Tim Tawa2B Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.651 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 124 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 7978vR 78
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .299 / .421
PA124
HR5
K%24
BB%9
BABIP258
ISO197
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +8.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.20.60.40.20.00.0+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT35
Whiff%
5910.0%
xwOBA
350.291
POWER50
Barrel%
518.4
Avg EV
4388.6
Bat Spd
7674.1
EYE50
Chase%
9022.5%
SPEED55
Sprint
5027.5
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 249 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
82
167
wRC+
70
58
◀◀L
wOBA
277
261
L
ISO
080
159
▶▶R
BABIP
346
187
◀◀L
K%
29.3%
26.3%
R
BB%
6.1%
10.2%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.651 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+0.2$1.0M+$0.6M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$2M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.7M
2029Arb-1$0.4M+0.2$0.6M+$0.3M
2030Arb-2$0.4M
2031Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $2M $3M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 AVisalia Rawhide 164147 30624 15501 130 204282354636 150277 309 282 74
202122 AVisalia Rawhide 164140 37925 22361 130 264368464832 200320 2213 368 139
202223 A+2 teams 493451 9311113 361194 116 206271322592 115249 247 262 58
202223 A+2 teams 493431 10315113 56934 116 239332369701 130275 1911 318 102
202324 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 497444 801718 451552 117 180259277536 97251 319 241 43
202324 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 497434 11121122 551212 117 256342461803 205300 2411 352 127
202425 AA2 teams 613567 12928319 351648 146 228282388670 160284 276 289 79
202425 AA2 teams 613549 15333331 531288 146 279351519870 240310 219 379 148
202526 MLB2 teams 303265 5211110 28803 102 196280358639 162233 269 280 72 -9 +1 -0 +1 +9 0.1
202526 MLB2 teams 303262 5513110 31773 102 210301382682 172250 2510 300 88 -4 +1 -0 +1 +9 0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 MLBARI 187163 391029 17391 44 239315491806 252256 219 331 111 +2 -1 -1 -2 +5 0.4
YTD27 MLBARI 187159 4211210 21351 44 264354547901 283276 1911 378 148 +10 -1 -1 -2 +5 1.2
ROS27 MLBARI 100% 124111 25515 11301 31 224299421720 197258 249 310 96 -1 +0 -0 -1 +4 0.2
ROS27 MLBARI 100% 125112 26615 11301 31 232306438744 205261 249 308 93 -1 +0 -0 -1 +4 0.1
FULL27 MLBARI 312275 6516314 28692 75 236311469781 233262 229 321 104 +1 -1 -1 -3 +9 0.5
TOT27 MLBARI 311274 6415314 28692 75 233309462771 229257 229 323 105 +2 -1 -1 -3 +9 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBARI 82% 660593 13028424 571605 157 219293401694 182255 249 306 93 -6 +0 -1 -7 +19 0.5
202829 MLBARI 82% 660592 12728323 581615 146 215290389679 174254 249 304 91 -7 +0 -2 -7 +19 0.4
202930 MLBARI 82% 657589 12728323 581625 136 216291390682 175253 259 302 89 -8 +0 -2 -7 +19 0.1
203031 MLBARI 82% 644578 12227322 561615 115 211286382669 171251 259 298 86 -10 +0 -3 -7 +18 -0.2
203132 MLBARI 82% 631566 11725321 551605 94 207283373656 166247 259 292 82 -13 +0 -4 -7 +18 -0.6
203233 MLBARI 82% 545489 9821217 471414 63 200276356632 155242 269 285 76 -15 +0 -4 -6 +15 -1.0
202728 MLBARI 82% 541485 10824320 471314 126 223297408705 186258 249 303 90 -6 +0 -1 -6 +15 0.3
202829 MLBARI 82% 541485 10723320 471324 125 221295404699 184257 249 301 89 -7 +0 -1 -6 +15 0.2
202930 MLBARI 82% 539483 10523319 471334 105 217292395688 178255 259 299 87 -8 +0 -2 -6 +15 -0.0
203031 MLBARI 82% 528473 10022218 461324 94 211287381667 169253 259 295 84 -10 +0 -2 -6 +15 -0.3
203132 MLBARI 82% 517463 9621217 451314 73 207283371655 164249 259 289 79 -12 +0 -3 -6 +15 -0.6
203233 MLBARI 82% 447402 8217215 391163 52 204279368647 164245 269 282 74 -13 +0 -4 -5 +13 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career 34633102 66414416121 30286925 6628 214289388677 174255 259 295 84 -64 +2 -13 -34 +98 -1.1
/ 162G 650582 12527323 571635 125 215290390680 175255 259 295 84 -12 +0 -3 -6 +18 -0.2
Career 59915392 113023527189 501154348 13053 210283368651 159255 268 288 79 -143 +5 -16 -60 +170 -4.6
/ 162G 650585 12325321 541675 146 210283371654 161254 268 288 79 -16 +0 -2 -6 +18 -0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 AVisalia Rawhide 164140 37925 22361 130 264368464832 200320 2213 368 139 +7 +3 +5 1.5
202223 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 246218 43705 25572 32 197286298584 101242 2310 270 65 -10 -0 +7 -0.3
202223 A+Hillsboro Hops 247213 60818 31362 84 282378441819 160306 1513 367 139 +11 +0 +7 1.8
202324 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 497434 11121122 551212 117 256342461803 205300 2411 352 127 +15 -1 +14 2.9
202425 AAAReno Aces 157138 4211110 13324 30 304381616997 312327 208 425 183 +15 +1 +4 2.0
202425 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 456411 11122221 40964 116 270341487827 217305 219 363 136 +19 -0 +13 3.2
202526 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 225199 40807 20641 82 201277347624 146252 289 276 70 -8 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.0
202526 AAAReno Aces 7863 15513 11132 20 238368492860 254245 1714 370 141 +4 +0 +2 0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 225199 40807 20641 82 201277347624 146252 289 276 70 -8 +1 -0 +1 +6 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA
103,52711310226311395+13+110.511.2
/162664212+2.4+0.12.0pk7: 12
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA
112,8717942226302380+10+168.18.5
/1626641810+2.3+3.71.9pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,63712370212285382+6-74.34.5
/1626642213+1.0-1.40.8pk7: 5
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tim Tawa (OGILVIE) 27 35 50 55 50 233/309/462 229257 147 22% 9% 105 +0.6
Rylan Bannon
2023 · MLB
27 37→42 49→50 52→50 48 196/278/340 144250 1812 29% 9% 72 -0.2 207/297/365 158271 1913 29% 11% 87 +0.8 195/295/355161251201230%12%82+0.4
Zack Short
2022 · MLB
27 36→38 50 47→45 50 192/289/343 151253 197 31% 10% 79 +0.3 193/288/320 127267 1410 30% 11% 72 -0.2 180/282/293113252121131%12%61-0.6
Drew Ellis
2023 · MLB
27 39→37 52→55 46→40 48 203/292/382 179269 186 31% 10% 89 +1.0 195/284/360 165248 206 29% 10% 81 +0.4 169/268/32715820123329%11%62-0.4
Scott Kingery
2021 · MLB
27 45→51 50→55 51→55 43 229/285/393 164294 1713 28% 7% 89 +0.9 197/266/322 125295 1218 35% 8% 62 -0.9 198/239/341143265191733%5%52-0.8
Clint Frazier
2022 · MLB
27 44→45 51→55 48→50 53 223/318/386 163288 187 28% 11% 101 +1.8 199/286/319 120299 1211 35% 9% 70 -0.3 180/265/284104278111236%9%50-1.0
Sean Bouchard
2023 · MLB
27 43→41 54→55 52→50 50 221/307/408 188288 2113 30% 10% 102 +1.8 208/299/363 155294 1715 32% 10% 87 +0.8 177/275/304127268131636%10%59-0.5
Nick Dini
2021 · MLB
28 41 51→50 49→50 42 220/270/377 157256 2012 24% 5% 79 +0.3 219/286/373 154263 209 24% 7% 84 +0.6 177/272/31313621319827%9%61-0.4
Jayson Nix
2011 · MLB
28 43→49 54→55 46→55 46 230/296/403 173266 2210 23% 7% 96 +1.5 216/281/350 134275 1413 26% 7% 76 +0.0 207/276/316109275101827%7%61-0.5
Tim Olson
2006 · MLB
27 46 48→50 45→50 45 232/289/379 147283 1512 24% 7% 86 +0.8 225/268/357 132293 1512 27% 5% 71 -0.3 205/244/322117273141230%5%50-0.7
Kevin Padlo
2023 · MLB
27 37→40 50→55 52→50 39 199/251/350 152268 1913 33% 6% 63 -0.8 192/271/329 137269 1513 32% 9% 66 -0.6 170/265/300130236141333%11%56-0.8
Andrew Knizner
2022 · MLB
27 43 43→50 48→40 50 212/293/324 112254 116 21% 8% 75 -0.0 218/287/334 116270 134 23% 7% 74 -0.1 218/299/36114225717222%7%83+0.2
Pedro Severino
2020 · MLB
27 43→48 47→50 46→45 47 222/284/353 131259 165 22% 7% 78 +0.2 240/304/379 139298 165 24% 8% 92 +1.2 246/308/37713131415325%8%90+0.5
Luis Torrens
2023 · MLB
27 46→47 52→55 46→30 44 238/295/399 161303 203 28% 7% 94 +1.3 232/286/372 140298 154 26% 6% 83 +0.6 227/280/35512828413224%6%75+0.0
Stuart Fairchild
2022 · MLB
26 44→42 51→50 51→55 46 225/296/386 161279 1812 26% 8% 91 +1.1 222/301/376 154297 1717 30% 7% 92 +1.2 220/316/365145284152626%9%92+0.7
Hiram Bocachica
2004 · MLB
28 42 51→55 46→55 44 222/272/382 160262 1911 24% 6% 79 +0.3 239/309/404 165293 2017 25% 8% 102 +1.8 242/329/420178271222219%9%111+1.2
Jake Rogers
2021 · MLB
26 38→40 52→60 49→45 43 202/278/367 165273 215 33% 8% 79 +0.3 237/301/444 207322 277 33% 8% 108 +2.3 221/284/43521428029232%7%97+0.7
Nick Hundley
2010 · MLB
26 42→46 51→55 48→40 46 222/280/383 161266 195 25% 7% 84 +0.6 240/302/397 157301 164 24% 8% 96 +1.5 241/291/40916829818125%6%89+0.5
John Mayberry Jr.
2011 · MLB
27 44→48 49→55 52→50 40 228/274/377 150282 1814 26% 5% 79 +0.3 241/293/405 164288 1910 23% 6% 95 +1.4 238/296/40816928020722%7%93+0.9
Isan Díaz
2023 · MLB
27 41→42 53→55 46→45 47 217/298/391 173286 228 31% 10% 93 +1.3 214/285/396 182277 269 32% 8% 89 +1.0 178/253/34717020329630%9%62-0.3
Joe Mather
2010 · MLB
28 40→46 55→60 50 46 217/281/398 182237 2312 21% 6% 89 +0.9 216/270/334 118274 1110 24% 6% 66 -0.6 204/259/30810426010825%7%51-0.7