Gavin CollinsC
Memphis Redbirds
Age 31
R/R
5'11" / 205 lbs
AAA
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2026
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .289 / .347
PA250
HR5
K%17
BB%7
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
43↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2031 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-0.9M | $-0.9M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 321 | 292 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 98 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .219 | .276 | .377 | .653 | .158 | .284 | 31 | 6 | .281 | 73 | -10 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 269 | 251 | 44 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 67 | 6 | 1 | 2 | .175 | .219 | .291 | .510 | .116 | .221 | 25 | 3 | .222 | 28 | -22 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 432 | 395 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 79 | 6 | 2 | 2 | .223 | .274 | .337 | .611 | .114 | .253 | 18 | 5 | .264 | 60 | -19 | -0 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 174 | 154 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .156 | .249 | .247 | .495 | .091 | .204 | 30 | 7 | .230 | 34 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 139 | 122 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .205 | .287 | .303 | .590 | .098 | .250 | 24 | 6 | .270 | 65 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 216 | 198 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .232 | .290 | .389 | .679 | .157 | .262 | 20 | 6 | .294 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 299 | 271 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .196 | .259 | .262 | .520 | .066 | .220 | 14 | 7 | .235 | 38 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | STL | 250 | 228 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .294 | .351 | .645 | .118 | .262 | 17 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB 20% | STL | 238 | 217 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .230 | .292 | .350 | .643 | .120 | .263 | 18 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB 33% | STL | 220 | 201 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .224 | .284 | .333 | .618 | .109 | .264 | 19 | 7 | .284 | 75 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB 43% | STL | 186 | 169 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .283 | .325 | .608 | .107 | .263 | 20 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2744 | 2498 | 529 | 103 | 10 | 55 | 163 | 580 | 45 | 16 | 9 | .212 | .272 | .327 | .599 | .115 | .251 | 21 | 6 | .266 | 62 | -119 | -0 | -13 | +49 | +78 | -0.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 592 | 125 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 137 | 11 | 4 | 2 | .211 | .273 | .324 | .597 | .113 | .250 | 21 | 6 | .266 | 62 | -28 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 162 | 142 | 39 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .275 | .348 | .472 | .820 | .197 | .361 | 28 | 8 | .354 | 129 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | 159 | 141 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .270 | .344 | .489 | .833 | .220 | .286 | 19 | 9 | .363 | 136 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 252 | 228 | 53 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 2 | .232 | .294 | .395 | .689 | .162 | .270 | 18 | 6 | .303 | 90 | -3 | -1 | — | — | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .176 | .235 | .412 | .059 | .214 | 18 | 0 | .182 | -2 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 389 | 347 | 91 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 2 | .262 | .330 | .395 | .725 | .133 | .286 | 13 | 8 | .320 | 103 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 43 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .162 | .244 | .297 | .541 | .135 | .167 | 19 | 7 | .237 | 40 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 174 | 148 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 44 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .182 | .301 | .304 | .605 | .122 | .220 | 25 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 139 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .235 | .331 | .370 | .701 | .134 | .270 | 20 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 216 | 193 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .264 | .336 | .461 | .798 | .197 | .280 | 16 | 8 | .350 | 126 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 299 | 263 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .221 | .303 | .297 | .599 | .076 | .240 | 11 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +0 | — | — | +8 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Gavin Collins (OGILVIE) | 31 | 50 | 35 | 45 | 45 | .229/.289/.347 | .118 | .262 | 5 | 3 | 17% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rob Johnson 2013 · MLB |
31 | 42→52 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 47 | .207/.272/.313 | .107 | .253 | 10 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .212/.267/.333 | .121 | .258 | 13 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .194/.253/.309 | .115 | .236 | 13 | 0 | 23% | 7% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Gerald Laird 2011 · MLB |
31 | 47 | 42→50 | 45→50 | 50 | .226/.292/.333 | .107 | .259 | 9 | 6 | 17% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .237/.304/.347 | .110 | .273 | 9 | 6 | 16% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .263/.333/.361 | .098 | .304 | 5 | 3 | 14% | 8% | 94 | +0.3 |
|
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB |
31 | 45→52 | 45 | 48→30 | 46 | .224/.281/.336 | .112 | .265 | 13 | 5 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .243/.308/.357 | .114 | .303 | 12 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .244/.309/.343 | .100 | .312 | 10 | 2 | 24% | 7% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Erick Almonte 2009 · AAA |
31 | 50→48 | 43→40 | 44→45 | 51 | .242/.308/.356 | .114 | .291 | 10 | 7 | 20% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .248/.302/.340 | .092 | .316 | 7 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .257/.308/.335 | .078 | .331 | 5 | 5 | 23% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Israel Nunez 2017 · AAA |
31 | 53 | 41→40 | 47→40 | 42 | .256/.299/.353 | .097 | .306 | 8 | 6 | 19% | 4% | 82 | +0.5 | .241/.279/.350 | .109 | .284 | 12 | 7 | 19% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 | .265/.292/.326 | .061 | .308 | 7 | 0 | 16% | 1% | 69 | -0.1 |
|
✕Royce Huffman 2008 · AAA |
31 | 48→52 | 41→45 | 46→45 | 52 | .231/.306/.336 | .105 | .276 | 8 | 7 | 19% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .232/.298/.337 | .105 | .293 | 9 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .235/.300/.337 | .102 | .300 | 9 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Paul Leon 2019 · AAA |
31 | 46→56 | 44→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .230/.280/.345 | .116 | .279 | 11 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .241/.276/.354 | .113 | .291 | 13 | 6 | 22% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 | .250/.278/.347 | .097 | .300 | 12 | 1 | 21% | 3% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dixon Machado 2023 · MLB |
31 | 51→55 | 39→45 | 48→55 | 49 | .244/.306/.332 | .088 | .287 | 7 | 10 | 17% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .222/.302/.313 | .091 | .269 | 9 | 7 | 20% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .201/.296/.278 | .077 | .247 | 8 | 4 | 20% | 11% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Robinson Cancel 2007 · AAA |
31 | 46 | 47→45 | 47→50 | 47 | .234/.286/.366 | .132 | .271 | 15 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .229/.270/.343 | .114 | .270 | 11 | 10 | 19% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .251/.300/.345 | .094 | .296 | 8 | 15 | 17% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Diory Hernandez 2015 · AAA |
31 | 45→55 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 47 | .222/.274/.338 | .116 | .251 | 12 | 8 | 18% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .250/.301/.378 | .128 | .275 | 14 | 8 | 15% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .257/.305/.389 | .132 | .279 | 16 | 6 | 14% | 6% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jose Montenegro 2006 · AAA |
30 | 48 | 43→40 | 41→30 | 52 | .234/.291/.345 | .110 | .254 | 11 | 6 | 13% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .233/.293/.337 | .104 | .269 | 10 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .242/.315/.320 | .078 | .290 | 8 | 0 | 18% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Angel Chavez 2013 · AAA |
32 | 50→53 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 48 | .244/.296/.345 | .101 | .279 | 12 | 8 | 18% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .244/.303/.356 | .112 | .285 | 11 | 10 | 18% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.306/.327 | .083 | .288 | 5 | 8 | 16% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA |
31 | 48→58 | 41→40 | 46→50 | 44 | .230/.287/.326 | .096 | .282 | 8 | 8 | 21% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.289/.299 | .077 | .289 | 6 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.283/.237 | .030 | .276 | 2 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Juan Centeno 2021 · MLB |
31 | 45 | 40→45 | 47→40 | 45 | .219/.272/.309 | .090 | .260 | 8 | 6 | 19% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .236/.281/.350 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.276/.339 | .104 | .299 | 10 | 3 | 24% | 5% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Yunesky Sanchez 2015 · AAA |
31 | 55→60 | 42→40 | 43→45 | 44 | .267/.300/.367 | .099 | .300 | 10 | 9 | 15% | 4% | 86 | +0.8 | .251/.289/.338 | .087 | .287 | 7 | 10 | 15% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .264/.305/.323 | .059 | .298 | 3 | 9 | 12% | 4% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Luis Ordaz 2006 · AAA |
30 | 50 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .240/.274/.342 | .102 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 15% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .255/.283/.355 | .100 | .291 | 8 | 10 | 15% | 3% | 76 | +0.0 | .269/.295/.355 | .086 | .314 | 6 | 10 | 16% | 3% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB |
31 | 53→58 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 47 | .257/.313/.380 | .123 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 13% | 5% | 96 | +1.5 | .246/.298/.341 | .095 | .272 | 6 | 20 | 11% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .260/.310/.370 | .111 | .287 | 11 | 10 | 14% | 5% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Omir Santos 2011 · MLB |
30 | 47→44 | 41→45 | 43→30 | 44 | .227/.273/.325 | .098 | .264 | 9 | 4 | 18% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .221/.249/.313 | .092 | .273 | 8 | 4 | 22% | 3% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.243/.298 | .074 | .286 | 5 | 0 | 24% | 2% | 42 | -0.8 |
|
✕Humberto Sosa 2017 · AAA |
31 | 46→50 | 43→50 | 46→45 | 43 | .229/.275/.331 | .102 | .284 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .223/.268/.349 | .126 | .276 | 15 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.265/.385 | .165 | .256 | 21 | 1 | 23% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Gary Bennett 2003 · MLB |
31 | 52 | 43→40 | 41→40 | 50 | .251/.313/.362 | .111 | .284 | 10 | 4 | 16% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .237/.300/.329 | .092 | .272 | 7 | 5 | 15% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .218/.289/.304 | .085 | .251 | 7 | 1 | 15% | 8% | 58 | -0.4 |