Jose Cordova
C Albuquerque Isotopes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 374 | .283/.354/.392 | 3 | 14 | 73 | — | .243/.296/.329 |
| 2025 | 25 | AACOL | 330 | .243/.354/.366 | 6 | 5 | 79 | — | .227/.314/.323 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAACOL | 198 | .278/.330/.389 | 2 | 5 | 79 | — | .262/.304/.350 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 13 | .237/.301/.339 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 52 | .236/.300/.339 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 173 | 155 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 290 | 345 | 381 | 726 | 90 | 324 | 12 | 5 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 164 | 135 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 341 | 429 | 422 | 852 | 81 | 398 | 16 | 7 | 371 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 40 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 405 | 450 | 541 | 991 | 135 | 517 | 20 | 5 | 439 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 163 | 397 | 212 | 21 | 4 | 196 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 318 | 211 | 529 | 308 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 400 | 713 | 133 | 444 | 38 | 6 | 317 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 71 | 333 | 13 | 7 | 313 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 321 | 280 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 65 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 286 | 360 | 400 | 760 | 114 | 358 | 20 | 9 | 335 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 53 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 265 | 321 | 347 | 668 | 82 | 382 | 28 | 4 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 276 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 65 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 243 | 354 | 366 | 720 | 123 | 296 | 20 | 14 | 327 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 180 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 278 | 330 | 389 | 719 | 111 | 331 | 18 | 6 | 317 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 173 | 158 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 250 | 247 | 497 | 44 | 223 | 15 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 164 | 139 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 327 | 309 | 636 | 65 | 264 | 20 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 40 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 325 | 395 | 720 | 105 | 391 | 30 | 2 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 170 | 114 | 284 | 164 | 32 | 2 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 318 | 211 | 529 | 288 | 32 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 16 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 200 | 388 | 67 | 378 | 50 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 267 | 286 | 552 | 71 | 260 | 20 | 7 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 321 | 292 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 88 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 243 | 296 | 329 | 625 | 86 | 323 | 27 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 291 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 227 | 314 | 323 | 637 | 96 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 183 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 262 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 87 | 319 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 173 | 158 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 250 | 247 | 497 | 44 | 237 | 15 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 173 | 155 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 290 | 345 | 381 | 726 | 90 | 324 | 12 | 5 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 164 | 139 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 245 | 327 | 309 | 636 | 65 | 297 | 20 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 164 | 135 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 341 | 429 | 422 | 852 | 81 | 398 | 16 | 7 | 371 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 40 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 325 | 395 | 720 | 105 | 423 | 30 | 2 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 40 | 37 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 405 | 450 | 541 | 991 | 135 | 517 | 20 | 5 | 439 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 170 | 114 | 284 | 172 | 32 | 2 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 163 | 397 | 212 | 21 | 4 | 196 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 53 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 245 | 224 | 470 | 41 | 290 | 34 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 321 | 312 | 633 | 62 | 353 | 26 | 6 | 294 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 340 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 102 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 244 | 300 | 332 | 632 | 88 | 336 | 27 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 374 | 329 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 80 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 283 | 354 | 392 | 746 | 109 | 361 | 21 | 9 | 331 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 291 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 227 | 314 | 323 | 637 | 96 | 295 | 24 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 276 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 65 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 243 | 354 | 366 | 720 | 123 | 296 | 20 | 14 | 327 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 183 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 262 | 304 | 350 | 654 | 87 | 331 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 180 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 278 | 330 | 389 | 719 | 111 | 331 | 18 | 6 | 317 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 173 | 161 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 199 | 250 | 242 | 492 | 43 | 223 | 15 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 164 | 146 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 233 | 327 | 295 | 621 | 62 | 264 | 20 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 40 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 325 | 395 | 720 | 105 | 391 | 30 | 2 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 47 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 170 | 114 | 284 | 164 | 32 | 2 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 53 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 245 | 224 | 470 | 41 | 307 | 34 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 344 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 102 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 241 | 300 | 328 | 628 | 87 | 323 | 27 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 290 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 228 | 314 | 324 | 638 | 97 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 185 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 259 | 304 | 346 | 650 | 86 | 319 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 374 | 344 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 102 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 241 | 300 | 328 | 628 | 87 | 323 | 27 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 330 | 290 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 228 | 314 | 324 | 638 | 97 | 293 | 24 | 10 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 198 | 185 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 259 | 304 | 346 | 650 | 86 | 319 | 21 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 10% | 248 | 226 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 227 | 291 | 318 | 609 | 92 | 288 | 23 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 10% | 13 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 301 | 339 | 639 | 102 | 300 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 31% | 169 | 153 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 291 | 318 | 609 | 92 | 287 | 23 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 31% | 52 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 300 | 339 | 639 | 102 | 299 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 73 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 52 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 308 | 340 | 648 | 106 | 294 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 137 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 150 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 233 | 306 | 337 | 643 | 104 | 293 | 23 | 8 | 288 | 66 | -21 | +2 | -3 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1679 | 1514 | 350 | 68 | 9 | 12 | 104 | 395 | 32 | 48 | 24 | 231 | 295 | 312 | 606 | 81 | 301 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 135 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 153 | 12 | 19 | 9 | 230 | 293 | 311 | 604 | 80 | 299 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 66 | -21 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 198 PAwOBA .311 → .285 (−27)K% 17.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .285; ISO .111 → .095; BABIP .331 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 330 PAwOBA .320 → .285 (−35)K% 19.7% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.70% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.940 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.80% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 21.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.913 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷1.255 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .285; ISO .123 → .099; BABIP .296 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Spokane Indians · 321 PAwOBA .330 → .271 (−59)K% 20.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.25% | ÷0.996 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.05% | ÷0.999 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.84% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.907 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.086 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 1.05% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 81, K 99, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .330 → .271; ISO .114 → .089; BABIP .358 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 22 PAwOBA .257 → .225 (−32)K% 27.3% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 9.09% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 7.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 28.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .257 → .225; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 16 PAwOBA .309 → .205 (−104)K% 37.5% → 51.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 51.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 17.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .205; ISO .133 → .085; BABIP .444 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 15 PAwOBA .305 → .219 (−86)K% 13.3% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 20.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .305 → .219; ISO .071 → .047; BABIP .333 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rockies · 47 PAwOBA .191 → .131 (−61)K% 21.3% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷0.981 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 2.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.035 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 16.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 96, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .191 → .131; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .212 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rockies · 40 PAwOBA .427 → .288 (−139)K% 20.0% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.93% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 29.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.009 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .427 → .288; ISO .135 → .083; BABIP .517 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .