Haydn McGeary — OGILVIE

Haydn McGearyC Knoxville Smokies

Age 26 R/R 6'5" / 235 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%36

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	48	14	5	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	292	346	458	804	167	371	23	8	356	127	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	21	18	4	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	222	333	278	611	56	333	29	14	290	82	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	442	361	92	15	1	16	67	105	10	4	3	255	386	435	821	180	311	24	15	368	135	+18	-0	—	—	+10	2.8
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	90	76	28	8	0	3	13	16	1	3	0	368	467	592	1.059	224	439	18	14	463	200	+11	+1	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	356	74	14	1	12	39	126	5	7	0	208	294	354	647	146	278	31	10	290	82	-9	+1	—	—	+9	0.2
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	78	18	0	0	0	14	31	0	1	0	231	348	231	579		375	33	15	280	76	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	50	12	4	0	1	2	17	0	0	0	240	269	380	649	140	345	33	4	276	73	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	158	238	211	449	53	268	43	10	185	11	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	442	385	86	13	1	12	43	127	10	4	3	223	317	356	673	132	289	29	10	297	87	-7	-0	—	—	+10	0.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	90	81	24	6	0	2	8	22	1	3	0	296	367	444	811	148	381	24	9	352	124	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	370	64	11	1	10	27	158	5	7	0	173	239	289	528	116	254	39	7	237	47	-26	+1	—	—	+9	-1.6
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	82	17	0	0	0	10	38	0	1	0	207	293	207	501		370	41	11	237	47	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	15	5	0	1	4	26	0	0	0	217	260	333	594	116	333	36	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	73	66	18	6	0	1	7	18	0	0	0	273	342	409	752	136	362	25	10	337	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	466	109	19	1	14	51	150	11	7	3	234	324	369	693	135	310	28	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	532	437	120	23	1	19	80	121	11	7	3	275	400	462	862	188	336	23	15	384	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	370	64	11	1	10	27	158	5	7	0	173	239	289	528	116	261	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	356	74	14	1	12	39	126	5	7	0	208	294	354	647	146	278	31	10	290	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	82	17	0	0	0	10	38	0	1	0	207	293	207	501		378	41	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	78	18	0	0	0	14	31	0	1	0	231	348	231	579		375	33	15	280	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	15	5	0	1	4	26	0	0	0	217	260	333	594	116	323	36	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	465	109	19	1	14	51	150	11	7	3	234	324	370	694	135	305	28	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	372	64	11	1	10	27	158	5	7	0	172	239	288	526	116	254	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	83	17	0	0	0	10	38	0	1	0	205	293	205	498		370	41	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	465	109	19	1	14	51	150	11	7	3	234	324	370	694	135	305	28	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	372	64	11	1	10	27	158	5	7	0	172	239	288	526	116	254	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	83	17	0	0	0	10	38	0	1	0	205	293	205	498		370	41	11	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	CHC	—	38	36	4	1	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	111	158	139	297	28	211	45	5	141	-18	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	CHC	—	38	35	5	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	143	211	171	382	29	238	37	8	184	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	CHC	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		272	36	9	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	CHC	—	49	46	5	1	0	0	3	21	0	0	0	109	163	130	294	22	200	43	6	164	-3	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	209	188	35	6	0	4	17	73	2	3	0	186	261	282	543	96	275	35	8	253	57	-11	+1	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	40%	276	248	48	8	1	6	23	95	3	4	1	194	270	306	577	113	276	34	8	257	60	-13	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	45%	310	278	54	9	1	7	26	105	3	4	1	194	270	309	580	115	276	34	8	259	61	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	276	36	9	246	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	40%	110	99	18	3	0	2	9	38	1	2	0	182	257	273	530	91	277	35	8	250	60	-5	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	45%	139	125	24	4	0	3	12	47	1	2	0	192	268	296	564	104	277	34	9	251	61	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	305	274	52	9	0	6	26	105	3	5	0	190	267	288	556	99	279	34	9	250	66	-14	+1	-1	+5	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	111	19	0	13	55	224	6	11	0	190	266	289	556	99	279	34	8	250	66	-31	+2	-2	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1911	1711	343	58	4	42	159	649	24	26	5	200	278	313	590	112	291	34	8	265	66	-38	+1	-2	+14	+17	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	116	20	1	14	54	221	8	9	2	199	276	309	586	110	290	34	8	265	66	-31	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	308	6	4	191	264	299	+5	+4	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+8.6	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Haydn McGeary (OGILVIE)	26	20	42	47	47	179/252/277	98	272	3	2	36%	8%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	45	49→50	38	183/241/298	115	268	15	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	200/256/327	127	290	15	9	35%	7%	63	-1.3	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	33	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Grant Koch 2023 · AA	26	35	42→45	44→30	42	181/252/282	100	260	11	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	203/258/296	93	311	9	4	35%	6%	57	-1.8	191/240/272	81	294	9	0	36%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	37→39	44→45	47→40	38	189/244/301	112	262	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	218/276/314	96	318	9	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	250/309/327	77	377	6	5	33%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	36	43→45	47→30	44	183/249/294	111	257	10	4	32%	8%	53	-2.1	187/258/290	103	288	9	5	35%	8%	56	-1.9	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Matt Spring 2011 · AA	26	36	45	46→45	37	189/239/312	123	264	14	4	33%	6%	54	-2.0	186/240/326	140	290	17	4	40%	6%	57	-1.8	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	38	45	49→40	38	195/249/311	117	281	13	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	211/265/319	108	303	10	5	32%	6%	64	-1.3	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	43→45	41→50	39	194/254/302	108	288	10	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/278/332	111	314	9	14	31%	6%	72	-0.7	228/287/337	109	320	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/290	104	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/258	96	264	8	9	38%	9%	43	-1.5
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps