Kyle Karros — OGILVIE

Kyle Karros3B Colorado Rockies

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.302 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION440 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9694vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP297

ISO112

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

903.0%

xAVG

380.241

POWER30

Barrel%

356.3

Avg EV

4688.8

Bat Spd

3870.1

EYE55

Chase%

907.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▲21% over 67 PA (45d) · proj 23%

BB%9%▼8% over 100 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.113·.115 over 87 AB (60d) · proj .112xISO .152 vs .056 prior

HR/BB2.7%·2.9% over 68 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%barrel% 8.2% vs 1.0% prior

BABIP.268·.288 over 66 BIP (60d) · proj .267xBABIP .292 vs .254 prior

SLASH.219/.296/.332·proj .212/.294/.324

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 247 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

260

285

▶R

ISO

058

064

▶R

BABIP

272

287

▶R

20.7%

23.8%

◀L

BB%

10.3%

13.2%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.302 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.5M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.4	$9M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$8M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$6M	+$0.2M
Totals		$24M		$42M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	96	81	21	2	0	0	12	17	2	0	0	259	368	284	652	25	323	18	12	308	95	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	60	49	16	2	1	0	10	8	1	3	0	327	450	408	858	82	390	13	17	394	153	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	539	472	147	33	2	15	54	123	9	12	5	311	393	485	878	174	391	23	10	388	148	+31	+0	—	—	+12	4.4
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	156	137	31	4	0	1	15	41	2	0	0	226	312	277	589	51	309	26	10	274	71	-5	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.3
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	68	62	19	4	1	2	5	12	1	0	0	306	368	500	868	194	354	18	7	382	145	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	234	197	58	17	2	4	32	45	3	7	0	294	399	462	861	168	362	19	14	383	145	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	156	137	31	4	0	1	15	41	2	0	0	226	312	277	589	51	309	26	10	274	71	-5	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	96	84	19	2	0	0	9	23	2	0	0	226	316	250	566	24	291	24	9	254	58	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	60	53	13	1	1	0	6	12	1	3	0	245	333	302	635	57	317	20	10	289	82	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	496	112	21	2	11	30	173	9	12	5	226	282	343	625	117	311	32	6	270	69	-20	+0	—	—	+12	-0.8
2025	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	156	137	30	4	0	1	15	41	2	0	0	219	305	270	575	51	309	26	10	263	64	-7	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.2
2025	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	68	64	15	3	1	1	3	16	1	0	0	234	279	359	639	125	300	24	4	290	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	234	208	56	17	2	3	22	54	3	7	0	269	348	413	761	144	337	23	9	325	106	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	156	137	32	3	1	0	15	35	3	3	0	234	323	270	593	36	311	22	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	156	130	37	4	1	0	22	25	3	3	0	285	400	331	731	46	349	16	14	341	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	496	112	21	2	11	30	173	9	12	5	226	282	343	625	117	320	32	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	539	472	147	33	2	15	54	123	9	12	5	311	393	485	878	174	391	23	10	388	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	409	99	23	2	5	40	111	6	7	0	242	319	345	663	103	318	24	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	458	396	108	25	3	7	52	98	6	7	0	273	365	404	769	131	344	21	11	346	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	156	137	32	3	1	0	15	35	3	3	0	234	323	270	593	36	301	22	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	495	112	21	2	11	30	173	9	12	5	226	282	343	626	117	311	32	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	409	99	23	2	5	40	111	6	7	0	242	319	345	663	103	322	24	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	156	137	32	3	1	0	15	35	3	3	0	234	323	270	593	36	301	22	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	539	495	112	21	2	11	30	173	9	12	5	226	282	343	626	117	311	32	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	458	409	99	23	2	5	40	111	6	7	0	242	319	345	663	103	322	24	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	COL	—	440	381	94	19	2	11	49	92	7	6	0	247	343	394	737	147	295	21	11	327	107	+4	+1	-0	+2	+10	1.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	COL	—	423	365	94	20	3	11	48	88	7	5	0	258	355	419	774	162	309	21	11	346	107	+4	+1	-0	+2	+9	1.5
YTD	24	AA RAW	COL	—	17	15	6	1	0	1	2	3	0	1	0	400	471	667	1.137	267	455	18	12	493	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB RAW	COL	—	423	365	94	20	3	11	48	88	7	5	0	258	355	419	774	162	309	21	11	346	120	+10	+1	-0	+2	+9	2.2
ROS	24	MLB MLE	COL	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		281	20	10	308	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	COL	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		297	20	10	313	94	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	COL	—	433	374	95	20	3	11	49	90	7	5	0	254	351	412	763	158	304	21	11	345	107	+4	+1	-0	+2	+9	1.6
TOT	24	MLB MLE	COL	—	450	390	95	19	2	11	50	94	7	6	0	244	340	387	727	144	292	21	11	326	107	+4	+1	-0	+2	+10	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	82%	582	508	117	24	3	12	60	128	9	8	1	230	322	360	683	130	282	22	10	308	95	-4	+1	+3	+2	+13	1.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	82%	629	549	126	26	3	13	66	138	9	8	1	230	322	359	681	129	282	22	10	309	96	-3	+1	+3	+2	+14	1.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	82%	619	540	125	26	3	13	65	137	9	8	1	231	324	363	687	131	281	22	11	309	96	-3	+1	+3	+2	+13	1.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	82%	607	528	121	25	3	12	65	135	9	8	1	229	324	356	680	127	281	22	11	308	95	-4	+1	+3	+2	+13	1.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	82%	594	517	118	24	3	12	63	133	9	7	1	228	323	356	678	128	280	22	11	306	93	-5	+1	+2	+2	+13	1.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	82%	583	508	113	23	2	11	62	132	8	6	1	222	317	341	657	118	278	23	11	303	91	-6	+1	+1	+2	+13	1.1
2033	31	MLB MLE	COL	82%	405	353	79	16	2	8	43	93	6	4	0	224	318	348	667	125	275	23	11	299	88	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2034	32	MLB MLE	COL	82%	386	337	73	15	1	7	41	90	5	3	0	217	311	329	640	113	271	23	11	292	84	-7	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	82%	477	418	102	22	3	11	49	105	7	6	1	244	333	390	723	146	298	22	10	314	95	-3	+1	+3	+2	+10	1.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	82%	516	449	109	23	3	12	54	113	8	7	1	243	335	388	722	145	298	22	10	315	96	-3	+1	+3	+2	+11	1.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	82%	508	442	108	23	3	12	54	112	7	7	1	244	336	391	727	147	297	22	11	315	96	-3	+1	+3	+2	+11	1.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	82%	498	435	105	22	3	12	53	111	7	6	1	241	333	389	722	147	297	22	11	314	95	-3	+1	+2	+2	+11	1.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	82%	487	425	102	22	3	11	52	109	7	6	1	240	333	384	716	144	295	22	11	312	93	-4	+1	+1	+2	+11	1.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	82%	478	417	100	21	3	11	51	108	7	5	1	240	333	384	716	144	294	23	11	308	91	-5	+1	+1	+2	+10	0.9
2033	31	MLB CTX	COL	82%	332	289	68	14	2	7	35	76	5	3	0	235	328	370	699	135	290	23	11	303	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2034	32	MLB CTX	COL	82%	317	276	62	13	1	6	34	74	4	2	0	225	318	344	663	120	285	23	11	296	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3779	3297	788	164	21	83	398	851	54	42	6	239	331	377	708	138	296	23	11	309	89	-36	+6	+14	+15	+82	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	135	28	4	14	68	146	9	7	1	238	329	376	704	138	295	22	10	309	89	-6	+1	+2	+3	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5568	4891	1116	226	25	104	551	1307	82	74	11	228	317	348	665	120	288	23	10	300	89	-43	+8	+17	+17	+99	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	130	26	3	12	64	153	10	9	1	228	317	347	664	119	288	24	10	300	89	-6	+1	+2	+2	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	5.5	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
/162	664	20	13	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.8	4,541	90	52	229	319	355	+16	+20	11.0	10.5
/162	664	13	8	+2.4	+3.0	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Karros (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	50	55	228/318/355	128	281	7	5	22%	10%	94	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	47→54	40	51→50	52	225/300/320	96	277	7	11	20%	9%	78	-0.3	220/304/305	85	285	5	11	22%	11%	76	-0.4	226/321/292	66	300	1	9	22%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→40	49→50	48	212/311/342	130	291	14	11	30%	10%	88	+0.5	210/308/308	98	303	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.2	211/297/302	91	294	9	15	29%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Choo Freeman 2005 · MLB	25	46→49	45	49→45	57	223/312/353	130	268	11	9	20%	11%	91	+0.6	234/287/348	114	301	11	8	24%	7%	79	-0.2	234/285/336	103	304	9	7	25%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	44→53	45→50	43→45	52	219/315/335	115	274	13	5	24%	10%	88	+0.5	224/294/339	115	291	13	7	26%	8%	80	-0.1	235/295/327	92	303	9	7	24%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Fortes 2022 · MLB	25	44	45	47→45	46	218/283/336	118	254	13	7	20%	6%	76	-0.4	225/285/348	123	255	14	8	18%	6%	79	-0.2	234/282/335	101	263	9	1	14%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Matt Antonelli 2009 · MLB	24	43→52	43→45	48→50	53	214/297/326	112	253	11	11	20%	9%	79	-0.2	209/286/319	110	251	10	8	20%	9%	73	-0.6	207/283/312	105	248	9	5	19%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Andrew Knizner 2020 · MLB	25	49	46→50	47→40	45	246/297/372	126	277	15	5	18%	5%	89	+0.5	222/294/331	109	268	11	5	21%	8%	79	-0.2	227/296/347	120	278	14	3	22%	6%	82	+0.0
●J.P. Crawford 2019 · MLB	24	42→52	42→45	49→50	51	205/288/316	110	260	9	8	24%	10%	73	-0.6	239/318/359	120	296	10	9	21%	10%	94	+0.9	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Brendan Rodgers 2021 · MLB	24	46→54	46→50	49→45	41	229/278/358	129	287	14	8	25%	5%	78	-0.3	253/306/394	141	300	15	2	20%	6%	97	+1.1	255/310/391	136	299	14	0	19%	6%	97	+0.7
✕Mark Zagunis 2017 · AAA	24	51→53	45	47→50	51	244/326/377	133	309	11	9	23%	9%	101	+1.4	229/315/350	121	318	11	10	29%	10%	91	+0.7	218/307/329	111	319	11	10	32%	10%	81	-0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2021 · MLB	25	48	44→50	43→40	45	236/286/354	118	288	11	3	22%	6%	80	-0.1	232/288/385	153	300	18	3	28%	7%	88	+0.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	47→49	45	49→45	52	229/303/355	126	278	11	9	22%	9%	87	+0.4	225/291/354	129	281	15	7	24%	8%	82	+0.0	213/278/342	129	264	16	5	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕José Fermín 2023 · AAA	24	44→51	41→45	46→55	51	211/288/308	97	239	9	11	16%	8%	72	-0.7	227/313/345	118	249	11	19	13%	9%	90	+0.6	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	48→52	40→45	48→55	49	230/299/324	94	295	8	8	24%	8%	78	-0.3	235/307/325	90	305	7	12	23%	9%	82	-0.0	237/309/314	77	312	6	14	24%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2006 · AAA	24	50	45→40	47→50	50	246/308/364	119	283	13	11	18%	7%	91	+0.7	237/289/321	84	281	5	10	17%	5%	74	-0.6	247/297/313	66	293	1	8	15%	4%	72	-0.2
✕Tim Hummel 2004 · MLB	25	47→45	48→45	48→30	53	236/303/381	145	259	16	7	16%	9%	93	+0.8	225/286/342	117	253	11	5	16%	7%	78	-0.3	217/276/322	104	246	9	2	15%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→45	49→50	50→45	50	219/327/369	150	269	16	7	24%	9%	101	+1.4	230/317/367	137	291	15	9	25%	8%	97	+1.1	225/311/355	129	287	17	8	26%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	47→45	44→40	49→50	42	225/305/347	122	302	11	11	27%	6%	87	+0.4	212/299/312	100	310	8	18	32%	7%	77	-0.3	190/287/264	74	299	6	24	34%	8%	60	-0.6
✕German Duran 2009 · MLB	24	47→50	48→50	48→45	43	238/280/381	143	275	15	8	20%	5%	84	+0.2	214/258/308	94	255	9	6	19%	5%	59	-1.7	203/243/266	63	241	6	4	18%	4%	42	-1.2
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	50	38→40	51→45	47	238/292/318	79	305	5	7	23%	7%	74	-0.6	224/272/294	70	295	5	9	24%	6%	61	-1.5	203/243/222	19	273	0	7	24%	5%	30	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps