Victor Rodrigues
C Great Lakes Loons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROK2 orgs | 170 | .255/.325/.327 | 3 | 2 | 35 | — | .203/.254/.272 |
| 2025 | 20 | ALAA | 312 | .288/.448/.342 | 1 | 10 | 99 | — | .260/.384/.306 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+LAD | 308 | .205/.325/.275 | 2 | 1 | 49 | — | .188/.279/.247 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBLAD | 1 | .213/.310/.270 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 23 | MLBLAD | 100 | .220/.316/.295 | 1 | 1 | 81 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ58% MLB | 24 | MLBLAD | 181 | .224/.320/.313 | 3 | 2 | 86 | 0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 179 | 156 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 328 | 340 | 667 | 103 | 276 | 16 | 8 | 304 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 176 | 142 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 268 | 402 | 373 | 776 | 106 | 305 | 14 | 18 | 355 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 54 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 314 | 592 | 78 | 282 | 20 | 4 | 269 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 116 | 102 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 348 | 333 | 681 | 69 | 287 | 12 | 11 | 312 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 240 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 62 | 40 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 287 | 448 | 342 | 790 | 54 | 338 | 13 | 20 | 373 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 258 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 70 | 249 | 18 | 14 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 179 | 160 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 150 | 232 | 212 | 444 | 62 | 177 | 20 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 176 | 153 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 209 | 305 | 294 | 599 | 85 | 248 | 19 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 54 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 241 | 275 | 515 | 78 | 248 | 28 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 116 | 107 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 261 | 271 | 532 | 65 | 228 | 18 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 258 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 55 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 260 | 384 | 306 | 690 | 47 | 317 | 18 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 271 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 279 | 247 | 526 | 59 | 236 | 22 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 179 | 160 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 150 | 232 | 212 | 444 | 62 | 183 | 20 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 179 | 156 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 328 | 340 | 667 | 103 | 276 | 16 | 8 | 304 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 176 | 153 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 209 | 305 | 294 | 599 | 85 | 252 | 19 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 176 | 142 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 268 | 402 | 373 | 776 | 106 | 305 | 14 | 18 | 355 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 159 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 237 | 233 | 469 | 44 | 230 | 21 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 170 | 153 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 325 | 327 | 652 | 72 | 286 | 15 | 9 | 299 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 258 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 55 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 260 | 384 | 306 | 690 | 47 | 324 | 18 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 240 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 62 | 40 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 287 | 448 | 342 | 790 | 54 | 338 | 13 | 20 | 373 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 271 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 279 | 247 | 526 | 59 | 241 | 22 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 258 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 325 | 275 | 600 | 70 | 249 | 18 | 14 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Bautista | — | 179 | 160 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 150 | 232 | 212 | 444 | 62 | 177 | 20 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 176 | 153 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 209 | 305 | 294 | 599 | 85 | 248 | 19 | 11 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 158 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 237 | 234 | 471 | 44 | 234 | 21 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 257 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 55 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 261 | 384 | 307 | 691 | 47 | 317 | 18 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 271 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 279 | 247 | 526 | 59 | 236 | 22 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 158 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 237 | 234 | 471 | 44 | 234 | 21 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 312 | 257 | 67 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 55 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 261 | 384 | 307 | 691 | 47 | 317 | 18 | 14 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 308 | 271 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 279 | 247 | 526 | 59 | 236 | 22 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 0% | 418 | 364 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 87 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 314 | 276 | 590 | 59 | 276 | 21 | 11 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 310 | 270 | 580 | 57 | 271 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 43% | 231 | 201 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 319 | 301 | 620 | 77 | 278 | 20 | 11 | 287 | 81 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 58% | 312 | 271 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 64 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 323 | 318 | 641 | 90 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 295 | 86 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 362 | 315 | 73 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 74 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 324 | 329 | 654 | 99 | 281 | 20 | 11 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 390 | 340 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 80 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 325 | 336 | 661 | 104 | 281 | 21 | 11 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 401 | 350 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 83 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 324 | 337 | 660 | 105 | 281 | 21 | 11 | 302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 68% | 402 | 351 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 43 | 84 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 322 | 332 | 653 | 102 | 280 | 21 | 11 | 299 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 66% | 394 | 345 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 84 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 319 | 325 | 644 | 98 | 279 | 21 | 11 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 66% | 385 | 337 | 76 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 83 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 315 | 317 | 632 | 93 | 277 | 22 | 11 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 352 | 308 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 77 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 219 | 310 | 307 | 617 | 88 | 274 | 22 | 11 | 284 | 79 | -9 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 65% | 314 | 275 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 304 | 294 | 598 | 80 | 270 | 23 | 11 | 277 | 74 | -10 | -0 | -4 | +6 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 43% | 100 | 88 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 316 | 295 | 611 | 76 | 273 | 21 | 11 | 284 | 81 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 58% | 181 | 157 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 320 | 313 | 633 | 89 | 275 | 20 | 11 | 292 | 86 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 235 | 204 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 321 | 325 | 646 | 98 | 275 | 20 | 11 | 297 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 265 | 231 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 54 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 322 | 332 | 653 | 103 | 276 | 20 | 11 | 299 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 273 | 239 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 321 | 333 | 653 | 105 | 276 | 21 | 11 | 299 | 90 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 68% | 273 | 239 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 57 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 319 | 328 | 646 | 102 | 275 | 21 | 11 | 296 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 66% | 262 | 229 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 316 | 321 | 637 | 98 | 274 | 21 | 11 | 292 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 66% | 252 | 220 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 312 | 313 | 625 | 93 | 272 | 21 | 11 | 288 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 229 | 201 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 307 | 303 | 610 | 87 | 269 | 22 | 10 | 282 | 79 | -6 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 65% | 203 | 178 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 301 | 291 | 592 | 80 | 265 | 23 | 10 | 274 | 74 | -6 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2273 | 1986 | 445 | 72 | 4 | 37 | 244 | 480 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 224 | 317 | 320 | 637 | 96 | 276 | 21 | 11 | 291 | 78 | -40 | +1 | -7 | +41 | +49 | 4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 568 | 128 | 21 | 1 | 11 | 70 | 137 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 225 | 318 | 324 | 642 | 99 | 277 | 21 | 11 | 291 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4881 | 4262 | 942 | 152 | 12 | 63 | 516 | 1016 | 62 | 67 | 21 | 221 | 314 | 307 | 621 | 86 | 274 | 21 | 11 | 284 | 78 | -69 | +3 | -10 | +67 | +81 | 7.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 125 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 69 | 135 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 220 | 313 | 305 | 618 | 85 | 273 | 21 | 11 | 284 | 78 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 308 PAwOBA .279 → .240 (−39)K% 17.5% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .279 → .240; ISO .070 → .059; BABIP .249 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 312 PAwOBA .368 → .315 (−53)K% 12.8% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.87% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 14.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.50% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 28.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .368 → .315; ISO .054 → .045; BABIP .338 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 116 PAwOBA .307 → .228 (−79)K% 12.1% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.07% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.21% | ÷1.070 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.011 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.010 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 0.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.87% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .307 → .228; ISO .069 → .055; BABIP .287 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 54 PAwOBA .262 → .204 (−58)K% 20.4% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 2.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 22.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 2.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .262 → .204; ISO .078 → .056; BABIP .282 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 176 PAwOBA .351 → .265 (−86)K% 13.6% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.61% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 20.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.980 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.33% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .351 → .265; ISO .106 → .080; BABIP .305 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL LAD Bautista · 179 PAwOBA .300 → .199 (−101)K% 16.2% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.20% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.35% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.47% | ÷1.028 | ×0.680 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 13.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷0.937 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.915 | ×0.600 | ×0.981 | ×1.008 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.028 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.73% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 83, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .300 → .199; ISO .103 → .059; BABIP .276 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).