Javier Valdes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 319 | .254/.381/.447 | 13 | 1 | 92 | — | .219/.318/.388 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAMississippi B… | 298 | .234/.382/.402 | 8 | 1 | 94 | — | .209/.324/.364 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAMississippi B… | 91 | .190/.253/.321 | 3 | 0 | 36 | — | .174/.220/.302 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 73 | 57 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 268 | 123 | 390 | 35 | 114 | 18 | 15 | 208 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 19 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 368 | 312 | 681 | 62 | 308 | 16 | 11 | 323 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 76 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 371 | 329 | 700 | 66 | 339 | 22 | 9 | 318 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 167 | 62 | 229 | 100 | 37 | 11 | 121 | -61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 98 | 78 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 388 | 372 | 760 | 141 | 291 | 21 | 17 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 221 | 186 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 377 | 478 | 856 | 215 | 266 | 15 | 10 | 381 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 298 | 239 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 382 | 402 | 783 | 167 | 282 | 21 | 15 | 357 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 253 | 321 | 574 | 131 | 194 | 15 | 5 | 261 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 73 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 197 | 82 | 279 | 16 | 87 | 26 | 10 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 294 | 610 | 59 | 274 | 21 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 92 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 315 | 269 | 584 | 51 | 291 | 30 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 111 | 59 | 170 | 75 | 53 | 5 | 78 | -61 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 98 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 327 | 337 | 664 | 133 | 270 | 27 | 12 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 221 | 195 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 314 | 410 | 724 | 185 | 231 | 20 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 298 | 253 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 324 | 364 | 688 | 154 | 255 | 25 | 11 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 220 | 302 | 522 | 128 | 184 | 19 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 73 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 197 | 82 | 279 | 16 | 95 | 26 | 10 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 73 | 57 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 268 | 123 | 390 | 35 | 114 | 18 | 15 | 208 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 130 | 112 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 278 | 232 | 510 | 45 | 284 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 130 | 108 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 231 | 341 | 287 | 628 | 56 | 305 | 23 | 9 | 290 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 278 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 314 | 381 | 696 | 165 | 244 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 319 | 264 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 381 | 447 | 827 | 193 | 273 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 298 | 253 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 324 | 364 | 688 | 154 | 260 | 25 | 11 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 298 | 239 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 382 | 402 | 783 | 167 | 282 | 21 | 15 | 357 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 220 | 302 | 522 | 128 | 182 | 19 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 253 | 321 | 574 | 131 | 194 | 15 | 5 | 261 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 73 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 63 | 197 | 79 | 277 | 16 | 87 | 26 | 10 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 130 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 183 | 278 | 226 | 504 | 43 | 257 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 319 | 276 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 314 | 384 | 699 | 167 | 243 | 22 | 8 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 298 | 253 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 324 | 364 | 688 | 154 | 255 | 25 | 11 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 220 | 302 | 522 | 128 | 184 | 19 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 91 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 220 | 302 | 522 | 128 | 184 | 19 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 911 | 790 | 153 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 74 | 222 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 194 | 294 | 323 | 617 | 129 | 236 | 24 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -32 | +0 | +0 | +16 | +20 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 564 | 109 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 158 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 193 | 293 | 319 | 613 | 126 | 235 | 24 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAMississippi Braves · 91 PAwOBA .254 → .222 (−31)K% 15.4% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷1.025 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.71% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 14.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.899 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 2.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.880 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.906 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 99, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .254 → .222; ISO .131 → .117; BABIP .194 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMississippi Braves · 298 PAwOBA .349 → .307 (−42)K% 21.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷1.034 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.10% | ÷0.943 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.69% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 3.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 16.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.95% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 7.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.793 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.57% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .349 → .307; ISO .167 → .168; BABIP .282 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Rome Braves · 221 PAwOBA .372 → .308 (−64)K% 14.9% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.93% | ÷0.970 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷1.052 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 4.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.26% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 3.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.928 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 6.74% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .372 → .308; ISO .215 → .198; BABIP .266 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMississippi Braves · 98 PAwOBA .345 → .292 (−52)K% 21.4% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.35% | ÷0.985 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 12.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.06% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.927 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .345 → .292; ISO .141 → .130; BABIP .291 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAugusta GreenJackets · 92 PAwOBA .321 → .257 (−64)K% 21.7% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.74% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 4.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.192 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 94, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .321 → .257; ISO .066 → .053; BABIP .339 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Rome Braves · 19 PAwOBA .315 → .257 (−58)K% 15.8% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 4.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 20.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.982 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.864 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .315 → .257; ISO .062 → .051; BABIP .308 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Braves · 19 PAwOBA .126 → .078 (−48)K% 36.8% → 52.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷1.018 | ×1.440 | — | — | 52.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.019 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.035 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 8.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 107, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .126 → .078; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .100 → .075. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Braves · 73 PAwOBA .204 → .140 (−64)K% 17.8% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.11% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 5.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .204 → .140; ISO .035 → .026; BABIP .114 → .087. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).