Javier Valdes — OGILVIE

Javier ValdesC Mississippi Braves

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .297 / .366

PA136

HR4

K%25

BB%8

ISO144

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	—	73	61	4	1	0	0	7	19	3	1	0	66	197	82	279	16	95	26	10	142	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	—	73	57	5	2	0	0	11	13	3	1	0	88	268	123	390	35	114	18	15	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	3 teams	—	130	112	21	5	0	0	8	43	6	3	0	188	278	232	510	45	288	33	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	3 teams	—	130	108	25	6	0	0	12	30	6	3	0	231	341	287	628	56	305	23	9	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	319	277	64	8	1	13	25	74	16	1	0	231	330	408	738	177	267	23	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	319	264	67	10	1	13	38	54	16	1	0	254	381	447	827	193	273	17	12	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	298	250	56	12	1	13	35	76	11	1	2	224	345	436	781	212	264	26	12	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	298	239	56	14	1	8	46	63	11	1	2	234	382	402	783	167	282	21	15	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	91	86	15	2	0	3	3	17	2	0	0	174	220	302	522	128	182	19	3	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	91	84	16	2	0	3	5	14	2	0	0	190	253	321	574	131	194	15	5	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	ATL	—	136	122	28	5	1	4	11	33	2	2	1	230	304	385	689	156	277	24	8	299	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	ATL	33%	207	185	42	8	1	6	17	51	3	3	1	227	302	378	681	151	278	25	8	301	88	-3	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.6
2028	29	MLB	ATL	46%	262	235	53	10	1	7	21	64	4	4	1	226	300	366	666	140	278	24	8	301	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.8
2029	30	MLB	ATL	54%	300	268	61	12	1	8	25	74	4	4	1	228	303	369	672	142	278	25	8	299	87	-4	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.8
2030	31	MLB	ATL	58%	294	264	59	11	1	8	24	73	4	3	1	223	298	364	662	140	276	25	8	295	84	-5	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.6
2031	32	MLB	ATL	61%	277	248	54	10	1	7	23	70	4	3	1	218	295	351	645	133	272	25	8	290	80	-6	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.3
2032	33	MLB	ATL	62%	248	223	48	9	1	6	20	64	3	2	1	215	289	345	634	130	268	26	8	283	75	-7	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.0
2033	34	MLB	ATL	58%	206	184	39	7	1	5	17	55	3	1	0	212	289	342	632	130	262	27	8	274	68	-7	+0	-5	+4	+6	-0.3
2027	28	MLB	ATL	33%	69	62	14	3	0	2	6	17	1	1	0	226	304	371	675	145	278	25	9	290	80	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	29	MLB	ATL	46%	121	108	25	5	1	3	10	30	2	2	1	231	308	380	688	148	278	25	8	290	80	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	30	MLB	ATL	54%	161	145	32	6	1	4	13	40	2	2	1	221	294	359	652	138	278	25	8	288	79	-4	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2030	31	MLB	ATL	58%	171	153	34	7	1	4	14	43	2	2	1	222	296	359	655	137	276	25	8	285	76	-5	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.2
2031	32	MLB	ATL	61%	168	150	33	6	1	4	14	43	2	2	0	220	295	353	649	133	272	26	8	280	72	-5	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2032	33	MLB	ATL	62%	154	138	30	5	1	4	13	40	2	1	0	217	294	355	649	138	268	26	8	273	67	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
2033	34	MLB	ATL	58%	119	106	22	4	0	3	10	32	2	1	0	208	288	330	618	123	262	27	8	264	61	-5	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	963	862	190	36	5	24	80	245	13	11	3	220	296	357	654	137	277	25	8	281	73	-29	+1	-11	+17	+27	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	127	24	3	16	54	165	9	7	2	218	295	352	647	134	274	25	8	281	73	-20	+1	-8	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2841	2515	544	100	10	80	236	713	65	28	9	216	300	359	660	143	267	25	8	292	82	-59	+2	-20	+51	+80	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	23	2	18	54	163	15	6	2	216	300	357	656	141	266	25	8	292	82	-14	+0	-4	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	GCL Braves	—	73	57	5	2	0	0	11	13	3	1	0	88	268	123	390	35	114	18	15	208	17	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	A+	Rome Braves	—	19	16	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	250	368	312	681	62	308	16	11	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	92	76	20	5	0	0	8	20	5	3	0	263	371	329	700	66	339	22	9	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	22	ROK	FCL Braves	—	19	16	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	62	167	62	229		100	37	11	121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	98	78	18	3	1	2	17	21	3	1	0	231	388	372	760	141	291	21	17	353	128	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	23	A+	Rome Braves	—	221	186	49	7	0	11	21	33	13	0	0	263	377	478	856	215	266	15	10	381	150	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	298	239	56	14	1	8	46	63	11	1	2	234	382	402	783	167	282	21	15	357	131	+10	-1	—	—	+8	1.9
2024	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	91	84	16	2	0	3	5	14	2	0	0	190	253	321	574	131	194	15	5	261	58	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	967	24	10	220	292	355	+17	+16	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	7	220	292	355	+11.9	+11.0	1.5	pk7: 2
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Valdes (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	223/297/366	143	277	4	2	25%	8%	87	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	48→55	48→50	42	249/296/406	157	318	14	11	26%	6%	95	+1.4	208/266/322	114	288	12	5	30%	7%	62	-0.9	184/244/291	107	269	11	4	34%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	46→30	44	238/295/399	161	303	20	3	28%	7%	94	+1.3	232/286/372	140	298	15	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/289/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	86	+0.8	225/268/357	132	293	15	12	27%	5%	71	-0.3	205/244/322	117	273	14	12	30%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Andrew Knizner 2021 · MLB	26	48	47→50	49→40	45	239/293/369	130	274	15	7	19%	5%	85	+0.7	217/293/329	112	267	11	5	22%	8%	76	+0.0	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕J.R. Towles 2010 · MLB	26	44→53	47→50	45→50	47	222/301/361	139	260	15	9	21%	7%	88	+0.9	211/291/332	121	248	11	8	19%	7%	76	+0.0	199/280/301	102	229	8	5	16%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Stevie Berman 2021 · AA	26	48	47→50	50→40	47	237/306/373	137	303	15	8	26%	8%	92	+1.2	204/289/319	115	263	12	5	25%	9%	72	-0.2	183/280/293	110	233	13	1	26%	10%	60	-0.3
✕Michael McKenry 2013 · MLB	28	44→47	50→55	43→40	47	225/294/378	153	281	17	3	26%	8%	88	+0.9	236/310/392	156	288	18	6	23%	9%	98	+1.6	228/310/373	145	276	16	5	23%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Donny Sands 2023 · AAA	27	49	47→45	46→40	48	246/303/378	132	291	16	5	21%	7%	92	+1.2	216/276/320	104	284	10	5	26%	7%	65	-0.7	196/262/294	98	257	9	1	26%	8%	51	-1.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	48→47	46→60	47→45	45	239/287/366	127	278	14	6	20%	6%	82	+0.5	215/260/389	174	234	23	4	20%	4%	77	+0.1	218/290/403	184	239	24	0	21%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Chuckie Robinson 2022 · AA	27	42→52	46→45	46→45	43	212/280/334	122	279	15	8	29%	7%	72	-0.2	228/277/348	120	291	14	7	26%	5%	72	-0.2	231/279/329	98	306	11	4	27%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Vinny Capra 2023 · AAA	27	52→50	48→45	50	46	256/317/398	141	320	16	10	24%	7%	102	+1.9	235/299/336	101	296	9	11	22%	8%	79	+0.3	223/289/309	86	283	7	11	23%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Connor Wong 2023 · MLB	27	43→53	50→55	48→50	40	226/272/373	147	286	19	11	28%	5%	78	+0.2	235/289/371	136	309	14	11	28%	6%	84	+0.6	247/314/357	109	313	10	10	23%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Humberto Sosa 2013 · AAA	27	45→49	50	46→45	45	235/286/385	150	275	19	9	23%	6%	86	+0.8	230/272/361	131	274	16	6	22%	5%	74	-0.1	225/277/382	157	272	22	2	26%	6%	81	+0.1
✕Levi Jordan 2023 · AAA	27	48→56	48→45	48→50	42	241/292/385	144	298	16	10	25%	6%	89	+0.9	235/297/354	119	294	11	15	23%	6%	83	+0.6	226/291/333	107	280	9	18	22%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	44→45	51→55	48→50	53	223/318/386	163	288	18	7	28%	11%	101	+1.8	199/286/319	120	299	12	11	35%	9%	70	-0.3	180/265/284	104	278	11	12	36%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Nick Hundley 2010 · MLB	26	42→46	51→55	48→40	46	222/280/383	161	266	19	5	25%	7%	84	+0.6	240/302/397	157	301	16	4	24%	8%	96	+1.5	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5