Rowdey Jordan2B
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 27
R/R
5'10" / 190 lbs
AA
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .265 / .319
PA151
HR3
SB5
K%32
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
EYE
42↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-6M | $-15M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 130 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 3 | .174 | .252 | .226 | .478 | .052 | .253 | 32 | 9 | .222 | 28 | -11 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 407 | 371 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 119 | 3 | 14 | 6 | .197 | .264 | .288 | .553 | .092 | .277 | 29 | 8 | .247 | 47 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 569 | 502 | 99 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 166 | 12 | 31 | 7 | .197 | .285 | .331 | .616 | .133 | .260 | 29 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -22 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +16 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 466 | 427 | 83 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 151 | 6 | 25 | 7 | .194 | .255 | .295 | .550 | .101 | .274 | 32 | 6 | .246 | 46 | -28 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 172 | 160 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .206 | .253 | .331 | .584 | .125 | .322 | 39 | 5 | .251 | 50 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 151 | 138 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .196 | .260 | .304 | .564 | .109 | .279 | 32 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | HOU | 212 | 192 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 66 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .203 | .271 | .323 | .594 | .120 | .280 | 31 | 7 | .271 | 65 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | HOU | 265 | 241 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .203 | .270 | .328 | .598 | .124 | .281 | 31 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | HOU | 302 | 273 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 93 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .205 | .274 | .330 | .604 | .125 | .280 | 31 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 43% | HOU | 305 | 275 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 95 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .204 | .275 | .327 | .602 | .124 | .279 | 31 | 8 | .270 | 64 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 57% | HOU | 297 | 269 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .201 | .271 | .316 | .587 | .115 | .277 | 32 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 74% | HOU | 274 | 249 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 88 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .201 | .268 | .321 | .590 | .120 | .275 | 32 | 7 | .259 | 57 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 92% | HOU | 236 | 214 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .187 | .256 | .280 | .537 | .093 | .273 | 33 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3786 | 3426 | 679 | 139 | 10 | 76 | 278 | 1188 | 49 | 115 | 29 | .198 | .268 | .311 | .579 | .113 | .276 | 31 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -182 | +11 | -20 | +14 | +107 | -7.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 588 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 204 | 8 | 20 | 5 | .199 | .269 | .313 | .582 | .114 | .277 | 31 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -31 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 130 | 109 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 3 | .229 | .339 | .294 | .632 | .064 | .293 | 22 | 14 | .291 | 81 | -3 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 122 | 106 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .208 | .300 | .321 | .621 | .113 | .278 | 27 | 10 | .281 | 74 | -4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 285 | 244 | 64 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 59 | 1 | 12 | 4 | .262 | .368 | .381 | .750 | .119 | .339 | 21 | 14 | .342 | 120 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 509 | 427 | 98 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 65 | 116 | 12 | 30 | 5 | .230 | .347 | .389 | .736 | .159 | .281 | 23 | 13 | .332 | 112 | +7 | +4 | — | — | +14 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | 60 | 51 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .255 | .367 | .373 | .739 | .118 | .406 | 32 | 15 | .339 | 117 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 466 | 413 | 90 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 123 | 6 | 25 | 7 | .218 | .299 | .329 | .628 | .111 | .285 | 26 | 9 | .285 | 77 | -12 | +2 | — | — | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 172 | 157 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .236 | .294 | .389 | .683 | .153 | .327 | 32 | 6 | .302 | 89 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Rowdey Jordan (OGILVIE) | 27 | 35 | 45 | 45 | 30 | .199/.265/.319 | .119 | .279 | 3 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA |
27 | 40→42 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 37 | .206/.252/.330 | .125 | .286 | 14 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.251/.359 | .150 | .287 | 17 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.242/.346 | .146 | .275 | 16 | 23 | 33% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→43 | 49→50 | 53→55 | 34 | .201/.250/.347 | .145 | .290 | 18 | 20 | 37% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .202/.257/.342 | .140 | .285 | 17 | 20 | 34% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .202/.259/.333 | .130 | .275 | 15 | 22 | 31% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39→45 | 45 | 49→55 | 41 | .197/.268/.316 | .118 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.295/.327 | .117 | .326 | 12 | 25 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .199/.294/.308 | .110 | .316 | 12 | 32 | 37% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .196/.249/.299 | .103 | .256 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .207/.271/.322 | .115 | .258 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .204/.274/.324 | .120 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA |
27 | 42→39 | 43→45 | 51→55 | 41 | .202/.279/.316 | .113 | .314 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.275/.297 | .100 | .290 | 10 | 22 | 33% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .177/.264/.256 | .079 | .258 | 8 | 25 | 32% | 9% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA |
26 | 41 | 47→40 | 48→55 | 41 | .209/.268/.341 | .133 | .288 | 15 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .231/.302/.338 | .107 | .302 | 9 | 28 | 25% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .241/.322/.332 | .091 | .312 | 6 | 48 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Derrick Mitchell 2014 · AAA |
27 | 41→46 | 47→50 | 48→55 | 41 | .211/.259/.346 | .135 | .267 | 15 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .209/.272/.338 | .129 | .264 | 14 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .179/.268/.285 | .106 | .210 | 13 | 12 | 21% | 10% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2017 · MLB |
27 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .209/.253/.343 | .135 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .190/.246/.310 | .120 | .287 | 13 | 11 | 37% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .164/.225/.278 | .114 | .280 | 14 | 10 | 44% | 5% | 31 | -1.9 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB |
27 | 39→41 | 47→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .205/.249/.340 | .135 | .267 | 15 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.261/.337 | .131 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.253/.332 | .146 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 37% | 7% | 57 | -0.5 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA |
27 | 35→37 | 49→50 | 50 | 35 | .190/.239/.328 | .138 | .268 | 18 | 9 | 36% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .214/.262/.346 | .132 | .279 | 14 | 11 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.267/.343 | .129 | .269 | 14 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA |
27 | 40→46 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .201/.260/.314 | .113 | .263 | 11 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.280/.368 | .159 | .282 | 19 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .176/.260/.359 | .182 | .229 | 23 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→39 | 45 | 45→50 | 39 | .191/.258/.315 | .124 | .278 | 12 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .189/.266/.294 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .164/.257/.268 | .103 | .258 | 7 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA |
26 | 40→43 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 36 | .203/.250/.319 | .116 | .288 | 12 | 9 | 33% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.261/.332 | .116 | .297 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.262/.331 | .115 | .289 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jermaine Palacios 2022 · AA |
26 | 42→49 | 46→45 | 47→50 | 42 | .213/.275/.334 | .120 | .286 | 15 | 16 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.265/.358 | .141 | .294 | 18 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.247/.347 | .140 | .277 | 19 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB |
27 | 42→48 | 43→50 | 54→60 | 39 | .208/.265/.327 | .119 | .287 | 10 | 21 | 30% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .230/.286/.372 | .142 | .305 | 14 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→46 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .190/.256/.311 | .120 | .289 | 12 | 8 | 37% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .222/.290/.373 | .151 | .314 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.304/.404 | .174 | .313 | 21 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 96 | +1.0 |
|
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB |
27 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 54→50 | 39 | .206/.260/.354 | .148 | .283 | 17 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.255/.351 | .140 | .304 | 18 | 16 | 35% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.244/.339 | .134 | .297 | 19 | 19 | 37% | 4% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA |
27 | 38→39 | 48→50 | 45→50 | 33 | .200/.243/.334 | .134 | .283 | 17 | 11 | 35% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .213/.265/.360 | .147 | .331 | 18 | 13 | 39% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.254/.351 | .152 | .317 | 20 | 13 | 42% | 5% | 63 | -0.6 |