Rowdey Jordan — OGILVIE

Rowdey Jordan2B Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 151 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .253 / .301

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	130	109	25	4	0	1	18	28	0	2	3	229	339	294	632	64	293	22	14	291	83	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	122	106	22	4	1	2	12	33	2	2	2	208	300	321	621	113	278	27	10	281	77	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	285	244	64	17	3	2	40	59	1	12	4	262	368	381	750	119	339	21	14	342	118	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
2023	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	509	427	98	23	3	13	65	116	12	30	5	230	347	389	736	159	281	23	13	332	111	+7	+4	—	—	+11	2.2
2023	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	60	51	13	6	0	0	9	19	0	1	2	255	367	373	739	118	406	32	15	339	115	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	413	90	19	0	9	42	123	6	25	7	218	299	329	628	111	285	26	9	285	79	-12	+2	—	—	+10	0.1
2025	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	157	37	9	0	5	11	55	2	3	1	236	294	389	683	153	327	32	6	302	90	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	130	115	21	3	0	1	12	40	0	2	3	183	260	235	495	52	252	31	9	223	37	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.8
2022	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	122	110	21	4	1	2	8	40	2	2	2	191	258	300	558	109	260	33	7	235	45	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	285	258	55	13	3	2	26	80	1	12	4	213	288	310	598	97	298	28	9	263	64	-12	+1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2023	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	509	448	87	19	2	11	44	142	12	30	5	194	284	319	603	125	248	28	9	269	68	-19	+4	—	—	+11	-0.4
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	428	82	17	0	8	28	144	6	25	7	192	251	287	538	96	262	31	6	242	50	-28	+2	—	—	+10	-1.6
2025	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	160	33	8	0	4	8	65	2	3	1	206	253	331	584	125	312	38	5	251	56	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	130	115	21	3	0	1	12	40	0	2	3	183	260	235	495	52	263	31	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	130	109	25	4	0	1	18	28	0	2	3	229	339	294	632	64	293	22	14	291	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	407	368	74	17	3	3	34	119	3	14	6	201	274	288	562	87	287	29	8	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	407	350	86	21	4	4	52	92	3	14	6	246	348	363	711	117	322	23	13	324	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	569	502	97	21	3	12	50	158	12	31	7	193	282	319	601	125	252	28	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	569	478	111	29	3	13	74	135	12	31	7	232	349	387	736	155	293	24	13	333	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	428	82	17	0	8	28	144	6	25	7	192	251	287	538	96	265	31	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	413	90	19	0	9	42	123	6	25	7	218	299	329	628	111	285	26	9	285	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	160	33	8	0	4	8	65	2	3	1	206	253	331	584	125	315	38	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	157	37	9	0	5	11	55	2	3	1	236	294	389	683	153	327	32	6	302	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	130	117	21	3	0	1	12	40	0	2	3	179	260	231	491	51	252	31	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	407	367	74	17	3	3	34	119	3	14	6	202	274	289	563	87	287	29	8	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	569	502	97	21	3	12	50	158	12	31	7	193	282	319	601	125	248	28	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	429	82	17	0	8	28	144	6	25	7	191	251	287	538	96	262	31	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	160	33	8	0	4	8	65	2	3	1	206	253	331	584	125	312	38	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	569	502	97	21	3	12	50	158	12	31	7	193	282	319	601	125	248	28	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	466	429	82	17	0	8	28	144	6	25	7	191	251	287	538	96	262	31	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	172	160	33	8	0	4	8	65	2	3	1	206	253	331	584	125	312	38	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		275	33	8	253	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	212	193	37	8	0	4	14	69	3	6	2	192	257	295	552	104	276	33	7	259	61	-10	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	2	0	192	263	288	552	96	279	32	7	250	61	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	2	0	192	263	288	552	96	273	32	7	250	58	-3	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	114	23	0	11	46	205	11	23	0	192	263	287	550	94	273	32	7	250	58	-30	+5	-2	+2	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1968	1777	345	74	6	32	147	599	26	81	26	194	266	297	562	102	270	30	7	254	58	-10	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	114	24	2	11	49	198	9	27	9	194	267	298	565	104	270	30	8	254	58	-30	+1	-2	+2	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rowdey Jordan (OGILVIE)	27	35	45	45	30	191/253/301	110	275	3	5	33%	6%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	38→41	43→45	52→50	38	192/252/297	105	289	11	13	36%	7%	55	-1.9	180/237/288	108	304	11	9	42%	6%	47	-2.5	158/211/261	103	279	10	8	45%	5%	28	-2.3
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA	27	40→42	46→50	53→55	38	206/252/334	127	276	14	20	30%	5%	63	-1.3	209/251/345	136	285	14	20	31%	5%	65	-1.2	202/243/334	132	275	14	23	31%	4%	57	-1.2
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	39→44	42→45	49→50	41	198/251/294	96	258	11	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	207/272/315	108	259	12	13	24%	7%	67	-1.1	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	42→40	51→55	42	201/278/307	106	312	9	19	36%	8%	68	-1.0	200/279/294	94	289	9	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	184/270/260	77	263	8	25	30%	9%	53	-1.2
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→39	46→45	46→50	34	199/243/325	126	276	15	12	33%	4%	58	-1.7	211/265/346	135	332	16	13	39%	6%	71	-0.8	195/250/329	134	313	17	13	41%	5%	60	-1.0
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	40→45	43→45	49→55	41	197/267/307	110	285	11	17	34%	7%	63	-1.3	210/296/321	111	330	11	25	36%	10%	78	-0.3	196/292/297	101	315	10	32	37%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	44→40	49→50	41	179/279/296	117	290	11	16	39%	8%	67	-1.1	188/278/283	95	308	7	15	38%	8%	63	-1.4	151/250/213	62	271	3	16	40%	8%	35	-1.6
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→45	43→45	49→45	38	186/254/295	109	287	10	8	37%	7%	56	-1.9	220/290/360	140	313	15	8	33%	8%	84	+0.2	222/297/375	153	307	18	4	32%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Derrick Mitchell 2014 · AAA	27	40→45	46→50	48→55	41	205/253/331	126	260	14	15	27%	6%	63	-1.4	210/274/332	122	266	13	13	25%	8%	72	-0.7	177/266/273	96	209	11	12	21%	10%	57	-0.5
✕Jim Haley 2022 · AA	27	37→44	48→50	53→55	34	195/246/333	137	283	16	20	36%	5%	61	-1.5	200/255/326	126	283	14	20	33%	5%	63	-1.4	198/255/315	117	273	13	22	31%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	45→40	48→55	42	208/268/333	125	282	13	14	30%	7%	70	-0.9	232/303/339	107	302	9	27	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/321/332	91	311	6	48	22%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Wade Gaynor 2015 · AAA	27	38→45	46→45	52→50	37	194/247/326	131	280	12	12	34%	6%	59	-1.6	184/226/297	113	259	11	13	32%	5%	45	-2.7	147/182/240	93	198	10	12	32%	4%	13	-3.7
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	40→44	43→45	48→50	37	203/250/316	113	283	11	9	32%	5%	58	-1.7	218/263/335	117	297	11	10	29%	5%	68	-1.0	218/263/335	116	292	11	10	28%	5%	65	-0.9
✕Dusty Coleman 2014 · AAA	27	39→43	41→50	48→50	36	187/247/290	104	311	8	12	40%	6%	51	-2.2	202/256/316	114	321	11	13	38%	5%	61	-1.5	197/250/330	133	295	14	15	36%	5%	60	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0