Hayden Cantrelle

Hayden Cantrelle2B Iowa Cubs

Age 27 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AAA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .287 / .277

PA250

HR3

SB11

K%35

BB%10

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

54↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-6M		$-16M	-$10M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	2 teams	384	310	38	8	2	5	59	137	10	29	9	.123	.282	.210	.492	.087	.192	36	15	.241	42	-25	+2	+0	+1	+11	-1.1
2022	23	A	4 teams	320	266	50	13	5	5	43	125	5	19	6	.188	.312	.331	.643	.143	.319	39	13	.282	74	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	357	294	55	9	1	4	47	97	14	14	1	.187	.327	.265	.592	.078	.263	27	13	.275	69	-13	+2	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	89	7	11	2	.223	.314	.351	.666	.129	.376	39	9	.292	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	396	345	68	12	2	3	39	156	6	30	5	.197	.290	.270	.559	.072	.348	39	10	.251	51	-22	+4	+0	+1	+11	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	27	25	3	1	0	1	2	12	0	2	2	.120	.185	.280	.465	.160	.167	44	7	.174	-9	-3	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
ROS	27	MLB	CHC	223	193	37	7	1	3	23	79	5	9	1	.192	.294	.285	.579	.093	.295	35	10	.265	61	-10	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
TOT	27	MLB	CHC	250	218	40	8	1	4	25	91	5	11	3	.183	.282	.284	.567	.101	.290	36	10	.255	54	-13	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	CHC	333	289	56	10	2	5	34	114	7	13	2	.194	.294	.294	.588	.100	.294	34	10	.270	65	-13	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2028	29	MLB 33%	CHC	352	307	60	11	2	5	35	118	7	12	2	.195	.292	.293	.585	.098	.294	34	10	.272	66	-13	+2	-1	+1	+10	-0.2
2029	30	MLB 43%	CHC	363	317	62	11	2	6	36	121	7	12	1	.196	.292	.300	.591	.104	.292	33	10	.271	66	-14	+2	-2	+1	+10	-0.3
2030	31	MLB 52%	CHC	358	312	61	11	2	5	36	120	7	10	1	.196	.293	.292	.585	.096	.290	34	10	.269	64	-15	+2	-3	+1	+10	-0.4
2031	32	MLB 64%	CHC	345	302	58	10	2	5	34	117	6	8	0	.192	.287	.288	.575	.096	.289	34	10	.264	61	-15	+2	-4	+1	+10	-0.6
2032	33	MLB 81%	CHC	318	278	51	9	1	4	31	110	6	6	0	.183	.279	.266	.546	.083	.287	35	10	.259	57	-16	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.9
2033	34	MLB	CHC	277	243	44	8	1	3	27	99	5	5	0	.181	.276	.259	.536	.078	.285	36	10	.253	52	-15	+1	-5	+1	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4257	3658	685	127	26	57	464	1482	92	178	30	.187	.294	.283	.577	.096	.293	35	11	.266	62	-185	+24	-20	+15	+121	-4.6
/ 162G	—			650	559	105	19	4	9	71	226	14	27	5	.188	.295	.284	.580	.097	.293	35	11	.266	62	-28	+3	-3	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	43	35	5	0	2	0	5	12	3	1	1	.143	.302	.257	.559	.114	.217	28	12	.271	65	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	341	252	44	12	1	7	77	90	7	28	8	.175	.381	.313	.694	.139	.233	26	23	.329	110	+4	+2	—	—	+10	1.6
2022	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	110	92	17	5	0	3	14	40	3	6	4	.185	.312	.337	.649	.152	.286	36	13	.298	86	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	41	28	6	4	0	1	12	8	0	3	0	.214	.450	.464	.914	.250	.250	20	29	.402	166	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	23	A	San Jose Giants	149	111	31	3	5	2	34	37	2	10	1	.279	.456	.450	.906	.171	.392	25	23	.405	168	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.8
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Black	20	13	4	3	0	0	5	5	0	0	1	.308	.500	.538	1.038	.231	.400	25	25	.412	174	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	.215	.392	.305	.697	.091	.279	21	18	.334	114	+6	+2	—	—	+10	1.9
2024	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	160	132	36	7	2	3	23	48	4	9	0	.273	.396	.424	.820	.152	.407	30	14	.370	141	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	71	62	16	3	1	2	5	23	3	2	2	.258	.343	.435	.778	.177	.378	32	7	.343	121	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	278	235	55	9	1	4	33	91	5	19	4	.234	.341	.332	.673	.098	.362	33	12	.307	93	-2	+2	—	—	+8	0.8
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	118	92	22	5	3	0	24	35	1	11	1	.239	.402	.359	.760	.120	.386	30	20	.351	127	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Cantrelle (OGILVIE)	27	35	40	60	55	.187/.287/.277	.090	.295	3	10	35%	10%	61	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44→43	44→40	55→50	41	.215/.277/.335	.120	.309	11	19	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.295/.313	.097	.331	7	15	34%	9%	72	-0.2	.207/.298/.290	.083	.327	6	17	34%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	43→40	59→60	45	.210/.290/.313	.104	.303	12	32	33%	9%	70	-0.3	.205/.276/.302	.097	.296	10	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.172/.244/.246	.074	.244	9	46	32%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	41→46	40→45	52→60	42	.197/.273/.296	.099	.291	7	21	32%	7%	59	-1.1	.197/.280/.311	.114	.282	12	26	33%	7%	66	-0.6	.170/.270/.280	.110	.246	14	31	34%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	45	37→40	53→55	46	.209/.281/.284	.076	.299	5	23	30%	9%	58	-1.2	.216/.283/.313	.097	.314	8	21	31%	8%	66	-0.6	.219/.289/.338	.119	.307	12	26	31%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→39	43→45	51→55	41	.202/.279/.316	.113	.314	11	19	37%	8%	66	-0.6	.197/.275/.297	.100	.290	10	22	33%	8%	59	-1.1	.177/.264/.256	.079	.258	8	25	32%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	42→36	39→40	52→55	47	.200/.282/.280	.080	.283	7	19	30%	9%	58	-1.2	.197/.253/.328	.131	.305	14	15	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.160/.218/.290	.130	.244	15	17	40%	6%	33	-1.5
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	41→43	43→45	57→60	40	.204/.256/.319	.115	.274	9	25	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.201/.252/.307	.106	.262	10	25	26%	5%	51	-1.7	.188/.238/.281	.093	.238	10	28	25%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2019 · MLB	27	42→48	44→55	58→55	35	.206/.245/.331	.124	.304	11	23	35%	5%	54	-1.4	.230/.281/.394	.164	.313	18	17	31%	7%	86	+0.8	.226/.278/.413	.187	.308	22	16	33%	7%	86	+0.5
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	43→47	42→45	58→65	38	.201/.273/.305	.104	.324	9	26	38%	7%	61	-1.0	.204/.283/.299	.095	.323	9	38	36%	9%	63	-0.8	.208/.288/.296	.088	.322	8	47	35%	9%	62	-0.6
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	58→60	40	.195/.257/.310	.114	.277	9	26	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.220/.274/.346	.126	.300	11	17	29%	5%	71	-0.3	.227/.287/.366	.138	.305	13	23	28%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Pedro Florimón 2015 · MLB	28	44→52	41→45	53→55	42	.213/.265/.313	.100	.286	8	18	28%	6%	58	-1.2	.215/.267/.323	.108	.307	8	19	31%	6%	61	-1.0	.224/.280/.339	.115	.329	10	11	33%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	42	46→40	57→55	48	.206/.304/.336	.130	.293	14	25	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.214/.310/.321	.107	.288	9	17	26%	10%	81	+0.4	.206/.316/.294	.088	.270	5	13	23%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Bryce Johnson 2022 · AAA	26	47→50	42→45	57→60	44	.220/.289/.326	.106	.321	8	26	32%	8%	72	-0.2	.228/.298/.332	.104	.330	9	32	31%	8%	78	+0.2	.232/.311/.335	.103	.321	8	29	28%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Andrew Velazquez 2021 · MLB	27	44→52	45→50	55→60	40	.219/.267/.349	.130	.296	12	21	30%	6%	69	-0.4	.213/.269/.335	.122	.311	11	32	33%	7%	66	-0.6	.200/.258/.316	.115	.294	12	41	34%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	45→47	44→45	54→55	48	.220/.290/.337	.117	.282	11	19	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.221/.300/.344	.123	.297	13	23	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.221/.306/.342	.121	.297	13	26	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Chavez Young 2023 · AAA	26	46→50	44→45	60	44	.226/.291/.343	.117	.312	12	28	30%	8%	77	+0.1	.200/.275/.299	.099	.275	9	29	29%	8%	60	-1.0	.172/.257/.255	.083	.240	6	35	29%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Lucius Fox 2023 · MLB	26	43→49	42→40	56→60	43	.209/.270/.311	.102	.292	9	25	30%	7%	60	-1.0	.206/.258/.309	.103	.302	11	14	33%	6%	54	-1.4	.162/.210/.224	.062	.248	11	0	38%	6%	9	-1.1
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	59→60	39	.200/.260/.310	.111	.293	9	26	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.207/.268/.324	.117	.323	12	22	37%	6%	63	-0.8	.189/.251/.296	.108	.301	12	29	39%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2019 · AA	25	49→39	37→40	58→60	45	.225/.295/.308	.083	.327	3	24	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.210/.278/.287	.077	.303	4	26	29%	8%	57	-1.2	.183/.254/.242	.059	.268	2	31	30%	8%	35	-2.1
✕David Espinosa 2009 · AAA	27	42→49	43→45	54→50	44	.208/.262/.327	.119	.267	10	15	26%	7%	60	-1.0	.207/.263/.308	.101	.268	8	15	25%	7%	56	-1.3	.186/.250/.263	.077	.240	5	18	23%	8%	36	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)