Ramon Soto
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 25 | AAADelfines de C… | 94 | .215/.308/.241 | 0 | 1 | 51 | — | .229/.297/.253 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAADelfines de C… | 141 | .320/.381/.402 | 0 | 2 | 99 | — | .312/.358/.384 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAADelfines de C… | 29 | .320/.414/.320 | 0 | 0 | 70 | — | .259/.310/.259 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 103 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 293 | 250 | 543 | 45 | 250 | 19 | 10 | 248 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 78 | 73 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 333 | 288 | 621 | 344 | 15 | 5 | 289 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 314 | 272 | 73 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 268 | 332 | 316 | 648 | 48 | 309 | 13 | 7 | 284 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 235 | 206 | 442 | 32 | 196 | 11 | 5 | 192 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 296 | 254 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 307 | 374 | 378 | 752 | 71 | 368 | 15 | 8 | 326 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 94 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 308 | 241 | 548 | 25 | 254 | 13 | 10 | 254 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 141 | 122 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 381 | 402 | 782 | 82 | 390 | 17 | 7 | 337 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 320 | 734 | 421 | 21 | 14 | 346 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 19 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 103 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 253 | 525 | 44 | 251 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 78 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 270 | 308 | 270 | 578 | 340 | 18 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 314 | 279 | 78 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 280 | 326 | 326 | 652 | 47 | 314 | 17 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 219 | 454 | 31 | 195 | 14 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 296 | 261 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 310 | 359 | 375 | 735 | 65 | 356 | 18 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 94 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 297 | 253 | 550 | 24 | 257 | 14 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 141 | 125 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 312 | 358 | 384 | 742 | 72 | 368 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 259 | 570 | 355 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 103 | 91 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 253 | 525 | 44 | 269 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 19 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 103 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 293 | 250 | 543 | 45 | 250 | 19 | 10 | 248 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 78 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 270 | 308 | 270 | 578 | 333 | 18 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA RAW | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 78 | 73 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 333 | 288 | 621 | 344 | 15 | 5 | 289 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 314 | 279 | 78 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 280 | 326 | 326 | 652 | 47 | 338 | 17 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA RAW | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 314 | 272 | 73 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 268 | 332 | 316 | 648 | 48 | 309 | 13 | 7 | 284 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 219 | 454 | 31 | 218 | 14 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 235 | 206 | 442 | 32 | 196 | 11 | 5 | 192 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 296 | 261 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 310 | 359 | 375 | 735 | 65 | 383 | 18 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 296 | 254 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 307 | 374 | 378 | 752 | 71 | 368 | 15 | 8 | 326 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 94 | 83 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 297 | 253 | 550 | 24 | 271 | 14 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 94 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 308 | 241 | 548 | 25 | 254 | 13 | 10 | 254 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 141 | 125 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 312 | 358 | 384 | 742 | 72 | 394 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 141 | 122 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 381 | 402 | 782 | 82 | 390 | 17 | 7 | 337 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 259 | 570 | 350 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 320 | 734 | 421 | 21 | 14 | 346 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2007 | 19 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 103 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 273 | 245 | 517 | 43 | 251 | 23 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 78 | 74 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 270 | 308 | 270 | 578 | 340 | 18 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 22 | AAA MLE | Tecolotes de Nuevo Laredo | — | 314 | 292 | 78 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 267 | 326 | 312 | 637 | 45 | 314 | 17 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 74 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 235 | 200 | 435 | 29 | 195 | 14 | 4 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 296 | 274 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 296 | 359 | 358 | 717 | 62 | 356 | 18 | 6 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 94 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 297 | 244 | 541 | 23 | 257 | 14 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 141 | 131 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 298 | 358 | 366 | 725 | 69 | 368 | 20 | 5 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 29 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 259 | 570 | 355 | 24 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1129 | 1004 | 275 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 200 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 274 | 324 | 321 | 644 | 47 | 337 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 159 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 115 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 275 | 325 | 325 | 651 | 50 | 338 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 29 PAwOBA .338 → .271 (−67)K% 20.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.69% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.102 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.11% | ÷1.095 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 35.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 119, 2B 87, 3B 81, K 110, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .338 → .271; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .421 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 141 PAwOBA .333 → .315 (−18)K% 17.0% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.09% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.59% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 28.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.20% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 8.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .333 → .315; ISO .082 → .074; BABIP .390 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 94 PAwOBA .248 → .244 (−4)K% 12.8% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.102 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.57% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 23.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 90, K 120, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .248 → .244; ISO .025 → .024; BABIP .254 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 296 PAwOBA .318 → .308 (−11)K% 15.2% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.20% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.14% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 29.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.073 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.889 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 100, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .318 → .308; ISO .071 → .065; BABIP .368 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 74 PAwOBA .190 → .190 (0)K% 10.8% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.974 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.36% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 16.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.828 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 108, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .190 → .190; ISO .032 → .032; BABIP .196 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAATecolotes de Nuevo Laredo · 314 PAwOBA .279 → .275 (−5)K% 12.7% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.74% | ÷0.914 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.72% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 27.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.31% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.887 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .279 → .275; ISO .048 → .046; BABIP .309 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAATecolotes de Nuevo Laredo · 78 PAwOBA .282 → .264 (−18)K% 15.4% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 33.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .282 → .264; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .344 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 103 PAwOBA .245 → .228 (−16)K% 19.4% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 23.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 1.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .245 → .228; ISO .045 → .037; BABIP .250 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).