Travis Witherspoon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | A+High Desert M… | 407 | .252/.339/.448 | 15 | 25 | 64 | — | .195/.265/.336 |
| 2015 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 284 | .193/.251/.270 | 4 | 13 | 16 | — | .166/.207/.222 |
| 2017 | 28 | INTLCanberra Cava… | 75 | .286/.400/.444 | 2 | 4 | 144 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 233 | 207 | 47 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 227 | 283 | 391 | 674 | 164 | 297 | 27 | 5 | 286 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 323 | 288 | 89 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 73 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 309 | 366 | 472 | 838 | 163 | 383 | 23 | 7 | 362 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 74 | 68 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 279 | 338 | 382 | 720 | 103 | 340 | 19 | 7 | 326 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 451 | 404 | 99 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 103 | 5 | 44 | 9 | 245 | 314 | 394 | 707 | 149 | 298 | 23 | 8 | 314 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 235 | 208 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 54 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 202 | 288 | 351 | 639 | 149 | 242 | 23 | 10 | 287 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 306 | 270 | 86 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 52 | 3 | 25 | 7 | 319 | 399 | 470 | 869 | 152 | 374 | 17 | 11 | 388 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 80 | 73 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 411 | 698 | 192 | 310 | 35 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 514 | 448 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 118 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 214 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 127 | 263 | 23 | 11 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ | High Desert Mavericks | — | 407 | 357 | 90 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 89 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 252 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 196 | 295 | 22 | 11 | 348 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 161 | 147 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 281 | 313 | 594 | 95 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 270 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 123 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 161 | 210 | 214 | 424 | 54 | 181 | 15 | 6 | 191 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 75 | 63 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 286 | 400 | 444 | 844 | 159 | 356 | 21 | 15 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 233 | 211 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 166 | 211 | 275 | 486 | 109 | 239 | 39 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 323 | 297 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 232 | 274 | 343 | 617 | 111 | 314 | 33 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 74 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 297 | 333 | 631 | 87 | 323 | 26 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 451 | 417 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 145 | 5 | 44 | 9 | 192 | 244 | 293 | 537 | 101 | 267 | 32 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 235 | 216 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 66 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 185 | 245 | 324 | 569 | 139 | 229 | 28 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 306 | 280 | 77 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 25 | 7 | 275 | 337 | 411 | 747 | 136 | 347 | 24 | 8 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 514 | 470 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 145 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 194 | 250 | 298 | 547 | 104 | 249 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 407 | 369 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 129 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 195 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 141 | 262 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 161 | 151 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 192 | 237 | 258 | 496 | 66 | 285 | 34 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 123 | 114 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 132 | 168 | 175 | 344 | 44 | 148 | 21 | 4 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 233 | 211 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 166 | 211 | 275 | 486 | 109 | 267 | 39 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 233 | 207 | 47 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 227 | 283 | 391 | 674 | 164 | 297 | 27 | 5 | 286 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 323 | 297 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 232 | 274 | 343 | 617 | 111 | 333 | 33 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 323 | 288 | 89 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 73 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 309 | 366 | 472 | 838 | 163 | 383 | 23 | 7 | 362 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 486 | 97 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 165 | 6 | 46 | 11 | 200 | 252 | 298 | 550 | 99 | 279 | 31 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 525 | 472 | 118 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 117 | 6 | 46 | 11 | 250 | 317 | 392 | 709 | 142 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 621 | 569 | 134 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 158 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 236 | 297 | 369 | 666 | 134 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 621 | 551 | 144 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 63 | 134 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 261 | 342 | 417 | 760 | 156 | 318 | 22 | 10 | 339 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 514 | 470 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 145 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 194 | 250 | 298 | 547 | 104 | 256 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 514 | 448 | 96 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 55 | 118 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 214 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 127 | 263 | 23 | 11 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 407 | 369 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 129 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 195 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 141 | 265 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ RAW | High Desert Mavericks | — | 407 | 357 | 90 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 89 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 252 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 196 | 295 | 22 | 11 | 348 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 265 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 80 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 166 | 208 | 223 | 431 | 57 | 223 | 28 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 284 | 259 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 193 | 251 | 270 | 521 | 77 | 237 | 22 | 7 | 236 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL MLE | Canberra Cavalry | — | 75 | 63 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 286 | 400 | 444 | 844 | 159 | 356 | 21 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL RAW | Canberra Cavalry | — | 75 | 63 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 286 | 400 | 444 | 844 | 159 | 356 | 21 | 15 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 233 | 219 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 160 | 211 | 265 | 476 | 105 | 239 | 39 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 323 | 303 | 69 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 105 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 228 | 274 | 337 | 611 | 109 | 314 | 33 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 525 | 486 | 97 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 165 | 6 | 46 | 11 | 200 | 252 | 298 | 550 | 99 | 275 | 31 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 621 | 566 | 134 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 158 | 5 | 40 | 12 | 237 | 297 | 371 | 668 | 134 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 514 | 474 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 145 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 192 | 250 | 295 | 545 | 103 | 249 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | A+ MLE | High Desert Mavericks | — | 407 | 369 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 129 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 195 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 141 | 262 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 268 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 80 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 164 | 208 | 220 | 428 | 56 | 226 | 28 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2982 | 2730 | 560 | 88 | 19 | 60 | 185 | 890 | 24 | 188 | 47 | 205 | 262 | 317 | 579 | 112 | 279 | 30 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -175 | +19 | +0 | +11 | +65 | -8.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 122 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 194 | 5 | 41 | 10 | 205 | 261 | 316 | 577 | 111 | 279 | 30 | 6 | 243 | 51 | -38 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 161 PAwOBA .263 → .224 (−39)K% 27.3% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.33% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.30% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 23.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .263 → .224; ISO .095 → .072; BABIP .290 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 123 PAwOBA .189 → .151 (−38)K% 15.4% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.45% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.69% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.05% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×0.968 | 12.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×0.968 | 2.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.996 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .189 → .151; ISO .054 → .045; BABIP .181 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+High Desert Mavericks · 407 PAwOBA .339 → .263 (−76)K% 21.9% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.87% | ÷0.925 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷0.961 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.03% | ÷0.981 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 17.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.58% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 6.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.001 | ×0.760 | ×1.031 | ×0.978 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.097 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 4.59% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 85, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .339 → .263; ISO .196 → .146; BABIP .295 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAArkansas Travelers · 514 PAwOBA .279 → .243 (−36)K% 23.0% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.96% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.063 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.982 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.943 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.84% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .279 → .243; ISO .127 → .113; BABIP .263 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 306 PAwOBA .378 → .326 (−52)K% 17.0% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.99% | ÷0.969 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.78% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.36% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.59% | ÷0.931 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.018 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.21% | ÷0.823 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 104, 2B 86, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .378 → .326; ISO .152 → .144; BABIP .374 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAArkansas Travelers · 235 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 23.0% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.98% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.21% | ÷1.076 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.23% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 15.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.819 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .149 → .140; BABIP .242 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 451 PAwOBA .306 → .238 (−69)K% 22.8% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.84% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.76% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | — | 20.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | — | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.117 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | — | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.99% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 93, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .306 → .238; ISO .149 → .105; BABIP .298 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 74 PAwOBA .317 → .273 (−45)K% 18.9% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.962 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.76% | ÷0.924 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷0.991 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 25.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.129 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.932 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .317 → .273; ISO .103 → .088; BABIP .340 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .