Haydn McGearyC
Knoxville Smokies
Age 26
R/R
6'5" / 235 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.4 · 2029
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .271 / .320
PA136
HR4
K%36
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
45→45
SPD
47→47
EYE
47→47
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-2M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 73 | 69 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .260 | .333 | .594 | .116 | .333 | 36 | 5 | .248 | 48 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | 2 teams | 532 | 467 | 109 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 156 | 11 | 7 | 3 | .233 | .322 | .381 | .703 | .148 | .311 | 29 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +10 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 407 | 370 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 169 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .170 | .236 | .303 | .539 | .132 | .263 | 42 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -27 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 93 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .195 | .283 | .195 | .478 | .000 | .381 | 44 | 11 | .224 | 30 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 28 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .148 | .179 | .185 | .364 | .037 | .308 | 50 | 4 | .164 | -16 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 108 | 97 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .271 | .320 | .591 | .124 | .287 | 36 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | CHC | 136 | 124 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .185 | .252 | .290 | .542 | .105 | .290 | 39 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | CHC | 209 | 187 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .280 | .342 | .622 | .139 | .288 | 34 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | CHC | 276 | 247 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .202 | .281 | .332 | .613 | .130 | .288 | 34 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | CHC | 310 | 276 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 104 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .207 | .287 | .337 | .624 | .130 | .288 | 34 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | CHC | 333 | 297 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 112 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .202 | .282 | .333 | .615 | .131 | .286 | 34 | 9 | .276 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 53% | CHC | 320 | 286 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 109 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .199 | .278 | .325 | .603 | .126 | .285 | 34 | 8 | .272 | 67 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 64% | CHC | 300 | 268 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 104 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .198 | .276 | .317 | .593 | .119 | .283 | 35 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 82% | CHC | 268 | 240 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 95 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .196 | .274 | .312 | .587 | .117 | .281 | 35 | 9 | .262 | 59 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 224 | 201 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 81 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .184 | .261 | .289 | .550 | .104 | .279 | 36 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3453 | 3087 | 621 | 106 | 9 | 88 | 293 | 1201 | 42 | 40 | 5 | .201 | .279 | .327 | .606 | .126 | .293 | 35 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -132 | +6 | -20 | +62 | +98 | 1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 118 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 55 | 226 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .203 | .281 | .332 | .613 | .129 | .295 | 35 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -25 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 52 | 48 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .292 | .346 | .458 | .804 | .167 | .371 | 23 | 8 | .356 | 131 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 21 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .222 | .333 | .278 | .611 | .056 | .333 | 29 | 14 | .290 | 80 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 442 | 361 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 67 | 105 | 10 | 4 | 3 | .255 | .386 | .435 | .821 | .180 | .311 | 24 | 15 | .368 | 140 | +20 | -0 | — | — | +13 | 3.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 90 | 76 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .368 | .467 | .592 | 1.059 | .224 | .439 | 18 | 14 | .463 | 213 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 407 | 356 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 126 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .208 | .294 | .354 | .647 | .146 | .278 | 31 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 93 | 78 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .231 | .348 | .231 | .579 | .000 | .375 | 33 | 15 | .280 | 73 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Haydn McGeary (OGILVIE) | 26 | 20 | 45 | 47 | 47 | .195/.271/.320 | .125 | .287 | 4 | 2 | 36% | 8% | 65 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA |
26 | 40→39 | 47→50 | 46→45 | 46 | .199/.287/.342 | .143 | .292 | 15 | 7 | 35% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .191/.286/.326 | .135 | .262 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .179/.279/.311 | .132 | .240 | 16 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.6 |
|
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA |
26 | 35→28 | 49→50 | 43→40 | 41 | .191/.255/.331 | .140 | .253 | 18 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.273/.341 | .146 | .245 | 19 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .191/.275/.335 | .144 | .229 | 19 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→31 | 45→55 | 50→40 | 45 | .177/.269/.302 | .125 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 41% | 11% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.271/.372 | .178 | .288 | 24 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 78 | +0.2 | .180/.262/.367 | .188 | .250 | 27 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 44 | .195/.260/.302 | .108 | .268 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.284/.346 | .130 | .306 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.279/.334 | .128 | .290 | 16 | 1 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 48→45 | 50→55 | 39 | .196/.260/.330 | .134 | .279 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.292/.346 | .130 | .312 | 13 | 16 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA |
25 | 37→32 | 50 | 43→30 | 42 | .195/.269/.348 | .153 | .270 | 18 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .182/.271/.322 | .140 | .342 | 17 | 4 | 48% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .123/.241/.259 | .136 | .226 | 21 | 0 | 51% | 10% | 36 | -1.2 |
|
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .190/.273/.285 | .095 | .272 | 10 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.321/.370 | .144 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.324/.370 | .149 | .286 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 12% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB |
26 | 36→33 | 52→55 | 50 | 44 | .192/.280/.359 | .167 | .275 | 20 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .185/.266/.345 | .160 | .294 | 20 | 12 | 41% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .162/.246/.317 | .156 | .267 | 21 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 51 | -1.1 |
|
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 47→55 | 50→40 | 38 | .209/.254/.341 | .132 | .283 | 15 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .202/.249/.301 | .099 | .291 | 9 | 5 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .174/.220/.258 | .084 | .252 | 7 | 1 | 32% | 5% | 24 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→34 | 45→60 | 45 | 39 | .189/.269/.309 | .120 | .282 | 13 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.281/.391 | .187 | .267 | 24 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .197/.277/.397 | .201 | .245 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 48→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .198/.263/.333 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.269/.297 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 14 | 37% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .172/.261/.270 | .098 | .275 | 9 | 12 | 38% | 10% | 44 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Dorow 2022 · AAA |
26 | 41→42 | 46→45 | 48→45 | 41 | .206/.273/.337 | .131 | .294 | 14 | 8 | 34% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.273/.328 | .117 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.264/.293 | .095 | .274 | 7 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA |
26 | 36→32 | 50→55 | 49→50 | 39 | .197/.252/.341 | .144 | .250 | 19 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .217/.289/.407 | .190 | .277 | 26 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .205/.284/.414 | .208 | .252 | 29 | 7 | 31% | 8% | 90 | +0.5 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2019 · AA |
25 | 39→38 | 50 | 44→30 | 42 | .204/.280/.354 | .150 | .279 | 18 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .190/.259/.291 | .101 | .289 | 10 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .149/.219/.197 | .048 | .245 | 6 | 0 | 39% | 7% | 8 | -1.5 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2023 · AA |
25 | 41→35 | 49→50 | 45 | 43 | .197/.294/.349 | .152 | .321 | 17 | 5 | 40% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.290/.353 | .157 | .313 | 19 | 6 | 40% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .182/.280/.331 | .149 | .282 | 19 | 7 | 39% | 11% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Luke Ritter 2023 · AAA |
26 | 38→43 | 49→55 | 46→45 | 38 | .193/.263/.335 | .141 | .298 | 18 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .205/.288/.366 | .161 | .311 | 21 | 6 | 38% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .200/.290/.358 | .157 | .304 | 21 | 4 | 38% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB |
27 | 37 | 52→55 | 46→40 | 48 | .196/.288/.367 | .171 | .263 | 19 | 6 | 32% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .195/.284/.358 | .163 | .250 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .173/.269/.328 | .156 | .208 | 22 | 3 | 29% | 10% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA |
26 | 37→40 | 45 | 46→40 | 38 | .192/.248/.309 | .116 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .214/.272/.315 | .101 | .317 | 10 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .241/.302/.322 | .081 | .371 | 7 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |