Darren Baker2B
Charlotte Knights
Age 27
L/R
5'10" / 167 lbs
AAA
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .292 / .294
PA250
HR1
SB14
K%22
BB%7
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
30→30
SPD
60→60
EYE
46↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-5M | $-15M | -$10M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 91 | 83 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .313 | .345 | .386 | .730 | .072 | .377 | 16 | 4 | .300 | 88 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 480 | 442 | 111 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 109 | 1 | 15 | 4 | .251 | .297 | .326 | .623 | .075 | .324 | 23 | 6 | .269 | 64 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 470 | 434 | 112 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 95 | 1 | 21 | 5 | .258 | .308 | .309 | .616 | .051 | .325 | 20 | 6 | .274 | 68 | -17 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 483 | 448 | 114 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 115 | 0 | 38 | 5 | .254 | .301 | .299 | .600 | .045 | .340 | 24 | 6 | .267 | 63 | -20 | +6 | -1 | +2 | +14 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 393 | 354 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 83 | 2 | 26 | 6 | .246 | .308 | .302 | .611 | .056 | .316 | 21 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -16 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 38 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | .200 | .263 | .286 | .549 | .086 | .241 | 16 | 8 | .224 | 30 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CWS | 212 | 194 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 11 | 3 | .237 | .295 | .299 | .594 | .062 | .300 | 21 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -9 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | CWS | 250 | 229 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 1 | 14 | 5 | .231 | .290 | .297 | .587 | .066 | .292 | 20 | 7 | .261 | 58 | -12 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 20% | CWS | 333 | 304 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 68 | 1 | 17 | 4 | .237 | .297 | .306 | .603 | .069 | .295 | 20 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 33% | CWS | 352 | 321 | 75 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 1 | 17 | 4 | .234 | .295 | .308 | .604 | .075 | .294 | 21 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -12 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 43% | CWS | 363 | 331 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 77 | 1 | 17 | 4 | .233 | .294 | .308 | .603 | .076 | .293 | 21 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 57% | CWS | 358 | 327 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 78 | 1 | 15 | 3 | .232 | .293 | .309 | .602 | .076 | .292 | 22 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 75% | CWS | 345 | 315 | 72 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 77 | 1 | 13 | 3 | .229 | .289 | .295 | .585 | .067 | .291 | 22 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 92% | CWS | 318 | 290 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 1 | 11 | 2 | .228 | .289 | .297 | .585 | .069 | .289 | 23 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 277 | 253 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 66 | 1 | 9 | 2 | .217 | .280 | .269 | .549 | .051 | .288 | 24 | 8 | .256 | 54 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4475 | 4096 | 989 | 147 | 23 | 23 | 315 | 974 | 12 | 212 | 47 | .241 | .298 | .305 | .603 | .064 | .309 | 22 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -177 | +24 | -25 | +16 | +127 | -3.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 595 | 143 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 141 | 2 | 31 | 7 | .240 | .297 | .301 | .598 | .061 | .308 | 22 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -26 | +3 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 74 | 66 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .318 | .357 | .394 | .751 | .076 | .362 | 12 | 5 | .319 | 103 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 17 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | .471 | .467 | .937 | .067 | .462 | 12 | 12 | .424 | 182 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 191 | 169 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 30 | 0 | 5 | 2 | .290 | .358 | .361 | .719 | .071 | .345 | 16 | 9 | .322 | 105 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 273 | 245 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 10 | 2 | .273 | .336 | .367 | .703 | .094 | .335 | 19 | 8 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .375 | .231 | .606 | .000 | .250 | 6 | 19 | .300 | 88 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 448 | 403 | 110 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 76 | 1 | 19 | 5 | .273 | .339 | .340 | .679 | .067 | .329 | 17 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +2 | — | — | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 22 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .444 | .545 | .444 | .990 | .000 | .500 | 9 | 18 | .456 | 207 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 483 | 435 | 124 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 91 | 0 | 38 | 5 | .285 | .349 | .340 | .690 | .055 | .358 | 19 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +6 | — | — | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 393 | 340 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 70 | 2 | 26 | 6 | .256 | .345 | .318 | .662 | .062 | .317 | 18 | 11 | .302 | 90 | -5 | +3 | — | — | +11 | 0.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Darren Baker (OGILVIE) | 27 | 55 | 30 | 60 | 55 | .237/.292/.294 | .057 | .306 | 1 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 64 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Ian Miller 2019 · AAA |
27 | 52→58 | 36→40 | 61→60 | 43 | .244/.290/.310 | .066 | .309 | 3 | 34 | 22% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .229/.280/.327 | .098 | .287 | 8 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .224/.278/.325 | .102 | .276 | 8 | 30 | 21% | 6% | 65 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kyle Wren 2018 · AAA |
27 | 52→59 | 36→40 | 56→60 | 48 | .244/.299/.312 | .068 | .299 | 4 | 26 | 19% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .232/.286/.318 | .086 | .307 | 6 | 18 | 25% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .234/.284/.314 | .079 | .322 | 4 | 17 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Greg Miclat 2014 · AAA |
27 | 50→60 | 36→30 | 55→60 | 46 | .234/.292/.297 | .063 | .304 | 3 | 25 | 23% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .209/.271/.283 | .074 | .276 | 5 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .189/.260/.247 | .058 | .254 | 2 | 23 | 24% | 8% | 35 | -1.2 |
|
✕Patrick Biondi 2018 · AA |
27 | 50→42 | 36→30 | 55→60 | 45 | .233/.290/.294 | .062 | .308 | 3 | 28 | 24% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .217/.283/.274 | .057 | .307 | 3 | 27 | 28% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .194/.269/.217 | .023 | .287 | 0 | 37 | 29% | 8% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕Magneuris Sierra 2023 · MLB |
27 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 59→60 | 44 | .226/.276/.311 | .085 | .283 | 7 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .221/.272/.316 | .095 | .296 | 8 | 24 | 27% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .205/.256/.273 | .068 | .295 | 5 | 26 | 30% | 6% | 41 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jay Gonzalez 2018 · AA |
26 | 50 | 35→30 | 58→60 | 47 | .227/.294/.289 | .062 | .334 | 1 | 28 | 30% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .235/.292/.303 | .068 | .345 | 2 | 20 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .254/.301/.296 | .041 | .375 | 0 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Roemon Fields 2018 · AAA |
27 | 50→57 | 35→30 | 61→60 | 42 | .232/.274/.292 | .060 | .299 | 2 | 39 | 23% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.276/.291 | .065 | .295 | 3 | 31 | 23% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.272/.271 | .054 | .283 | 3 | 30 | 23% | 6% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Nook Logan 2007 · MLB |
27 | 51 | 37→40 | 58→60 | 48 | .242/.296/.322 | .080 | .300 | 4 | 27 | 20% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .245/.293/.333 | .088 | .325 | 4 | 28 | 24% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .260/.300/.338 | .078 | .351 | 0 | 39 | 25% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Sean Danielson 2010 · AAA |
27 | 51→57 | 37→30 | 56→55 | 45 | .240/.291/.315 | .075 | .309 | 4 | 24 | 23% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.282/.304 | .075 | .304 | 6 | 18 | 25% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .232/.286/.268 | .036 | .308 | 3 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA |
26 | 49 | 36→30 | 61→65 | 49 | .227/.302/.297 | .070 | .305 | 3 | 39 | 25% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .209/.292/.279 | .070 | .299 | 4 | 31 | 28% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .159/.264/.182 | .024 | .248 | 0 | 34 | 32% | 10% | 24 | -1.0 |
|
✕Evan Frey 2013 · AAA |
27 | 49→58 | 35→40 | 54→55 | 50 | .230/.293/.292 | .062 | .288 | 2 | 24 | 20% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .218/.279/.280 | .062 | .278 | 3 | 20 | 21% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .210/.271/.255 | .046 | .270 | 1 | 19 | 21% | 8% | 42 | -1.0 |
|
✕Danny Woodrow 2021 · AAA |
26 | 52→62 | 37→30 | 54→55 | 44 | .246/.296/.318 | .072 | .322 | 4 | 23 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.250/.292 | .085 | .297 | 6 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .155/.180/.196 | .041 | .239 | 0 | 4 | 34% | 3% | -14 | -1.3 |
|
✕Carlos Figueroa 2019 · AAA |
27 | 54→62 | 35→30 | 54→55 | 42 | .256/.291/.310 | .054 | .320 | 3 | 25 | 21% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .247/.285/.308 | .061 | .287 | 4 | 19 | 15% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .254/.292/.292 | .038 | .292 | 2 | 19 | 13% | 5% | 59 | -1.0 |
|
✕Johnny Raburn 2006 · AA |
27 | 53→56 | 36→30 | 57→55 | 45 | .248/.294/.313 | .065 | .305 | 3 | 22 | 19% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .238/.294/.303 | .065 | .294 | 2 | 22 | 18% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .220/.281/.283 | .063 | .259 | 3 | 13 | 16% | 8% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Brian Miller 2022 · AAA |
26 | 49→57 | 37→40 | 57→60 | 42 | .231/.274/.307 | .076 | .298 | 4 | 29 | 23% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .237/.284/.334 | .097 | .305 | 6 | 28 | 23% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .236/.287/.338 | .102 | .300 | 6 | 29 | 22% | 6% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Eric Reed 2008 · MLB |
27 | 49→51 | 37→40 | 62→60 | 38 | .233/.268/.315 | .082 | .310 | 3 | 33 | 26% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.265/.304 | .082 | .288 | 5 | 23 | 23% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .202/.247/.221 | .019 | .259 | 0 | 19 | 21% | 5% | 22 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2009 · MLB |
26 | 52→57 | 36→40 | 55→60 | 46 | .245/.290/.309 | .064 | .297 | 3 | 25 | 18% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .245/.313/.322 | .077 | .291 | 4 | 25 | 16% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.322/.328 | .081 | .293 | 4 | 29 | 16% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kyle Hudson 2014 · MLB |
27 | 56→61 | 33→30 | 53→60 | 47 | .258/.309/.295 | .037 | .324 | 1 | 27 | 20% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .243/.300/.299 | .056 | .306 | 3 | 20 | 20% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .237/.301/.263 | .026 | .302 | 0 | 22 | 20% | 8% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brad Coon 2010 · AAA |
27 | 53→57 | 37→40 | 53→60 | 49 | .248/.311/.318 | .070 | .302 | 5 | 25 | 19% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.294/.305 | .075 | .295 | 5 | 17 | 22% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .217/.285/.287 | .070 | .284 | 4 | 16 | 23% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Elian Herrera 2012 · AAA |
27 | 50→55 | 37→40 | 58→60 | 46 | .231/.294/.308 | .076 | .321 | 4 | 30 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .240/.297/.327 | .087 | .318 | 5 | 20 | 24% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .247/.290/.343 | .096 | .318 | 7 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |