Josh Kasevich — OGILVIE

Josh KasevichSS Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2028

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .300 / .324

PA181

HR2

K%16

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

54↗59

PWR

33↗39

SPD

46↗49

FLD

42↗49

EYE

41↗47

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.1M
Totals		$5M		$15M	+$9M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	122	110	27	8	0	0	8	13	3	0	2	.245	.314	.318	.632	.073	.276	11	7	.286	77	-3	-1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	383	348	84	13	0	3	24	56	6	11	2	.241	.302	.305	.606	.063	.276	15	6	.265	61	-17	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.1
2024	23	AA	2 teams	566	533	144	23	0	5	27	84	3	13	1	.270	.309	.341	.651	.071	.311	15	5	.287	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2025	24	AAA	4 teams	234	208	40	2	0	0	21	44	1	3	5	.192	.270	.202	.471	.010	.238	19	9	.223	29	-19	-1	+0	+3	+7	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	82	76	18	6	1	1	6	14	0	0	1	.237	.293	.382	.674	.145	.279	17	7	.284	76	-2	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	TOR	99	91	22	4	0	1	7	16	1	1	1	.242	.303	.319	.622	.077	.284	16	7	.286	77	-3	-0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
TOT	25	MLB	TOR	181	167	40	10	1	2	13	30	1	1	2	.240	.298	.347	.646	.108	.281	17	7	.285	76	-5	-1	-0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 25%	TOR	293	267	67	13	1	4	22	42	2	4	2	.251	.313	.352	.665	.101	.280	14	8	.300	88	-4	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.6
2028	27	MLB 43%	TOR	336	305	75	14	1	5	26	50	2	5	2	.246	.309	.348	.657	.102	.281	15	8	.302	89	-4	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.8
2029	28	MLB 52%	TOR	362	328	82	16	1	6	29	56	2	5	2	.250	.315	.360	.675	.110	.282	15	8	.302	89	-4	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.8
2030	29	MLB 63%	TOR	369	334	83	16	1	6	30	59	2	5	2	.249	.314	.356	.670	.108	.281	16	8	.301	88	-5	+0	-3	+4	+10	0.7
2031	30	MLB 73%	TOR	374	339	83	16	1	6	30	61	2	5	2	.245	.310	.351	.661	.106	.281	16	8	.298	86	-6	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.6
2032	31	MLB 81%	TOR	363	329	79	15	1	5	29	61	2	3	2	.240	.306	.337	.643	.097	.280	17	8	.294	83	-7	-0	-4	+4	+10	0.3
2033	32	MLB 88%	TOR	346	313	75	14	1	5	28	60	2	3	2	.240	.306	.339	.645	.099	.279	17	8	.290	80	-8	-0	-5	+4	+10	0.1
2034	33	MLB 93%	TOR	318	288	68	13	1	4	25	57	2	2	2	.236	.302	.330	.631	.094	.278	18	8	.285	76	-9	-0	-5	+3	+9	-0.2
2035	34	MLB	TOR	275	250	58	11	1	3	22	52	1	2	3	.232	.297	.320	.617	.088	.277	19	8	.279	72	-9	-1	-6	+3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4440	4043	987	178	9	53	328	711	31	62	30	.244	.306	.332	.638	.088	.282	16	7	.287	78	-111	+0	-31	+48	+126	3.3
/ 162G	—			650	592	144	26	1	8	48	104	5	9	4	.243	.305	.331	.637	.088	.281	16	7	.287	78	-16	+0	-5	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	122	107	28	8	0	11	9	3	0	2	.262	.347	.336	.684	.075	.283	7	9	.314	98	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	383	334	95	15	4	38	41	6	11	2	.284	.368	.365	.733	.081	.310	11	10	.332	112	+5	+1	—	—	+11	1.8
2024	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	173	157	51	8	3	14	25	1	3	0	.325	.384	.433	.817	.108	.369	14	8	.365	138	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	393	363	103	20	3	26	42	2	10	1	.284	.335	.364	.699	.080	.312	11	7	.315	100	-0	+2	—	—	+11	1.3
2025	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	114	98	17	1	0	13	20	1	0	2	.173	.277	.184	.460	.010	.212	18	11	.224	30	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	24	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	27	24	9	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	.375	.444	.417	.861	.042	.429	11	11	.393	159	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	19	14	5	0	0	5	1	0	0	1	.357	.526	.357	.883	.000	.385	5	26	.422	181	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	74	55	14	0	0	17	11	0	3	2	.255	.431	.255	.685	.000	.304	15	23	.331	112	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Kasevich (OGILVIE)	25	54→59	33→39	46→49	47	.246/.300/.324	.078	.287	2	3	16%	7%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	48→54	40	50	52	.229/.305/.324	.095	.283	7	10	21%	9%	79	+0.3	.216/.299/.301	.085	.278	5	11	22%	10%	70	-0.3	.224/.319/.289	.065	.297	1	9	22%	12%	72	-0.1
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2015 · MLB	25	52→61	39→45	49→60	46	.246/.289/.330	.084	.291	6	12	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.241/.283/.320	.079	.280	5	10	15%	5%	66	-0.6	.246/.284/.311	.065	.281	3	6	13%	4%	61	-0.7
✕Iván De Jesús Jr. 2012 · MLB	25	50→60	39→45	48→50	44	.238/.284/.321	.083	.291	7	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5	.252/.298/.346	.094	.327	6	6	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.263/.316/.362	.099	.345	5	4	24%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	55→59	41→45	49→50	48	.262/.308/.368	.106	.300	7	12	16%	6%	90	+1.0	.259/.308/.363	.104	.297	8	11	15%	6%	89	+0.9	.254/.307/.354	.100	.287	8	12	14%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Tomás Telis 2016 · MLB	25	54→60	39→45	47→45	42	.260/.286/.343	.083	.293	6	7	14%	3%	73	-0.1	.256/.292/.352	.096	.288	7	7	14%	4%	79	+0.3	.264/.296/.365	.101	.291	8	4	12%	3%	82	+0.3
✕L.J. Hoes 2015 · MLB	25	55→62	39→40	47→50	50	.258/.321/.351	.093	.314	6	13	19%	8%	92	+1.2	.242/.302/.331	.089	.293	7	17	19%	8%	79	+0.3	.241/.302/.321	.081	.286	6	20	17%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Francisco Urbaez 2023 · AAA	25	50→57	41→45	47→45	48	.239/.302/.343	.103	.295	8	6	21%	7%	82	+0.5	.239/.300/.349	.110	.293	9	7	21%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.307/.361	.115	.292	9	7	18%	7%	87	+0.5
●Jose Iglesias 2015 · MLB	25	52→62	39→45	48→50	45	.247/.294/.326	.079	.285	7	12	16%	5%	73	-0.1	.264/.311/.353	.089	.292	6	11	12%	5%	88	+0.9	.290/.324/.417	.127	.322	12	6	14%	4%	106	+1.4
✕Brendan Ryan 2007 · AAA	25	51→61	39→40	52→55	47	.244/.288/.336	.092	.281	6	14	16%	6%	73	-0.1	.249/.298/.335	.086	.288	6	18	15%	6%	77	+0.1	.259/.310/.346	.087	.298	5	20	14%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2007 · AAA	25	52	40	48→50	47	.248/.300/.345	.097	.282	7	11	15%	5%	82	+0.5	.229/.277/.312	.083	.278	6	9	19%	5%	63	-0.9	.225/.273/.264	.040	.282	0	4	19%	4%	46	-0.5
●Kevin Newman 2018 · AAA	24	53→63	38→45	49→50	47	.251/.294/.336	.084	.283	5	10	13%	5%	76	+0.0	.263/.304/.358	.095	.298	7	16	14%	5%	85	+0.7	.274/.318/.369	.096	.306	8	18	13%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Alberto Carreon 2013 · AAA	25	52→57	37→45	45→50	42	.247/.295/.325	.079	.309	4	11	21%	4%	73	-0.1	.247/.302/.355	.108	.308	9	10	22%	5%	85	+0.7	.241/.298/.350	.109	.299	10	8	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Santiago Espinal 2020 · AAA	25	50→57	40→45	45→50	45	.239/.282/.330	.092	.280	7	10	18%	5%	69	-0.4	.258/.310/.355	.097	.305	7	11	17%	7%	88	+0.9	.278/.338/.372	.094	.317	6	9	14%	8%	101	+1.0
✕Dixon Machado 2017 · MLB	25	51→55	38→45	49→55	48	.241/.294/.319	.078	.286	5	13	17%	6%	72	-0.2	.226/.285/.312	.086	.274	7	9	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.221/.303/.327	.106	.266	11	4	20%	9%	76	+0.0
●James McCann 2015 · AAA	25	50→55	41→50	46→45	39	.240/.278/.340	.101	.303	8	7	23%	4%	70	-0.3	.242/.287/.366	.124	.304	13	4	24%	5%	81	+0.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Ramon Soto 2013 · AAA	25	53	36→30	46→45	45	.249/.293/.315	.067	.298	4	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4	.248/.299/.322	.074	.304	4	9	19%	6%	74	-0.1	.297/.340/.365	.068	.375	0	7	20%	5%	100	+0.4
✕Darwin Barney 2011 · MLB	25	52→58	37→40	49→50	44	.247/.281/.320	.073	.288	3	9	16%	4%	66	-0.6	.249/.289/.332	.083	.280	5	9	12%	5%	72	-0.2	.239/.288/.326	.087	.273	7	5	15%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Roberto Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	24	49→57	41→40	47→45	50	.237/.292/.338	.101	.261	9	8	13%	6%	76	+0.1	.260/.306/.366	.106	.297	11	9	16%	5%	89	+0.9	.276/.322/.372	.096	.314	10	8	15%	5%	92	+1.0
✕Nicky Lopez 2020 · MLB	25	54→61	39→40	49→55	50	.254/.303/.341	.087	.280	6	12	12%	6%	81	+0.4	.247/.307/.326	.079	.286	4	14	14%	7%	79	+0.3	.245/.313/.305	.060	.286	1	19	14%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Nick Madrigal 2023 · MLB	26	55→57	37→40	45→50	50	.261/.312/.334	.073	.287	4	7	11%	6%	83	+0.6	.257/.313/.353	.096	.282	6	12	11%	5%	89	+0.9	.279/.333/.391	.111	.302	5	16	9%	4%	105	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)