Dario Laverde
C ACL Angels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROK2 orgs | 316 | .293/.375/.406 | 2 | 1 | 71 | — | .240/.301/.331 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 414 | .214/.288/.292 | 4 | 0 | 25 | — | .173/.232/.233 |
| 2026 | 21 | ROKLAA | 38 | .250/.447/.464 | 1 | 1 | 78 | — | .188/.316/.344 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBLAA | 351 | .199/.261/.276 | 3 | 3 | 52 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBLAA | 40 | .204/.268/.294 | 1 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBLAA | 87 | .209/.273/.309 | 1 | 1 | 66 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 181 | 151 | 45 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 298 | 408 | 404 | 812 | 106 | 336 | 10 | 12 | 366 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 167 | 134 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 306 | 429 | 455 | 885 | 149 | 377 | 19 | 17 | 388 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 246 | 213 | 59 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 369 | 390 | 759 | 113 | 363 | 23 | 11 | 342 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 70 | 63 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 349 | 397 | 460 | 857 | 111 | 415 | 16 | 6 | 372 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 40 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 175 | 179 | 354 | 26 | 222 | 30 | 2 | 163 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 374 | 334 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 79 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 305 | 606 | 84 | 279 | 21 | 8 | 279 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 447 | 464 | 912 | 214 | 300 | 18 | 26 | 411 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 181 | 159 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 195 | 285 | 264 | 549 | 69 | 218 | 13 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 167 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 229 | 319 | 333 | 652 | 104 | 310 | 28 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 246 | 222 | 50 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 315 | 610 | 90 | 329 | 33 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 70 | 65 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 324 | 385 | 708 | 92 | 350 | 23 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 40 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 150 | 154 | 304 | 26 | 205 | 40 | 2 | 125 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 374 | 344 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 107 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 241 | 241 | 483 | 64 | 242 | 29 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 344 | 660 | 156 | 225 | 26 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 181 | 159 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 195 | 285 | 264 | 549 | 69 | 226 | 13 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 181 | 151 | 45 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 298 | 408 | 404 | 812 | 106 | 336 | 10 | 12 | 366 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 167 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 229 | 319 | 333 | 652 | 104 | 320 | 28 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 167 | 134 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 306 | 429 | 455 | 885 | 149 | 377 | 19 | 17 | 388 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 287 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 298 | 324 | 622 | 87 | 342 | 30 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 316 | 276 | 81 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 293 | 375 | 406 | 781 | 112 | 376 | 21 | 10 | 349 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 383 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 232 | 232 | 465 | 60 | 244 | 29 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 414 | 373 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 288 | 292 | 580 | 78 | 273 | 22 | 7 | 268 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 344 | 660 | 156 | 238 | 26 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 447 | 464 | 912 | 214 | 300 | 18 | 26 | 411 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 181 | 159 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 195 | 285 | 264 | 549 | 69 | 218 | 13 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 167 | 146 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 226 | 319 | 329 | 648 | 103 | 310 | 28 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 288 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 298 | 323 | 621 | 87 | 334 | 30 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 381 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 232 | 234 | 466 | 60 | 238 | 29 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 344 | 660 | 156 | 225 | 26 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 288 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 298 | 323 | 621 | 87 | 334 | 30 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 381 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 122 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 232 | 234 | 466 | 60 | 238 | 29 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 38 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 344 | 660 | 156 | 225 | 26 | 16 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 351 | 320 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 92 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 199 | 261 | 276 | 537 | 77 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 246 | 52 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAA | 34% | 115 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 269 | 297 | 565 | 91 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 46% | 189 | 172 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 274 | 311 | 586 | 101 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 265 | 66 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAA | 52% | 260 | 237 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 278 | 321 | 599 | 108 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 271 | 69 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 316 | 287 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 79 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 280 | 327 | 607 | 112 | 273 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 346 | 314 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 87 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 281 | 328 | 609 | 113 | 274 | 25 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 359 | 326 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 91 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 279 | 323 | 603 | 110 | 273 | 25 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 53% | 359 | 327 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 277 | 317 | 593 | 106 | 271 | 26 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 52% | 353 | 321 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 101 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAA | 34% | 40 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 268 | 294 | 562 | 90 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 256 | 60 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 46% | 87 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 273 | 309 | 582 | 100 | 269 | 25 | 7 | 264 | 66 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAA | 52% | 134 | 122 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 277 | 319 | 596 | 107 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 269 | 69 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 171 | 155 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 279 | 325 | 604 | 111 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 72 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 188 | 171 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 112 | 271 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 195 | 177 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 278 | 321 | 600 | 109 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 53% | 191 | 173 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 275 | 315 | 591 | 105 | 269 | 26 | 7 | 267 | 68 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 52% | 185 | 168 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 272 | 307 | 579 | 101 | 267 | 26 | 7 | 263 | 65 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1191 | 1082 | 229 | 42 | 6 | 21 | 84 | 302 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 212 | 277 | 320 | 597 | 108 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 269 | 63 | -44 | +0 | -2 | +21 | +26 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 165 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 105 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 269 | 63 | -24 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3505 | 3179 | 664 | 117 | 27 | 46 | 247 | 905 | 48 | 40 | 14 | 209 | 276 | 306 | 582 | 97 | 275 | 26 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -91 | +2 | -4 | +43 | +52 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 124 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 168 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 210 | 278 | 310 | 588 | 100 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 262 | 63 | -25 | +1 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Angels · 38 PAwOBA .402 → .284 (−118)K% 18.4% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 16.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 11.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 10.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .402 → .284; ISO .214 → .164; BABIP .300 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AInland Empire 66ers · 374 PAwOBA .272 → .214 (−58)K% 21.1% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.12% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 19.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×1.030 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 113, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .272 → .214; ISO .084 → .064; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 40 PAwOBA .158 → .125 (−33)K% 30.0% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.019 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.50% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 1.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.042 | 17.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .158 → .125; ISO .026 → .020; BABIP .222 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 246 PAwOBA .335 → .268 (−67)K% 22.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.39% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.045 | 25.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.37% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.045 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.045 | 2.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .335 → .268; ISO .113 → .088; BABIP .363 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Angels · 70 PAwOBA .367 → .291 (−76)K% 15.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.958 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 26.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.053 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 111, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .367 → .291; ISO .111 → .081; BABIP .415 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Angels · 167 PAwOBA .388 → .293 (−95)K% 18.6% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.56% | ÷0.955 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.77% | ÷0.978 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.21% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×1.022 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.74% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.022 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.88% | ÷0.961 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.022 | 2.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 92, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .388 → .293; ISO .149 → .113; BABIP .377 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Angels · 181 PAwOBA .360 → .244 (−115)K% 10.5% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.50% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.05% | ÷1.074 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.87% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.52% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | ×0.953 | ×1.022 | 17.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.863 | ×0.600 | ×0.953 | ×1.022 | 2.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.964 | ×0.600 | ×0.953 | ×1.022 | 2.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.801 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 103, 2B 73, 3B 93, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .360 → .244; ISO .106 → .070; BABIP .336 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).