Adrian Pinto — OGILVIE

Adrian Pinto2B New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 23 R/R 5'6" / 156 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION147 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .378

PA98

HR3

K%21

BB%7

BABIP242

ISO167

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$7M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$36M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	224	192	53	10	3	2	21	26	7	41	8	276	368	391	759	115	307	12	9	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	224	175	63	15	4	3	38	18	7	41	8	360	491	543	1.034	183	385	8	17	450	202	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	194	165	35	5	4	2	16	44	10	18	7	212	319	327	647	115	275	23	8	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	194	157	38	5	4	2	24	32	10	18	7	242	377	363	740	121	290	16	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	149	124	28	5	0	0	18	37	4	12	4	226	342	266	609	40	322	25	12	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	149	115	28	5	0	0	27	27	4	12	4	243	404	287	691	43	318	18	18	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	4 teams	—	214	199	54	14	2	6	8	43	5	9	2	271	316	452	768	181	318	20	4	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	4 teams	—	214	187	57	13	2	5	20	29	5	9	2	305	387	476	863	171	338	14	9	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	85	77	20	3	0	8	5	21	3	3	1	260	329	610	940	351	250	25	6	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	85	74	21	3	0	7	8	14	3	3	1	284	376	608	985	324	264	16	9	425	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	147	132	29	10	2	3	14	26	0	1	1	220	295	394	688	174	252	18	10	295	84	-3	-0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	147	125	30	11	2	3	20	20	0	1	1	240	342	432	774	192	265	14	14	342	120	+3	-0	+0	+1	+4	0.8
ROS	23	AA	TOR	2%	98	90	19	4	1	3	7	21	1	2	1	211	276	378	653	167	246	21	7	301	89	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						247	0	0	295	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	TOR	—	149	134	29	10	2	3	14	26	0	1	1	216	291	388	679	172	248	17	9	295	84	-3	-0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
TOT	23	AA	TOR	—	245	222	48	14	3	6	21	47	1	3	2	216	287	387	674	171	249	19	9	298	86	-4	-0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	28%	297	269	59	13	2	10	23	63	3	5	2	219	288	394	682	175	249	21	8	305	91	-3	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	360	325	73	16	2	13	28	77	4	6	2	225	294	406	700	182	252	21	8	308	94	-2	+0	+1	+1	+10	1.0
2029	26	MLB	TOR	53%	400	361	82	18	3	14	32	85	4	6	2	227	297	410	707	183	254	21	8	310	95	-2	+0	+1	+1	+11	1.2
2030	27	MLB	TOR	56%	414	374	85	18	3	15	33	89	4	6	2	227	297	412	709	184	255	21	8	310	96	-2	+0	+1	+1	+12	1.3
2031	28	MLB	TOR	58%	421	380	86	18	3	15	34	91	4	6	2	226	297	408	705	182	254	22	8	309	95	-2	+0	-0	+2	+12	1.2
2032	29	MLB	TOR	58%	418	377	83	18	2	14	34	91	4	6	2	220	292	390	681	170	254	22	8	307	93	-3	+0	-1	+1	+12	1.0
2033	30	MLB	TOR	58%	412	371	82	18	2	14	34	91	4	5	2	221	293	394	687	173	252	22	8	305	91	-4	+0	-1	+1	+12	0.8
2034	31	MLB	TOR	58%	400	360	78	17	2	13	33	89	4	4	1	217	290	383	673	167	250	22	8	301	88	-5	+0	-2	+1	+11	0.6
2035	32	MLB	TOR	57%	382	344	74	16	2	12	31	87	4	3	1	215	288	378	666	163	246	23	8	295	84	-7	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.3
2036	33	MLB	TOR	57%	353	318	67	14	2	11	29	82	3	2	1	211	283	371	654	160	242	23	8	288	78	-9	+0	-4	+1	+10	-0.1
2027	24	MLB	TOR	28%	84	77	18	4	1	3	6	18	1	1	0	234	298	429	726	195	250	21	7	298	86	-1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	157	142	32	7	1	6	12	33	2	2	1	225	295	415	710	190	254	21	8	301	89	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	26	MLB	TOR	53%	210	189	42	9	1	7	17	45	2	3	1	222	293	392	685	169	256	21	8	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2030	27	MLB	TOR	56%	231	208	46	10	1	8	19	50	2	4	1	221	293	394	687	173	256	22	8	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.6
2031	28	MLB	TOR	58%	244	219	51	11	2	9	20	53	3	4	1	233	306	425	730	192	256	22	8	303	90	-3	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.5
2032	29	MLB	TOR	58%	242	217	47	10	1	8	20	53	3	3	1	217	292	382	674	166	255	22	8	301	88	-3	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2033	30	MLB	TOR	58%	237	213	47	10	1	8	20	52	2	3	1	221	294	390	683	169	254	22	8	298	86	-4	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.3
2034	31	MLB	TOR	58%	230	207	46	10	1	8	19	51	2	2	1	222	294	396	690	174	251	22	8	294	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2035	32	MLB	TOR	57%	220	198	42	9	1	7	18	50	2	2	1	212	284	374	658	162	248	23	8	289	79	-5	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.0
2036	33	MLB	TOR	57%	203	182	38	8	1	6	17	47	2	1	0	209	284	363	646	154	243	23	8	282	74	-6	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2060	1854	409	88	11	70	168	452	21	25	8	221	293	393	686	173	253	22	8	297	86	-34	+2	-5	+7	+58	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	28	3	22	53	143	7	8	3	221	293	391	685	171	253	22	8	297	86	-11	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	4821	4326	978	207	33	152	386	1037	68	134	40	226	300	395	694	169	261	22	8	305	92	-44	+11	-8	+17	+137	11.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	131	28	4	20	52	140	9	18	5	225	298	389	687	165	261	22	8	305	92	-6	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	224	175	63	15	4	3	38	18	7	41	8	360	491	543	1.034	183	385	8	17	450	202	+26	+5	—	—	+6	3.8
2022	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	194	157	38	5	4	2	24	32	10	18	7	242	377	363	740	121	290	16	12	338	117	+4	+1	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	129	100	26	4	0	0	23	25	3	12	4	260	413	300	713	40	347	19	18	336	115	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	20	15	2	1	0	0	4	2	1	0	0	133	350	200	550	67	154	10	20	286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	76	70	21	8	1	3	4	10	2	2	0	300	355	571	927	271	316	13	5	402	166	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	312	353	312	665		417	22	6	290	80	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	21	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	18	17	8	3	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	471	500	824	1.324	353	500	11	6	569	294	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	102	84	23	2	1	1	14	13	3	7	2	274	396	357	753	83	310	13	14	347	124	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	85	74	21	3	0	7	8	14	3	3	1	284	376	608	985	324	264	16	9	425	184	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,062	70	26	221	290	395	+7	+10	4.2	4.0
	/162	664	22	8	221	290	395	+2.4	+3.2	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Pinto (OGILVIE)	23	35→45	40→50	55	45	216/287/387	171	249	6	3	19%	9%	86	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	41→38	54→60	56→55	45	219/278/397	178	254	22	15	24%	7%	87	+0.8	226/291/414	188	257	23	16	22%	7%	97	+1.5	222/292/406	184	249	22	19	21%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Eric Campbell 2009 · A	23	41→48	53→55	47→50	46	220/278/389	169	241	23	7	21%	6%	85	+0.7	225/282/357	132	260	15	4	19%	7%	78	+0.2	230/288/360	130	264	15	2	19%	6%	79	+0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	37→47	54→55	51→50	41	205/264/381	176	254	23	10	30%	6%	77	+0.1	215/264/376	161	269	19	11	27%	5%	75	-0.0	243/295/401	158	287	19	12	22%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	40→44	50	49→45	46	206/312/366	161	263	17	8	27%	8%	95	+1.4	225/323/372	147	282	16	8	25%	8%	100	+1.7	223/327/369	146	277	17	6	24%	9%	98	+1.0
●Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	51→60	52→55	42	210/269/372	161	268	19	12	29%	7%	76	+0.1	228/295/407	179	286	20	20	27%	8%	95	+1.4	229/301/413	184	286	21	22	27%	9%	97	+1.3
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A	24	42→51	53→55	51→50	44	223/278/397	173	250	21	11	21%	6%	86	+0.8	242/291/412	170	288	20	10	23%	5%	96	+1.5	249/295/423	175	291	22	9	22%	5%	99	+1.3
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
●Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A	23	43→53	50	52→50	47	224/283/376	152	269	17	14	24%	8%	82	+0.5	227/292/343	116	297	10	10	25%	8%	77	+0.1	244/304/360	116	311	11	6	24%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2023 · A	23	37→38	55	50→40	43	207/280/390	183	255	24	5	30%	7%	86	+0.8	196/272/352	156	274	20	5	34%	7%	73	-0.1	178/261/323	144	254	18	3	36%	8%	59	-0.8
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	53→55	50	37	207/268/379	172	301	21	14	37%	6%	78	+0.2	242/286/404	162	315	18	13	28%	5%	92	+1.2	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	52→50	51→55	45	219/286/388	169	275	19	17	28%	8%	88	+0.9	179/253/304	125	255	16	21	35%	8%	53	-1.5	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
✕Alejandro Segovia 2013 · A	23	42→45	47→50	51→30	47	216/279/354	139	247	15	5	20%	7%	76	+0.0	221/298/369	148	268	17	3	24%	8%	88	+0.9	213/296/361	147	258	18	1	24%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	39→38	52→50	48→45	47	207/289/373	166	249	20	10	26%	8%	86	+0.8	205/291/350	145	262	16	7	27%	9%	80	+0.4	182/282/323	141	228	16	1	27%	11%	69	-0.3
✕Luis Jimenez 2011 · A	23	47→48	51→60	50	40	237/269/409	172	270	16	13	20%	3%	85	+0.7	241/273/400	159	271	17	14	18%	3%	85	+0.7	241/272/389	148	270	17	15	18%	3%	80	+0.3
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	53→50	52→50	41	202/263/378	176	252	21	10	29%	6%	76	+0.1	232/287/373	141	299	16	8	27%	6%	84	+0.6	241/298/373	132	311	15	9	26%	6%	84	+0.4
✕Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	52→50	56→55	39	210/253/374	164	262	21	22	29%	5%	70	-0.3	234/287/359	125	298	13	24	25%	6%	79	+0.3	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	37→47	48→60	48→55	41	195/256/339	145	267	16	12	33%	7%	63	-0.9	222/268/400	178	287	24	15	31%	5%	83	+0.6	235/274/422	187	292	26	15	29%	5%	88	+0.8