Javier Valdes — OGILVIE

Javier ValdesC Mississippi Braves

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .295 / .357

PA11

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO136

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	—	73	57	5	2	0	0	11	13	3	1	0	88	268	123	390	35	114	18	15	208	27	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	19	16	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	250	368	312	681	62	308	16	11	323	104	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	92	76	20	5	0	0	8	20	5	3	0	263	371	329	700	66	339	22	9	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	22	ROK	FCL Braves	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	62	167	62	229		100	37	11	121	-32	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	98	78	18	3	1	2	17	21	3	1	0	231	388	372	760	141	291	21	17	353	125	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	23	A+	Rome Braves	—	221	186	49	7	0	11	21	33	13	0	0	263	377	478	856	215	266	15	10	381	144	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	298	239	56	14	1	8	46	63	11	1	2	234	382	402	783	167	282	21	15	357	128	+10	-1	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	91	84	16	2	0	3	5	14	2	0	0	190	253	321	574	131	194	15	5	261	63	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	73	61	4	1	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	66	197	82	279	16	89	26	10	142	-18	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2021	22	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	19	17	4	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	235	316	294	610	59	275	21	5	258	61	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2021	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	92	78	17	4	0	0	6	28	5	3	0	218	315	269	584	51	294	30	7	259	61	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	19	17	1	0	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		78	53	5	81	-59	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2022	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	98	83	17	3	1	2	12	26	3	1	0	205	327	337	664	133	269	27	12	291	83	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	23	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	221	194	46	6	0	10	13	46	13	0	0	237	327	423	750	186	246	21	6	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2023	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	298	252	53	13	1	8	33	74	11	1	2	210	328	365	693	155	256	25	11	307	94	-2	-1	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	91	86	16	2	0	3	3	17	2	0	0	186	231	314	545	128	188	19	3	225	38	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	73	61	4	1	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	66	197	82	279	16	95	26	10	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	—	73	57	5	2	0	0	11	13	3	1	0	88	268	123	390	35	114	18	15	208	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	130	112	21	5	0	0	8	42	6	3	0	188	278	232	510	45	284	32	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	130	108	25	6	0	0	12	30	6	3	0	231	341	287	628	56	305	23	9	290	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	319	277	61	8	1	11	25	71	16	1	0	220	321	375	696	155	255	22	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	319	264	67	10	1	13	38	54	16	1	0	254	381	447	827	193	273	17	12	372	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	298	252	53	13	1	8	33	74	11	1	2	210	328	365	693	155	262	25	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	298	239	56	14	1	8	46	63	11	1	2	234	382	402	783	167	282	21	15	357	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	91	86	16	2	0	3	3	17	2	0	0	186	231	314	545	128	197	19	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	91	84	16	2	0	3	5	14	2	0	0	190	253	321	574	131	194	15	5	261	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	73	63	4	1	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	63	197	79	277	16	89	26	10	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	130	115	21	5	0	0	8	42	6	3	0	183	278	226	504	43	260	32	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	319	275	61	8	1	11	25	71	16	1	0	222	321	378	699	156	253	22	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	298	252	53	13	1	8	33	74	11	1	2	210	328	365	693	155	256	25	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	91	86	16	2	0	3	3	17	2	0	0	186	231	314	545	128	188	19	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	298	252	53	13	1	8	33	74	11	1	2	210	328	365	693	155	256	25	11	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	91	86	16	2	0	3	3	17	2	0	0	186	231	314	545	128	188	19	3	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	ATL	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		276	27	9	295	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ATL	33%	207	186	42	8	1	5	16	50	3	3	1	226	298	360	658	134	278	24	8	297	87	-3	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	262	235	53	10	1	7	21	63	4	4	1	226	300	366	666	140	278	24	8	297	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	300	269	60	12	1	7	24	73	4	4	1	223	296	353	649	130	277	24	8	296	86	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2030	31	MLB MLE	ATL	58%	294	264	58	11	1	7	24	72	4	3	1	220	295	348	643	129	275	24	8	292	84	-6	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.3
2031	32	MLB MLE	ATL	61%	277	249	53	10	1	6	22	69	4	3	1	213	287	333	621	120	272	25	8	287	80	-7	+0	-4	+5	+6	0.1
2032	33	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	248	223	47	9	1	5	20	63	3	2	1	211	285	327	612	117	268	25	8	280	75	-7	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	ATL	33%	69	63	14	3	0	2	5	17	1	1	0	222	290	365	655	143	278	25	7	286	87	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	121	108	25	5	1	3	10	29	2	2	1	231	308	380	688	148	278	24	8	286	87	-2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	161	145	32	6	1	4	13	39	2	2	1	221	294	359	652	138	277	24	8	285	86	-3	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	ATL	58%	171	153	35	7	1	4	14	42	2	2	1	229	302	366	668	137	275	25	8	282	84	-3	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	ATL	61%	168	150	33	6	1	4	14	42	2	2	0	220	295	353	649	133	272	25	8	276	80	-4	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	154	139	29	5	1	3	12	39	2	1	0	209	281	324	605	115	268	25	8	270	75	-4	+0	-3	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	844	758	168	32	5	20	68	208	11	10	3	222	295	356	651	135	277	25	8	280	79	-17	+1	-8	+15	+18	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	25	4	15	52	160	8	8	2	221	293	354	648	134	276	25	8	280	79	-13	+1	-6	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2510	2224	469	89	8	59	204	616	60	25	8	211	295	338	632	127	262	25	8	285	79	-32	+1	-15	+29	+35	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	23	2	15	53	160	16	6	2	210	295	335	630	125	262	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	-6	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	848	20	10	221	292	353	+15	+12	2.0	2.0
/162	664	16	8	+11.9	+9.4	1.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Valdes (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	222/295/357	135	276	3	2	24%	8%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	48→50	48→45	49	234/302/373	139	276	17	6	22%	8%	91	+0.7	239/300/372	133	305	15	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	230/288/352	123	295	14	6	26%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/291/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	88	+0.5	226/271/354	128	293	14	12	27%	5%	75	-0.5	206/245/315	108	272	12	12	28%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/286/391	162	295	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.5	198/268/319	121	296	11	18	34%	8%	66	-1.1	191/234/320	129	261	16	17	33%	5%	51	-1.2
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	51	49→55	49→50	42	251/300/411	160	318	14	11	25%	6%	99	+1.2	212/270/326	114	291	12	5	30%	7%	68	-1.0	187/247/297	110	270	12	4	34%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→48	51→50	46→40	44	234/292/389	155	298	19	3	28%	7%	91	+0.7	232/286/369	137	299	15	4	26%	6%	84	+0.2	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Andrew Knizner 2021 · MLB	26	48	47→50	49→40	45	240/295/369	129	274	15	7	19%	6%	88	+0.4	218/295/333	115	268	12	5	22%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/347	120	278	14	3	22%	6%	82	+0.0
✕J.R. Towles 2010 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	45→50	48	222/301/359	137	260	14	9	21%	7%	88	+0.5	211/292/331	120	248	11	8	19%	7%	79	-0.2	196/278/293	97	227	8	5	17%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	44	48→45	47→40	43	226/278/356	129	273	17	6	24%	6%	78	-0.3	237/286/355	118	284	12	4	20%	6%	81	-0.1	241/291/360	119	284	11	1	19%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Vinny Capra 2023 · AAA	27	52→48	46→45	50	47	252/314/382	130	315	13	10	24%	8%	97	+1.1	231/297/325	94	292	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.3	218/286/308	91	279	8	12	24%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Levi Jordan 2023 · AAA	27	47→55	46→45	48→50	43	236/289/369	133	293	14	10	24%	6%	85	+0.2	232/297/343	111	291	10	15	23%	7%	82	+0.0	225/292/322	98	280	8	18	21%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Jamie Westbrook 2022 · AAA	27	48→52	47→50	48→45	46	239/298/374	135	272	15	5	19%	6%	90	+0.6	236/306/361	125	277	14	5	19%	7%	90	+0.6	240/311/368	128	286	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	49→50	42→40	43	205/292/354	148	294	16	3	34%	8%	84	+0.1	225/296/378	153	314	16	4	32%	7%	91	+0.6	219/290/368	148	312	16	2	33%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	46→60	47→45	45	237/286/363	126	276	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.0	215/260/371	156	236	20	4	19%	5%	76	-0.4	215/286/399	184	236	23	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Alan Espinoza 2019 · AAA	28	47	47→50	49→45	42	238/281/370	132	278	15	7	20%	5%	82	+0.0	252/296/398	146	291	17	7	19%	5%	95	+0.9	266/304/414	148	301	18	3	18%	4%	100	+0.8
✕Donny Sands 2023 · AAA	27	49	46→45	46→40	49	244/304/367	124	288	14	5	21%	8%	90	+0.6	215/277/315	100	285	9	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	196/262/290	94	259	7	1	26%	8%	55	-1.3
✕Humberto Sosa 2013 · AAA	27	45→49	48→45	46→45	46	231/287/371	140	274	17	9	23%	7%	85	+0.2	224/269/340	116	273	13	6	22%	6%	70	-0.8	213/266/331	118	266	14	2	25%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Anthony Recker 2012 · MLB	28	45→49	50	44→45	46	231/298/388	157	296	18	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	217/286/373	156	289	19	7	30%	8%	86	+0.3	197/266/351	154	263	21	3	32%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	53→57	46→50	46→50	44	259/303/394	135	314	13	7	22%	6%	96	+1.0	239/289/352	113	303	10	6	23%	6%	80	-0.1	227/277/324	97	287	8	5	23%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Matt Thaiss 2023 · MLB	28	46→50	48→50	52→45	49	232/305/379	147	290	16	8	25%	9%	93	+0.8	220/316/340	120	293	13	8	27%	11%	90	+0.6	205/321/302	97	279	10	5	27%	13%	81	-0.0
✕Tommy Field 2014 · MLB	27	46→51	44→45	49→45	46	227/289/347	120	284	11	7	24%	7%	80	-0.1	218/284/341	123	273	12	7	24%	7%	77	-0.3	203/273/324	121	251	12	5	24%	7%	67	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps