Onil Perez
C Eugene Emeralds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+SF | 350 | .236/.340/.303 | 1 | 20 | 51 | — | .201/.282/.259 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 255 | .238/.368/.314 | 2 | 9 | 72 | — | .224/.325/.297 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+SF | 177 | .247/.316/.367 | 3 | 3 | 52 | — | .198/.253/.284 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSF | 1 | .219/.293/.299 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 50 | .222/.297/.313 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 100 | .224/.299/.322 | 1 | 2 | 80 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | — | 134 | 103 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 291 | 451 | 398 | 849 | 107 | 322 | 11 | 22 | 390 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 171 | 149 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 275 | 353 | 383 | 736 | 107 | 333 | 18 | 9 | 325 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 48 | 45 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 289 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 44 | 342 | 15 | 6 | 303 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 283 | 253 | 76 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 31 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 300 | 368 | 403 | 771 | 103 | 332 | 11 | 8 | 345 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 297 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 58 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 236 | 340 | 303 | 643 | 67 | 283 | 17 | 11 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 62 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 189 | 295 | 245 | 540 | 57 | 196 | 5 | 13 | 254 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 177 | 144 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 271 | 403 | 361 | 765 | 90 | 306 | 12 | 16 | 354 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 250 | 77 | 327 | 91 | 12 | 19 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 34 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 303 | 276 | 579 | 69 | 240 | 15 | 9 | 265 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 143 | 129 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 388 | 707 | 132 | 283 | 15 | 7 | 314 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 134 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 183 | 293 | 235 | 528 | 52 | 212 | 13 | 13 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 171 | 155 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 187 | 246 | 258 | 504 | 71 | 244 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 48 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 239 | 271 | 283 | 553 | 43 | 307 | 19 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 283 | 260 | 67 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 258 | 311 | 350 | 661 | 92 | 294 | 16 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 309 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 81 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 201 | 282 | 259 | 541 | 58 | 253 | 23 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 62 | 55 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 262 | 236 | 499 | 55 | 188 | 6 | 10 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 177 | 151 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 28 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 238 | 347 | 318 | 664 | 79 | 276 | 16 | 12 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 267 | 539 | 67 | 227 | 18 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 143 | 132 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 248 | 288 | 536 | 91 | 235 | 21 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 134 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 183 | 293 | 235 | 528 | 52 | 206 | 13 | 13 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Giants Black | — | 134 | 103 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 291 | 451 | 398 | 849 | 107 | 322 | 11 | 22 | 390 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 171 | 155 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 187 | 246 | 258 | 504 | 71 | 250 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Giants Black | — | 171 | 149 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 275 | 353 | 383 | 736 | 107 | 333 | 18 | 9 | 325 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 306 | 78 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 54 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 255 | 305 | 340 | 645 | 85 | 300 | 16 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 331 | 298 | 89 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 38 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 299 | 363 | 393 | 755 | 94 | 333 | 11 | 8 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 309 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 81 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 201 | 282 | 259 | 541 | 58 | 262 | 23 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 297 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 58 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 236 | 340 | 303 | 643 | 67 | 283 | 17 | 11 | 297 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 255 | 221 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 222 | 320 | 290 | 610 | 68 | 250 | 13 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 255 | 210 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 238 | 368 | 314 | 682 | 76 | 262 | 11 | 16 | 319 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 162 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 259 | 290 | 549 | 86 | 244 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 177 | 158 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 316 | 367 | 683 | 120 | 275 | 15 | 7 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants Black | — | 134 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 183 | 293 | 235 | 528 | 52 | 212 | 13 | 13 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 171 | 157 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 185 | 246 | 255 | 500 | 70 | 244 | 25 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 331 | 306 | 78 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 54 | 4 | 23 | 4 | 255 | 305 | 340 | 645 | 85 | 296 | 16 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 312 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 81 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 199 | 282 | 256 | 538 | 58 | 253 | 23 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 255 | 221 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 222 | 320 | 290 | 610 | 68 | 253 | 13 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 202 | 259 | 288 | 547 | 86 | 233 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 350 | 312 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 81 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 199 | 282 | 256 | 538 | 58 | 253 | 23 | 8 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 255 | 221 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 222 | 320 | 290 | 610 | 68 | 253 | 13 | 11 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 177 | 163 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 202 | 259 | 288 | 547 | 86 | 233 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 227 | 204 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 45 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 296 | 304 | 600 | 82 | 273 | 20 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 293 | 299 | 592 | 80 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 72 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 30% | 165 | 148 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 300 | 319 | 619 | 94 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 44% | 225 | 201 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 302 | 329 | 631 | 101 | 275 | 20 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 49% | 255 | 229 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 302 | 330 | 632 | 103 | 276 | 20 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 52% | 278 | 250 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 58 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 227 | 301 | 329 | 630 | 103 | 276 | 21 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 283 | 255 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 299 | 327 | 626 | 102 | 275 | 21 | 8 | 284 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 51% | 284 | 256 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 61 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 295 | 319 | 614 | 97 | 273 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 30% | 50 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 297 | 313 | 610 | 91 | 271 | 20 | 8 | 278 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 44% | 100 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 299 | 322 | 620 | 98 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 282 | 80 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 49% | 125 | 112 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 299 | 323 | 622 | 99 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 283 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 52% | 143 | 128 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 298 | 322 | 620 | 99 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 282 | 80 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 146 | 131 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 296 | 320 | 616 | 98 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 79 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 51% | 146 | 131 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 292 | 312 | 605 | 94 | 270 | 21 | 8 | 276 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 710 | 638 | 140 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 58 | 148 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 219 | 295 | 312 | 607 | 92 | 269 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 70 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +13 | +15 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 128 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 135 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 219 | 294 | 312 | 606 | 92 | 268 | 21 | 8 | 280 | 70 | -17 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3015 | 2703 | 595 | 111 | 15 | 30 | 243 | 595 | 38 | 90 | 25 | 220 | 294 | 306 | 599 | 85 | 269 | 20 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -42 | +2 | -4 | +29 | +35 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 128 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 128 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 220 | 292 | 302 | 594 | 82 | 268 | 20 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -17 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 143 PAwOBA .310 → .246 (−64)K% 15.4% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.952 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .310 → .246; ISO .132 → .103; BABIP .283 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 34 PAwOBA .267 → .240 (−27)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 16.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .240; ISO .069 → .062; BABIP .240 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Eugene Emeralds · 177 PAwOBA .348 → .299 (−49)K% 12.4% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.43% | ÷1.070 | ×1.350 | — | — | 15.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.38% | ÷0.950 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 12.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.41% | ÷1.011 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.909 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×0.998 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 1.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 82, K 114, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .348 → .299; ISO .090 → .078; BABIP .306 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 62 PAwOBA .253 → .229 (−23)K% 4.8% → 5.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.84% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 5.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 13.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.996 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .253 → .229; ISO .057 → .053; BABIP .196 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 350 PAwOBA .295 → .244 (−51)K% 16.6% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.57% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 23.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.14% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .295 → .244; ISO .067 → .057; BABIP .283 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 283 PAwOBA .339 → .286 (−53)K% 11.0% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.95% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.13% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.13% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.015 | 23.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.015 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×1.015 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .339 → .286; ISO .103 → .092; BABIP .332 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Eugene Emeralds · 48 PAwOBA .296 → .250 (−46)K% 14.6% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.021 | ×1.350 | — | — | 19.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.047 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 28.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.027 | 2.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .296 → .250; ISO .044 → .040; BABIP .342 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Giants Black · 171 PAwOBA .325 → .228 (−97)K% 17.5% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.36% | ÷0.983 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.081 | ×0.820 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 17.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷0.921 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷0.940 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×0.995 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 116, 2B 84, 3B 88, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .325 → .228; ISO .107 → .078; BABIP .333 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .