Jared Serna — OGILVIE

Jared SernaSS Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 24 R/R 5'7" / 174 lbs AAA HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.5 · 2029

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .272 / .300

PA134

HR2

SB7

K%22

BB%6

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

25→25

SPD

50→50

EYE

42↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.9M
2031	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	228	193	32	8	1	2	26	46	8	24	4	.166	.291	.249	.539	.083	.207	20	11	.254	53	-12	+3	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2022	20	ROK	3 teams	237	208	42	10	1	5	20	66	7	18	5	.202	.294	.332	.625	.130	.268	28	8	.270	64	-10	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2023	21	A	3 teams	817	760	182	36	4	21	47	186	6	42	13	.239	.289	.380	.669	.141	.290	23	6	.293	82	-16	+3	+0	+9	+23	1.9
2024	22	A+	3 teams	591	538	108	30	0	13	32	135	14	15	11	.201	.264	.329	.593	.128	.239	23	5	.257	55	-30	-1	+0	+6	+17	-0.8
2025	23	AA	3 teams	678	622	124	13	3	4	45	138	7	30	11	.199	.261	.249	.510	.050	.248	20	7	.230	35	-50	+2	+0	+7	+19	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	66	61	13	2	0	0	3	10	1	5	1	.213	.262	.246	.507	.033	.255	15	5	.226	31	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	MIA	68	63	13	2	0	1	4	14	1	2	1	.206	.265	.286	.550	.079	.262	21	6	.259	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	24	MLB	MIA	134	124	26	4	0	1	7	24	2	7	2	.210	.263	.266	.529	.056	.253	18	5	.243	44	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 56%	MIA	370	336	74	13	1	6	26	70	5	12	5	.220	.286	.318	.605	.098	.260	19	7	.274	68	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2028	26	MLB 74%	MIA	407	370	82	15	1	7	29	78	5	13	5	.222	.287	.324	.611	.103	.263	19	7	.281	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2029	27	MLB 89%	MIA	420	381	86	16	1	8	31	81	5	14	5	.226	.293	.336	.629	.110	.265	19	7	.283	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.5
2030	28	MLB 95%	MIA	425	385	86	16	1	8	32	83	5	13	5	.223	.291	.332	.624	.109	.265	20	8	.283	75	-12	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.4
2031	29	MLB	MIA	420	380	83	15	1	7	32	84	5	12	4	.218	.288	.318	.606	.100	.264	20	8	.281	73	-13	+1	-1	+4	+12	0.3
2032	30	MLB	MIA	414	375	82	15	1	7	31	84	5	11	4	.219	.287	.320	.607	.101	.263	20	7	.278	71	-14	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.1
2033	31	MLB	MIA	401	363	78	14	1	6	30	83	5	9	3	.215	.284	.309	.592	.094	.261	21	7	.274	68	-15	+1	-3	+4	+11	-0.1
2034	32	MLB	MIA	384	347	74	13	1	6	29	81	5	7	2	.213	.283	.308	.592	.095	.260	21	8	.269	64	-15	+1	-4	+4	+11	-0.3
2035	33	MLB	MIA	355	321	68	12	1	5	27	78	4	5	2	.212	.281	.302	.583	.090	.258	22	8	.264	60	-16	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.6
2036	34	MLB	MIA	311	281	58	10	1	4	23	71	4	4	1	.206	.276	.292	.568	.085	.257	23	7	.258	56	-16	+0	-5	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6526	5923	1272	238	19	110	464	1378	91	231	81	.215	.282	.317	.599	.102	.260	21	7	.270	65	-260	+14	-20	+70	+185	-1.1
/ 162G	—			650	590	127	24	2	11	46	137	9	23	8	.215	.282	.319	.600	.103	.261	21	7	.270	65	-26	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	193	151	36	9	2	3	34	27	8	24	4	.238	.404	.384	.788	.146	.273	14	18	.365	138	+8	+3	—	—	+5	1.7
2021	19	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	35	31	9	5	1	1	3	7	0	0	0	.290	.353	.613	.966	.323	.348	20	9	.401	165	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	44	39	7	2	0	0	3	15	1	1	1	.179	.256	.231	.487	.051	.280	34	7	.225	31	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	160	129	39	9	1	6	25	24	6	16	4	.302	.438	.527	.965	.225	.333	15	16	.427	185	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2022	20	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	33	31	5	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	.161	.188	.194	.381	.032	.200	18	3	.170	-12	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	120	108	31	7	2	0	9	15	2	10	2	.287	.353	.389	.742	.102	.330	12	8	.332	112	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	443	400	113	21	1	19	40	75	2	19	6	.282	.351	.482	.833	.200	.306	17	9	.367	139	+20	+1	—	—	+13	3.4
2023	21	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	254	232	72	14	2	7	18	46	2	13	5	.310	.365	.478	.844	.168	.363	18	7	.371	142	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2024	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	23	20	2	0	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	.100	.217	.100	.317	.000	.167	35	9	.171	-11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	175	154	41	13	0	2	14	33	5	3	3	.266	.347	.390	.736	.123	.322	19	8	.330	111	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.7
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	393	340	86	26	0	13	40	60	8	11	8	.253	.345	.444	.789	.191	.268	15	10	.348	124	+11	-1	—	—	+11	2.1
2025	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	41	34	8	2	0	0	7	6	0	5	0	.235	.366	.294	.660	.059	.286	15	17	.314	99	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	437	386	86	8	2	3	42	69	5	15	10	.223	.307	.277	.584	.054	.262	16	10	.272	66	-17	-1	—	—	+12	-0.5
2025	23	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	200	179	57	11	9	5	19	25	2	10	1	.318	.390	.564	.954	.246	.349	12	10	.414	175	+17	+2	—	—	+6	2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Serna (OGILVIE)	24	45	25	50	45	.212/.272/.300	.088	.264	2	3	22%	6%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	45→55	41→40	47→50	45	.219/.273/.313	.094	.272	9	13	23%	6%	62	-0.9	.238/.295/.327	.089	.285	8	16	18%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.303/.319	.076	.291	6	16	17%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Danny Worth 2011 · MLB	25	46→53	38→45	49→50	43	.222/.269/.304	.082	.286	6	13	24%	6%	57	-1.2	.220/.279/.323	.103	.297	8	15	27%	7%	66	-0.6	.222/.290/.321	.098	.325	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2023 · AAA	24	46	41→40	50→45	43	.225/.267/.313	.088	.271	9	8	21%	5%	59	-1.1	.225/.286/.328	.103	.252	11	7	15%	7%	71	-0.3	.209/.280/.323	.113	.223	13	6	13%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Matt Williams 2014 · AA	24	46→48	40	49→50	45	.221/.271/.312	.091	.267	7	14	20%	6%	60	-1.0	.217/.282/.289	.072	.278	4	14	22%	8%	59	-1.1	.215/.288/.277	.063	.280	3	15	23%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→45	42→45	51→60	43	.204/.265/.308	.104	.270	9	19	27%	6%	57	-1.2	.226/.285/.324	.098	.310	8	27	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jose Cardona 2018 · AAA	24	46→48	41→40	47→50	43	.226/.267/.323	.096	.263	9	14	18%	5%	61	-1.0	.220/.265/.301	.081	.269	8	13	21%	5%	55	-1.4	.209/.258/.266	.057	.260	8	13	22%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Colt Sedbrook 2010 · AA	25	45→43	39→30	51→50	48	.213/.304/.293	.080	.273	6	14	23%	8%	72	-0.2	.204/.300/.275	.071	.261	4	13	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.178/.291/.223	.045	.231	2	12	21%	9%	48	-1.1
✕Danny Mendick 2018 · AA	24	42→48	40→45	46→50	44	.207/.259/.299	.092	.255	7	9	22%	6%	52	-1.6	.218/.279/.340	.122	.264	13	13	22%	7%	72	-0.2	.231/.290/.367	.136	.277	16	15	22%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	45	40→45	50→55	45	.217/.283/.308	.090	.281	7	14	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.210/.263/.301	.091	.285	8	11	28%	6%	54	-1.4	.175/.212/.257	.082	.240	8	10	30%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2012 · AAA	24	43→49	39→40	47→50	42	.209/.258/.295	.086	.270	7	9	25%	6%	50	-1.7	.206/.265/.302	.096	.264	9	7	24%	6%	56	-1.3	.220/.281/.312	.092	.279	7	3	23%	7%	63	-0.4
✕Diego Madero 2016 · AAA	24	50→51	40→45	48→50	43	.240/.275/.331	.091	.274	7	12	16%	4%	66	-0.6	.254/.290/.348	.094	.292	7	16	15%	4%	77	+0.1	.253/.296/.353	.099	.286	10	17	15%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Alejandro Rivero 2013 · AAA	24	47	36→30	49→55	43	.221/.264/.279	.058	.263	5	13	18%	4%	48	-1.9	.231/.278/.274	.043	.272	3	15	15%	4%	53	-1.5	.223/.279/.259	.036	.257	1	19	13%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Angelo Amendolare 2016 · AAA	23	47	37→30	45→50	51	.221/.294/.298	.076	.266	4	7	18%	8%	67	-0.5	.230/.303/.298	.068	.302	3	9	23%	8%	71	-0.3	.244/.324/.286	.042	.329	0	10	23%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2016 · MLB	24	54→55	37→40	51→60	46	.254/.295/.324	.070	.285	5	22	13%	5%	72	-0.2	.232/.271/.304	.072	.272	5	25	16%	5%	57	-1.2	.247/.292/.330	.083	.285	6	11	15%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Ozzie Martínez 2012 · MLB	24	51→59	38→40	49→50	46	.242/.289/.321	.080	.285	4	12	17%	5%	69	-0.4	.211/.252/.279	.068	.255	4	9	18%	5%	43	-2.2	.225/.265/.282	.057	.268	4	8	17%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Peeter Ramos 2006 · AA	24	49→54	36→40	52→50	45	.229/.277/.287	.058	.276	4	13	18%	5%	56	-1.3	.245/.295/.320	.075	.296	6	10	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.252/.304/.327	.075	.301	7	9	18%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2019 · MLB	24	52→57	37→40	46→55	47	.243/.299/.317	.074	.286	4	11	16%	6%	73	-0.1	.248/.303/.340	.092	.294	7	13	17%	6%	81	+0.4	.268/.316/.348	.080	.304	6	21	14%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Zach Gibbons 2018 · AA	24	50→49	40	50	47	.238/.288/.333	.095	.280	7	12	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.230/.276/.324	.094	.276	6	9	18%	6%	65	-0.7	.230/.274/.323	.093	.273	5	6	17%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	46	43→45	49→50	42	.226/.281/.334	.109	.279	10	14	22%	5%	71	-0.3	.229/.293/.339	.110	.281	10	9	21%	6%	78	+0.2	.245/.316/.361	.116	.291	11	3	19%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Jose Rosario 2016 · AAA	24	47	38→40	48→50	39	.227/.265/.309	.082	.282	5	11	21%	4%	56	-1.3	.227/.256/.310	.083	.296	6	9	25%	3%	53	-1.5	.248/.265/.336	.088	.318	7	7	24%	1%	59	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)