Gavin Collins — OGILVIE

Gavin CollinsC Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP252

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	142	39	16	0	4	13	45	3	1	1	275	348	472	820	197	361	28	8	354	126	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2017	22	A	Lake County Captains	—	159	141	38	5	1	8	14	30	2	0	0	270	344	489	833	220	286	19	9	363	131	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2018	23	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	252	228	53	20	1	5	14	46	6	1	2	232	294	395	689	162	270	18	6	303	91	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2018	23	ROK	AZL Indians 2	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	214	18	0	182	9	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	24	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	389	347	91	21	2	7	30	52	5	1	2	262	330	395	725	133	286	13	8	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+8	0.9
2019	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	43	37	6	2	0	1	3	8	1	1	0	162	244	297	541	135	167	19	7	237	47	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	77	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	98	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	123	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	30	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	71	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	162	147	31	11	0	4	8	61	3	1	1	211	266	367	633	156	298	38	5	270	69	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2017	22	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	159	145	32	4	1	5	10	41	2	0	0	221	280	366	646	145	262	26	6	285	79	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2018	23	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	252	234	43	15	1	5	8	62	6	1	2	184	230	321	550	137	217	25	3	228	40	-18	-1	—	—	+5	-1.3
2018	23	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 2	—	17	17	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	118	118	176	294	59	169	24	0	125	-29	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2019	24	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	389	356	79	15	2	7	21	70	5	1	2	222	275	334	609	112	247	18	5	267	67	-15	-1	—	—	+8	-0.8
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	154	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	156	249	234	482	78	202	30	7	222	36	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	122	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	205	287	303	590	98	242	23	6	263	64	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	198	45	10	0	6	12	44	4	0	0	227	285	369	654	141	257	20	6	283	78	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	272	53	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	195	255	261	516	66	213	13	6	231	42	-20	+0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	292	63	15	1	9	18	102	5	1	1	216	273	366	639	151	289	32	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	321	283	77	21	1	12	27	75	5	1	1	272	346	481	827	208	322	23	8	358	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	269	251	45	15	1	5	8	67	6	1	2	179	223	307	529	127	222	25	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	269	245	56	21	1	5	14	49	6	1	2	229	287	384	670	155	266	18	5	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	394	88	17	2	8	23	78	6	2	2	223	277	338	614	114	253	18	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	432	384	97	23	2	8	33	60	6	2	2	253	322	385	707	133	275	14	8	312	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	154	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	156	249	234	482	78	212	30	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	174	148	27	3	0	5	19	44	6	1	1	182	301	304	605	122	220	25	11	282	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	122	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	205	287	303	590	98	247	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	—	139	119	28	4	0	4	12	28	5	0	1	235	331	370	701	134	270	20	9	314	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	198	45	10	0	6	12	44	4	0	0	227	285	369	654	141	262	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	193	51	11	0	9	17	35	4	0	0	264	336	461	798	197	280	16	8	350	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	272	53	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	195	255	261	516	66	218	13	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	263	58	10	2	2	28	32	3	4	1	221	303	297	599	76	240	11	9	274	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	295	63	15	1	9	18	102	5	1	1	214	273	363	636	149	280	32	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	269	253	45	15	1	5	8	67	6	1	2	178	223	304	527	126	214	25	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	432	400	88	17	2	8	23	78	6	2	2	220	277	333	609	113	247	18	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	174	153	24	3	0	3	13	53	6	1	1	157	249	235	484	78	202	30	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	139	124	25	3	0	3	9	32	5	0	1	202	287	298	585	97	242	23	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	198	45	10	0	6	12	44	4	0	0	227	285	369	654	141	257	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	275	53	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	193	255	258	513	65	213	13	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	29	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	216	198	45	10	0	6	12	44	4	0	0	227	285	369	654	141	257	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	299	275	53	8	2	2	19	40	3	4	1	193	255	258	513	65	213	13	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	31	MLB MLE	STL	10%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	252	20	5	266	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	31	MLB CTX	STL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						252	0	0	255	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	STL	27%	238	217	46	9	1	3	16	45	3	3	1	212	275	304	580	92	253	19	7	266	66	-10	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.4
2027	32	MLB CTX	STL	27%	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	252	18	6	255	66	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	65	60	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	234	18	6	255	59	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	120	20	0	10	40	120	10	10	0	200	262	283	545	83	234	18	6	255	59	-26	+2	-10	+12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2108	1919	393	81	7	39	119	465	38	12	9	205	265	315	580	110	246	22	6	255	59	-10	+0	-4	+5	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	121	25	2	12	37	143	12	4	3	204	265	314	579	110	245	22	6	255	59	-26	+1	-9	+12	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Collins (OGILVIE)	31	50	35	45	45	214/273/310	96	252	3	3	18%	6%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2019 · AAA	31	50	39→40	43→40	45	237/264/315	78	254	8	6	11%	3%	62	-1.4	232/276/333	101	262	10	8	16%	4%	72	-0.7	232/267/299	67	257	8	3	13%	2%	56	-0.6
✕Carlos Maldonado 2010 · MLB	31	44→50	43→40	44→40	48	219/277/325	105	261	11	5	20%	7%	70	-0.8	205/270/301	96	270	9	6	26%	8%	63	-1.4	182/257/267	85	244	8	2	27%	9%	49	-0.7
✕Michel Hernandez 2010 · MLB	31	49	39→40	43→40	48	233/280/317	84	263	7	6	14%	6%	69	-0.9	231/288/313	82	265	6	6	14%	7%	72	-0.7	224/284/292	68	257	4	2	14%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Jorge Velandia 2006 · MLB	31	49→52	39→40	43→45	48	233/289/325	92	273	5	6	17%	7%	74	-0.5	234/276/323	89	292	7	9	21%	5%	69	-0.9	228/272/307	79	289	6	8	23%	5%	60	-1.2
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2019 · MLB	31	43→49	38→40	44→50	47	207/266/284	77	256	5	7	21%	7%	57	-1.8	208/264/310	102	273	10	8	26%	6%	62	-1.4	186/231/309	123	242	15	2	29%	4%	48	-0.9
✕Rocky Gale 2019 · AAA	31	49→46	38→40	43→30	42	233/269/312	79	283	6	3	20%	4%	63	-1.3	225/259/308	83	288	7	6	23%	4%	59	-1.7	224/253/279	55	293	4	3	24%	3%	47	-0.8
✕Darwin Barney 2017 · MLB	31	50→58	41→40	44→50	48	243/292/342	98	275	9	7	15%	6%	79	-0.2	236/285/346	110	275	11	11	18%	6%	78	-0.3	227/270/321	94	264	10	12	18%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Javier Colina 2010 · AAA	31	48→52	42→45	45	44	232/273/341	109	271	9	8	18%	5%	72	-0.7	212/253/324	112	259	10	7	22%	5%	61	-1.5	157/182/268	111	182	11	0	21%	2%	22	-1.1
✕J.C. Boscan 2011 · AAA	31	47	38→40	45→30	45	224/281/303	79	287	6	4	23%	7%	67	-1.1	194/244/264	70	257	5	4	25%	5%	44	-2.8	178/224/214	36	232	2	2	23%	5%	22	-1.3
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2016 · MLB	32	45→43	41→45	45→40	44	219/262/319	99	256	8	7	18%	5%	63	-1.4	210/269/324	114	259	11	4	23%	6%	68	-1.0	193/257/297	103	245	9	1	24%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Alberto Castillo 2002 · MLB	32	44	39→30	44→30	49	213/280/295	82	255	7	6	19%	8%	65	-1.2	221/285/338	117	266	11	7	20%	8%	76	-0.4	235/311/307	73	284	2	2	17%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Angel Chavez 2012 · AAA	31	48→53	39→45	45→50	44	229/268/314	84	267	7	7	17%	5%	63	-1.3	246/306/347	101	285	11	9	17%	8%	86	+0.3	259/323/339	81	294	9	7	15%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Paul Leon 2019 · AAA	31	47→56	43→45	47→45	44	229/281/341	112	279	11	7	22%	6%	76	-0.4	237/275/345	108	290	12	6	22%	4%	74	-0.6	241/271/331	90	293	11	1	21%	3%	65	-0.8
✕Juan Graterol 2021 · MLB	32	48	38→40	45→30	45	227/266/305	77	250	6	5	12%	4%	61	-1.5	231/281/319	88	260	8	8	14%	4%	71	-0.8	234/282/298	63	261	5	5	12%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	49→59	41→40	46→50	45	234/293/330	97	287	8	8	21%	6%	78	-0.3	222/291/298	76	291	6	7	24%	8%	70	-0.9	206/282/234	28	276	1	2	23%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Jesús Sucre 2019 · MLB	31	47	43→40	48→40	45	230/274/333	103	259	12	6	17%	5%	71	-0.8	225/275/315	90	270	7	6	18%	6%	67	-1.1	223/265/277	55	277	0	0	18%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Jonathan Diaz 2016 · MLB	31	45→47	36→30	47→50	50	210/283/275	65	258	3	9	19%	8%	61	-1.5	205/287/271	66	259	4	8	21%	9%	63	-1.4	189/280/234	45	242	3	5	21%	10%	50	-1.1
✕Mike Nickeas 2013 · MLB	30	46	40	42→40	48	222/281/310	88	264	7	3	19%	7%	69	-0.9	197/255/282	85	247	7	5	22%	6%	53	-2.1	161/222/219	58	206	5	1	23%	6%	24	-1.3
✕Edwin Maysonet 2013 · MLB	31	45→54	39→40	47→50	43	217/265/302	85	267	5	5	21%	5%	60	-1.6	209/256/321	112	258	10	7	23%	5%	62	-1.4	182/219/290	108	223	10	2	23%	3%	42	-1.2
✕Humberto Sosa 2017 · AAA	31	46→49	41→45	47→45	43	226/274/316	90	286	10	5	24%	6%	67	-1.1	221/269/343	122	275	14	6	24%	6%	72	-0.7	213/258/358	145	253	17	1	23%	5%	70	-0.3