Gavin Collins — OGILVIE

Gavin CollinsC Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .319

PA250

HR4

K%19

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	291	65	14	1	9	19	100	5	1	1	223	283	371	654	148	298	31	6	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	321	283	77	21	1	12	27	75	5	1	1	272	346	481	827	208	322	23	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	2 teams	—	269	251	44	15	1	5	8	64	6	1	2	175	219	303	522	127	213	24	3	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	2 teams	—	269	245	56	21	1	5	14	49	6	1	2	229	287	384	670	155	266	18	5	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	2 teams	—	432	392	90	16	2	10	25	75	6	2	2	230	286	357	643	128	254	17	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+	2 teams	—	432	384	97	23	2	8	33	60	6	2	2	253	322	385	707	133	275	14	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	174	154	26	3	0	4	13	53	6	1	1	169	260	266	526	97	224	30	7	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	139	121	27	3	0	3	10	31	5	0	1	223	309	322	631	99	270	22	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	199	47	11	0	7	11	46	4	0	0	236	290	397	687	161	272	21	5	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	270	53	8	2	2	21	42	3	4	1	196	262	263	525	67	222	14	7	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	STL	—	250	229	49	9	1	4	16	47	3	3	1	214	274	314	589	100	253	19	6	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	STL	27%	238	217	47	9	1	4	16	47	3	3	1	217	280	323	602	106	253	20	7	270	65	-9	+0	-4	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	33	MLB	STL	37%	220	201	43	8	1	4	15	45	2	2	0	214	275	323	599	109	252	20	7	267	63	-9	+0	-4	+4	+6	-0.3
2027	32	MLB	STL	27%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	253	20	6	262	58	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	33	MLB	STL	37%	82	75	15	3	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	200	268	280	548	80	252	21	7	259	56	-4	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	147	135	27	5	0	2	10	30	2	2	0	200	265	281	547	81	243	20	7	260	57	-7	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	119	22	0	9	44	133	9	9	0	199	265	281	546	82	242	20	7	260	57	-31	+2	-11	+12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2558	2325	491	96	9	52	154	550	43	17	10	211	273	327	600	116	251	22	6	264	61	-114	-1	-8	+46	+72	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	124	24	2	13	39	140	11	4	3	210	272	323	595	113	249	22	6	264	61	-29	-0	-2	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	142	39	16	0	4	13	45	3	1	1	275	348	472	820	197	361	28	8	354	129	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2017	22	A	Lake County Captains	—	159	141	38	5	1	8	14	30	2	0	0	270	344	489	833	220	286	19	9	363	136	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2018	23	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	252	228	53	20	1	5	14	46	6	1	2	232	294	395	689	162	270	18	6	303	90	-3	-1	—	—	+7	0.4
2018	23	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	214	18	0	182	-2	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2019	24	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	389	347	91	21	2	7	30	52	5	1	2	262	330	395	725	133	286	13	8	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+11	1.2
2019	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	43	37	6	2	0	1	3	8	1	1	0	162	244	297	541	135	167	19	7	237	40	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	74	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	98	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	126	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2025	30	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	68	-11	+0	—	—	+8	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Collins (OGILVIE)	31	50	35	45	45	214/275/319	104	253	4	3	19%	7%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michel Hernandez 2010 · MLB	31	49	40	43→40	48	234/279/321	87	263	7	6	14%	6%	66	-0.6	229/285/313	84	263	6	6	15%	6%	66	-0.6	222/281/292	70	255	4	2	14%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Jesús Sucre 2019 · MLB	31	47	43→40	48→40	45	229/273/334	105	258	12	6	17%	5%	67	-0.5	223/271/312	89	268	7	6	19%	5%	60	-1.0	218/258/272	55	272	0	0	19%	4%	40	-1.1
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2019 · AAA	31	50	40	43→40	44	239/263/322	83	254	9	6	11%	3%	59	-1.1	231/270/334	103	261	11	8	16%	4%	66	-0.6	232/265/302	71	256	8	3	13%	2%	50	-0.5
✕Carlos Maldonado 2010 · MLB	31	44→50	44→40	44→40	47	221/276/332	111	260	12	5	20%	7%	68	-0.5	205/268/307	102	269	10	6	26%	7%	59	-1.1	184/258/278	95	244	10	2	28%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Paul Leon 2019 · AAA	31	47→55	43→45	47→45	44	229/280/342	113	279	11	7	22%	6%	72	-0.2	244/279/355	111	294	12	6	21%	4%	75	-0.0	257/285/351	94	307	11	1	20%	3%	72	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	48→58	42→40	46→50	45	232/291/334	102	282	9	8	21%	6%	75	-0.0	221/286/297	76	287	6	7	24%	7%	63	-0.8	208/280/235	26	278	1	2	23%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Jorge Velandia 2006 · MLB	31	49→53	40	43→45	48	233/288/328	95	273	6	6	17%	6%	72	-0.2	235/276/330	95	292	8	9	21%	5%	67	-0.5	230/273/314	85	290	7	8	23%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Javier Colina 2010 · AAA	31	47→52	43→45	45	43	233/273/347	114	273	10	8	19%	5%	70	-0.3	213/254/329	116	259	11	7	22%	5%	58	-1.2	161/188/279	117	184	12	0	21%	3%	16	-1.0
✕Rocky Gale 2019 · AAA	31	48→45	38→40	43→30	41	229/266/308	79	281	5	3	20%	4%	56	-1.3	225/256/307	82	289	7	6	24%	4%	52	-1.6	228/257/284	57	296	4	3	24%	3%	43	-0.7
✕J.C. Boscan 2011 · AAA	31	46	39→40	45→30	45	222/278/307	85	287	7	4	24%	7%	63	-0.9	194/243/269	75	258	6	4	26%	5%	37	-2.6	174/220/209	35	229	2	2	24%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Juan Centeno 2021 · MLB	31	47	41→45	48→40	46	226/281/321	95	269	8	7	19%	6%	67	-0.5	235/279/347	112	289	11	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	231/273/332	101	294	9	3	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕J.J. Furmaniak 2010 · MLB	31	45→50	42→45	47→50	41	219/264/320	101	273	9	10	23%	5%	59	-1.1	217/266/301	84	273	5	11	21%	6%	56	-1.3	214/268/287	73	270	3	12	21%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Alberto Castillo 2001 · MLB	31	46	40→30	47→30	54	221/295/309	89	260	7	5	18%	10%	71	-0.3	212/272/312	100	261	9	7	22%	7%	61	-1.0	235/311/307	73	284	2	2	17%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Austin Wynns 2021 · MLB	30	45→51	43→45	46→30	44	222/272/320	98	269	12	4	22%	6%	63	-0.8	237/299/354	117	290	13	5	22%	7%	84	+0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ivan Bellazetin 2017 · AAA	30	50→52	41→40	39→55	43	241/280/335	93	277	8	8	17%	4%	70	-0.3	240/283/359	119	279	12	9	18%	5%	78	+0.2	246/286/356	110	283	10	5	17%	4%	73	-0.0
✕Rob Johnson 2013 · MLB	31	42→52	43→45	47→50	46	208/268/316	109	251	11	8	22%	7%	61	-1.0	215/271/340	125	261	14	7	23%	7%	68	-0.5	197/255/313	115	239	13	0	23%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Sean Kazmar Jr. 2015 · AAA	30	46→54	40→45	44→45	45	218/259/314	96	252	7	8	16%	5%	56	-1.3	234/262/331	97	265	7	6	15%	3%	61	-1.0	226/263/331	105	250	12	4	15%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Angel Chavez 2012 · AAA	31	47→53	40→45	45→50	43	226/263/311	86	263	8	7	18%	4%	56	-1.3	240/299/346	106	279	12	9	18%	8%	82	+0.5	248/315/338	90	283	11	7	16%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Gary Bennett 2004 · MLB	32	51	40	45→40	50	244/300/334	90	278	7	5	15%	7%	79	+0.3	229/296/324	95	263	8	4	15%	8%	75	-0.0	218/289/304	85	251	7	1	15%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Darwin Barney 2017 · MLB	31	50→58	42→40	44→50	47	242/289/343	101	274	9	7	16%	6%	76	+0.1	235/283/345	110	273	11	11	18%	6%	74	-0.1	226/269/320	94	263	10	12	18%	5%	60	-0.6