Noah Mendlinger — OGILVIE

Noah Mendlinger3B Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 L/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 187 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .356 / .345

PA187

HR1

K%14

BB%9

BABIP308

ISO80

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.6M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$26M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	100	87	20	4	1	0	11	18	2	0	2	230	330	299	629	69	290	18	11	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	100	80	22	5	1	0	18	14	2	0	2	275	420	362	782	87	333	14	18	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	284	235	53	9	1	1	30	50	11	8	3	226	341	285	626	60	278	18	11	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	284	224	55	9	1	2	41	42	11	8	3	246	388	321	709	76	290	15	14	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	458	382	106	15	2	4	44	69	21	7	8	277	383	359	741	81	325	15	10	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	458	361	106	17	2	5	65	51	21	7	8	294	430	393	823	100	326	11	14	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	401	364	97	20	0	0	20	73	13	4	4	266	327	321	649	55	331	18	5	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	401	355	100	20	0	0	29	50	13	4	4	282	358	338	696	56	326	12	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	463	399	115	20	4	1	39	55	20	12	6	288	380	366	746	78	329	12	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	463	380	107	19	3	1	57	42	20	12	6	282	402	355	757	74	311	9	12	349	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	STL	—	281	237	64	11	1	3	31	34	8	2	5	270	373	363	736	93	299	12	11	327	108	+3	-2	+0	+1	+8	1.0
YTD	25	AA	STL	—	281	223	64	12	1	3	45	27	8	2	5	287	424	390	814	103	310	10	16	370	141	+13	-2	+0	+1	+8	2.1
ROS	25	AA	STL	2%	187	162	43	8	1	1	17	26	6	2	2	265	356	345	701	80	304	14	9	320	103	+1	-0	+0	+1	+5	0.6
ROS	25	MLB	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		304	25	0	297	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	AA	STL	—	285	241	65	11	1	3	31	35	8	2	5	270	371	361	732	91	300	12	11	327	108	+3	-2	+0	+1	+8	1.0
TOT	25	AA	STL	—	468	399	107	19	2	4	48	60	14	4	7	268	366	356	722	88	303	13	10	324	106	+3	-2	+0	+2	+13	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	STL	43%	365	318	84	15	2	4	34	54	10	4	4	264	354	362	715	97	303	15	9	324	106	+3	-1	+0	+1	+10	1.4
2028	27	MLB	STL	59%	388	339	89	16	2	5	36	60	10	4	4	263	351	366	716	103	302	15	9	324	106	+3	-1	+0	+1	+11	1.5
2029	28	MLB	STL	67%	401	350	91	17	2	5	38	64	10	4	4	260	349	363	712	103	301	16	9	323	106	+2	-1	-1	+1	+11	1.4
2030	29	MLB	STL	69%	400	349	90	16	2	5	38	65	10	4	4	258	348	358	706	100	300	16	10	321	104	+2	-1	-1	+1	+11	1.3
2031	30	MLB	STL	70%	398	348	88	16	1	5	37	66	10	3	3	253	342	348	689	95	299	17	9	318	102	+1	-1	-2	+1	+11	1.1
2032	31	MLB	STL	71%	387	338	85	15	1	5	36	65	10	3	3	251	341	346	687	95	297	17	9	314	99	-1	-1	-3	+1	+11	0.8
2033	32	MLB	STL	71%	370	323	80	14	1	4	35	64	9	2	2	248	338	334	672	87	294	17	9	309	94	-2	-0	-4	+1	+10	0.6
2027	26	MLB	STL	43%	158	138	37	7	1	2	15	23	4	2	2	268	357	377	733	109	303	15	9	304	91	-2	-0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2028	27	MLB	STL	59%	228	199	52	9	1	3	21	35	6	2	3	261	350	362	711	101	302	15	9	305	91	-2	-1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2029	28	MLB	STL	67%	269	235	61	11	1	4	25	43	7	3	3	260	348	366	714	106	301	16	9	304	91	-3	-1	-0	+1	+8	0.5
2030	29	MLB	STL	69%	276	241	62	11	1	4	26	45	7	3	3	257	347	361	708	104	300	16	9	303	90	-3	-1	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2031	30	MLB	STL	70%	279	244	62	11	1	3	26	46	7	2	2	254	343	344	687	90	299	16	9	300	88	-4	-0	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2032	31	MLB	STL	71%	274	239	60	11	1	3	26	46	7	2	2	251	342	343	685	92	297	17	9	296	85	-5	-0	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2033	32	MLB	STL	71%	264	231	57	10	1	3	25	45	6	2	2	247	336	338	674	91	294	17	9	290	80	-6	-0	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1752	1531	392	70	7	22	164	284	44	16	17	256	345	354	699	98	300	16	9	300	88	-24	-4	-7	+6	+50	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	146	26	3	8	61	105	16	6	6	257	346	356	701	99	301	16	9	300	88	-9	-1	-3	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	4602	3994	1041	185	20	40	415	729	142	57	49	261	351	347	698	86	308	16	9	316	100	-1	-8	-10	+16	+130	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	147	26	3	6	59	103	20	8	7	261	351	349	701	89	307	16	9	316	100	-0	-1	-1	+2	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	100	80	22	5	1	0	18	14	2	0	2	275	420	362	782	87	333	14	18	365	138	+4	-1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	284	224	55	9	1	2	41	42	11	8	3	246	388	321	709	76	290	15	14	327	109	+3	+0	—	—	+8	1.1
2023	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	401	321	96	16	1	4	55	43	16	5	5	299	426	393	819	93	331	11	14	370	142	+19	-1	—	—	+11	3.0
2023	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	57	40	10	1	1	1	10	8	5	2	3	250	455	400	855	150	281	14	18	385	153	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	401	355	100	20	0	0	29	50	13	4	4	282	358	338	696	56	326	12	7	319	102	+1	-1	—	—	+11	1.2
2025	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	102	83	24	6	2	1	11	8	6	2	2	289	410	446	856	157	303	8	11	379	148	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	361	297	83	13	1	0	46	34	14	10	4	279	399	330	729	51	313	9	13	341	119	+8	+0	—	—	+10	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
	/162	664	9	4	265	329	365	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Joe Paniklast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,099 PA	8	3,099	42	22	264	328	372	+11	+17	11.0	11.4
#2Joe Paniklast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,099 PA	/162	664	9	5	264	328	372	+2.4	+3.7	2.4	pk7: 12
#3D'Angelo Jimenezlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,457 PA	7	2,457	36	36	262	350	376	+2	+14	10.6	10.6
	/162	664	10	10	262	350	376	+0.5	+3.9	2.9	pk7: 11
#4Matt Duffylast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,549 PA	8	2,549	31	41	277	335	369	+10	+10	9.3	9.3
#4Matt Duffylast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,549 PA	/162	664	8	11	277	335	369	+2.5	+2.6	2.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Fontenotlast yr '12 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,581 PA	6	1,581	27	17	265	332	402	+7	+7	7.0	7.0
	/162	664	11	7	265	332	402	+3.1	+3.0	2.9	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,754	21	16	258	343	355	+6	+2	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	6	258	343	355	+2.4	+0.9	2.0	pk7: 5
#6Brent Maynelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,762 PA	5	1,762	18	7	261	330	343	+5	+16	4.9	4.9
	/162	664	7	3	261	330	343	+1.8	+6.0	1.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Noah Mendlinger (OGILVIE)	25	60	25	50	55	268/366/356	88	303	4	4	13%	10%	106	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brock Holt 2013 · MLB	25	59→64	37→45	48→50	48	277/330/364	87	336	3	13	18%	7%	98	+1.6	262/315/344	82	319	4	13	18%	7%	87	+0.8	264/327/367	102	323	5	12	19%	8%	96	+1.2
✕Josh Thole 2012 · MLB	25	56→66	39→40	41→45	56	265/335/357	92	297	6	4	13%	9%	99	+1.7	243/307/338	95	281	9	3	16%	8%	82	+0.5	239/301/321	83	278	8	0	16%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Taylor Dugas 2015 · AAA	25	57→61	37→30	46→50	54	265/346/339	75	313	3	10	16%	9%	99	+1.7	236/302/309	73	291	4	11	19%	7%	73	-0.1	222/283/261	40	274	0	12	18%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Luis Guillorme 2019 · MLB	24	56→62	36→40	45	52	261/319/327	66	305	3	5	15%	8%	84	+0.6	256/334/354	98	306	8	7	18%	10%	98	+1.6	260/347/342	82	303	7	3	15%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Jim Negrych 2010 · AA	25	58→68	39→40	48→50	50	275/329/366	91	322	5	9	16%	7%	98	+1.6	264/320/359	95	316	7	10	18%	7%	93	+1.3	271/324/366	96	314	8	7	16%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Mike O'Neill 2013 · AA	25	65→71	36→30	47→50	58	303/368/384	81	334	1	11	10%	9%	118	+3.0	279/343/338	59	312	2	10	10%	9%	96	+1.5	278/344/323	45	310	1	9	10%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Brent Keys 2014 · AA	24	60→65	36→30	47→50	53	282/337/346	64	312	3	13	11%	8%	96	+1.5	237/305/295	58	275	3	10	14%	9%	70	-0.3	223/308/259	36	257	0	9	12%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Tim Fedroff 2012 · AAA	25	56→62	38→40	46→50	47	263/318/349	85	333	4	9	21%	7%	89	+0.9	248/309/336	88	315	6	13	22%	8%	82	+0.5	235/303/316	80	304	6	13	23%	9%	71	-0.2
●Grégor Blanco 2009 · MLB	25	55→60	36→45	49→60	57	255/341/324	69	320	3	18	20%	11%	93	+1.3	236/315/311	75	300	4	20	20%	10%	79	+0.3	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Luis Borges 2006 · AAA	26	61→67	37→40	48→45	48	288/322/369	80	313	3	7	10%	5%	95	+1.4	266/308/330	64	288	2	5	8%	6%	79	+0.3	307/352/376	69	330	2	3	7%	6%	106	+1.2
●Eric Sogard 2011 · AAA	25	54→57	40→45	47→55	53	258/316/359	102	289	6	11	13%	8%	92	+1.2	255/311/363	108	286	8	15	13%	7%	90	+1.0	250/336/373	123	285	11	10	15%	11%	100	+1.1
●Nicky Lopez 2020 · MLB	25	54→64	39→40	49→55	50	255/303/347	92	281	6	12	12%	6%	82	+0.5	255/314/337	82	296	4	14	14%	7%	85	+0.7	256/324/322	66	299	1	19	14%	8%	83	+0.4
●Adam Frazier 2017 · MLB	25	60→67	38→50	48→50	48	283/328/370	86	325	3	17	14%	6%	98	+1.6	275/334/401	126	311	9	10	14%	7%	110	+2.4	285/346/410	126	315	9	6	12%	7%	113	+2.2
✕Brock Bond 2011 · AAA	25	60→68	36→40	45→50	52	279/350/355	75	345	2	11	18%	8%	104	+2.0	257/325/335	78	315	3	8	18%	8%	89	+1.0	240/306/302	62	294	3	6	18%	7%	69	-0.2
✕JB Shuck 2012 · MLB	25	58→61	35→40	50	53	269/327/337	68	306	2	16	13%	8%	89	+1.0	265/314/336	71	294	3	14	10%	7%	83	+0.6	261/308/342	81	287	4	12	10%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Cole Figueroa 2012 · AA	25	56→59	40→45	50	55	263/332/364	101	295	6	12	13%	9%	99	+1.7	253/309/342	89	275	5	8	9%	7%	83	+0.6	253/308/334	81	272	4	7	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2015 · AA	25	57→61	34→30	50→45	48	265/319/321	56	324	1	10	18%	6%	82	+0.5	244/288/308	64	301	3	6	19%	5%	66	-0.6	241/281/302	61	297	3	3	19%	5%	59	-0.8
●Matt Young 2008 · AA	25	54→60	36→40	46→60	51	250/315/320	71	302	3	13	18%	8%	81	+0.4	258/327/347	89	303	4	24	15%	8%	92	+1.2	265/336/360	95	306	4	30	13%	8%	97	+1.5
✕Alden Carrithers 2011 · AA	26	56→62	36→40	48→55	57	259/340/322	63	311	4	14	17%	10%	92	+1.2	262/328/330	68	303	3	18	13%	9%	89	+0.9	268/332/335	67	304	2	22	12%	8%	89	+0.5
✕Charlie Cutler 2011 · AA	25	51→58	38→45	48→40	50	241/307/326	85	280	4	3	15%	7%	79	+0.3	252/317/354	102	295	8	4	16%	7%	91	+1.1	268/347/365	97	312	8	3	15%	9%	104	+0.9