Darren Baker

2B Sacramento River Cats
Age 28 L/R 5'10" / 167 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AAAWSH483.285/.349/.34003874—.264/.312/.313
202526AAAWSH393.256/.345/.31812672—.252/.316/.309
202627AAASF91.226/.278/.2620834—.209/.244/.244
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBSF10.240/.296/.29601710.0
2028PROJ27% MLB29MLBSF41.238/.294/.2950270-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed89
K%66
Whiff%65
Z-Con%47
Chase%35
BB%18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRoemon Fields (age 28) · Johnny Davis (age 28) · Zach Davis (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .296 / .296
PA10
HR0
K%20
BB%10
BABIP311
ISO62
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024
CONTACT55
xAVG
120.220
POWER30
Avg EV
1986.7
Bat Spd
1066.7
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
3726.9
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 AFredericksburg Nationals — 7466 21310 490 22 318357394751 76362 125 319 88 — — — — — —
202122 ROKFCL Nationals — 1715 6100 220 00 400471467937 67462 1212 424 89 — — — — — —
202223 AAHarrisburg Senators — 191169 49901 18300 52 290358361719 71345 169 322 87 — — — — — —
202223 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 273245 671512 22511 102 273336367703 94335 198 313 59 — — — — — —
202223 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 1613 3000 310 00 231375231606 250 619 300 90 — — — — — —
202324 AAARochester Red Wings — 448403 1101043 39761 195 273339340679 67329 179 307 74 — — — — — —
202324 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 2218 8000 420 20 444545444990 500 918 456 137 — — — — — —
202425 AAARochester Red Wings — 483435 1242020 43910 385 285349340690 55358 199 313 74 — — — — — —
202526 AAARochester Red Wings — 393340 871421 44702 266 256345318662 62317 1811 302 72 — — — — — —
202627 AAASacramento River Cats — 9184 19110 6180 82 226278262540 36284 207 247 34 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7467 21310 3130 22 313343388731 75347 184 299 88 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEFCL Nationals — 1716 5100 130 00 312353375728 62354 186 300 89 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 191174 49901 13370 52 282332351682 69341 197 297 87 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 273253 601212 14671 102 237280316596 79301 255 255 59 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 448412 109842 30931 195 265316318634 53329 217 278 74 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 2220 7000 230 20 350409350759 438 149 371 137 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 483447 1181820 311140 385 264312313625 49348 246 278 74 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 393353 891321 31822 266 252316309625 57312 218 275 72 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 9186 18110 4220 82 209244244489 35271 244 218 34 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE2 teams — 9183 26410 4160 22 313345386730 72382 184 299 89 — — — — — —
202122 A RAW2 teams — 9181 27410 6110 22 333379407787 74380 127 339 89 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE3 teams — 480442 1122212 281071 154 253299321621 68327 226 272 70 — — — — — —
202223 A+ RAW3 teams — 480427 1192413 43821 154 279346361707 82336 179 316 70 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 470432 116842 32961 215 269320319640 51340 207 282 77 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAW2 teams — 470421 1181043 43781 215 280348344693 64337 179 314 77 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 483447 1181820 311140 385 264312313625 49352 246 278 74 — — — — — —
202425 AAA RAWRochester Red Wings — 483435 1242020 43910 385 285349340690 55358 199 313 74 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 393353 891321 31822 266 252316309625 57324 218 275 72 — — — — — —
202526 AAA RAWRochester Red Wings — 393340 871421 44702 266 256345318662 62317 1811 302 72 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 9186 18110 4220 82 209244244489 35277 244 218 34 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAWSacramento River Cats — 9184 19110 6180 82 226278262540 36284 207 247 34 — — — — — —
202122 A MLE2 teams — 9187 26410 4160 22 299345368713 69348 184 299 89 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLE3 teams — 480448 1122212 281071 154 250299317616 67317 226 272 70 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 470434 116842 32961 215 267320318638 51334 207 282 77 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 483449 1181820 311140 385 263312312624 49348 246 278 74 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 393357 891321 31822 266 249316305621 56312 218 275 72 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 9187 18110 4220 82 207244241486 34271 244 218 34 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 483449 1181820 311140 385 263312312624 49348 246 278 74 — — — — — —
202526 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 393357 891321 31822 266 249316305621 56312 218 275 72 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 9187 18110 4220 82 207244241486 34271 244 218 34 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLESF 10% 200183 44710 14441 102 243299299598 56315 227 273 71 -7 +1 -0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXSF 10% 109 2000 120 10 240296296592 55311 2010 270 71 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLESF 27% 151138 33510 11341 71 241297298595 57313 237 272 70 -5 +1 -2 +1 +3 -0.2
202829 MLB CTXSF 27% 4138 8100 390 20 238294295589 57309 227 269 70 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4138 8100 390 20 211268237505 26276 227 269 72 -1 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650602 1271600 481430 320 211269238507 27277 227 269 72 -23 +6 -7 +2 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 22642078 53675135 1484945 12226 258309314623 56334 227 275 72 -9 +2 -2 +1 +6 -0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 1542241 421421 357 258307313621 55335 226 275 72 -23 +4 -4 +2 +14 -0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 91 PAwOBA .243 → .218 (−25)K% 19.8% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.78%÷1.000×1.200——23.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.59%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0034.56%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0030.00%
Singles /BIP25.76%÷1.000×0.930×1.027×1.00324.67%
Doubles /BIP1.52%÷1.000×0.830×1.027×1.0031.29%
Triples /BIP1.52%÷1.000×0.970×1.027×1.0031.51%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .243 → .218; ISO .036 → .034; BABIP .284 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 393 PAwOBA .296 → .275 (−21)K% 17.8% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.81%÷1.028×1.200——20.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.94%÷0.978×0.690—×1.0187.86%
HBP% /PA0.51%—×0.940—×1.0180.49%
Singles /BIP25.93%÷0.987×0.930×1.050×1.01826.11%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0184.60%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.150×0.970×1.050×1.0180.67%
Home runs /BIP0.37%÷0.960×0.700—×1.0180.28%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .296 → .275; ISO .062 → .055; BABIP .317 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 483 PAwOBA .306 → .278 (−28)K% 18.8% → 23.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.84%÷0.958×1.200——23.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.70%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0336.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP29.65%÷1.029×0.930×1.050×1.03329.06%
Doubles /BIP5.81%÷0.962×0.830×1.050×1.0335.44%
Triples /BIP0.58%÷1.150×0.970×1.050×1.0330.53%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .278; ISO .055 → .051; BABIP .358 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 448 PAwOBA .300 → .278 (−22)K% 17.0% → 20.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.96%÷0.980×1.200——20.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.71%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0486.58%
HBP% /PA0.22%—×0.940—×1.0480.22%
Singles /BIP28.44%÷0.996×0.930×1.050×1.04829.24%
Doubles /BIP3.06%÷1.137×0.830×1.050×1.0482.46%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷1.150×0.970×1.050×1.0481.14%
Home runs /BIP0.92%÷1.058×0.700—×1.0480.64%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .300 → .278; ISO .067 → .053; BABIP .329 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 22 PAwOBA .445 → .371 (−74)K% 9.1% → 12.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.09%÷0.973×1.310——12.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.005×0.600—×0.98810.73%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP50.00%÷0.981×0.870—×0.98843.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.894×0.780—×0.9880.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.913×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.913×0.880—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .445 → .371; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .438. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 273 PAwOBA .307 → .255 (−53)K% 18.7% → 24.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.68%÷0.998×1.310——24.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.06%÷0.963×0.600—×0.9985.01%
HBP% /PA0.37%—×0.770—×0.9980.28%
Singles /BIP25.26%÷0.990×0.870×1.050×0.99823.27%
Doubles /BIP7.73%÷0.974×0.780×1.050×0.9986.49%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.150×0.850×1.050×0.9980.40%
Home runs /BIP1.03%÷1.114×0.880—×0.9980.81%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 98, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .307 → .255; ISO .094 → .076; BABIP .335 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 191 PAwOBA .316 → .297 (−19)K% 15.7% → 19.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.71%÷0.996×1.220——19.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.42%÷0.980×0.700—×1.0276.92%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP28.06%÷1.016×0.970×1.016×1.02727.93%
Doubles /BIP6.47%÷0.936×0.860×1.016×1.0276.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.016×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.72%÷0.979×0.780—×1.0270.59%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .316 → .297; ISO .071 → .067; BABIP .345 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AFredericksburg Nationals · 74 PAwOBA .315 → .299 (−17)K% 12.2% → 17.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.16%÷0.967×1.360——17.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.41%÷1.100×0.690——3.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP29.82%÷1.006×0.920×1.048—28.58%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.942×0.830×1.048—4.86%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷0.901×0.910×1.048—1.86%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 93, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .315 → .299; ISO .076 → .076; BABIP .362 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .