Javier Valdes — OGILVIE

Javier ValdesC Mississippi Braves

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AA BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.8 · 2028

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .365

PA136

HR4

K%25

BB%8

MLB%2%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$3M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$7M		$5M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	73	61	4	1	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	.066	.197	.082	.279	.016	.095	26	10	.142	-33	-11	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
2021	22	A	3 teams	130	112	21	5	0	0	8	42	6	3	0	.188	.278	.232	.510	.045	.284	32	6	.232	36	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2022	23	A+	2 teams	319	278	60	8	1	12	24	72	16	1	0	.216	.314	.381	.696	.165	.246	23	8	.303	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.2
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	298	252	54	13	1	10	33	79	11	1	2	.214	.331	.393	.724	.179	.267	27	11	.316	100	+0	-1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	91	86	15	2	0	3	3	18	2	0	0	.174	.220	.302	.522	.128	.185	20	3	.230	34	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	ATL	136	122	28	5	1	4	11	34	2	2	1	.230	.304	.385	.689	.156	.277	25	8	.300	88	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 9%	ATL	207	185	42	8	1	6	17	51	3	3	1	.227	.302	.378	.681	.151	.278	25	8	.301	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.7
2028	29	MLB 19%	ATL	262	234	52	10	1	7	22	65	4	3	1	.222	.300	.363	.663	.141	.278	25	8	.301	88	-3	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.8
2029	30	MLB 29%	ATL	300	267	60	12	1	8	25	75	5	3	1	.225	.303	.367	.670	.142	.278	25	8	.299	87	-4	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.8
2030	31	MLB 40%	ATL	294	264	58	11	1	8	24	75	4	2	0	.220	.295	.360	.654	.140	.277	26	8	.296	85	-5	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.6
2031	32	MLB 49%	ATL	277	248	54	10	1	7	23	72	4	0	0	.218	.295	.351	.645	.133	.275	26	8	.291	81	-6	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.3
2032	33	MLB 63%	ATL	248	222	48	9	1	6	20	66	4	0	0	.216	.293	.347	.640	.131	.273	27	8	.286	77	-7	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.1
2033	34	MLB 73%	ATL	206	184	39	7	1	5	17	56	3	0	0	.212	.289	.342	.632	.130	.272	27	8	.279	72	-7	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.2
2034	35	MLB 90%	ATL	158	142	29	5	1	3	13	45	2	0	0	.204	.280	.317	.597	.113	.269	28	8	.271	66	-6	+0	-6	+3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2999	2657	564	106	11	79	247	769	69	19	6	.212	.296	.350	.646	.137	.266	26	8	.288	78	-73	+1	-25	+54	+85	4.2
/ 162G	—			650	576	122	23	2	17	54	167	15	4	1	.212	.297	.347	.644	.135	.265	26	8	.288	78	-16	+0	-5	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	73	57	5	2	0	0	11	13	3	1	0	.088	.268	.123	.390	.035	.114	18	15	.208	17	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	A+	Rome Braves	19	16	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	.250	.368	.312	.681	.062	.308	16	11	.323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	92	76	20	5	0	0	8	20	5	3	0	.263	.371	.329	.700	.066	.339	22	9	.318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	22	ROK	FCL Braves	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	.062	.167	.062	.229	.000	.100	37	11	.121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	98	78	18	3	1	2	17	21	3	1	0	.231	.388	.372	.760	.141	.291	21	17	.353	128	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	A+	Rome Braves	221	186	49	7	0	11	21	33	13	0	0	.263	.377	.478	.856	.215	.266	15	10	.381	150	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	298	239	56	14	1	8	46	63	11	1	2	.234	.382	.402	.783	.167	.282	21	15	.357	131	+10	-1	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	91	84	16	2	0	3	5	14	2	0	0	.190	.253	.321	.574	.131	.194	15	5	.261	58	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Valdes (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	.222/.298/.365	.143	.277	4	2	25%	8%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→49	51→55	46→30	44	.235/.294/.394	.158	.299	20	3	28%	7%	92	+1.2	.230/.285/.371	.141	.296	16	4	27%	6%	82	+0.5	.223/.277/.353	.130	.278	13	2	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	49→55	48→50	41	.249/.294/.410	.161	.317	15	11	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.216/.273/.335	.119	.294	12	5	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	48→45	49	.235/.302/.377	.142	.276	17	5	22%	8%	91	+1.1	.243/.304/.377	.134	.309	15	6	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.231/.290/.354	.123	.297	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	48→55	51→55	42	.229/.284/.378	.149	.296	15	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	.203/.272/.331	.128	.300	12	18	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.201/.259/.337	.136	.285	17	26	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	46	.231/.290/.377	.146	.281	15	12	23%	7%	86	+0.8	.226/.270/.358	.132	.293	14	12	27%	5%	72	-0.2	.208/.248/.323	.114	.277	14	12	30%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	42	50	43→40	43	.209/.295/.363	.155	.298	17	4	34%	8%	86	+0.8	.225/.297/.384	.159	.313	17	4	32%	7%	92	+1.2	.221/.291/.378	.157	.312	18	2	33%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	43	49→50	47→40	43	.226/.276/.366	.140	.270	19	6	24%	6%	78	+0.2	.237/.286/.365	.128	.284	14	4	21%	6%	81	+0.4	.242/.292/.374	.132	.284	14	1	20%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Vinny Capra 2023 · AAA	27	51→48	48→45	50	46	.253/.313/.394	.142	.319	15	10	25%	7%	100	+1.7	.234/.299/.336	.102	.294	9	11	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.218/.286/.304	.086	.277	7	11	22%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Humberto Sosa 2013 · AAA	27	46→50	49→50	46→45	46	.234/.288/.381	.146	.274	18	8	22%	7%	86	+0.8	.228/.271/.357	.129	.274	15	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.219/.271/.353	.134	.268	17	2	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Levi Jordan 2023 · AAA	27	47→56	48→45	48→50	42	.237/.289/.382	.145	.296	16	10	25%	6%	87	+0.8	.234/.297/.355	.121	.293	12	15	23%	6%	83	+0.6	.227/.293/.333	.106	.281	9	18	22%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Deibinson Romero 2014 · AAA	27	44→46	50	48→40	46	.228/.293/.380	.151	.275	19	4	24%	7%	89	+0.9	.226/.295/.363	.137	.273	14	4	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.228/.297/.358	.130	.254	15	1	17%	8%	84	+0.2
✕Zelous Wheeler 2014 · AAA	27	49→52	47→50	49→45	47	.243/.304/.379	.136	.286	14	7	20%	7%	92	+1.2	.241/.296/.370	.129	.292	13	6	21%	6%	86	+0.8	.241/.295/.369	.128	.292	13	1	22%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2013 · MLB	27	52→58	46→50	46→50	43	.257/.301/.389	.133	.310	13	7	22%	6%	93	+1.3	.241/.289/.355	.114	.306	11	6	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.276/.324	.098	.285	9	5	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Stevie Berman 2021 · AA	26	48	47→50	50→40	49	.238/.311/.376	.137	.298	15	8	25%	8%	95	+1.4	.203/.287/.316	.113	.262	11	5	26%	9%	70	-0.3	.179/.277/.286	.107	.229	12	1	26%	10%	57	-0.4
✕Jordan Czarniecki 2008 · AA	27	49→50	47→50	50	48	.242/.305/.381	.139	.291	14	15	22%	7%	93	+1.3	.238/.300/.368	.130	.284	12	13	20%	7%	88	+0.9	.240/.303/.367	.127	.282	10	11	18%	7%	85	+0.5
●Jamie Westbrook 2022 · AAA	27	47→52	49→55	47→45	46	.240/.297/.386	.147	.272	18	5	20%	6%	92	+1.2	.239/.308/.376	.137	.277	16	5	19%	7%	94	+1.3	.245/.316/.386	.141	.288	15	4	20%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	43→42	50	44→40	52	.213/.308/.370	.157	.298	17	4	32%	12%	92	+1.2	.201/.288/.349	.148	.295	16	6	35%	11%	79	+0.3	.187/.275/.334	.146	.279	17	5	37%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Salomon Manriquez 2010 · AA	27	47→48	47→50	44→30	43	.238/.286/.368	.130	.287	15	5	23%	5%	82	+0.5	.235/.272/.348	.113	.290	11	5	22%	4%	70	-0.3	.237/.270/.339	.102	.277	10	2	18%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Jake Smolinski 2016 · MLB	27	46→49	49→55	47→45	48	.234/.299/.388	.154	.272	17	8	21%	7%	92	+1.2	.230/.291/.374	.144	.264	16	8	20%	6%	86	+0.8	.220/.285/.368	.148	.257	17	10	21%	6%	79	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)