Josh Kasevich — OGILVIE

Josh KasevichSS Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION378 act + 252 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .324 / .336

PA252

HR2

K%15

BB%7

BABIP305

ISO74

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$6M	+$4M
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2032	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$32M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	111	27	8	0	0	7	12	3	0	2	243	306	315	621	72	270	10	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	107	28	8	0	0	11	9	3	0	2	262	347	336	684	75	283	7	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	348	82	13	0	2	24	54	6	11	2	236	296	290	587	55	269	14	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	334	95	15	0	4	38	41	6	11	2	284	368	365	733	81	310	11	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	566	533	141	23	0	5	27	84	3	13	1	265	304	336	640	71	304	15	5	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	566	520	154	28	0	6	40	67	3	13	1	296	350	385	735	88	329	12	7	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	4 teams	—	234	208	39	2	0	0	21	45	1	3	5	188	265	197	462	10	234	19	9	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	4 teams	—	234	191	45	2	0	0	38	35	1	3	5	236	365	246	611	10	281	15	16	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AAA	TOR	—	378	344	90	12	3	3	28	52	5	4	2	262	326	340	666	78	300	14	7	293	82	-8	+0	+0	+4	+11	0.7
YTD	25	AAA	TOR	—	378	332	94	14	3	3	40	43	5	4	2	283	369	370	739	87	317	11	11	338	117	+7	+0	+0	+4	+11	2.2
ROS	25	AAA	TOR	10%	252	229	60	9	1	2	18	38	3	3	1	262	324	336	660	74	302	15	7	297	85	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.5
ROS	25	MLB	TOR	10%	25	23	6	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	261	320	304	624	43	303	16	8	290	80	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	25	AAA	TOR	—	403	367	96	13	3	3	30	56	5	4	2	262	326	338	664	76	301	14	7	293	82	-8	+0	-0	+4	+11	0.8
TOT	25	AAA	TOR	—	630	573	150	21	4	5	46	90	8	7	3	262	325	339	664	77	302	14	7	294	84	-12	+0	-1	+7	+18	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TOR	35%	581	529	136	20	3	5	41	89	6	6	3	257	318	335	652	78	297	15	7	295	84	-10	+0	-3	+6	+16	1.0
2028	27	MLB	TOR	44%	602	547	139	21	3	6	44	96	6	7	3	254	317	336	653	82	297	16	7	298	86	-9	+0	-3	+6	+17	1.2
2029	28	MLB	TOR	49%	608	552	141	22	3	7	45	100	6	6	3	255	318	344	663	89	296	16	7	298	86	-9	+0	-3	+7	+17	1.1
2030	29	MLB	TOR	50%	607	550	139	21	3	7	46	102	6	6	2	253	317	340	657	87	296	17	8	297	86	-10	+0	-4	+7	+17	1.0
2031	30	MLB	TOR	51%	602	546	138	21	3	7	45	102	6	5	2	253	317	341	657	88	295	17	7	295	84	-11	+0	-5	+6	+17	0.8
2032	31	MLB	TOR	51%	594	538	134	20	3	6	45	103	6	5	2	249	314	331	645	82	293	17	8	291	81	-13	+0	-6	+6	+17	0.5
2033	32	MLB	TOR	51%	585	531	128	19	2	5	44	104	5	4	2	241	305	313	618	72	291	18	8	286	77	-15	+0	-6	+6	+17	0.1
2034	33	MLB	TOR	56%	506	458	110	16	2	4	38	92	5	3	1	240	305	310	615	70	288	18	8	279	72	-16	+0	-7	+5	+14	-0.3
2035	34	MLB	TOR	51%	429	390	91	13	2	3	32	81	4	2	1	233	298	300	598	67	283	19	7	271	66	-17	+0	-7	+5	+12	-0.7
2027	26	MLB	TOR	35%	202	184	48	7	1	2	14	31	2	2	1	261	320	342	662	82	298	15	7	289	80	-5	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.2
2028	27	MLB	TOR	44%	265	241	61	9	1	3	19	42	3	3	1	253	316	336	652	83	298	16	7	292	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.4
2029	28	MLB	TOR	49%	297	270	68	11	1	3	22	49	3	3	1	252	315	333	649	81	298	16	7	292	82	-6	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.4
2030	29	MLB	TOR	50%	303	274	69	11	1	3	23	51	3	3	1	252	317	332	649	80	297	17	8	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2031	30	MLB	TOR	51%	305	276	69	11	1	3	23	52	3	3	1	250	315	330	644	80	297	17	8	289	79	-7	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.2
2032	31	MLB	TOR	51%	303	274	68	10	1	3	23	52	3	2	1	248	313	325	638	77	295	17	8	285	76	-8	+0	-3	+3	+9	0.1
2033	32	MLB	TOR	51%	299	272	67	10	1	3	22	53	3	2	1	246	310	324	633	77	292	18	7	280	72	-9	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.1
2034	33	MLB	TOR	56%	281	255	61	9	1	2	21	51	3	1	1	239	305	306	611	67	289	18	7	274	68	-10	-0	-4	+3	+8	-0.3
2035	34	MLB	TOR	51%	219	199	47	6	1	2	16	41	2	1	0	236	300	307	606	70	285	19	7	266	62	-9	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2499	2268	564	85	9	24	185	426	25	20	8	249	312	326	638	77	295	17	7	285	76	-68	+1	-22	+27	+71	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	146	22	2	6	48	111	7	5	2	247	312	322	634	75	294	17	7	285	76	-18	+0	-6	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6671	6070	1505	228	25	59	477	1102	66	74	30	248	310	323	633	75	292	17	7	286	77	-171	+3	-44	+71	+189	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	146	22	2	6	46	107	6	7	3	247	307	321	629	74	290	16	7	286	77	-17	+0	-4	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	107	28	8	0	11	9	3	0	2	262	347	336	684	75	283	7	9	314	98	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	334	95	15	4	38	41	6	11	2	284	368	365	733	81	310	11	10	332	112	+5	+1	—	—	+11	1.8
2024	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	173	157	51	8	3	14	25	1	3	0	325	384	433	817	108	369	14	8	365	138	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	393	363	103	20	3	26	42	2	10	1	284	335	364	699	80	312	11	7	315	100	-0	+2	—	—	+11	1.3
2025	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	114	98	17	1	0	13	20	1	0	2	173	277	184	460	10	212	18	11	224	30	-9	-1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	24	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	24	9	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	375	444	417	861	42	429	11	11	393	159	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	24	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	19	14	5	0	0	5	1	0	0	1	357	526	357	883		385	5	26	422	181	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	74	55	14	0	0	17	11	0	3	2	255	431	255	685		304	15	23	331	112	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,493	25	21	249	309	329	+25	-1	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	5	249	309	329	+6.7	-0.2	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Kasevich (OGILVIE)	25	50→60	35→38	45→49	49	262/325/339	77	302	5	7	14%	7%	84	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2015 · MLB	25	51→61	38→45	50→60	46	244/288/325	81	291	6	13	18%	6%	70	-0.3	238/280/319	81	275	6	9	15%	5%	66	-0.6	243/281/306	63	276	3	6	13%	4%	59	-0.8
✕Tomás Telis 2016 · MLB	25	56→61	39→45	47→45	42	268/294/353	84	302	6	7	14%	3%	79	+0.3	257/293/356	99	288	8	7	13%	4%	80	+0.4	263/294/366	103	289	9	4	12%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Lou Marson 2011 · MLB	25	47→54	40	51→50	52	224/299/323	99	276	7	11	21%	9%	76	+0.0	218/303/304	86	282	5	11	22%	10%	72	-0.2	224/319/287	63	297	1	9	22%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Adeiny Hechavarría 2015 · MLB	26	55→61	38→50	48→50	45	259/296/343	84	308	4	9	17%	5%	78	+0.2	263/302/360	97	306	6	7	16%	5%	85	+0.7	246/287/375	128	286	14	7	19%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Ronald Torreyes 2018 · MLB	25	55→57	39→45	49→50	46	260/295/352	91	290	6	6	13%	4%	80	+0.4	241/272/342	101	265	10	5	13%	4%	68	-0.5	232/267/328	96	251	11	3	13%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Luis Martinez 2012 · MLB	27	54→62	38→40	48→40	46	254/313/339	86	332	5	6	24%	7%	85	+0.7	235/290/331	96	306	5	4	23%	6%	73	-0.1	229/285/324	95	293	4	0	22%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	57→61	41→45	49→50	46	271/313/375	104	314	7	12	16%	6%	94	+1.3	260/308/365	105	299	8	11	15%	6%	89	+1.0	265/310/377	112	292	8	5	12%	6%	92	+0.8
✕L.J. Hoes 2015 · MLB	25	54→63	40	46→50	50	256/319/352	96	313	6	12	20%	8%	91	+1.1	242/301/337	95	290	8	17	18%	7%	79	+0.3	243/303/331	88	286	8	20	17%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Ramon Soto 2013 · AAA	25	53	37→30	47→45	45	250/294/318	68	299	4	9	18%	5%	71	-0.3	250/300/325	75	304	4	9	18%	6%	76	+0.0	302/344/370	67	379	0	7	19%	5%	103	+0.5
✕Darwin Barney 2011 · MLB	25	53→58	37→40	49→50	44	249/281/321	72	287	3	9	15%	4%	66	-0.6	248/289/335	87	277	5	8	12%	5%	73	-0.1	240/287/331	92	272	8	5	15%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Francisco Urbaez 2023 · AAA	25	49→56	41→45	47→45	48	235/299/338	103	290	8	6	21%	7%	79	+0.3	239/299/346	107	294	9	8	21%	7%	82	+0.5	254/315/364	110	294	7	6	15%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Angel Sanchez 2011 · MLB	27	53→60	37→40	46→45	46	250/293/325	75	297	3	5	17%	5%	72	-0.2	246/298/315	69	281	4	7	13%	6%	72	-0.2	243/299/297	55	272	4	6	12%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2020 · MLB	25	50→56	39→40	49→55	47	239/298/332	93	287	6	11	19%	6%	77	+0.1	256/308/346	90	296	7	17	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Chesny Young 2018 · AAA	25	55→65	36→30	43→50	48	256/306/321	64	301	3	11	16%	6%	76	+0.1	222/263/284	62	286	4	9	22%	5%	49	-1.8	207/238/231	23	280	0	7	25%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Brandon Douglas 2011 · AA	25	57→54	36→40	51→50	48	269/316/343	74	312	2	11	14%	6%	86	+0.8	245/284/322	77	295	3	14	17%	5%	67	-0.5	243/281/319	76	293	3	15	18%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Alberto Gonzalez 2008 · MLB	25	53→58	38→40	50→45	45	251/290/346	95	285	4	9	13%	4%	76	+0.1	245/284/335	90	279	5	6	13%	4%	71	-0.3	249/287/329	80	282	4	3	13%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2007 · AAA	25	52	40	48→50	47	249/301/344	95	283	6	11	14%	5%	82	+0.5	227/274/311	84	278	6	9	20%	5%	61	-1.0	225/273/264	40	282	0	4	19%	4%	46	-0.5
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2015 · AA	25	57→61	34→30	50→45	48	265/319/321	56	324	1	10	18%	6%	82	+0.5	244/288/308	64	301	3	6	19%	5%	66	-0.6	241/281/302	61	297	3	3	19%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Brendan Ryan 2007 · AAA	25	51→61	39→40	52→55	47	245/289/336	91	282	6	14	16%	6%	73	-0.1	250/299/337	87	289	6	19	15%	6%	78	+0.2	259/310/346	87	299	5	20	14%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Dixon Machado 2017 · MLB	25	50→55	38→45	49→55	48	239/291/315	77	281	5	13	17%	6%	69	-0.4	227/286/316	89	274	7	9	19%	7%	68	-0.5	228/310/338	110	275	11	4	20%	9%	81	+0.3