José Fermín
LF St. Louis Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 256 | .308/.421/.493 | 8 | 18 | 121 | — | .282/.373/.427 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBSTL | 79 | .155/.241/.197 | 0 | 2 | 30 | -0.6 | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAASTL | 293 | .300/.430/.485 | 7 | 20 | 117 | — | .261/.368/.410 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBSTL | 70 | .283/.377/.417 | 1 | 2 | 126 | 0.6 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBSTL | 370 | .248/.313/.355 | 6 | 8 | 87 | -0.1 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBSTL | 274 | .240/.318/.360 | 5 | 7 | 93 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 29 | MLBSTL | 252 | .238/.315/.354 | 5 | 6 | 91 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 30 | MLBSTL | 252 | .234/.311/.346 | 4 | 4 | 88 | -0.3 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 66 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 308 | 362 | 670 | 138 | 271 | 17 | 11 | 297 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 182 | 166 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 281 | 325 | 606 | 96 | 250 | 10 | 3 | 270 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 456 | 393 | 115 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 376 | 379 | 755 | 87 | 311 | 9 | 9 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 336 | 295 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 258 | 331 | 383 | 714 | 125 | 276 | 11 | 7 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 330 | 270 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 215 | 340 | 322 | 662 | 107 | 235 | 14 | 13 | 302 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 61 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 339 | 255 | 594 | 20 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 277 | 74 | -2 | -0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 81 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 362 | 485 | 847 | 258 | 190 | 6 | 15 | 370 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 23 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 304 | 400 | 704 | 200 | 158 | 0 | 13 | 316 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 19 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 235 | 498 | 59 | 214 | 16 | 11 | 236 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 52 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 432 | 588 | 568 | 1.156 | 135 | 444 | 4 | 23 | 504 | 227 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 79 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 155 | 241 | 197 | 438 | 42 | 183 | 14 | 9 | 211 | 30 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 240 | 196 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 311 | 428 | 500 | 928 | 189 | 315 | 9 | 14 | 407 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 400 | 713 | 133 | 308 | 12 | 6 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 70 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 283 | 377 | 417 | 793 | 133 | 327 | 14 | 11 | 354 | 126 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 293 | 237 | 71 | 23 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 25 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 300 | 430 | 485 | 915 | 186 | 311 | 9 | 15 | 407 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 327 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 248 | 313 | 355 | 668 | 107 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 295 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 580 | 509 | 121 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 51 | 79 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 238 | 313 | 330 | 643 | 92 | 265 | 14 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 66 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 215 | 233 | 449 | 83 | 180 | 20 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 182 | 168 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 179 | 225 | 256 | 481 | 77 | 192 | 15 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 456 | 409 | 103 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 9 | 252 | 315 | 323 | 638 | 71 | 269 | 12 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 336 | 302 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 232 | 295 | 344 | 639 | 113 | 246 | 14 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 330 | 279 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 53 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 208 | 312 | 294 | 605 | 86 | 228 | 16 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 61 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 339 | 255 | 594 | 20 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -2 | -0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 81 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 312 | 406 | 718 | 203 | 181 | 7 | 11 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 23 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 381 | 642 | 190 | 136 | 0 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 19 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 222 | 433 | 56 | 161 | 21 | 5 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 79 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 155 | 241 | 197 | 438 | 42 | 183 | 14 | 9 | 212 | 30 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 240 | 206 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 282 | 373 | 427 | 800 | 146 | 293 | 12 | 10 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 70 | 60 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 283 | 377 | 417 | 793 | 133 | 327 | 14 | 11 | 354 | 126 | +2 | -0 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 293 | 249 | 65 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 261 | 368 | 410 | 777 | 149 | 273 | 11 | 11 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 329 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 310 | 347 | 657 | 103 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 66 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 150 | 215 | 233 | 449 | 83 | 188 | 20 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 66 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 308 | 362 | 670 | 138 | 271 | 17 | 11 | 297 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 182 | 168 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 179 | 225 | 256 | 481 | 77 | 204 | 15 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 182 | 166 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 281 | 325 | 606 | 96 | 250 | 10 | 3 | 270 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 456 | 409 | 103 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 9 | 252 | 315 | 323 | 638 | 71 | 277 | 12 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 456 | 393 | 115 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 40 | 11 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 376 | 379 | 755 | 87 | 311 | 9 | 9 | 339 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 336 | 302 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 232 | 295 | 344 | 639 | 113 | 254 | 14 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 336 | 295 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 258 | 331 | 383 | 714 | 125 | 276 | 11 | 7 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 330 | 279 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 53 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 208 | 312 | 294 | 605 | 86 | 237 | 16 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 330 | 270 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 215 | 340 | 322 | 662 | 107 | 235 | 14 | 13 | 302 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 236 | 203 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 202 | 302 | 320 | 622 | 118 | 205 | 10 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 5 teams | — | 236 | 191 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 262 | 392 | 408 | 801 | 147 | 265 | 8 | 15 | 359 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 335 | 291 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 247 | 338 | 364 | 703 | 117 | 268 | 12 | 10 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 335 | 282 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 270 | 378 | 418 | 796 | 149 | 282 | 10 | 13 | 356 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 309 | 82 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 41 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 369 | 411 | 780 | 146 | 286 | 11 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 297 | 88 | 28 | 0 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 419 | 471 | 891 | 175 | 314 | 10 | 15 | 397 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 329 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 243 | 310 | 347 | 657 | 103 | 264 | 14 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 327 | 81 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 248 | 313 | 355 | 668 | 107 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 295 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 66 | 61 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 148 | 215 | 230 | 445 | 82 | 180 | 20 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 182 | 170 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 176 | 225 | 253 | 478 | 76 | 192 | 15 | 2 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 456 | 415 | 103 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 9 | 248 | 315 | 318 | 634 | 70 | 269 | 12 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 336 | 306 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 47 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 229 | 295 | 340 | 635 | 111 | 246 | 14 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 330 | 285 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 53 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 204 | 312 | 288 | 599 | 84 | 228 | 16 | 10 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 5 teams | — | 236 | 205 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 200 | 302 | 317 | 619 | 117 | 206 | 10 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 335 | 292 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 247 | 338 | 363 | 701 | 116 | 266 | 12 | 10 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 309 | 82 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 41 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 369 | 411 | 780 | 146 | 283 | 11 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 335 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 239 | 310 | 340 | 651 | 101 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 335 | 292 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 41 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 247 | 338 | 363 | 701 | 116 | 266 | 12 | 10 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 309 | 82 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 41 | 10 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 369 | 411 | 780 | 146 | 283 | 11 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 370 | 335 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 50 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 239 | 310 | 340 | 651 | 101 | 270 | 14 | 8 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 100% | 382 | 340 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 55 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 240 | 317 | 362 | 679 | 122 | 263 | 14 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +8 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 100% | 274 | 244 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 240 | 318 | 360 | 678 | 120 | 266 | 15 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 92% | 274 | 244 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 237 | 314 | 356 | 670 | 119 | 262 | 15 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | STL | 92% | 274 | 244 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 41 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 311 | 347 | 658 | 114 | 260 | 15 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 92% | 252 | 224 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 238 | 315 | 354 | 669 | 116 | 264 | 15 | 9 | 302 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | STL | 92% | 252 | 225 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 311 | 346 | 657 | 111 | 262 | 15 | 9 | 297 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1084 | 958 | 227 | 46 | 2 | 16 | 97 | 154 | 11 | 22 | 7 | 237 | 314 | 339 | 653 | 102 | 265 | 14 | 9 | 294 | 82 | -19 | +2 | -4 | -6 | +23 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 137 | 28 | 1 | 10 | 58 | 92 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 239 | 315 | 343 | 658 | 105 | 266 | 14 | 9 | 294 | 82 | -11 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3496 | 3082 | 719 | 139 | 10 | 57 | 287 | 470 | 71 | 123 | 37 | 233 | 313 | 340 | 653 | 107 | 256 | 13 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -22 | +2 | -5 | -9 | +30 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 134 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 87 | 13 | 23 | 7 | 234 | 312 | 344 | 656 | 110 | 256 | 13 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 293 PAwOBA .397 → .341 (−56)K% 8.5% → 10.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.53% | ÷0.953 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.02% | ÷0.954 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.34% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.85% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 8.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.869 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.71% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .397 → .341; ISO .186 → .156; BABIP .311 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 240 PAwOBA .400 → .349 (−51)K% 9.2% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.17% | ÷0.953 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 21.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.47% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.60% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .400 → .349; ISO .189 → .155; BABIP .315 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 81 PAwOBA .365 → .319 (−46)K% 6.2% → 7.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.17% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 7.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.48% | ÷1.040 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 11.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷0.955 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .365 → .319; ISO .258 → .222; BABIP .190 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 23 PAwOBA .308 → .250 (−58)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 9.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .308 → .250; ISO .200 → .164; BABIP .158 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Cardinals · 19 PAwOBA .231 → .156 (−74)K% 15.8% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 11.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 4.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .231 → .156; ISO .059 → .039; BABIP .214 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 330 PAwOBA .297 → .271 (−27)K% 13.9% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.94% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.30% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .297 → .271; ISO .107 → .087; BABIP .235 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAkron RubberDucks · 336 PAwOBA .311 → .274 (−37)K% 11.3% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.31% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.98% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.62% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.129 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 123, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .311 → .274; ISO .125 → .110; BABIP .276 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ALake County Captains · 456 PAwOBA .331 → .281 (−50)K% 8.8% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.016 | ×1.360 | — | — | 11.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.91% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.40% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.70% | ÷0.990 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .281; ISO .087 → .075; BABIP .311 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .