Chad Hinshaw

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1990-09-10

Age (2027)36

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	24	AA/ROK/INTL3 orgs	415	.301/.399/.398	3	31	93	—	.251/.337/.318
2016	25	AA/ROK2 orgs	255	.200/.304/.336	6	15	39	—	.165/.253/.278
2017	26	AAANew Orleans B…	292	.229/.309/.341	4	6	38	—	.180/.240/.266

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	22	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	114	89	23	2	0	0	13	21	11	9	1	258	416	281	697	22	333	18	11	340	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	298	264	69	14	8	10	15	65	15	16	7	261	337	489	825	227	307	22	5	358	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A	Burlington Bees	—	249	206	58	13	3	6	28	63	14	25	8	282	402	461	863	180	380	25	11	387	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	83	67	19	4	0	0	12	16	3	7	3	284	415	343	758	60	365	19	14	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	313	263	76	17	0	1	37	75	7	27	5	289	391	365	756	76	401	24	12	343	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	ROK	AZL Angels	—	34	26	8	2	1	0	6	6	2	3	0	308	471	462	932	154	400	18	18	422	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	68	63	22	4	0	2	5	15	0	1	3	349	397	508	905	159	435	22	7	401	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	236	205	39	6	1	5	20	69	9	14	6	190	291	302	593	112	256	29	8	274	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	ROK	Orem Owlz	—	19	15	5	2	1	1	1	6	3	1	1	333	474	800	1.274	467	500	32	5	530	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	292	258	59	15	1	4	26	75	4	6	3	229	309	341	650	112	307	26	9	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	22	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	114	94	19	1	0	0	8	30	11	9	1	202	336	213	549	11	274	26	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	298	269	59	10	5	11	10	88	15	16	7	219	286	416	702	197	266	30	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A MLE	Burlington Bees	—	249	216	47	9	3	5	19	83	14	25	8	218	321	356	678	139	319	33	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	313	274	70	14	0	1	26	87	7	27	5	255	336	318	653	62	357	28	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	—	34	28	6	1	1	0	4	9	2	3	0	214	353	321	674	107	296	26	12	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	236	211	33	5	1	4	14	83	9	14	6	156	239	246	486	90	226	35	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	19	15	4	1	1	1	1	9	3	1	1	267	421	667	1.088	400	338	47	5	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	292	267	48	12	1	3	17	100	4	6	3	180	240	266	506	86	267	34	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	114	94	19	1	0	0	8	30	11	9	1	202	336	213	549	11	292	26	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	—	114	89	23	2	0	0	13	21	11	9	1	258	416	281	697	22	333	18	11	340	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	630	560	122	23	9	18	33	197	32	48	18	218	299	388	687	170	298	31	5	292	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	630	537	146	31	11	16	55	144	32	48	18	272	373	460	833	188	341	23	9	369	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	415	364	91	19	1	1	36	115	9	31	8	250	333	316	648	66	363	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	415	352	106	23	1	3	48	96	9	31	8	301	399	398	796	97	407	23	12	359	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	255	226	36	6	1	5	15	92	12	15	7	159	249	261	510	102	237	36	6	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	255	220	44	8	2	6	21	75	12	15	7	200	304	336	641	136	270	29	8	293	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	292	267	48	12	1	3	17	100	4	6	3	180	240	266	506	86	274	34	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA RAW	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	292	258	59	15	1	4	26	75	4	6	3	229	309	341	650	112	307	26	9	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	—	114	94	19	1	0	0	8	30	11	9	1	202	336	213	549	11	274	26	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	630	560	122	23	9	18	33	197	32	48	18	218	299	388	687	170	290	31	5	292	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	415	367	91	19	1	1	36	115	9	31	8	248	333	313	646	65	351	28	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	255	226	36	6	1	5	15	92	12	15	7	159	249	261	510	102	234	36	6	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	292	269	48	12	1	3	17	100	4	6	3	178	240	264	504	86	267	34	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1706	1511	316	61	12	27	109	534	68	109	37	209	292	319	611	110	302	31	6	266	66	-68	+7	+0	+6	+37	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	120	23	5	10	42	203	26	42	14	208	292	318	610	109	301	31	6	266	66	-26	+3	+0	+2	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 292 PAwOBA .283 → .225 (−57)K% 25.7% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.68%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	34.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.22%	÷1.005	×0.710	—	×1.003	5.82%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.35%
Singles /BIP	21.31%	÷1.015	×0.900	×0.982	×1.003	18.61%
Doubles /BIP	8.20%	÷0.918	×0.810	×0.982	×1.003	7.13%
Triples /BIP	0.55%	÷0.977	×0.810	×0.982	×1.003	0.45%
Home runs /BIP	2.19%	÷0.928	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.84%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .283 → .225; ISO .112 → .090; BABIP .307 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAArkansas Travelers · 236 PAwOBA .270 → .218 (−51)K% 29.2% → 35.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.24%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	35.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.47%	÷0.979	×0.700	—	×0.988	5.99%
HBP% /PA	3.81%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	3.28%
Singles /BIP	19.85%	÷0.995	×0.920	×0.991	×0.988	17.97%
Doubles /BIP	4.41%	÷0.975	×0.840	×0.991	×0.988	3.72%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.991	×0.988	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	3.68%	÷0.972	×0.800	—	×0.988	2.99%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .270 → .218; ISO .112 → .088; BABIP .256 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKOrem Owlz · 19 PAwOBA .516 → .317 (−198)K% 31.6% → 45.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.58%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	45.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.940	3.02%
HBP% /PA	15.79%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	10.69%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	8.56%
Doubles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	15.04%
Triples /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	7.52%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.940	7.83%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .516 → .317; ISO .467 → .277; BABIP .500 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAArkansas Travelers · 313 PAwOBA .335 → .287 (−48)K% 24.0% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.96%	÷1.047	×1.220	—	—	27.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.82%	÷0.985	×0.700	—	×0.998	8.39%
HBP% /PA	2.24%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.94%
Singles /BIP	30.85%	÷1.002	×0.920	×0.998	×0.998	28.21%
Doubles /BIP	9.04%	÷1.033	×0.840	×0.998	×0.998	7.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.998	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.53%	÷1.022	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.42%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .335 → .287; ISO .076 → .063; BABIP .401 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ROKAZL Angels · 34 PAwOBA .413 → .286 (−127)K% 17.6% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	25.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.945	10.34%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	4.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.945	19.37%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	6.80%
Triples /BIP	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.945	3.40%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.945	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .413 → .286; ISO .154 → .107; BABIP .400 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 298 PAwOBA .352 → .292 (−60)K% 21.8% → 29.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.81%	÷0.994	×1.340	—	—	29.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.03%	÷1.048	×0.710	—	×0.988	3.37%
HBP% /PA	5.03%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	3.93%
Singles /BIP	18.59%	÷0.984	×0.910	×1.018	×0.988	17.29%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷1.063	×0.820	×1.018	×0.988	5.46%
Triples /BIP	4.02%	÷1.108	×0.760	×1.018	×0.988	2.78%
Home runs /BIP	5.03%	÷0.820	×0.920	—	×0.988	5.57%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 122, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .352 → .292; ISO .227 → .198; BABIP .307 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ABurlington Bees · 249 PAwOBA .378 → .291 (−86)K% 25.3% → 33.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.30%	÷1.030	×1.360	—	—	33.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.24%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×0.980	7.62%
HBP% /PA	5.62%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	4.30%
Singles /BIP	25.17%	÷0.994	×0.920	×0.959	×0.980	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷1.023	×0.830	×0.959	×0.980	6.93%
Triples /BIP	2.10%	÷0.923	×0.910	×0.959	×0.980	1.94%
Home runs /BIP	4.20%	÷0.935	×0.800	—	×0.980	3.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .378 → .291; ISO .180 → .141; BABIP .380 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKOrem Owlz · 114 PAwOBA .335 → .249 (−87)K% 18.4% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.42%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	26.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.40%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.965	6.71%
HBP% /PA	9.65%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	6.70%
Singles /BIP	30.88%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×0.965	25.66%
Doubles /BIP	2.94%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×0.965	2.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×0.965	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.965	0.00%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .335 → .249; ISO .022 → .017; BABIP .333 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .