	55	9	1	5	47	98	14	14	1	187	327	276	602	88	260	27	13	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	231	200	44	8	3	4	22	89	7	11	2	220	319	350	669	130	374	39	10	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	231	194	52	10	3	5	28	71	7	11	2	268	380	428	808	160	398	31	12	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	396	344	71	12	3	3	40	157	6	30	5	206	300	285	585	78	368	40	10	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	396	327	77	14	4	4	57	126	6	30	5	235	359	339	698	104	369	32	14	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AA	CHC	—	221	194	42	7	3	2	21	75	3	20	5	216	303	314	617	98	336	34	10	283	75	-6	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.3
YTD	27	AA	CHC	—	221	184	49	9	4	3	31	60	3	20	5	266	381	408	788	141	374	27	14	353	128	+7	+2	+0	+1	+6	1.6
ROS	27	AA	CHC	2%	147	128	23	4	1	1	15	51	3	9	2	179	280	249	530	70	284	35	10	256	54	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						285	33	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AA	CHC	—	224	197	42	7	3	2	21	76	3	20	5	213	299	310	608	96	331	34	9	283	74	-6	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.3
TOT	27	AA	CHC	—	368	322	65	11	4	3	36	126	6	29	7	202	294	289	582	87	316	34	10	272	67	-14	+3	+0	+1	+10	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CHC	27%	333	291	55	10	3	4	34	111	5	17	4	189	285	285	570	96	284	33	10	262	59	-15	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2028	29	MLB	CHC	37%	352	309	59	10	3	5	35	115	5	17	4	191	284	291	575	100	284	33	10	265	61	-15	+2	-1	+1	+10	-0.4
2027	28	MLB	CHC	27%	89	79	15	3	1	1	9	30	1	5	1	190	281	291	572	101	285	34	10	252	51	-5	+1	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	CHC	37%	131	115	22	4	1	2	13	43	2	6	1	191	285	296	580	104	285	33	10	255	53	-7	+1	-1	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	223	197	37	7	2	3	22	74	3	11	2	188	279	289	569	102	281	33	10	254	52	-12	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	108	20	6	9	64	216	9	32	6	188	280	291	571	103	281	33	10	254	52	-35	+4	-2	+2	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2520	2143	391	72	21	30	294	888	55	146	33	182	297	278	575	95	291	35	12	264	60	-113	+16	-2	+9	+71	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	553	101	19	5	8	76	229	14	38	9	183	297	278	576	96	291	35	12	264	60	-29	+4	-1	+2	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	43	35	5	0	2	0	5	12	3	1	1	143	302	257	559	114	217	28	12	271	65	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	341	252	44	12	1	7	77	90	7	28	8	175	381	313	694	139	233	26	23	329	110	+4	+2	—	—	+10	1.6
2022	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	110	92	17	5	0	3	14	40	3	6	4	185	312	337	649	152	286	36	13	298	86	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	41	28	6	4	0	1	12	8	0	3	0	214	450	464	914	250	250	20	29	402	166	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	149	111	31	3	5	2	34	37	2	10	1	279	456	450	906	171	392	25	23	405	168	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	20	13	4	3	0	0	5	5	0	0	1	308	500	538	1.038	231	400	25	25	412	174	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	114	+6	+2	—	—	+10	1.9
2024	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	160	132	36	7	2	3	23	48	4	9	0	273	396	424	820	152	407	30	14	370	141	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	71	62	16	3	1	2	5	23	3	2	2	258	343	435	778	177	378	32	7	343	121	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	278	235	55	9	1	4	33	91	5	19	4	234	341	332	673	98	362	33	12	307	93	-2	+2	—	—	+8	0.8
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	118	92	22	5	3	0	24	35	1	11	1	239	402	359	760	120	386	30	20	351	127	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	225	3	11	190	282	286	+1	+1	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	9	33	190	282	286	+2.4	+3.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Cantrelle (OGILVIE)	27	35	40	60	55	202/294/289	87	316	3	29	34%	10%	67	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	41	43→45	57→60	41	205/260/322	117	272	10	26	28%	6%	59	-1.1	201/253/309	108	258	11	24	26%	5%	53	-1.5	184/233/277	93	233	10	28	25%	5%	32	-1.3
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	43	37→40	53→55	45	203/274/275	72	293	5	23	30%	8%	53	-1.5	212/276/311	99	306	9	21	31%	8%	63	-0.9	212/279/325	113	292	12	26	30%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	42	35→30	50	49	197/273/256	58	262	2	18	24%	8%	47	-1.9	234/299/306	72	303	4	14	22%	7%	71	-0.3	261/323/314	53	331	3	14	20%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	43→48	41→40	58→60	47	204/282/305	101	288	8	30	30%	9%	64	-0.8	204/260/301	97	295	9	18	32%	7%	53	-1.5	184/236/261	77	267	8	17	33%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	40	213/272/327	115	309	10	19	33%	6%	66	-0.6	214/294/305	91	333	6	15	34%	9%	69	-0.4	200/294/276	76	323	5	17	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB	28	43→52	41→45	54→55	42	211/263/312	101	283	8	19	28%	6%	56	-1.3	213/263/321	108	305	9	18	31%	6%	59	-1.1	219/275/335	116	325	10	11	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	43→40	53→60	38	187/271/294	107	277	11	21	34%	6%	59	-1.1	206/289/300	94	299	8	27	32%	7%	67	-0.5	195/287/264	69	287	6	39	31%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→47	39→45	55→60	40	184/270/268	84	306	7	24	39%	8%	50	-1.7	205/282/312	107	298	10	23	32%	7%	67	-0.5	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2011 · AA	27	43	40	54→50	43	209/264/301	93	264	8	13	24%	6%	55	-1.4	215/278/299	84	277	6	12	23%	7%	60	-1.0	215/283/289	74	275	5	12	22%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Zach Davis 2022 · AAA	28	46→52	37→30	58→65	40	218/274/289	71	313	5	34	31%	6%	56	-1.3	217/286/288	71	329	5	41	33%	7%	61	-1.0	222/300/261	39	341	0	78	31%	8%	59	-0.4
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→43	42→45	53→55	36	205/241/304	99	278	9	22	30%	4%	45	-2.1	218/264/354	136	288	16	24	29%	5%	69	-0.4	209/257/355	146	277	18	25	31%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	44→40	38→50	54→55	37	204/254/278	74	317	5	26	36%	6%	44	-2.1	206/248/342	136	286	15	19	32%	5%	59	-1.1	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	40	40→45	52→55	40	184/266/276	92	316	8	18	41%	8%	51	-1.7	203/278/314	111	301	11	21	34%	8%	65	-0.7	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	43→40	59→60	45	214/295/319	105	309	12	32	32%	9%	74	-0.1	212/279/316	104	299	11	27	31%	7%	66	-0.6	180/249/269	88	246	11	46	30%	7%	38	-0.9