Hayden Cantrelle

Hayden Cantrelle2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP269

ISO75

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	43	35	5	0	2	0	5	12	3	1	1	143	302	257	559	114	217	28	12	271	69	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	341	252	44	12	1	7	77	90	7	28	8	175	381	313	694	139	233	26	23	329	109	+4	+2	—	—	+7	1.4
2022	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	110	92	17	5	0	3	14	40	3	6	4	185	312	337	649	152	286	36	13	298	88	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	41	28	6	4	0	1	12	8	0	3	0	214	450	464	914	250	250	20	29	402	158	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	149	111	31	3	5	2	34	37	2	10	1	279	456	450	906	171	392	25	23	405	160	+11	+2	—	—	+3	1.6
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	20	13	4	3	0	0	5	5	0	0	1	308	500	538	1.038	231	400	25	25	412	165	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	112	+5	+2	—	—	+8	1.6
2024	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	160	132	36	7	2	3	23	48	4	9	0	273	396	424	820	152	407	30	14	370	136	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	71	62	16	3	1	2	5	23	3	2	2	258	343	435	778	177	378	32	7	343	118	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	278	235	55	9	1	4	33	91	5	19	4	234	341	332	673	98	362	33	12	307	94	-2	+2	—	—	+6	0.6
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	118	92	22	5	3	0	24	35	1	11	1	239	402	359	760	120	386	30	20	351	124	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	43	37	5	0	2	0	3	15	3	1	1	135	256	243	499	108	203	35	7	217	33	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	341	274	35	8	1	5	55	121	7	28	8	128	289	219	508	91	188	35	16	243	51	-20	+2	—	—	+7	-1.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	110	97	13	4	0	2	9	51	3	6	4	134	229	237	466	103	244	46	8	214	31	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2022	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	41	32	6	4	0	1	8	11	0	3	0	188	350	406	756	219	202	27	20	307	94	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	149	122	26	2	4	2	23	53	2	10	1	213	347	344	691	131	335	36	15	307	94	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	20	15	4	3	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	267	389	467	856	200	321	35	15	362	131	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	295	55	9	1	4	46	92	14	14	1	186	324	264	588	78	250	26	13	271	70	-13	+2	—	—	+8	-0.3
2024	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	160	138	32	6	2	2	17	58	4	9	0	232	333	348	681	116	368	36	11	295	86	-3	+2	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	71	63	14	2	1	2	4	29	3	2	2	222	300	381	681	159	341	41	6	274	72	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	278	245	49	7	1	2	23	110	5	19	4	200	282	261	543	61	338	40	8	247	53	-15	+2	—	—	+6	-0.7
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	118	99	20	5	2	0	17	43	1	11	1	202	325	293	618	91	340	36	14	276	73	-4	+2	—	—	+3	0.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	310	39	8	3	5	59	136	10	29	9	126	285	219	504	94	197	35	15	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	384	287	49	12	3	7	82	102	10	29	9	171	372	307	679	136	231	27	21	322	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	320	266	48	12	4	5	43	121	5	19	6	180	306	312	618	132	297	38	13	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	4 teams	—	320	244	58	15	5	6	65	90	5	19	6	238	408	414	822	176	340	28	20	368	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	295	55	9	1	4	46	92	14	14	1	186	324	264	588	78	255	26	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	369	38	9	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	231	194	52	10	3	5	28	71	7	11	2	268	380	428	808	160	398	31	12	362	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	344	69	12	3	2	40	153	6	30	5	201	295	270	565	70	353	39	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	396	327	77	14	4	4	57	126	6	30	5	235	359	339	698	104	369	32	14	320	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	312	39	8	3	5	59	136	10	29	9	125	285	218	503	93	190	35	15	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	320	269	48	12	4	5	43	121	5	19	6	178	306	309	614	130	286	38	13	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	294	55	9	1	4	46	92	14	14	1	187	324	265	589	78	250	26	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	360	38	9	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	347	69	12	3	2	40	153	6	30	5	199	295	268	563	69	339	39	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	294	55	9	1	4	46	92	14	14	1	187	324	265	589	78	250	26	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	360	38	9	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	347	69	12	3	2	40	153	6	30	5	199	295	268	563	69	339	39	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	CHC	—	303	263	48	8	4	2	32	99	4	26	6	183	281	266	547	84	280	33	11	251	56	-16	+3	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	CHC	—	156	124	37	5	3	1	26	33	3	18	2	298	431	411	843	113	391	21	17	378	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	CHC	—	147	125	18	5	2	2	20	49	1	8	4	144	267	264	531	120	216	33	14	249	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	CHC	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		265	33	11	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	CHC	—	312	271	49	8	4	2	33	102	4	27	6	181	279	262	541	81	278	33	11	251	56	-16	+3	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	333	291	51	9	3	3	34	111	5	17	4	175	273	258	530	82	268	33	10	252	56	-17	+2	-1	+1	+7	-0.8
2028	29	MLB MLE	CHC	37%	352	308	56	10	3	4	36	115	5	17	4	182	278	273	551	91	269	33	10	255	59	-17	+2	-1	+1	+8	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	89	79	14	2	1	1	9	30	1	5	1	177	270	266	535	89	271	34	10	242	56	-5	+1	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CHC	37%	131	115	21	4	1	1	13	43	2	6	1	183	277	261	538	78	272	33	10	246	59	-6	+1	-1	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	220	194	35	6	2	2	22	73	3	11	2	180	274	263	537	82	275	33	10	245	63	-11	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	104	18	6	6	65	216	9	32	6	182	275	265	540	84	277	33	10	245	63	-33	+4	-2	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2382	2024	364	68	20	27	279	818	52	138	31	180	295	273	568	93	282	34	12	261	63	-35	+4	-2	+2	+15	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	99	19	5	7	76	223	14	38	8	179	294	270	564	91	282	34	12	261	63	-33	+4	-2	+2	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	225	2	11	180	274	269	+1	+1	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	7	33	+2.4	+3.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Cantrelle (OGILVIE)	27	35	40	60	55	169/269/247	78	265	2	16	34%	10%	52	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	42→43	42→45	57→60	41	205/259/318	112	271	9	26	27%	6%	62	-1.4	203/256/309	106	262	10	24	26%	6%	59	-1.7	189/239/282	93	239	10	28	25%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	43	42→45	58→60	40	207/267/318	111	295	8	25	32%	6%	65	-1.2	213/274/327	114	323	11	22	35%	6%	70	-0.8	198/261/302	104	308	10	29	37%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	55	39	210/261/304	93	304	7	24	32%	6%	59	-1.7	219/278/323	104	314	10	15	31%	6%	70	-0.8	202/263/278	76	292	9	13	32%	6%	52	-0.5
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	39	43→40	54→60	39	192/278/300	107	279	10	21	33%	6%	67	-1.1	209/292/300	91	295	8	27	30%	7%	72	-0.7	198/291/265	66	283	5	39	29%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	42→40	59→60	45	213/291/309	96	302	11	32	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/278/304	94	297	9	27	30%	7%	66	-1.1	178/249/248	70	249	8	46	30%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	39→40	52→55	37	200/243/282	81	284	7	19	31%	5%	47	-2.5	222/272/312	90	320	7	21	31%	6%	65	-1.2	246/295/325	79	357	4	31	30%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	42→40	51→55	42	201/278/307	106	312	9	19	36%	8%	68	-1.0	200/279/294	94	289	9	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	184/270/260	77	263	8	25	30%	9%	53	-1.2
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	45→42	38→50	54→55	39	210/259/286	76	313	5	26	33%	6%	54	-2.0	207/249/342	135	281	14	19	31%	5%	64	-1.3	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	204/240/298	94	278	9	22	30%	4%	49	-2.4	217/264/348	131	289	15	24	29%	5%	72	-0.7	209/257/350	142	277	17	25	31%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	44	37→40	53→55	46	207/279/279	73	294	4	23	29%	9%	61	-1.5	215/280/312	97	306	8	21	30%	8%	69	-0.9	210/267/320	110	294	8	22	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	43→49	40	58→60	47	207/284/305	98	290	7	30	29%	9%	69	-0.9	203/260/296	93	295	9	18	32%	7%	57	-1.8	181/232/251	70	264	7	17	33%	6%	33	-1.2
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	43	35→30	50	50	202/278/261	59	262	2	18	22%	8%	57	-1.8	235/301/306	71	302	4	14	22%	8%	75	-0.5	259/323/310	52	327	3	14	20%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Kevin Mattison 2013 · AAA	27	42→48	42→45	57→60	40	204/262/316	111	285	9	26	30%	6%	63	-1.4	183/242/295	112	305	10	22	41%	6%	51	-2.3	150/212/254	104	271	9	25	45%	6%	29	-2.0
✕Michael Reed 2021 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	55	36	198/247/312	114	293	12	25	36%	6%	56	-1.9	203/263/299	96	331	8	18	38%	7%	59	-1.7	185/249/271	86	309	7	22	40%	7%	44	-0.6
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB	28	43→52	41→45	54→55	43	211/265/308	97	284	8	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	213/266/315	102	307	7	18	31%	6%	63	-1.3	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	35→44	41→45	56→55	35	173/234/278	105	292	8	22	41%	6%	44	-2.8	187/242/284	97	306	8	17	39%	5%	48	-2.5	132/186/192	60	225	8	22	43%	4%	5	-1.6
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps