Will HollandSS
St. Paul Saints
Age 28
R/R
5'10" / 181 lbs
AAA
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .276 / .310
PA250
HR5
SB11
K%33
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
50→50
SPD
55→55
EYE
47↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-4M | $-7M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 299 | 262 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 137 | 13 | 19 | 5 | .153 | .255 | .294 | .549 | .141 | .274 | 46 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -20 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 444 | 390 | 67 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 178 | 9 | 32 | 6 | .172 | .264 | .272 | .536 | .100 | .287 | 40 | 9 | .244 | 45 | -28 | +4 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 341 | 305 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 121 | 2 | 30 | 7 | .157 | .240 | .236 | .476 | .079 | .246 | 35 | 9 | .220 | 27 | -28 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 145 | 122 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .246 | .361 | .451 | .812 | .205 | .309 | 26 | 8 | .346 | 123 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 261 | 232 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 93 | 7 | 11 | 3 | .168 | .246 | .263 | .509 | .095 | .246 | 36 | 7 | .227 | 32 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 250 | 222 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 82 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .194 | .278 | .311 | .589 | .117 | .279 | 33 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | MIN | 277 | 247 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .198 | .280 | .320 | .600 | .121 | .280 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | MIN | 310 | 275 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .196 | .280 | .309 | .589 | .113 | .280 | 32 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | MIN | 308 | 274 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .197 | .279 | .310 | .589 | .113 | .279 | 32 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | MIN | 297 | 265 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 95 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .192 | .275 | .306 | .580 | .113 | .278 | 32 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 70% | MIN | 273 | 243 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 89 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .189 | .273 | .296 | .569 | .107 | .276 | 33 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 87% | MIN | 233 | 207 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .188 | .273 | .295 | .567 | .106 | .274 | 33 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -12 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3438 | 3044 | 560 | 113 | 16 | 66 | 280 | 1195 | 83 | 164 | 33 | .184 | .271 | .297 | .568 | .113 | .274 | 35 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -171 | +20 | -19 | +37 | +97 | -3.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 105 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 226 | 16 | 31 | 6 | .182 | .270 | .292 | .562 | .109 | .272 | 35 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -32 | +4 | -4 | +7 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 299 | 252 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 99 | 13 | 19 | 5 | .214 | .336 | .401 | .736 | .187 | .308 | 33 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +4 | +2 | — | — | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 117 | 98 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 2 | 11 | 2 | .235 | .359 | .378 | .737 | .143 | .357 | 33 | 15 | .337 | 116 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 327 | 276 | 62 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 98 | 7 | 21 | 4 | .225 | .335 | .362 | .698 | .138 | .318 | 30 | 12 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +3 | — | — | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 341 | 294 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 95 | 2 | 30 | 7 | .197 | .302 | .306 | .608 | .109 | .270 | 28 | 12 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +3 | — | — | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 145 | 117 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 10 | 13 | 2 | .299 | .431 | .556 | .986 | .256 | .358 | 21 | 12 | .431 | 188 | +14 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 261 | 223 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 76 | 7 | 11 | 3 | .197 | .301 | .341 | .642 | .143 | .252 | 29 | 10 | .289 | 80 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Will Holland (OGILVIE) | 28 | 35 | 50 | 55 | 50 | .193/.276/.310 | .117 | .279 | 5 | 11 | 33% | 8% | 65 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA |
29 | 42→45 | 45 | 56→55 | 45 | .205/.290/.325 | .121 | .298 | 12 | 25 | 33% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.291/.328 | .114 | .349 | 12 | 22 | 38% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .184/.261/.252 | .069 | .349 | 8 | 20 | 45% | 8% | 38 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2023 · AAA |
28 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 53→60 | 39 | .207/.274/.314 | .107 | .294 | 11 | 21 | 32% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .188/.283/.307 | .119 | .270 | 13 | 28 | 33% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .158/.273/.275 | .117 | .225 | 14 | 34 | 34% | 10% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 43→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .202/.279/.316 | .113 | .314 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.275/.297 | .100 | .290 | 10 | 22 | 33% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.264/.256 | .079 | .258 | 8 | 25 | 32% | 9% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA |
27 | 40→42 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 37 | .206/.252/.330 | .125 | .286 | 14 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.251/.359 | .150 | .287 | 17 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.242/.346 | .146 | .275 | 16 | 23 | 33% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2014 · AAA |
28 | 39→46 | 46→50 | 58→55 | 38 | .199/.248/.332 | .133 | .272 | 12 | 18 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .206/.248/.340 | .134 | .306 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .200/.240/.334 | .134 | .303 | 12 | 10 | 37% | 4% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA |
28 | 39 | 43→40 | 53→60 | 39 | .192/.276/.299 | .108 | .280 | 11 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.287/.299 | .095 | .295 | 9 | 27 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.283/.264 | .072 | .280 | 6 | 39 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA |
27 | 43 | 43→40 | 59→60 | 45 | .210/.290/.313 | .104 | .303 | 12 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.276/.302 | .097 | .296 | 10 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.244/.246 | .074 | .244 | 9 | 46 | 32% | 7% | 30 | -1.1 |
|
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→49 | 41→45 | 55 | 45 | .219/.285/.311 | .092 | .306 | 9 | 23 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.270/.305 | .104 | .274 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .182/.250/.282 | .099 | .246 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 7% | 42 | -1.9 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA |
28 | 36→43 | 51→50 | 54→55 | 34 | .193/.248/.347 | .154 | .281 | 19 | 19 | 38% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.265/.341 | .131 | .288 | 15 | 21 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.266/.328 | .118 | .281 | 12 | 24 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jorge Mateo 2022 · MLB |
27 | 45→46 | 45→50 | 54→65 | 36 | .221/.262/.351 | .129 | .304 | 12 | 21 | 31% | 4% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.269/.367 | .145 | .284 | 14 | 36 | 26% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .217/.264/.366 | .149 | .272 | 14 | 44 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Mason McCoy 2023 · AAA |
28 | 40→50 | 47→45 | 56→55 | 39 | .203/.256/.340 | .137 | .289 | 14 | 18 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.257/.313 | .118 | .289 | 12 | 23 | 34% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.252/.289 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 26 | 35% | 7% | 45 | -1.6 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 54→50 | 39 | .206/.260/.354 | .148 | .283 | 17 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.255/.351 | .140 | .304 | 18 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.244/.339 | .134 | .297 | 19 | 19 | 37% | 4% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→47 | 48→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .215/.279/.365 | .150 | .293 | 15 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .217/.278/.364 | .147 | .320 | 16 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .194/.249/.314 | .120 | .315 | 14 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 49 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 59→60 | 41 | .223/.280/.338 | .115 | .304 | 9 | 28 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.270/.321 | .111 | .305 | 10 | 21 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .154/.224/.233 | .079 | .248 | 9 | 18 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39→37 | 49→50 | 51→50 | 36 | .205/.244/.348 | .143 | .271 | 17 | 12 | 31% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .225/.280/.351 | .126 | .287 | 13 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .235/.302/.339 | .104 | .296 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA |
27 | 42→43 | 50 | 55 | 44 | .216/.293/.366 | .150 | .294 | 18 | 23 | 32% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .212/.292/.349 | .137 | .297 | 17 | 21 | 32% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .195/.282/.319 | .124 | .275 | 16 | 21 | 33% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB |
28 | 43→48 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 39 | .215/.272/.345 | .130 | .293 | 12 | 16 | 30% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .237/.293/.382 | .145 | .308 | 15 | 19 | 27% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .204/.278/.335 | .130 | .292 | 14 | 30 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA |
27 | 42 | 46→40 | 57→55 | 48 | .206/.304/.336 | .130 | .293 | 14 | 25 | 32% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.310/.321 | .107 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .206/.316/.294 | .088 | .270 | 5 | 13 | 23% | 12% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA |
26 | 44 | 43→45 | 55 | 41 | .213/.289/.329 | .116 | .307 | 11 | 26 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .199/.262/.295 | .096 | .300 | 8 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .177/.235/.263 | .086 | .267 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 30 | -1.5 |