Angel Acosta — OGILVIE

Angel AcostaC Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .295 / .337

PA106

HR1

K%20

BB%5

BABIP299

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$14M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	141	122	26	4	1	2	10	30	6	1	4	213	304	311	616	98	258	21	7	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	141	116	34	7	1	2	16	20	6	1	4	293	406	422	828	129	330	14	11	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	101	91	19	3	0	1	6	17	2	3	2	209	273	275	547	66	240	17	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	101	87	24	4	0	1	10	13	2	3	2	276	364	356	720	80	307	13	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	275	252	49	9	0	1	12	50	2	12	5	194	237	242	479	48	233	18	4	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	275	244	60	9	0	1	20	34	2	12	5	246	308	295	603	49	276	12	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	158	139	38	3	2	1	9	31	4	3	3	273	336	345	681	72	339	20	6	280	72	-5	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
YTD	23	A+	KC	—	158	136	39	3	2	1	12	23	4	3	3	287	362	360	722	74	333	15	8	319	102	+0	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.7
ROS	23	A+	KC	0%	106	98	24	4	1	1	5	21	2	2	1	245	295	337	632	92	290	20	5	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
ROS	23	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						287	0	0	254	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	KC	—	159	140	38	3	2	1	9	31	4	3	3	271	333	343	676	71	336	19	6	280	72	-5	-1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
TOT	23	A+	KC	—	264	237	62	7	3	2	14	52	6	5	4	262	319	342	661	80	323	20	5	275	69	-9	-1	+0	+5	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	306	282	67	11	2	3	17	61	4	5	3	238	290	323	613	85	289	20	6	278	71	-10	-0	+0	+5	+9	0.4
2028	25	MLB	KC	44%	371	342	82	14	2	5	21	74	5	7	3	240	293	336	630	96	290	20	6	285	77	-10	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2029	26	MLB	KC	51%	412	380	92	16	2	7	24	83	5	8	4	242	296	350	646	108	290	20	6	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2030	27	MLB	KC	52%	430	395	94	16	2	7	26	87	6	8	4	238	295	342	637	104	290	20	6	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.1
2031	28	MLB	KC	53%	439	403	96	16	2	7	27	90	6	8	4	238	296	340	636	102	290	21	6	290	80	-10	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.0
2032	29	MLB	KC	57%	436	400	95	16	2	7	27	90	6	8	4	237	296	340	636	103	289	21	6	288	78	-11	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.8
2027	24	MLB	KC	30%	93	87	20	3	1	1	5	19	1	2	1	230	280	322	601	92	286	20	5	265	61	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB	KC	44%	164	152	36	6	1	2	9	33	2	3	1	237	288	329	617	92	287	20	5	272	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	26	MLB	KC	51%	209	192	46	8	1	3	12	42	3	4	2	240	295	339	633	99	287	20	6	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB	KC	52%	225	206	49	8	1	4	14	46	3	4	2	238	296	345	641	107	287	20	6	277	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB	KC	53%	234	214	51	9	1	4	15	48	3	4	2	238	297	346	643	107	286	21	6	276	70	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2032	29	MLB	KC	57%	248	227	54	9	1	4	16	51	3	4	2	238	297	339	636	101	286	21	6	275	68	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1174	1079	256	43	6	18	71	239	15	21	10	237	294	338	632	101	288	20	6	275	68	-42	+0	-1	+21	+33	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	142	24	3	10	39	132	8	12	6	238	293	338	631	101	288	20	6	275	68	-23	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3017	2765	644	109	14	41	175	603	44	62	34	233	289	327	616	94	281	20	6	277	70	-101	-1	-2	+54	+85	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	138	23	3	9	38	130	9	13	7	232	288	326	613	94	279	20	6	277	70	-22	-0	-0	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	141	116	34	7	1	2	16	20	6	1	4	293	406	422	828	129	330	14	11	369	141	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2024	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	101	87	24	4	0	1	10	13	2	3	2	276	364	356	720	80	307	13	10	325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	275	244	60	9	0	1	20	34	2	12	5	246	308	295	603	49	276	12	7	270	65	-11	+0	—	—	+8	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Toby Halllast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,501 PA	8	2,501	45	2	263	298	374	+32	+38	9.9	10.1
#2Toby Halllast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,501 PA	/162	664	12	1	263	298	374	+8.4	+10.1	2.6	pk7: 10
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,175	18	21	241	294	345	+21	+12	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	10	12	241	294	345	+11.9	+6.8	1.5	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Acosta (OGILVIE)	23	45	20	50	30	262/319/342	80	323	2	5	20%	5%	69	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Davis Bradshaw 2021 · A	23	46	36→40	52→50	39	218/261/285	67	284	3	12	24%	4%	49	-1.8	252/304/325	73	318	4	11	21%	5%	77	+0.1	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Alex Swim 2014 · A	23	47	35→30	48→45	47	219/270/282	63	264	2	4	18%	6%	52	-1.6	245/277/294	49	289	1	4	15%	4%	56	-1.3	258/284/297	39	299	0	3	13%	3%	57	-0.5
✕Darren Baker 2022 · A	23	51→54	38→30	47→60	43	241/282/328	86	301	5	9	21%	5%	68	-0.5	246/293/311	65	322	3	19	23%	6%	69	-0.4	248/302/295	47	322	1	32	22%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Alvaro Rondon 2015 · A	24	45	36→30	53→55	41	214/255/286	72	286	3	10	26%	5%	46	-2.0	225/270/293	68	293	2	16	22%	6%	54	-1.4	244/285/300	56	307	0	27	19%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2009 · A	23	45	38→40	49→55	46	213/277/299	86	263	5	15	20%	6%	60	-1.0	238/293/315	77	287	5	16	18%	5%	70	-0.3	298/358/375	77	330	4	27	10%	5%	111	+1.0
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Wilbis Santiago 2019 · A	23	49	37→40	47→30	42	230/262/307	77	261	4	6	14%	3%	54	-1.4	235/268/316	81	269	4	5	14%	3%	59	-1.1	263/291/346	83	292	3	2	11%	2%	73	-0.0
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Cole Peterson 2019 · A	23	47→48	35→30	52→55	41	221/256/280	60	275	2	15	20%	4%	44	-2.1	212/251/274	62	261	2	18	19%	5%	40	-2.4	204/243/259	55	248	1	21	17%	4%	31	-1.6
✕Jake Peter 2016 · A	23	48→55	36→40	54→50	42	226/268/294	68	293	3	12	24%	5%	53	-1.5	232/280/321	89	316	7	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	229/280/321	92	317	9	8	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Stephen Gaylor 2015 · A	23	47	37→30	52→55	39	219/266/296	77	308	4	9	29%	5%	53	-1.5	225/277/276	51	294	1	16	22%	6%	53	-1.5	223/275/262	39	293	1	19	22%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Kyle Holder 2017 · A	23	50→45	36→40	45	40	236/266/296	59	289	3	8	19%	3%	53	-1.5	224/263/305	81	274	6	6	20%	5%	55	-1.4	220/273/310	89	271	7	5	21%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Wilfredo Flores 2023 · A	23	46	39→30	47→50	38	222/253/304	82	284	7	9	24%	4%	50	-1.8	228/263/301	73	299	5	9	24%	4%	53	-1.5	246/273/282	35	320	0	8	22%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Junior Sosa 2014 · A	23	45	35→30	47→55	44	210/258/269	59	264	2	14	21%	6%	43	-2.2	222/276/293	71	287	4	11	22%	7%	57	-1.2	227/303/254	27	310	0	9	24%	9%	56	-0.8
✕Ricardo Andujar 2017 · A	24	46→45	36→30	46→50	40	219/257/284	65	283	4	12	24%	4%	46	-2.0	219/264/301	82	303	5	10	28%	4%	54	-1.4	220/267/301	82	314	3	7	29%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Jordan Cowan 2019 · A	24	49→53	36→30	48→50	43	232/281/293	61	304	4	10	24%	6%	59	-1.1	238/295/308	70	307	5	15	22%	7%	69	-0.4	231/294/297	65	299	5	17	23%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Omar Casamayor 2010 · A	23	48	35→40	46→55	42	227/272/287	60	283	2	12	20%	4%	53	-1.5	228/275/293	65	294	3	8	22%	5%	56	-1.3	261/301/306	45	319	0	2	17%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Tyler Shryock 2014 · A	23	49	34→30	52→50	47	224/272/282	57	264	1	12	15%	6%	52	-1.6	210/259/256	46	264	2	11	20%	6%	40	-2.4	195/242/206	11	244	0	12	19%	5%	16	-2.1
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2021 · A	24	46	34→30	49→45	46	215/276/269	53	285	2	12	24%	7%	51	-1.7	211/276/283	72	278	5	7	24%	8%	56	-1.3	192/260/254	62	254	5	3	25%	8%	38	-1.3
✕Jake Yacinich 2016 · A	23	43	35→30	49→50	42	205/246/267	61	261	3	8	22%	5%	37	-2.7	216/254/290	74	300	6	10	29%	4%	46	-2.0	223/257/295	72	318	6	11	31%	3%	46	-1.0