Darren Baker — OGILVIE

Darren Baker2B Charlotte Knights

Age 27 L/R 5'10" / 167 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .295 / .284

PA212

HR0

SB11

K%21

BB%7

BABIP307

ISO46

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5710.3%

xwOBA

100.219

POWER30

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

1066.7

EYE55

Chase%

1050.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

3726.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	91	83	26	4	1	0	4	16	0	2	2	313	345	386	730	72	382	18	4	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	91	81	27	4	1	0	6	11	0	2	2	333	379	407	787	74	380	12	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	480	440	112	23	1	2	30	111	1	15	4	255	304	325	629	70	333	23	6	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	3 teams	—	480	427	119	24	1	3	43	82	1	15	4	279	346	361	707	82	336	17	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	470	432	110	7	3	2	32	98	1	21	5	255	308	299	606	44	324	21	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	470	421	118	10	4	3	43	78	1	21	5	280	348	344	693	64	337	17	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	483	447	110	18	1	0	31	119	0	38	5	246	295	291	586	45	333	25	6	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	483	435	124	20	2	0	43	91	0	38	5	285	349	340	690	55	358	19	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	393	353	89	13	2	1	31	80	2	26	6	252	316	309	625	57	321	20	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	393	340	87	14	2	1	44	70	2	26	6	256	345	318	662	62	317	18	11	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	CWS	—	38	35	7	1	1	0	3	6	0	3	2	200	263	286	549	86	241	16	8	224	30	-3	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
YTD	27	AAA	CWS	—	38	34	7	1	1	0	4	5	0	3	2	206	289	294	584	88	241	13	11	269	64	-2	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	27	AAA	CWS	10%	212	194	46	7	1	0	15	45	1	11	3	237	295	284	579	46	307	21	7	272	66	-8	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	CWS	10%	21	19	5	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	263	333	316	649	53	308	19	10	270	65	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	CWS	—	59	54	12	2	1	0	5	10	0	4	2	222	288	296	584	74	273	17	8	240	42	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
TOT	27	AAA	CWS	—	250	229	53	8	2	0	18	51	1	14	5	231	290	284	574	52	296	20	7	264	60	-11	+1	-0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CWS	31%	333	304	73	11	2	2	25	72	1	16	4	240	300	309	609	69	304	22	8	274	68	-12	+2	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	CWS	40%	352	321	76	12	2	2	27	77	1	16	4	237	298	305	603	69	302	22	8	276	69	-12	+2	-2	+1	+10	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	CWS	31%	103	94	24	4	1	1	8	22	0	5	1	255	314	351	665	96	304	21	8	272	66	-4	+1	-0	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	CWS	40%	139	126	31	5	1	1	11	30	1	6	2	246	312	325	637	79	303	22	8	274	68	-5	+0	-1	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	263	239	60	10	2	2	21	56	1	12	3	251	314	335	649	84	317	21	8	273	67	-10	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	149	25	5	5	52	138	2	30	7	252	315	337	651	85	318	21	8	273	67	-24	+3	-3	+2	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2814	2574	642	95	13	9	195	618	7	145	33	249	304	307	611	57	323	22	7	273	67	-106	+16	-5	+10	+80	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	148	22	3	2	45	143	2	33	8	249	304	306	610	57	322	22	7	273	67	-24	+3	-1	+2	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	74	66	21	3	1	0	4	9	0	2	2	318	357	394	751	76	362	12	5	319	103	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	22	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	17	15	6	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	400	471	467	937	67	462	12	12	424	182	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	191	169	49	9	0	1	18	30	0	5	2	290	358	361	719	71	345	16	9	322	105	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	273	245	67	15	1	2	22	51	1	10	2	273	336	367	703	94	335	19	8	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2022	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	16	13	3	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	231	375	231	606		250	6	19	300	88	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	448	403	110	10	4	3	39	76	1	19	5	273	339	340	679	67	329	17	9	307	93	-3	+2	—	—	+13	1.1
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	22	18	8	0	0	0	4	2	0	2	0	444	545	444	990		500	9	18	456	207	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	483	435	124	20	2	0	43	91	0	38	5	285	349	340	690	55	358	19	9	313	98	-1	+6	—	—	+14	1.8
2025	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	393	340	87	14	2	1	44	70	2	26	6	256	345	318	662	62	317	18	11	302	90	-5	+3	—	—	+11	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#2Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#3Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	268	1	13	239	296	306	+1	-1	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	4	32	239	296	306	+2.4	-1.6	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darren Baker (OGILVIE)	27	55	30	60	55	231/290/284	52	296	0	14	20%	7%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA	27	50→44	35→30	55→60	46	234/293/293	59	311	3	29	25%	7%	64	-0.8	216/281/277	61	306	3	26	28%	8%	56	-1.3	194/266/220	26	288	0	37	30%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Kyle Wren 2017 · AAA	26	53→58	35→40	56→60	47	248/297/308	60	308	2	28	20%	6%	69	-0.4	231/286/308	77	300	4	21	23%	7%	65	-0.7	227/284/302	74	294	4	22	23%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Ian Miller 2019 · AAA	27	53→60	36→40	61→60	42	251/294/321	71	319	3	34	22%	5%	72	-0.2	229/278/331	102	285	8	28	22%	5%	68	-0.5	222/274/324	102	272	8	30	21%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Jay Gonzalez 2018 · AA	26	50	35→30	58→60	46	226/293/291	65	334	1	30	30%	9%	64	-0.8	235/291/305	70	348	3	19	30%	7%	66	-0.6	257/304/294	38	383	0	15	31%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Carlos Figueroa 2019 · AAA	27	53→59	35→30	55	42	249/286/305	55	312	3	26	21%	5%	63	-0.8	239/278/302	63	284	4	18	16%	5%	59	-1.1	245/282/284	39	289	2	19	15%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Kyle Hudson 2014 · MLB	27	55→58	33→30	53→60	46	256/302/294	38	318	1	26	19%	6%	67	-0.5	245/299/307	62	305	4	19	19%	7%	70	-0.3	256/317/283	27	319	0	22	18%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→55	35→30	58→60	42	228/275/290	62	302	3	38	24%	5%	56	-1.3	223/277/301	78	285	5	24	22%	6%	60	-1.0	214/273/273	59	266	3	24	20%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Sean Danielson 2010 · AAA	27	50→58	37→30	56→55	45	237/287/311	74	309	4	24	24%	7%	66	-0.6	230/283/308	78	305	6	18	25%	6%	64	-0.8	236/289/270	34	315	3	19	24%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Brian Miller 2022 · AAA	26	50→58	37→40	58→60	42	237/281/314	77	308	4	31	24%	5%	64	-0.8	234/283/334	100	302	6	28	23%	6%	71	-0.3	232/284/337	105	296	6	29	22%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Johnny Raburn 2006 · AA	27	54→57	36→30	58→55	45	252/298/313	61	310	3	23	19%	6%	72	-0.2	239/295/303	64	295	2	22	18%	7%	67	-0.5	222/283/285	63	261	4	13	15%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Evan Frey 2013 · AAA	27	49→59	35→40	54→55	51	226/293/287	61	283	2	24	20%	8%	63	-0.9	213/272/275	62	274	3	19	21%	8%	51	-1.7	202/260/246	43	263	1	19	22%	7%	35	-1.2
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	49	226/302/292	66	307	2	41	25%	9%	69	-0.4	209/289/281	72	301	4	29	29%	9%	61	-1.0	155/259/179	23	242	0	34	32%	10%	21	-1.1
✕Jeremias Pineda 2019 · AAA	28	51→57	35→30	62→65	40	226/284/289	63	351	2	34	34%	7%	59	-1.1	250/304/334	84	338	6	28	26%	6%	79	+0.3	282/333/341	60	377	4	42	25%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Greg Miclat 2014 · AAA	27	48→58	36→30	53→60	46	226/284/289	63	292	3	23	23%	7%	59	-1.1	210/272/290	80	277	6	17	24%	7%	56	-1.3	193/262/257	63	259	3	23	25%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Danny Woodrow 2021 · AAA	26	51→60	37→30	54→55	44	239/291/312	73	311	4	23	24%	6%	68	-0.5	208/251/297	89	296	7	12	30%	5%	48	-1.9	156/182/201	45	239	0	4	34%	3%	-12	-1.2
✕Zach Davis 2021 · AA	27	49→52	35→30	58→65	39	225/282/286	61	333	2	31	31%	6%	58	-1.2	216/282/281	65	323	4	41	32%	7%	57	-1.2	214/285/259	45	320	2	62	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Elian Herrera 2012 · AAA	27	50→55	37→40	58→60	47	231/296/307	76	320	4	30	27%	8%	69	-0.4	239/294/323	84	318	5	19	24%	7%	72	-0.2	247/288/343	96	319	7	10	24%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Matt Angle 2012 · MLB	26	50→58	36→40	59→60	48	236/293/297	62	290	4	30	20%	7%	66	-0.6	218/278/296	78	301	6	20	27%	7%	59	-1.1	209/270/282	73	299	5	17	30%	6%	50	-1.1
✕Magneuris Sierra 2022 · MLB	26	49→57	38→40	58→60	44	234/280/313	79	296	4	26	22%	6%	63	-0.8	229/278/323	94	299	8	27	25%	6%	66	-0.6	226/273/315	89	297	7	33	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Adam Godwin 2009 · AA	26	51→53	36→30	56→55	47	241/293/305	64	295	3	25	19%	6%	67	-0.5	230/278/308	78	297	4	19	23%	6%	62	-0.9	229/265/295	66	301	2	21	24%	4%	50	-0.8